Space-for-time is not necessarily a substitution when monitoring the distribution of pelagic fishes in the San Francisco Bay-Delta

Ecology and Evolution
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Abstract

Occupancy models are often used to analyze long-term monitoring data to better understand how and why species redistribute across dynamic landscapes while accounting for incomplete capture. However, this approach requires replicate detection/non-detection data at a sample unit and many long-term monitoring programs lack temporal replicate surveys. In such cases, it has been suggested that surveying subunits within a larger sample unit may be an efficient substitution (i.e., space-for-time substitution). Still, the efficacy of fitting occupancy models using a space-for-time substitution has not been fully explored and is likely context dependent. Herein, we fit occupancy models to Delta Smelt (Hypomesus transpacificus) and Longfin Smelt (Spirinchus thaleichthys) catch data collected by two different monitoring programs that use the same sampling gear in the San Francisco Bay-Delta, USA. We demonstrate how our inferences concerning the distribution of these species changes when using a space-for-time substitution. Specifically, we found the probability that a sample unit was occupied was much greater when using a space-for-time substitution, presumably due to the change in the spatial scale of our inferences. Furthermore, we observed that as the spatial scale of our inferences increased, our ability to detect environmental effects on system dynamics was obscured, which we suspect is related to the tradeoffs associated with spatial grain and extent. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of considering how the unique characteristics of monitoring programs influences inferences, which has broad implications for how to appropriately leverage existing long-term monitoring data to understand the distribution of species.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Space-for-time is not necessarily a substitution when monitoring the distribution of pelagic fishes in the San Francisco Bay-Delta
Series title Ecology and Evolution
DOI 10.1002/ece3.8292
Volume 11
Issue 23
Publication Date November 16, 2021
Year Published 2021
Language English
Publisher Wiley
Contributing office(s) Coop Res Unit Seattle
Description 18 p.
First page 16727
Last page 16744
Country United States
State Calfornia
Other Geospatial San Francisco Bay-Delta
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