Causal networks to inform decisions for ecological restoration

Environmental Management
By: , and 

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Abstract

The release of contaminants into the environment can occur from anthropogenic activities, such as oil extraction and transportation, mining, and industrial processes. Remediation associated with reducing contaminant concentrations, and restoration that improves animals and supporting habitat, are often needed to restore ecosystems to their pre-release, baseline condition. We demonstrated the application of Bayesian Decision Networks (BDNs) with two Natural Resource Damage Assessment and Restoration (NRDAR) case studies. We use a stylized case study of riparian restoration following the remediation of a mine-impacted site to evaluate proposed restoration actions aimed at restoring Song Sparrow (Melospiza melodia) populations to baseline conditions. We then use a settled NRDAR case with implemented restoration in the Upper Arkansas River (UAR, Colorado, USA) to demonstrate the application of BDNs to evaluate and forecast restoration effectiveness for Brown Trout (Salmo trutta) (i.e., restoration effectiveness assessment). The riparian restoration model showed differences in the effects of restoration actions on Song Sparrow populations, with the time to reach baseline generally reduced with increased restoration costs, indicating trade-offs between costs and expected recovery. The UAR model showed recovery of Brown Trout populations (i.e., uplift) in response to improved instream habitat restoration, along with forecasted improvements. While the BDNs we developed were specific to two case studies, the structure is adaptable to a diversity of sites, resources, and actions. We suggest that causal network modeling can provide restoration practitioners with a decision advisory tool useful for a wide range of projects.

Suggested Citation

Kotalik, C.J., Rowland, F.E., Marcot, B.G., Skrabis, K.E., Walters, D., Hinck, J.E., Clements, W.H., Richer, E.E., and Isanhart, J.P., 2026, Causal networks to inform decisions for ecological restoration: Environmental Management, v. 76, no. 1, 7, 14 p., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-025-02323-x.

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Causal networks to inform decisions for ecological restoration
Series title Environmental Management
DOI 10.1007/s00267-025-02323-x
Volume 76
Issue 1
Publication Date November 20, 2025
Year Published 2026
Language English
Publisher Springer
Contributing office(s) Columbia Environmental Research Center
Description 7, 14 p.
Additional publication details