The influence of streamflow can be highly heterogeneous around lake edges, making it challenging to predict how benthic productivity in the littoral zone responds to hydroclimatic change. The degree to which streamflow affects nearshore productivity varies as a function of catchment characteristics, internal lake morphometry, and processes. This study investigates the relative influence of streamflow on nearshore metabolism (e.g., gross primary productivity [GPP], ecosystem respiration [ER], and net ecosystem productivity [NEP]) for shores with large, small, or no stream inflows (four locations across two shores) during two contrasting water years (one drought and one wet) in Lake Tahoe (Nevada/California, USA). Using Bayesian structural equation modeling, we found streamflow decreased water temperature, benthic light, and GPP across both years. Compared to the drought year, the subsequent wet year had 54% higher annual streamflow, 37% less light, and lower NEP at locations with large or small inflows (39% Δ −0.32 mmol O₂ m⁻³ d^−1% and 49% Δ −1.19 mmol O₂ m⁻³ d⁻¹, respectively). During the wet year, we observed a 68% increase in the negative association between streamflow and nearshore GPP at the large inflow and a 62% decrease in the positive association between streamflow and GPP at the small inflow. This work demonstrates how oligotrophic littoral productivity varies across shorelines and in response to hydrological conditions, with streamflow and precipitation exerting contrasting effects depending on the proximity to inflowing streams. Our results suggest future lake responses to climate volatility depend on spatial and temporal hydrologic connectivity to catchments and upland processes.