The damability function: A probabilistic approach to regional landslide dam susceptibility analysis applied to the Oregon Coast Range, USA

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
By: , and 

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Abstract

Landslides can dam rivers and require rapid response to mitigate catastrophic outburst floods. Here, we present a workflow to map landslide dam formation susceptibility at a regional scale. We define a probabilistic function that combines river valley width and landslide volume to efficiently determine the likelihood of a landslide dam or “damability”. We combine damability values with landslide susceptibility to estimate landslide dam susceptibility. The valley width measurements are automated using a new elevation threshold-based algorithm. Landslide volume is represented as a statistical distribution from mapped landslides. We validate and apply our approach to the Oregon Coast Range, USA and find that 36 % of river stretches exceed a dam potential threshold; these are in river headwaters and steeper terrain, which in this case correlate with more resistant lithologies. We also estimate volumes of the potential dammed lakes and find that most rivers with high dam susceptibility are less likely to impound large lakes because they have low drainage areas. However, widespread susceptibility, and the potential impacts from exceptionally large landslides, suggest that this hazard should be considered in the Pacific Northwest. The damability function workflow can ingest new data and be applied more broadly to assess future landslide dam hazards.

Suggested Citation

Morgan, P.M., Grant, A.R., Struble, W., LaHusen, S.R., and Duvall, A.R., 2026, The damability function: A probabilistic approach to regional landslide dam susceptibility analysis applied to the Oregon Coast Range, USA: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, v. 26, p. 1745-1766, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1745-2026.

Study Area

Publication type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Title The damability function: A probabilistic approach to regional landslide dam susceptibility analysis applied to the Oregon Coast Range, USA
Series title Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
DOI 10.5194/nhess-26-1745-2026
Volume 26
Publication Date April 16, 2026
Year Published 2026
Language English
Publisher European Geosciences Union
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Science Center
Description 22 p.
First page 1745
Last page 1766
Country United States
State Oregon
Other Geospatial Coast Range
Additional publication details