Predicting thermal responses of an Arctic lake to whole-lake warming manipulation

Geophysical Research Letters
Anne Giblin, Byron Crump
By: , and 

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Abstract

We investigated how lake thermal processes responded to whole lake warming manipulation in an arctic lake through observations and numerical modeling. The warming manipulation was conducted by artificially heating the epilimnion as a proxy for climate warming. We performed numerical modeling with an improved lake scheme based on the Community Land Model (CLM). We simulated a control run (CTL) without warming and a warming manipulation simulation (WARM). Results indicated WARM accurately captured observed temperatures where water stratification was extended in time, and water stability was strengthened. Two additional sensitivity tests with different warming onset dates and of the same warming duration showed that earlier warming onsets are predicted to make the water column more stable and less easily mixed relative to a later onset of warming. The results provide a more complete understanding of lake thermal processes in arctic freshwater lake systems and how they will respond to predicted future warming.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Predicting thermal responses of an Arctic lake to whole-lake warming manipulation
Series title Geophysical Research Letters
DOI 10.1029/2021gl092680
Volume 48
Issue 23
Publication Date December 03, 2021
Year Published 2021
Language English
Publisher American Geophysical Union
Contributing office(s) Coop Res Unit Seattle
Description e2021GL092680, 10 p.
Country United States
State Alaska
Other Geospatial Toolik Field Station
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