Mechanics and statistics of postseismic shaking

Geophysical Research Letters
By: , and 

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Abstract

Analysis of two weeks of continuous post-seismic shaking after the 2019 M7.1 Ridgecrest, CA earthquake sequence using 4 nearby borehole seismometers reveals that continuous ground motions decay as Omori’s law in time and follow the Gutenberg-Richter distribution in logarithmic amplitude. The measured temporal decay in amplitudes agrees with predictions of the rate-and-state framework and indicates shaking amplitudes are proportional to the velocity of afterslip. Our ground motion-based statistical framework provides a basis to forecast shaking intensity in the minutes to hours after a large earthquake.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Mechanics and statistics of postseismic shaking
Series title Geophysical Research Letters
DOI 10.1029/2025GL116673
Volume 52
Issue 18
Publication Date September 12, 2025
Year Published 2025
Language English
Publisher American Geophysical Union
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Science Center
Description e2025GL116673, 10 p.
Country United States
State California
City Ridgecrest
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