Robust and resistant semivariogram modelling using a generalized bootstrap
Ricardo A. Olea, E. Pardo-Iguzquiza, P. A. Dowd
2015, Journal of the Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (115) 37-44
The bootstrap is a computer-intensive resampling method for estimatingthe uncertainty of complex statistical models. We expand on anapplication of the bootstrap for inferring semivariogram parameters andtheir uncertainty. The model fitted to the median of the bootstrap distributionof the experimental semivariogram is proposed as an estimator ofthe semivariogram. The proposed application...
Sequential decision making in computational sustainability via adaptive submodularity
Andreas Krause, Daniel Golovin, Sarah J. Converse
2015, AI Magazine (35) 8-18
Many problems in computational sustainability require making a sequence of decisions in complex, uncertain environments. Such problems are generally notoriously difficult. In this article, we review the recently discovered notion of adaptive submodularity, an intuitive diminishing returns condition that generalizes the classical notion of submodular set functions to sequential decision...
Climatic controls of aboveground net primary production in semi-arid grasslands along a latitudinal gradient portend low sensitivity to warming
Whitney Mowll, Dana M. Blumenthal, Karie Cherwin, Anine Smith, Amy J. Symstad, Lance Vermeire, Scott L. Collins, Melinda D. Smith, Alan K. Knapp
2015, Oecologia (177) 959-969
Although climate models forecast warmer temperatures with a high degree of certainty, precipitation is the primary driver of aboveground net primary production (ANPP) in most grasslands. Conversely, variations in temperature seldom are related to patterns of ANPP. Thus forecasting responses to warming is a challenge, and raises the question: how...
Density dependence and phenological mismatch: consequences for growth and survival of sub-arctic nesting Canada Geese
Rodney W. Brook, James O. Leafloor, David C. Douglas, Kenneth F. Abraham
2015, Avian Conservation and Ecology (10) 1-15
The extent to which species are plastic in the timing of their reproductive events relative to phenology suggests how change might affect their demography. An ecological mismatch between the timing of hatch for avian species and the peak availability in quality and quantity of forage for rapidly growing offspring might...
Causal factors for seismicity near Azle, Texas
Matthew J. Hornbach, Heather R. DeShon, William L. Ellsworth, Brian W. Stump, Chris Hayward, Cliff Frohlich, Harrison R. Oldham, Jon E. Olson, M. Beatrice Magnani, Casey Brokaw, James H. Luetgert
2015, Nature Communications (6) 1-11
In November 2013, a series of earthquakes began along a mapped ancient fault system near Azle, Texas. Here we assess whether it is plausible that human activity caused these earthquakes. Analysis of both lake and groundwater variations near Azle shows that no significant stress changes were associated with the shallow...
Cokriging of compositional balances including a dimension reduction and retrieval of original units
V. Pawlowsky-Glahn, J. J. Egozcue, Ricardo A. Olea, E Pardo-Igúzquiza
2015, Journal of the Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (115) 59-72
Compositional data constitutes a special class of quantitative measurements involving parts of a whole. The sample space has an algebraic-geometric structure different from that of real-valued data. A subcomposition is a subset of all possible parts. When compositional data values include geographical locations, they are also regionalized variables. In the...
Foraging habits in a generalist predator: sex and age influence habitat selection and resource use among bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus)
Sam Rossman, Elizabeth Berens McCabe, Nelio B. Barros, Hasand Gandhi, Peggy H. Ostrom, Craig A. Stricker, Randall S. Wells
2015, Marine Mammal Science (31) 155-168
This study examines resource use (diet, habitat use, and trophic level) within and among demographic groups (males, females, and juveniles) of bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus). We analyzed the δ13C and δ15N values of 15 prey species constituting 84% of the species found in stomach contents. We used these data to...
Modelling the effects of seasonality and socioeconomic impact on the transmission of Rift Valley fever virus
Yanyu Xiao, John C. Beier, Robert Stephen Cantrell, Chris Cosner, Donald L. DeAngelis, Shigui Ruan
2015, PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases (9)
Rift Valley fever (RVF) is an important mosquito-borne viral zoonosis in Africa and the Middle East that causes human deaths and significant economic losses due to huge incidences of death and abortion among infected livestock. Outbreaks of RVF are sporadic and associated with both seasonal and socioeconomic effects. Here we...
Tupinambis merianae as nest predators of crocodilians and turtles in Florida, USA
Frank J. Mazzotti, Michelle A. McEachern, Michael Rochford, Robert Reed, Jennifer Ketterlin Eckles, Joy Vinci, Jake Edwards, Joseph Wasilewki
2015, Biological Invasions (17) 47-50
Tupinambis merianae, is a large, omnivorous tegu lizard native to South America. Two populations of tegus are established in the state of Florida, USA, but impacts to native species are poorly documented. During summer 2013, we placed automated cameras overlooking one American alligator (Alligator mississippiensis) nest, which also contained a...
Evaluation of development options for Alaska North Slope viscous and heavy oil
Emil D. Attanasi, Philip A. Freeman
2015, Natural Resources Research (24) 85-106
Current estimates of discovered viscous and heavy oil in Alaska’s North Slope are 12 billion barrels of oil-in-place and 12–18 billion barrels of oil-in-place, respectively (see Appendix 1 for conversion to SI units). Since the early 1990s to the end of 2010, cumulative viscous oil production has amounted to...
Shorebird migration in the face of climate change: potential shifts in migration phenology and resource availability
Ryan J. Stutzman, Joseph J Fontaine
2015, Studies in Avian Biology (47) 145-159
Changes in temperature and seasonality resulting from climate change are heterogeneous, potentially altering important sources of natural selection acting on species phenology. Some species have apparently adapted to climate change but the ability of most species to adapt remains unknown. The life history strategies of migratory animals are dictated by...
Phenology and climate relationships in aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) forest and woodland communities of southwestern Colorado
Gretchen A. Meier, Jesslyn F. Brown, Ross J. Evelsizer, James E. Vogelmann
2015, Ecological Indicators (48) 189-197
Trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) occurs over wide geographical, latitudinal, elevational, and environmental gradients, making it a favorable candidate for a study of phenology and climate relationships. Aspen forests and woodlands provide numerous ecosystem services, such as high primary productivity and biodiversity, retention and storage of environmental variables (precipitation, temperature,...
Detrital zircon U-Pb provenance of the Colorado River: A 5 m.y. record of incision into cover strata overlying the Colorado Plateau and adjacent regions
David L. Kimbrough, Marty Grove, George E. Gehrels, Rebecca J. Dorsey, Keith A. Howard, Oscar Lovera, Andres Aslan, Kyle House, Philip A. Pearthree
2015, Geosphere (11) 1719-1748
New detrital zircon U-Pb age distributions from 49 late Cenozoic sandstones and Holocene sands (49 samples, n = 3922) record the arrival of extra-regional early Pliocene Colorado River sediment at Grand Wash (western USA) and downstream locations ca. 5.3 Ma and the subsequent evolution of the river’s provenance signature. We...
Snow effects on alpine vegetation in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau
Kun Wang, Li Zhang, Yubao Qiu, Lei Ji, Feng Tian, Cuizhen Wang, Zhiyong Wang
2015, International Journal of Digital Earth (8) 56-73
Understanding the relationships between snow and vegetation is important for interpretation of the responses of alpine ecosystems to climate changes. The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau is regarded as an ideal area due to its undisturbed features with low population and relatively high snow cover. We used 500 m Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer...
Anatomy of an eradication effort: Removing Hawaii's illegally introduced axis deer
Steven C. Hess, Jake Muise, Jan Schipper
2015, The Wildlife Professional (9) 26-29
In February 2011, a rancher in the rural southern part of Hawaii Island reported a large mammal on her land. Her call mobilized several agencies led by the Big Island Invasive Species Committee (BIISC), a partnership to prevent, detect, and control the establishment and spread of invasive species, to sit...
Daily nest survival rates of Gunnison Sage-Grouse (Centrocercus minimus): assessing local- and landscape-scale drivers
Thomas R. Stanley, Cameron L. Aldridge, Joanne Saher, Theresa Childers
2015, Wilson Journal of Ornithology (127) 59-71
The Gunnison Sage-Grouse (Centrocercus minimus) is a species of conservation concern and is a candidate for listing under the U.S. Endangered Species Act because of substantial declines in populations from historic levels. It is thought that loss, fragmentation, and deterioration of sagebrush (Artemisia spp.) habitat have contributed to the decline and...
The use of quantitative models in sea otter conservation
M. Tim Tinker
2015, Book chapter, Sea Otter Conservation
Sea otters are good indicators of ocean health. In addition, they are a keystone species, offering a stabilizing effect on ecosystem, controlling sea urchin populations that would otherwise inflict damage to kelp forest ecosystems. The kelp forest ecosystem is crucial for marine organisms and contains coastal erosion. With the concerns...
Forming Ganymede’s grooves at smaller strain: Toward a self-consistent local and global strain history for Ganymede
Michael T. Bland, W. B. McKinnon
2015, Icarus (245) 247-262
The ubiquity of tectonic features formed in extension, and the apparent absence of ones formed in contraction, has led to the hypothesis that Ganymede has undergone global expansion in its past. Determining the magnitude of such expansion is challenging however, and extrapolation of locally or regionally inferred strains to global...
Floodplains within reservoirs promote earlier spawning of white crappies Pomoxis annularis
Leandro E. Miranda, Jonah D. Dagel, Levi J. Kaczka, Ethan Mower, S. L. Wigen
2015, Environmental Biology of Fishes (98) 469-476
Reservoirs impounded over floodplain rivers are unique because they may include within their upper reaches extensive shallow water stored over preexistent floodplains. Because of their relatively flat topography and riverine origin, floodplains in the upper reaches of reservoirs provide broad expanses of vegetation within a narrow range of reservoir water...
Nelson's big horn sheep (Ovis canadensis nelsoni) trample Agassiz's desert tortoise (Gopherus agassizii) burrow at a California wind energy facility
Mickey Agha, David F. Delaney, Jeffrey E. Lovich, Jessica Briggs, Meaghan Austin, Steven J. Price
2015, Bulletin of the Southern California Academy of Sciences (114) 58-62
Research on interactions between Agassiz's desert tortoises (Gopherus agassizii) and ungulates has focused exclusively on the effects of livestock grazing on tortoises and their habitat (Oldemeyer, 1994). For example, during a 1980 study in San Bernardino County, California, 164 desert tortoise burrows were assessed for vulnerability to trampling by domestic...
New information and guidance for collapsible bag-type sediment samplers
Mark N. Landers, Thomas A. Sabol, Michael A. Manning, Jessica R. Anderson, Corey Sannes
2015, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 5th Federal Interagency Hydrologic Modeling Conference and the 10th Federal Interagency Sedimentation Conference
Answers for many critical water-related issues require solid-phase water-quality data that are representative, accurate, and consistent. Collection of suspended sediment samples for subsequent analyses of solid-phase constituents that represent water-column sediment concentrations requires use of appropriate isokinetic samplers and sampling techniques (Davis, 2005a). Recent review of field and laboratory data...
Investigating endocrine and physiological parameters of captive American kestrels exposed by diet to selected organophosphate flame retardants
KJ Fernie, V. Palace, L. Peters, Niladri Basu, R. J. Letcher, Natalie K. Karouna-Renier, Sandra L. Schultz, Rebecca S. Lazarus, Barnett A. Rattner
2015, Environmental Science & Technology (49) 7448-7455
Organophosphate triesters are high production volume additive flame retardants (OPFRs) and plasticizers. Shown to accumulate in abiotic and biotic environmental compartments, little is known about the risks they pose. Captive adult male American kestrels (Falco sparverius) were fed the same dose (22 ng OPFR/g kestrel/d) daily (21 d) of tris(2-...
Predicting fine-scale distributions of peripheral aquatic species in headwater streams
Christopher R. DeRolph, S. Nelson, Thomas J. Kwak, Ernie F. Hain
2015, Ecology and Evolution (5) 152-163
Headwater species and peripheral populations that occupy habitat at the edge of a species range may hold an increased conservation value to managers due to their potential to maximize intraspecies diversity and species' adaptive capabilities in the context of rapid environmental change. The southern Appalachian Mountains are the southern extent...
Resilience by Design: Bringing Science to Policy Makers
Lucile M. Jones
2015, Seismological Research Letters (86) 294-301
No one questions that Los Angeles has an earthquake problem. The “Big Bend” of the San Andreas fault in southern California complicates the plate boundary between the North American and Pacific plates, creating a convergent component to the primarily transform boundary. The Southern California Earthquake Center Community Fault Model has...
Numerical computation of hurricane effects on historic coastal hydrology in Southern Florida
Eric D. Swain, M. Dennis Krohn, Catherine A. Langtimm
2015, Ecological Processes (4) 1-20
Introduction Numerical models are critical for assessing the effects of sea level rise (SLR), hurricanes, and storm surge on vegetation change in the Everglades National Park. The model must be capable of representing short-timescale hydrodynamics, salinity transport, and groundwater interaction. However, there is also a strong need to adapt these numerical...