Drought and deluge— Opportunities for climate-change adaptation in US national parks

Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
By: , and 

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Abstract

In a changing climate, resource management depends on anticipating changes and considering uncertainties. To facilitate effective decision making on public lands, we regionally summarized the magnitude and uncertainty of projected change in management-relevant climate variables for 332 national park units across the contiguous US. Temperature, frequency of extreme precipitation events, and drought exposure are all projected to increase within seven regions delineated in the US National Climate Assessment. In particular, the anticipated collective impacts of droughts and flooding events will lead to unique management challenges, including combinations of management actions that may seem inconsistent. Furthermore, uncertainty in the magnitude of change varied by region and climate variable considered, pointing to specific opportunities for prioritization, transferability, and innovation of climate adaptation regionally and at the park-unit scale.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Drought and deluge— Opportunities for climate-change adaptation in US national parks
Series title Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
DOI 10.1002/fee.2858
Edition Online First
Publication Date June 16, 2025
Year Published 2025
Language English
Publisher Ecological Society of America
Contributing office(s) North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center
Country United States
Other Geospatial conterminous United States
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