National population exposure and evacuation potential in the United States to earthquake-generated tsunami threats
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Abstract
Previous efforts to characterize tsunami threats to people have focused primarily on individual scenarios in specific areas but have not recognized multiple scenarios across an entire country. This study addresses this gap by quantifying population exposure and evacuation potential in the United States to 102 earthquake-related, tsunami-hazard zones, including 92 local scenarios, 8 distant scenarios, and 2 probabilistic products. Geospatial path-distance modeling quantified evacuation potential and the influence of departure delays. We focused on residents to support other national, multi-hazard risk analyses. Millions of residents are in distant-tsunami zones, and hundreds of thousands of residents are in local-tsunami zones. In 41 scenarios, there is at least one resident that may have insufficient time to evacuate before wave arrival. Tens of thousands of residents may have insufficient time to evacuate from local tsunamis that impact the U.S. Pacific Northwest or Puerto Rican coastlines. The largest improvements in evacuation potential may come from reducing departure delays in some areas but may involve vertical-evacuation structures or changing land use in other areas.
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | National population exposure and evacuation potential in the United States to earthquake-generated tsunami threats |
| Series title | International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105511 |
| Volume | 123 |
| Publication Date | April 22, 2025 |
| Year Published | 2025 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| Contributing office(s) | Western Geographic Science Center |
| Description | 105511, 18 p. |