Consistent response of bird populations to climate change on two continents
Philip A. Stephens, Lucy R. Mason, Rhys E. Green, Richard D. Gregory, John R. Sauer, Jamie Alison, Ainars Aunins, Lluis Brotons, Stuart H.M. Butchart, Tommaso Campedelli, Tomasz Chodkiewicz, Przemyslaw Chylarecki, Olivia Crowe, Jaanus Elts, Virginia Escandell, Ruud P.B. Foppen, Henning Heldbjerg, Sergi Herrando, Magne Husby, Frederic Jiguet, Aleksi Lehikoinen, Ake Lindstrom, David G. Noble, Jean-Yves Paquet, Jiri Reif, Thomas Sattler, Tibor Szep, Norbert Teufelbauer, Sven Trautmann, Arco Van Strien, Chris van Turnhout, Petr Vorisek, Stephen G. Willis
2016, Science (352) 84-87
Global climate change is a major threat to biodiversity. Large-scale analyses have generally focused on the impacts of climate change on the geographic ranges of species and on phenology, the timing of ecological phenomena. We used long-term monitoring of the abundance of breeding birds across Europe and the United States...
Uncertainty in tsunami sediment transport modeling
Bruce E. Jaffe, Kazuhisa Goto, Daisuke Sugawara, Guy R. Gelfenbaum, SeanPaul M. La Selle
2016, Journal of Disaster Research (11) 647-661
Erosion and deposition from tsunamis record information about tsunami hydrodynamics and size that can be interpreted to improve tsunami hazard assessment. We explore sources and methods for quantifying uncertainty in tsunami sediment transport modeling. Uncertainty varies with tsunami, study site, available input data, sediment grain size, and model. Although uncertainty...
Contemporary deposition and long-term accumulation of sediment and nutrients by tidal freshwater forested wetlands impacted by sea level rise
Gregory E. Noe, Cliff R. Hupp, Christopher E. Bernhardt, Ken W. Krauss
2016, Estuaries and Coasts (39) 1006-1019
Contemporary deposition (artificial marker horizon, 3.5 years) and long-term accumulation rates (210Pb profiles, ~150 years) of sediment and associated carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P) were measured in wetlands along the tidal Savannah and Waccamaw rivers in the southeastern USA. Four sites along each river spanned an upstream-to-downstream salinification gradient, from...
Land-use change reduces habitat suitability for supporting managed honey bee colonies in the Northern Great Plains
Clint Otto, Cali L. Roth, Benjamin Carlson, Matthew Smart
2016, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (113) 10430-10435
Human reliance on insect pollination services continues to increase even as pollinator populations exhibit global declines. Increased commodity crop prices and federal subsidies for biofuel crops, such as corn and soybeans, have contributed to rapid land-use change in the US Northern Great Plains (NGP), changes that may jeopardize habitat for...
Organic-matter retention and macroinvertebrate utilization of seasonally inundated bryophytes in a mid-order Piedmont River
James Wood, Meryom Pattillo, Mary Freeman
2016, Southeastern Naturalist (15) 403-414
There is increased understanding of the role of bryophytes in supporting invertebrate biomass and for their influence on nutrient cycling and carbon balance in aquatic systems, but the structural and functional role of bryophytes growing in seasonally inundated habitats is substantially less studied. We conducted a study on the Middle...
Testing the apparent resistance of three dominant plants to chronic drought on the Colorado Plateau
David L. Hoover, Michael C. Duniway, Jayne Belnap
2016, Journal of Ecology (105) 152-162
Many drylands, including the south-western United States, are projected to become more water-limited as these regions become warmer and drier with climate change. Such chronic drought may push individual species or plant functional types beyond key thresholds leading to reduced growth or even mortality. Indeed, recent observational...
Detecting failure of climate predictions
Michael C. Runge, Julienne C. Stroeve, Andrew P. Barrett, Eve McDonald-Madden
2016, Nature Climate Change (6) 861-864
The practical consequences of climate change challenge society to formulate responses that are more suited to achieving long-term objectives, even if those responses have to be made in the face of uncertainty<a id="ref-link-2" title="McDonald-Madden, E., Runge, M. C., Martin, T. G. & Possingham, H. Optimal timing for managed relocation of...
Estimating indices of range shifts in birds using dynamic models when detection is imperfect
Matthew J. Clement, James E. Hines, James D. Nichols, Keith L. Pardieck, David J. Ziolkowski Jr.
2016, Global Change Biology (22) 3273-3285
There is intense interest in basic and applied ecology about the effect of global change on current and future species distributions. Projections based on widely used static modeling methods implicitly assume that species are in equilibrium with the environment and that detection during surveys is perfect. We used multiseason correlated...
Experience drives innovation of new migration patterns of whooping cranes in response to global change
Claire S. Teitelbaum, Sarah J. Converse, William F. Fagan, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Robert B. O’Hara, Anne E Lacy, Thomas Mueller
2016, Nature Communications (7) 1-7
Anthropogenic changes in climate and land use are driving changes in migration patterns of birds worldwide. Spatial changes in migration have been related to long-term temperature trends, but the intrinsic mechanisms by which migratory species adapt to environmental change remain largely unexplored. We show that, for a long-lived social species,...
Effects of coded-wire-tagging on stream-dwelling Sea Lamprey larvae
Nicholas S. Johnson, William D. Swink, Heather A. Dawson, Michael L. Jones
2016, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (36) 1059-1067
The effects of coded wire tagging Sea Lamprey Petromyzon marinus larvae from a known-aged stream-dwelling population were assessed. Tagged larvae were significantly shorter on average than untagged larvae from 3 to 18 months after tagging. However, 30 months after tagging, the length distribution of tagged and untagged larvae did not...
Assessing range-wide habitat suitability for the Lesser Prairie-Chicken
Catherine S. Jarnevich, Tracy R. Holcombe, Blake A. Grisham, Jennifer M. Timmer, Clint W. Boal, Matthew Butler, James C. Pitman, Sean Kyle, David Klute, Grant M. Beauprez, Allan Janus, William E. Van Pelt
2016, Avian Conservation and Ecology (11)
Population declines of many wildlife species have been linked to habitat loss incurred through land-use change. Incorporation of conservation planning into development planning may mitigate these impacts. The threatened Lesser Prairie-Chicken (Tympanuchus pallidicinctus) is experiencing loss of native habitat and high levels of energy development across its multijurisdictional range. Our...
Detection of spring viraemia of carp virus in imported amphibians reveals an unanticipated foreign animal disease threat
S. Ip, Jeffrey M. Lorch, David S. Blehert
2016, Emerging Microbes & Infections (5)
Global translocation of plants and animals is a well-recognized mechanism for introduction of pathogens into new regions. To mitigate this risk, various tools such as preshipment health certificates, quarantines, screening for specific disease agents and outright bans have been implemented. However, such measures only target known infectious agents and their...
Acquisition of a unique onshore/offshore geophysical and geochemical dataset in the Northern Malawi (Nyasa) Rift
Donna J. Shillington, J. B. Gaherty, Cynthia J. Ebinger, Christopher A. Scholz, Kate Selway, Andrew A. Nyblade, Paul A. Bedrosian, Cornelia Class, Scott Nooner, Matthew E. Pritchard, Julie L. Elliott, Patrick R. N. Chindandali, Gaby Mbogoni, Richard Wambura Ferdinand, Nelson Boniface, Shukrani Manya, Godson Kamihanda, Elifuraha Saria, Gabriel Mulibo, Jalf Salima, Abdul Mruma, Leonard Kalindekafe, Natalie J. Accardo, Ntambila Daud, Marsella Kachingwe, Gary T. Mesko, Tannis McCartney, Melania Maquay, J. P. O’Donnell, Gabrielle Tepp, Khalfan Mtelela, Per Trinhammer, Douglas Wood, Ernest Aaron, Mark Gibaud, Martin Rapa, Cathy Pfeifer, Felix Mphepo, Duncan Gondwe, Gabriella Arroyo, Celia Eddy
2016, Seismological Research Letters (87) 1406-1416
The Study of Extension and maGmatism in Malawi aNd Tanzania (SEGMeNT) project acquired a comprehensive suite of geophysical and geochemical datasets across the northern Malawi (Nyasa) rift in the East Africa rift system. Onshore/offshore active and passive seismic data, long‐period and wideband magnetotelluric data, continuous Global Positioning System data, and...
Quality of surface-water supplies in the Triangle Area of North Carolina, water years 2012–13
C.A. Pfeifle, J.L. Cain, R.B. Rasmussen
2016, Open-File Report 2016-1137
Surface-water supplies are important sources of drinking water for residents in the Triangle area of North Carolina, which is located within the upper Cape Fear and Neuse River Basins. Since 1988, the U.S. Geological Survey and a consortium of local governments have tracked water-quality conditions and trends in several of...
History of U.S. Geological Survey streamgaging on the Souris River in and near Minot, North Dakota, 1903–2016
Kevin K. Baker, Steven M. Robinson
2016, Fact Sheet 2016-3061
The U.S. Geological Survey began collecting streamflow data, in cooperation with the North Dakota State Water Commission, on the Souris River in and near Minot, North Dakota, in April 1903. The gage was started up to better understand the water resources available in North Dakota. Currently (2016), water availability is...
Evolution of 'smoke' induced seed germination in pyroendemic plants
J. E. Keeley, J.G. Pausas
2016, South African Journal of Botany
Pyroendemics are plants in which seedling germination and successful seedling recruitment are restricted to immediate postfire environments. In many fire-prone ecosystems species cue their germination to immediate postfire conditions. Here we address how species have evolved one very specific mechanism, which is using the signal of combustion products from biomass....
Desert Scrublands
L.L.C. Jones, K.J. Halama, R.E. Lovich, editor(s)
2016, Book chapter, Habitat management guidelines for reptiles and amphibians of the southwestern United States. Technical Publication HMG-5
Desert scrublands comprise the lower to mid-elevation portions of four different ecosystems including the Chihuahuan, Great Basin, Mojave and Sonoran Deserts. Together the area inside their outer boundaries includes over 8% of the surface area of the United States. Despite significant differences in the flora and fauna of these bioregions...
Technical Note: Harmonizing met-ocean model data via standard web services within small research groups
Richard P. Signell, E. Camossi
2016, Ocean science and engineering (12) 633-645
Work over the last decade has resulted in standardised web services and tools that can significantly improve the efficiency and effectiveness of working with meteorological and ocean model data. While many operational modelling centres have enabled query and access to data via common web services, most small research groups have...
Science center capabilities to monitor and investigate Michigan’s water resources, 2016
Julia A. Giesen, Carrie E. Givens
2016, Fact Sheet 2016-3064
Michigan faces many challenges related to water resources, including flooding, drought, water-quality degradation and impairment, varying water availability, watershed-management issues, stormwater management, aquatic-ecosystem impairment, and invasive species. Michigan’s water resources include approximately 36,000 miles of streams, over 11,000 inland lakes, 3,000 miles of shoreline along the Great Lakes (MDEQ, 2016),...
Changing times, changing stories: Generational differences in climate change perspectives from four remote indigenous communities in Subarctic Alaska
Nicole M. Herman-Mercer, Elli Matkin, Melinda J. Laituri, Ryan C. Toohey, Maggie Massey, Kelly Elder, Paul F. Schuster, Edda A. Mutter
2016, Ecology and Society (21)
Indigenous Arctic and Subarctic communities currently are facing a myriad of social and environmental changes. In response to these changes, studies concerning indigenous knowledge (IK) and climate change vulnerability, resiliency, and adaptation have increased dramatically in recent years. Risks to lives and livelihoods are often the focus of adaptation research;...
Holocene paleoclimate inferred from salinity histories of adjacent lakes in southwestern Sicily (Italy)
B Brandon Curry, Paul D. Henne, Francesc Mezquita-Joanes, Federico Marrone, Valentina Pieri, Tommaso La Mantia, Camilla Calo, Willy Tinner
2016, Quaternary Science Reviews (150) 67-83
Marked uncertainties persist regarding the climatic evolution of the Mediterranean region during the Holocene. For instance, whether moisture availability gradually decreased, remained relatively constant, or increased during the last 7000 years remains a matter of debate. To assess Holocene limnology, hydrology and moisture dynamics, the coastal lakes Lago Preola and...
Submarine landslides in Arctic sedimentation: Canada Basin
David C. Mosher, John Shimeld, Deborah R. Hutchinson, N Lebedova-Ivanova, C. Chapman
2016, Book chapter, Submarine mass movements and their consequences
Canada Basin of the Arctic Ocean is the least studied ocean basin in the World. Marine seismic field programs were conducted over the past 6 years using Canadian and American icebreakers. These expeditions acquired more than 14,000 line-km of multibeam bathymetric and multi-channel seismic reflection data over abyssal plain, continental...
Metformin and other pharmaceuticals widespread in wadeable streams of the southeastern United States
Paul M. Bradley, Celeste A. Journey, Daniel T. Button, Daren M. Carlisle, Jimmy M. Clark, Barbara Mahler, Naomi Nakagaki, Sharon L. Qi, Ian R. Waite, Peter C. Van Metre
2016, Environmental Science & Technology Letters (3) 243-249
Pharmaceutical contaminants are growing aquatic-health concerns and largely attributed to wastewater treatment facility (WWTF) discharges. Five biweekly water samples from 59 small Piedmont (United States) streams were analyzed for 108 pharmaceuticals and degradates using high-performance liquid chromatography and tandem mass spectrometry. The antidiabetic metformin was detected in 89% of samples...
A python framework for environmental model uncertainty analysis
Jeremy T. White, Michael N. Fienen, John E. Doherty
2016, Environmental Modelling and Software (85) 217-228
We have developed pyEMU, a python framework for Environmental Modeling Uncertainty analyses, open-source tool that is non-intrusive, easy-to-use, computationally efficient, and scalable to highly-parameterized inverse problems. The framework implements several types of linear (first-order, second-moment (FOSM)) and non-linear uncertainty analyses. The FOSM-based analyses can also be completed prior to parameter...
Sex differences in contaminant concentrations of fish: a synthesis
Charles P. Madenjian, Richard R. Rediske, David P. Krabbenhoft, Martin A. Stapanian, Sergei M. Chernyak, James P. O'Keefe
2016, Biology of Sex Differences (7) 1-16
Comparison of whole-fish polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) and total mercury (Hg) concentrations in mature males with those in mature females may provide insights into sex differences in behavior, metabolism, and other physiological processes. In eight species of fish, we observed that males exceeded females in whole-fish PCB concentration by 17...
