The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 2 (UCERF 2)

Open-File Report 2007-1437
Prepared in cooperation with the California Geological Survey and the Southern California Earthquake Center



California?s 35 million people live among some of the most active earthquake faults in the United States. Public safety demands credible assessments of the earthquake hazard to maintain appropriate building codes for safe construction and earthquake insurance for loss protection. Seismic hazard analysis begins with an earthquake rupture forecast?a model of probabilities that earthquakes of specified magnitudes, locations, and faulting types will occur during a specified time interval. This report describes a new earthquake rupture forecast for California developed by the 2007 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2007).

Study Area

Publication type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Title The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 2 (UCERF 2)
Series title Open-File Report
Series number 2007-1437
DOI 10.3133/ofr20071437
Edition Version 1.0
Year Published 2008
Language English
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Publisher location Reston, VA
Contributing office(s) Earthquake Hazards Program, Earthquake Science Center, Geologic Hazards Science Center
Description Executive Summary; Report; Excel Workbook; 16 Appendixes
Online Only (Y/N) N
Additional Online Files (Y/N) Y
Google Analytic Metrics Metrics page
Additional publication details