Spatial regimes provide ample early warning of tipping points

Advances in Ecological Research
By: , and 

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Abstract

Accelerating global change is a hallmark of the Anthropocene, and the interaction of rapid change in climate, land use and land cover makes understanding the response of social-ecological systems to global change difficult to predict. Global change directly and indirectly affects both social-ecological systems and the landscapes in which they are embedded. Spatial heterogeneity in the location, manifestation of, and responses to global change makes spatially explicit approaches to management and conservation necessary. Spatial regimes, a concept derived from resilience theory, are at the forefront of attempts to operationalize and quantify resilience of dynamic landscapes. Spatial regimes are defined as dynamic landscape units that are shaped by a self-organizing set of processes and structures. They have identifiable spatial extents with discrete boundaries at a given scale that exhibit relative homogeneity in process, structure and composition maintained by feedback mechanisms. Here, we describe the concept of, evidence for, and applications of spatial regimes and how spatial regimes relate to scale and telecoupling of change across social-ecological systems. We emphasize the utility of the concept as an early warning of regime change, one that can provide ample early warning. We discuss methods that can be used to detect spatial regimes and uses of the concept for understanding and managing the spatio-temporal response of social-ecological systems to global change.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Spatial regimes provide ample early warning of tipping points
Series title Advances in Ecological Research
DOI 10.1016/bs.aecr.2025.08.001
Volume 73
Year Published 2025
Language English
Publisher Elsevier
Contributing office(s) Coop Res Unit Atlanta
Description 17 p.
First page 151
Last page 167
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