Very‐long‐period (VLP) seismic artifacts during the 2018 caldera collapse at Kīlauea, Hawaii
Ashton F. Flinders, Ingrid A. Johanson, Phillip B. Dawson, Kyle R. Anderson, Matthew M. Haney, Brian Shiro
2020, Seismological Research Letters (91) 3417-3432
Throughout the 2018 eruption of Kīlauea volcano (Hawai‘i), episodic collapses of a portion of the volcano’s summit caldera produced repeated Mw">Mw 4.9–5.3 earthquakes. Each of these 62 events was characterized by a very‐long‐period (VLP)...
How and why is the timing and occurrence of seasonal migrants in the Gulf of Maine changing due to climate?
Adrian Jordaan, Daniel Pendleton, Chris Sutherland, Michelle Staudinger
2020, Report
Plants and animals undergo certain recurring life-cycle events, such as migrations between summer and winter habitats or the annual blooming of plants. Known as phenology, the timing of these events is very sensitive to changes in climate (and changes in one species’ phenology can impact entire food webs and ecosystems)....
Forest bird trends within Haleakala National Park
Kevin W. Brinck
2020, Hawaii Cooperative Studies Unit Technical Report Series 97
In 2017, the comprehensive east Maui bird surveys allowed for an update in status and evaluation of trends in bird populations within Haleakalā National Park. This report describes a finer-scale analysis of the park lands, distinguishing between the upper Kīpahulu Valley plus adjacent high-elevation areas compared to the rest of...
Potential impacts of mercury released from thawing permafrost
Kevin Schaefer, Yasin Elshorbany, Elchin Jafarov, Paul F. Schuster, Robert G. Striegl, Kimberly P. Wickland, Elsie M. Sunderland
2020, Nature-Communications (11)
Mercury (Hg) is a naturally occurring element that bonds with organic matter and, when converted to methylmercury, is a potent neurotoxicant. Here we estimate potential future releases of Hg from thawing permafrost for low and high greenhouse gas emissions scenarios using a mechanistic model. By 2200, the high emissions scenario...
Position-specific distribution of hydrogen isotopes in natural propane: Effects of thermal cracking, equilibration and biodegradation
Hao Xie, Camilo Ponton, Michael Formolo, Michael Lawson, Geoffrey S. Ellis, Michael Lewan, Alexandre A. Ferreira, Erica T. Morais, Andre D. Spigolon, Alex L. Sessions, John M. Eiler
2020, Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta (290) 235-256
Intramolecular isotope distributions, including isotope clumping and position specific fractionation, can provide proxies for the formation temperature and formation and destruction pathways of molecules. In this study, we explore the position-specific hydrogen isotope distribution in propane. We analyzed propane samples from...
Wildfire risk and hazardous fuel reduction treatments along the US-Mexico border: A review of the science (1985-2019)
Katherine M. Laushman, Seth M. Munson, Timothy N. Titus
2020, Air, Soil and Water Research (13)
The ecosystems along the border between the United States and Mexico are at increasing risk to wildfire due to interactions among climate, land-use, and fuel loads. A wide range of fuel treatments have been implemented to mitigate wildfire and its threats to valued resources, yet we have...
Development of a method to identify complex wells and assess the accuracy of basin withdrawals in Utah
Brittany L. Gold, Cory E. Angeroth, Thomas M. Marston
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1106
Power consumption coefficients (PCCs) and dedicated flowmeter records for irrigation wells in three Utah groundwater basins were analyzed to develop a method to better characterize the accuracy of annual groundwater withdrawal estimates. The PCC method has been used by the U.S. Geological Survey in Utah since 1963 as a way...
Rainfall triggers more deep-seated landslides than Cascadia earthquakes in the Oregon Coast Range, USA
Sean R LaHusen, Alison R Duvall, Adam M. Booth, Alex R. Grant, Benjamin A Mishkin, David R. Montgomery, William Struble, Joshua J. Roering, Joseph Wartman
2020, Science Advances (6)
The coastal Pacific Northwest USA hosts thousands of deep-seated landslides. Historic landslides have primarily been triggered by rainfall, but the region is also prone to large earthquakes on the 1100-km-long Cascadia Subduction Zone megathrust. Little is known about the number of landslides triggered by these earthquakes because the last magnitude...
Improving the accessibility and transferability of machine learning algorithms for identification of animals in camera trap images: MLWIC2
Michael A. Tabak, Mohammad S. Norouzzadeh, David W. Wolfson, Erica J. Newton, Raoul K. Boughton, Jacob S. Ivan, Eric Odell, Eric S. Newkirk, Reesa Y. Conrey, Jennifer L. Stenglein, Fabiola Iannarilli, John Erb, Ryan K. Brook, Amy J. Davis, Jesse S. Lewis, Daniel P. Walsh, James C Beasley, Kurt C. Vercauteren, Jeff Clune, Ryan S. Miller
2020, Ecology and Evolution (10) 10374-10383
Motion‐activated wildlife cameras (or “camera traps”) are frequently used to remotely and noninvasively observe animals. The vast number of images collected from camera trap projects has prompted some biologists to employ machine learning algorithms to automatically recognize species in these images, or at least filter‐out images...
Accounting for temporal variability of streamflow in estimates of travel time
Christopher P. Konrad, Noah Schmadel, Judson Harvey, Gregory E. Schwarz, Jesus Gomez-Velez, Elizabeth W. Boyer, Durelle Scott
2020, Frontiers in Water (2)
Retention, processing, and transport of solutes and particulates in stream corridors are influenced by the travel time of streamflow through stream channels, which varies dynamically with discharge. The effects of streamflow variability across sites and over time cannot be addressed by time-averaged models if parameters are based solely on...
Ambrosia beetle (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) communities and frass production in ʻŌhiʻa (Myrtales: Myrtaceae) infected with Ceratocystis (Microascales: Ceratocystidaceae) fungi responsible for Rapid ʻŌhiʻa Death
Kylle Roy, Kelly Jaenecke, Robert W. Peck
2020, Environmental Entomology (49) 1345-1354
Rapid ʻŌhiʻa Death (ROD) is a deadly disease that is threatening the native Hawaiian keystone tree species, ʻōhiʻa lehua (Metrosideros polymorpha Gaudich). Ambrosia beetles (Curculionidae: Scolytinae) and their frass are hypothesized to play a major role in the spread of ROD, although their ecological niches and frass production within trees and...
Distribution and abundance of Aquila chrysaetos (golden eagles) in East Contra Costa County Habitat Conservation Plan/Natural Community Conservation Plan area, California
J. David Wiens, Patrick S. Kolar, Douglas A. Bell
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1107
The East Contra Costa County Habitat Conservation Plan/Natural Community Conservation Plan (HCP/NCCP) Preserve System was designed to protect and enhance ecological diversity and function in eastern Contra Costa County, California. Aquila chrysaetos (golden eagle) is a special-status species expected to benefit from biological goals of the HCP/NCCP. As part of...
Variations in community evacuation potential related to average return periods in probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis
Nathan J. Wood, Jeff Peters, Rick I. Wilson, Jason T. Sherba, Kevin Henry
2020, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (50)
Tsunami risk management requires strategies that can address multiple sources with different recurrence intervals, wave-arrival times, and inundation extents. Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) provides a structured way to integrate multiple sources, including the uncertainties due to the natural variability and...
Estimating response distances of lesser prairie-chickens to anthropogenic features during long-distance movements
Jacob M. Peterson, Julia E. Earl, Samuel D. Fuhlendorf, Dwayne Elmore, David A. Haukos, Ashley M. Tanner, Scott A. Carleton
2020, Ecosphere (11)
Spatially distributed populations often rely on large-scale processes for long-term population stability. These processes are driven by individuals moving across the landscape through long-distance dispersal movements. However, as landscapes are continually altered by anthropogenic development, increased fragmentation and avoidance behavior can affect landscape permeability and limit dispersal. Lesser prairie-chickens (Tympanuchus...
Modeling the spatial dynamics of marsh ponds in New England salt marshes
G. Mariotti, A. Spivak, S.Y. Luk, G. Ceccherini, M. Tyrrell, Meagan Gonneea Eagle
2020, Geomorphology (365)
Ponds are common features on salt marshes, yet it is unclear how they affect large-scale marsh evolution. We developed a spatially explicit model that combines cellular automata for pond formation, expansion, and drainage, and partial differential equations for elevation dynamics. We...
Scenarios for valuing sample information in natural resources
Byron K. Williams, Ellie Brown
2020, Methods in Ecology and Evolution (11) 1534-1549
Uncertainty is ubiquitous in natural resource systems, science and management. Sample data are obtained in order to reduce uncertainty, thereby increasing knowledge and improving resource management, but sampling always comes at a cost of some sort. Is that cost worthwhile? Analysis of the value of sample information (VSI) addresses...
Development and validation of the CHIRTS-daily quasi-global high-resolution daily temperature data set
Andrew Verdin, Chris Funk, Pete Peterson, Martin Landsfeld, Cascade Tuholske, Kathryn Grace
2020, Scientific Data (7)
We present a high-resolution daily temperature data set, CHIRTS-daily, which is derived by merging the monthly Climate Hazards center InfraRed Temperature with Stations climate record with daily temperatures from version 5 of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis. We demonstrate that remotely sensed temperature estimates may more closely...
Land-use change and future water demand in California’s central coast
Tamara Wilson, Nathan D. Van Schmidt, Ruth Langridge
2020, Land (9) 322-343
Understanding future land-use related water demand is important for planners and resource managers in identifying potential shortages and crafting mitigation strategies. This is especially the case for regions dependent on limited local groundwater supplies. For the groundwater dependent Central Coast of California, we developed two scenarios of future land use...
Using boosted regression tree models to predict salinity in Mississippi embayment aquifers, central United States
Katherine J. Knierim, James A. Kingsbury, Connor J. Haugh, Katherine Marie Ransom
2020, Journal of American Water Resources Association (56) 1029
High salinity limits groundwater use in parts of the Mississippi embayment. Machine learning was used to create spatially continuous and three‐dimensional predictions of salinity across drinking‐water aquifers in the embayment. Boosted regression tree (BRT) models, a type of machine learning, were used to predict specific conductance (SC) and chloride (Cl),...
The roles of storminess and sea level rise in decadal barrier island evolution
Davina Passeri, P. Soupy Dalyander, Joseph W. Long, Rangley C. Mickey, Robert L. Jenkins III, David M. Thompson, Nathaniel G. Plant, Elizabeth Godsey, Victor Gonzalez
2020, Geophysical Research Letters (47)
Models of alongshore sediment transport during quiescent conditions, storm‐driven barrier island morphology, and poststorm dune recovery are integrated to assess decadal barrier island evolution under scenarios of increased sea levels and variability in storminess (intensity and frequency). Model results indicate barrier island response regimes of keeping pace, narrowing, flattening, deflation...
Hydro-climatic drought in the Delaware River Basin
Gregory J. McCabe, David M. Wolock
2020, Journal of the American Water Resources Association (56) 981-994
The Delaware River Basin (DRB) supplies water to approximately 15 million people and is essential to agriculture and industry. In this study, a monthly water balance model is used to compute monthly water balance components (i.e., potential evapotranspiration, actual evapotranspiration, and runoff [R]) for the DRB...
Geomagnetism Program research plan, 2020–2024
Jeffrey J. Love, Anna Kelbert, Benjamin S. Murphy, E. Joshua Rigler, Kristen A. Lewis
2020, Circular 1469
The Geomagnetism Program of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) monitors geomagnetic field variation through operation of a network of observatories across the United States and its territories, and it pursues scientific research needed to estimate and assess geomagnetic and geoelectric hazards. Over the next five years (2020–2024 inclusive) and in...
Habitat suitability and ecological associations of two non-native ungulate species on the Hawaiian island of Lanai
Steve C. Hess, Lucas Fortini, Christina Leopold, Jacob Muise, Jonathan Sprague
2020, Hawaii Cooperative Studies Unit Technical Report Series 91
The ability to effectively manage game species for specific conservation objectives is often limited by the scientific understanding of their distribution and abundance. This is especially true in Hawai‘i where introduced game mammals are poorly studied and have low value relative to native species in other states. We modeled the...
Testing a new passive acoustic recording unit to monitor wolves
Shannon Barber-Meyer, Vicente Palacios, Barbara Marti‐Domken, Lori Schmidt
2020, Wildlife Society Bulletin (44) 590-598
As part of a broader trial of noninvasive methods to research wild wolves (Canis lupus) in Minnesota, USA, we explored whether wolves could be remotely monitored using a new, inexpensive, remotely deployable, noninvasive, passive acoustic recording device, the AudioMoth. We tested the efficacy of AudioMoths in detecting wolf howls and...
What are the effects of climate variability and change on ungulate life-histories, population dynamics, and migration in western North America? A systematic map protocol
Kate Malpeli, Sarah R. Weiskopf, Laura Thompson, Amanda R. Hardy
2020, Environmental Evidence (9)
Climate is an important driver of ungulate life-histories, population dynamics, and migratory behaviors, and can affect the growth, development, fecundity, dispersal, and demographic trends of populations. Changes in temperature and precipitation, and resulting shifts in plant phenology, winter severity, drought and wildfire conditions, invasive species distribution and abundance, predation, and...