Remotely sensed surface water storage shows distinct patterns from SWAT-simulated data

Water Resources Research
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Abstract

Quantifying and projecting the downstream benefits of water stored in lakes and wetlands (SWstorage) requires watershed hydrologic models, which often parameterize surface water storage in topographic depressions using static digital elevation model (DEM) data. Calibration and validation of modeled SWstorage dynamics using external data sets is uncommon, particularly across major river basins, with model calibration typically focused on observed discharge. Here, we develop and assess a novel remote sensing-based (RS) SWstorage data set (Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2) for verifying simulated SWstorage estimates from a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model of the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB; ∼440,000 km2). Our results suggest that static DEM-based parameterization as well as model calibration based solely on discharge do not adequately capture spatial and temporal SWstorage dynamics in the UMRB. Mean SWstorage as estimated by SWAT was 74% ± 122% (mean ± standard deviation) higher than RS SWstorage, where SWstorage in SWAT was underestimated in wetland-rich subbasins and overestimated in agricultural, tile-drained subbasins. Time series of SWAT SWstorage and RS SWstorage were positively correlated in only 38.8% of subbasins. As RS SWstorage is also vulnerable to error, storage estimates were compared to bathymetric data in select small wetlands. While uncertainty remains in the conversion from extent to storage for RS SWstorage, the method and data set presented here are a promising option for improved parameterization and calibration of SWstorage processes in SWAT and other process-based hydrologic models. Further consideration of these storage processes can potentially improve the accuracy of simulated streamflow in wetland-rich model domains.

Suggested Citation

Dolan, W., Vanderhoof, M.K., Christensen, J.R., Golden, H.E., Lane, C.R., Rajib, A., Keenan, W., Zheng, Q., and Khare, A., 2026, Remotely sensed surface water storage shows distinct patterns from SWAT-simulated data: Water Resources Research, v. 62, no. 6, e2025WR040206, 22 p., https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR040206.

ISSN: 1944-7973 (online)

Study Area

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title Remotely sensed surface water storage shows distinct patterns from SWAT-simulated data
Series title Water Resources Research
DOI 10.1029/2025WR040206
Volume 62
Issue 6
Publication Date June 08, 2026
Year Published 2026
Language English
Publisher American Geophysical Union
Contributing office(s) Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center
Description e2025WR040206, 22 p.
Country United States
State Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, South Dakota, Wisconsin
Additional publication details