The 2017-19 activity at Mount Agung in Bali (Indonesia): Intense unrest, monitoring, crisis response, evacuation, and eruption
D.K. Syahbana, K. Kasbani, G. Suantika, O. Prambada, A. Andreas, U. Saing, S. Kunrat, S.L. Andreastuti, S. Martanto, E. Kriswati, Y. Suparman, H. Humaida, Sarah E. Ogburn, Peter J. Kelly, John Wellik, Heather Wright, Jeremy D. Pesicek, Rick Wessels, Christoph Kern, Michael Lisowski, Angela K. Diefenbach, Michael P. Poland, Francois Beauducel, R. Greg Vaughan, John S. Pallister, Jacob B. Lowenstern
2019, Scientific Reports (9)
After 53 years of quiescence, Mount Agung awoke in August 2017, with intense seismicity, measurable ground deformation, and thermal anomalies in the summit crater. Although the seismic unrest peaked in late September and early October, the volcano did not start erupting until 21 November....
Extreme site fidelity as an optimal strategy in an unpredictable and homogeneous environment
Brian D. Gerber, Mevin Hooten, Christopher P. Peck, Mindy B. Rice, James H. Gammonley, Anthony D. Apa, Amy J. Davis
2019, Functional Ecology (33) 1695-1707
1.Animal site fidelity structures space use, population demography and ultimately gene flow. Understanding the adaptive selection for site fidelity patterns provides a mechanistic understanding to both spatial and population processes. This can be achieved by linking space use with environmental variability (spatial and temporal) and demographic parameters. However, rarely is...
Simulation of water availability in the Southeastern United States for historical and potential future climate and land-cover conditions
Jacob H. LaFontaine, Rheannon M. Hart, Lauren E. Hay, William H. Farmer, Andy R. Bock, Roland J. Viger, Steven L. Markstrom, R. Steve Regan, Jessica M. Driscoll
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5039
A study was conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperative (GCPO LCC) and the Department of the Interior Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, to evaluate the hydrologic response of a daily time step hydrologic model to historical observations...
Development of a flood-inundation map library and precipitation-runoff modeling for the Clear Fork Mohican River in and near Bellville, Ohio
Chad J. Ostheimer, Carrie A. Huitger
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5017
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Muskingum Watershed Conservancy District, led hydrologic and hydraulic analyses within the Clear Fork Mohican River Basin in and near Bellville, Ohio. The analyses included the development of digital flood-inundation maps for an approximately 2.5-mile reach of the Clear Fork Mohican River...
Modulation of seismic activity in Kīlauea’s Upper East Rift Zone by summit pressurization
Christelle Wauthier, Diana C. Roman, Michael P. Poland
2019, Geology
Kīlauea Volcano is underlain by a complex, laterally-extensive magmatic plumbing system. Although in recent decades it has mainly erupted through vents along the middle East Rift Zone and summit caldera, eruptions can occur anywhere along its two laterally extensive rift zones, as demonstrated by the dramatic eruptive activity of 2018....
Widespread initiation, reactivation, and acceleration of landslides in the northern California Coast Ranges due to extreme rainfall
Alexander L. Handwerger, Eric J. Fielding, Mong-Han Huang, Georgina L. Bennett, Cunren Liang, William H. Schulz
2019, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface (24) 1782-1797
Episodically to continuously active slow-moving landslides are driven by precipitation. Climate change, which is altering both the frequency and magnitude of precipitation world21 wide, is therefore predicted to have a major impact on landslides. Here we examine the behavior of hundreds of slow-moving landslides in northern California in response to large...
Wildlife value orientation of landowners from five states in the upper midwest, USA
Larry M. Gigliotti, Lily A. Sweikert
2019, Human Dimensions of Wildlife (24) 433-445
Five Upper Midwest states (Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Minnesota, Iowa) participated in a Plains and Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative (PPP-LCC) funded survey of landowners. All five surveys included a 13-item wildlife value orientation (WVO) scale to provide insight into how landowners in this region make land...
Overlap of Pink-footed Shearwaters and central Chilean purse-seine fisheries: Implications for bycatch risk
Ryan D. Carle, Jonathan J. Felis, Rodrigo Vega, Jessie Beck, Josh Adams, Veronica Lopez, Peter J. Hodum, Andres Gonzalez, Valentina Colodro, Tiare Varela
2019, The Condor (121)
Understanding susceptibility of seabirds to fisheries bycatch requires quantifying overlap of seabird at-sea habitat with fisheries’ distribution and effort. Pink-footed Shearwaters (Ardenna creatopus) are vulnerable seabirds that breed only in Chile. Recently, high rates of Pink-footed Shearwater bycatch (i.e. >1,500 observed mortalities 2015–2017) were documented by observers in central Chilean...
USGS critical minerals review
Steven M. Fortier, Jane M. Hammarstrom, Sarah J. Ryker, Warren C. Day, Robert R. Seal, II
2019, Mining Engineering (71) 35-47
The United States’ supply of critical minerals has been a concern and a source of potential strategic vulnerabilities for U.S. economic and national security interests for decades (for example, see Strategic and Critical Minerals Stockpiling Act, 1939). More recently, with the rapid increase in the types of materials being used...
Ten-million years of activity within the Eastern California Shear Zone from U-Pb dating of fault-zone opal
Perach Nuriel, David M. Miller, Kevin M. Schmidt, Matthew A. Coble, Kate Maher
2019, Earth and Planetary Science Letters (521) 37-45
Reconstructions of long-term fault activity are essential for understanding both the mechanisms controlling fault behavior and accurate earthquake hazard assessments. Increasing evidence for temporal variations in strain accumulation suggests non-uniform strain rates over a range of historic to geologic timescales. The paucity of long-term records of fault activity has limited...
Monitoring protocol development and assessment for narrowly endemic toads in Nevada, 2018
Brian J. Halstead, Patrick M. Kleeman, Adam Duarte, Jonathan P. Rose, Kris Urquhart, Chad Mellison, Kevin Guadalupe, Melanie Cota, Rachel Van Horne, Alexa Killion, Kelsey Ruehling
2019, Open-File Report 2019-1067
Several species and subspecies of toads are endemic to small spring systems in the Great Basin, and their restricted ranges and habitat extent make them vulnerable to environmental perturbations. Very little is known about several of these toad populations, so a group of stakeholders including the U.S. Geological Survey, U.S....
iCoast – Did the Coast Change?: Storm-impact model verification using citizen scientists
Karen L. M. Morgan, Nathaniel G. Plant, Hilary F. Stockdon, Richard J. Snell
2019, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 9th International Conference Coastal Sediments 2019
The USGS provides model predictions of severe storm impacts prior to landfall based on pre-storm morphology and predicted total water levels, including waves and surge. Presented in near real time on the USGS Coastal Change Hazard Portal, they provide coastal residents, scientists, and emergency managers valuable coastal response information. iCoast...
Event detection performance of the PLUM earthquake early warning algorithm in southern California
Elizabeth S. Cochran, Julian Bunn, Sarah E. Minson, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Deborah L. Kilb, Y. Kodera, Mitsuyuki Hoshiba
2019, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (109) 1524-1541
We test the Japanese ground‐motion‐based earthquake early warning (EEW) algorithm, propagation of local undamped motion (PLUM), in southern California with application to the U.S. ShakeAlert system. In late 2018, ShakeAlert began limited public alerting in Los Angeles to areas of expected modified Mercalli intensity (IMMI) 4.0+ for magnitude 5.0+ earthquakes....
Response of water chemistry and young-of-year brook trout to channel and watershed liming in streams showing lagging recovery from acidic deposition
Daniel C Josephson, Gregory B. Lawrence, Scott D. George, Jason Siemion, Barry P. Baldigo, Clifford E. Kraft
2019, Water, Air, & Soil Pollution (230)
Reductions in sulfur emissions have initiated chemical recovery of surface waters impacted by acidic deposition in the Adirondack region of New York State. However, acidified streams remain common in the region, which limits recovery of brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) populations. To investigate liming as a method to accelerate recovery of...
Summary of climatic, geographic, geologic, and available hydrologic data and identification of data gaps for the Black Bear Creek watershed of the Pawnee Nation Tribal Jurisdictional Area, Oklahoma
Matthew S. Varonka
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5043
The Pawnee Nation is compiling a comprehensive water-management plan for the Pawnee Nation Tribal Jurisdictional Area in north-central Oklahoma. One of the first steps needed in preparing such a plan is a summary and analysis of available hydrologic data and reports that have been published for the area. In phase...
Seasonal occurrence and abundance of dabbling ducks across the continental United States: Joint spatio-temporal modelling for the Genus Anas
John M. Humphreys, Jennifer L. Murrow, Jeffery D. Sullivan, Diann Prosser
2019, Diversity and Distributions (25) 1497-1508
Estimating the distribution and abundance of wildlife is an essential task in species conservation, wildlife management and habitat prioritization. Although a host of methods and tools have been proposed to accomplish this undertaking, several challenges remain in accurately forecasting occurrence and abundance for highly mobile species. Exhibiting extensive geographic ranges...
Negative impacts of summer heat on Sierra Nevada tree seedlings
Emily V. Moran, Adrian J. Das, Jon Keeley, Nathan L. Stephenson
2019, Ecosphere (10)
Understanding the response of forests to climate change is important for predicting changes in biodiversity and ecosystem services, including carbon storage. Seedlings represent a key demographic stage in these responses, because seedling establishment is necessary for population persistence and spread, and because the conditions allowing seedlings to survive and grow...
Land-use change and the ecological consequences of personality in small mammals
Allison M. Brehm, Alessio Mortelliti, George A. Maynard, Joseph D. Zydlewski
2019, Ecology Letters (22) 1387-1395
Many plants rely on animals for seed dispersal, but are all individuals equally effective at dispersing seeds? If not, then the loss of certain individual dispersers from populations could have cascade effects on ecosystems. Despite the importance of seed dispersal for forest ecosystems, variation among individual...
Reserve design to optimize functional connectivity and animal density
Amrita Gupta, Bistra Dilkina, Dana Morin, Angela K. Fuller, Andy Royle, Chris Sutherland, Carla Gomes
2019, Conservation Biology (35) 1023-1034
Ecological distance-based spatial capture–recapture models (SCR) are a promising approach for simultaneously estimating animal density and connectivity, both of which affect spatial population processes and ultimately species persistence. We explored how SCR models can be integrated into reserve-design frameworks that explicitly acknowledge both the spatial distribution of individuals and their...
Spatial patterns of meadow sensitivities to interannual climate variability in the Sierra Nevada
Christine M. Albano, Meredith L. McClure, Shana E. Gross, Wesley Kitlasten, Christopher Soulard, Charles Morton, Justin Huntington
2019, Ecohydrology (12)
Conservation of montane meadows is a high priority for land and water managers given their critical role in buffering the effects of climate variability and their vulnerability to increasing temperatures and evaporative demands. Recent advances in cloud computing have provided new opportunities to examine ecological responses to climate variability over...
Source-dependent amplification of earthquake ground motions in deep sedimentary basins
Erin A. Wirth, John E. Vidale, Arthur D. Frankel, Thomas L. Pratt
2019, Geophysical Research Letters (46) 6443-6450
Deep sedimentary basins amplify long-period shaking from seismic waves, increasing the seismic hazard for cities within such basins. We perform 3-D simulations of point source earthquakes distributed around the Seattle and Tacoma basins in Washington State, to examine the dependence of basin amplification on source azimuth, depth, and earthquake type....
2019 Joint Agency Commercial Imagery Evaluation—Land remote sensing satellite compendium
Jon Christopherson, Shankar N. Ramaseri Chandra, Joel Q. Quanbeck
2019, Circular 1455
The Joint Agency Commercial Imagery Evaluation (JACIE) is a collaboration between five Federal agencies that are major users and producers of satellite land remote sensing data. In recent years, the JACIE group has observed ever-increasing numbers of remote sensing satellites being launched. This rapidly growing wave of new systems creates...
Monitoring storm tide from Hurricane Michael along the northwest coast of Florida, October 2018
Michael J. Byrne Sr.
2019, Open-File Report 2019-1059
Hurricane Michael made landfall near Mexico Beach and Tyndall Air Force Base in the Florida Panhandle, with maximum sustained winds over 160 miles per hour, on October 10, 2018. The maximum recorded storm tide was 15.55 feet above the North American Vertical Datum of 1988 (NAVD 88). The elevation of...
Great Lakes Cladophora harbors phylogenetically diverse nitrogen-fixing microorganims
Muruleedhara Byappanahalli, Meredith Nevers, Katarzyna Przybyla-Kelly, Satoshi Ishii, Timothy L. King, Aaron Aunins
2019, Environmental DNA (1) 186-195
Abstract Nitrogen‐fixing microorganisms are among the epiphytic communities in Cladophora, potentially benefitting the algae in nutrient‐deficient waters, but their abundance and diversity remain unexplored. In this study, we determined the abundance and taxonomic composition of these nitrogen‐fixing microorganisms in Cladophora growing on rocks, breakwall structures, or submerged dreissenid mussel beds around...
Transient population dynamics impede restoration and may promote ecosystem transformation after disturbance
Robert K. Shriver, Caitlin M. Andrews, Robert Arkle, David Barnard, Michael C. Duniway, Matthew J. Germino, David S. Pilliod, David A. Pyke, Justin L. Welty, John B. Bradford
2019, Ecology Letters (22) 1357-1366
The apparent failure of ecosystems to recover from increasingly widespread disturbance is a global concern. Despite growing focus on factors inhibiting resilience and restoration, we still know very little about how demographic and population processes influence recovery. Using inverse and forward demographic modelling of 531 post‐fire...