High resolution measurement of levee subsidence related to energy infrastructure in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta

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Abstract

We assess flood overtopping potential (when flood water elevation exceeds levee elevation) to the levees surrounding the islands in the interior of California's Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. Because critical natural gas infrastructure is susceptible to overtopping-related disruption, we focus our analysis on regions that are crossed by the network of the state's natural gas pipelines. We use laser scanning data collected during 2015-2016 to estimate subsidence rates since 2007 when an earlier, Delta-wide, airborne laser-scanning topographic dataset was collected. For each levee studied, we combine: (1) the estimated subsidence rate, (2) a conservative range of sea-level rise projections and, (3) an estimate of the 100-year freshwater flood stage to project the time until exceedance of the federal levee height standard (PL84-99). We find that subsidence rates vary from 0-5 centimeters per year (cm/yr) with mean values of ~1-2 cm/year. Local gradients in subsidence can be on the order of cms/yr over a distance of 10s of meters parallel to the levee crests, and these types of gradients are present near some pipeline crossings. The Sherman Island region has subsidence rates close to a factor of 2 greater than other areas considered. Our projections indicate general ranges of exceedance date from about 2060 (fast sea-level rise scenario) to 2080 (slow sea-level rise scenario) with some places projected to exceed threshold by about 2050.

Study Area

Publication type Report
Publication Subtype State or Local Government Series
Title High resolution measurement of levee subsidence related to energy infrastructure in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
Series number CCCA4-CEC-2018-003
Year Published 2018
Language English
Publisher California Energy Commission
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Science Center
Description vii, 51 p.
Larger Work Type Report
Larger Work Subtype State or Local Government Series
Larger Work Title California’s fourth climate change assessment
Country United States
State California
Other Geospatial Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
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