A homogeneous stochastic model for earthquake occurrences
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Abstract
The objective of this study is to develop a probabilistic model for earthquake occurrences with temporal and spatial memory. Stochastic processes are used to characterize both the spatial and temporal dependencies of seismic occurrences along a fault. Currently, only homogeneous space and time transitions are considered. The resulting process however is evolutionary and depends on the specific sequence of events over a period of time. The model provides estimates on the cumulative activity of a fault over a future time period. In addition, probabilities of occurrences of individual events along a geologic fault at some specified future time are obtained when a descritized time scale is used. The information from these evaluations is particularly useful in engineering seismic hazard computations and for social and engineering seismic risk assessments.
Suggested Citation
Kiremidjian, A.S., and Anagnos, T., 1980, A homogeneous stochastic model for earthquake occurrences: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 80-1153, v, 41 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr801153.
ISSN: 2331-1258 (online)
| Publication type | Report |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | USGS Numbered Series |
| Title | A homogeneous stochastic model for earthquake occurrences |
| Series title | Open-File Report |
| Series number | 80-1153 |
| DOI | 10.3133/ofr801153 |
| Year Published | 1980 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | U.S. Geological Survey |
| Description | v, 41 p. |