Phytoplankton biomass dynamics in wet (2019) and dry (2023) years in Lake Pontchartrain estuary, Louisiana from Sentinel 2-MSI and PACE-OCI observations

Science of the Total Environment.
By: , and 

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Abstract

This study provides a comprehensive assessment of phytoplankton biomass dynamics in Lake Pontchartrain, Louisiana, by combining monthly water quality data with multispectral and hyperspectral satellite observations using a machine learning algorithm. A machine learning model based on Variational Autoencoder (VAE), globally applicable, was used to estimate phytoplankton biomass via chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) from Sentinel 2-MSI and NASA's new hyperspectral mission, PACE-OCI, enabling the first direct comparison between the two sensors. The model performed well in this complex estuarine system, with higher accuracy from PACE-OCI (MAE: 1.48, RMSE: 10.40, slope: 0.87) than Sentinel 2-MSI (MAE: 1.57, RMSE: 11.08, slope: 0.83). This approach enabled continuous high-resolution monitoring of phytoplankton biomass across space and time. Comparative analysis of 2019, a wet year with Bonnet Carré Spillway (BCS) openings, and 2023, a dry year with extremely low riverine inputs, revealed distinct biomass dynamics. In 2019, BCS discharge initially suppressed Chl-a within turbid waters (<5 mg Chl-a m−3) but later acted as a nutrient and hydrodynamic driver, transporting nutrients toward the lake outlet and Mississippi coast, promoting high biomass (25–45 mg Chl-a m−3) near the entrance. In contrast, dry conditions in 2023 led to more frequent-than-expected high biomass (>35 mg Chl-a m−3), persisting in the lake center. Similar spatial patterns were observed again in 2024, revealed for the first time by PACE-OCI. This study demonstrates the value of satellite-derived observations for capturing transient phytoplankton biomass events and highlights the potential of PACE-OCI's hyperspectral capabilities to better distinguish phytoplankton communities and improve understanding of their responses to freshwater inflows and associated processes driving pulses into estuaries.

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Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Phytoplankton biomass dynamics in wet (2019) and dry (2023) years in Lake Pontchartrain estuary, Louisiana from Sentinel 2-MSI and PACE-OCI observations
Series title Science of the Total Environment.
DOI 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.181126
Volume 1011
Publication Date December 17, 2025
Year Published 2026
Language English
Publisher Elsevier
Contributing office(s) Wetland and Aquatic Research Center
Description 181126, 18 p.
Country United States
State Louisiana
Other Geospatial Lake Pontchartrain
Additional publication details