Long-term dynamics of earthquake swarms in the Yellowstone caldera

Science Advances
By: , and 

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Abstract

The factors controlling the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of earthquake swarms in volcanic systems remain unclear. We leverage leading-edge deep learning algorithms and a detailed three-dimensional velocity model to construct a 15-year high-resolution earthquake catalog of the Yellowstone caldera region. More than half of the region’s earthquakes are clustered into swarm-like families characterized by episodes of hypocenter expansion and migration. Adjacent earthquake swarms, separated by long quiescent periods, are found to be a dominant feature. We suggest that these swarms are controlled by the interplay between slowly diffusing aqueous fluids and rapid episodic fluid injections, which may result from the breaking of permeability seals. Our analyses also indicate that clustered seismicity beneath the caldera occurs on relatively immature, rougher fault structures, compared to more planar faults outside. Our results provide additional context for understanding seismicity in hydrothermal systems, highlighting the key role played by long-term fluid diffusion processes in driving the occurrence of earthquake swarms.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Long-term dynamics of earthquake swarms in the Yellowstone caldera
Series title Science Advances
DOI 10.1126/sciadv.adv6484
Volume 11
Issue 29
Publication Date July 18, 2025
Year Published 2025
Language English
Publisher AAAS
Contributing office(s) Geologic Hazards Science Center - Seismology / Geomagnetism
Description eadv6484, 10 p.
Country United States
State Idaho, Montana, Wyoming
Other Geospatial Yellowstone Caldera
Additional publication details