Determination of earthquake magnitude for early warning from the time-dependence of P-wave amplitudes

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
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Abstract

We propose a method that utilizes the time dependence of P‐wave displacement amplitudes to estimate the final magnitude (⁠M⁠) for earthquake early warning (EEW) before the arrival of the peak amplitude. A relation between M and P‐wave displacement amplitude is employed for the method. Its value is set as a function of time from the P arrival, and is determined using a K‐NET dataset recorded in Japan from a scaling relation between M and the time dependence of P‐wave displacement. A test to check the performance of the proposed equation demonstrates in a statistical sense that this technique enables us to estimate M more rapidly than conventional methods without loss of accuracy. We conclude that the approach proposed in this article effectively gains a longer lead time as well as reduces the blind zone for EEW.

Suggested Citation

Noda, S., and Ellsworth, W.L., 2017, Determination of earthquake magnitude for early warning from the time-dependence of P-wave amplitudes: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, v. 107, no. 4, p. 1860-1867, https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170048.

ISSN: 1943-3573 (online)

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Determination of earthquake magnitude for early warning from the time-dependence of P-wave amplitudes
Series title Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
DOI 10.1785/0120170048
Volume 107
Issue 4
Publication Date July 04, 2017
Year Published 2017
Language English
Publisher Seismological Society of America
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Science Center
Description 8 p.
First page 1860
Last page 1867
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