Research strategies for addressing uncertainties
David E. Busch, Levi D. Brekke, Kristen Averyt, Angela Jardine, Leigh Welling
2013, Book chapter, Assessment of climate change in the Southwest U.S.
There is an immense volume of information pertaining to research needs for addressing climate change uncertainties and resolving key information gaps. Fortunately, multiple independent efforts to establish research priorities have yielded similar results. Input on research needs is being used to craft national scientific priorities and strategies that are being...
Biological effects-based tools for monitoring impacted surface waters in the Great Lakes: a multiagency program in support of the Great Lakes Restoration Initiative
Drew R. Ekman, Gerald T. Ankley, Vicki Blazer, Timothy W. Collette, Natàlia Garcia-Reyero, Luke R. Iwanowicz, Zachary G. Jorgensen, Kathy Lee, Pat M. Mazik, David H. Miller, Edward J. Perkins, Edwin T. Smith, Joseph E. Tietge, Daniel L. Villeneuve
2013, Environmental Practice (15) 409-426
There is increasing demand for the implementation of effects-based monitoring and surveillance (EBMS) approaches in the Great Lakes Basin to complement traditional chemical monitoring. Herein, we describe an ongoing multiagency effort to develop and implement EBMS tools, particularly with regard to monitoring potentially toxic chemicals and assessing Areas of Concern...
Effects of prescribed fire on Coluber constrictor Mormon in coastal San Mateo County, California
Michelle E. Thompson, Brian J. Halstead, Glenn D. Wylie, Melissa Amarello, Jeffrey J. Smith, Michael L. Casazza, Eric J. Routman
2013, Herpetological Conservation and Biology (8) 602-615
Although prescribed burns are used in many locations where reptiles are present, the effects of fire on reptiles are poorly understood. our objective was to determine the effects of prescribed fire on the Western yellow-bellied racer, Coluber constrictor mormon, at a study site in coastal san Mateo county, california. We sampled an...
The 2011 M = 9.0 Tohoku oki earthquake more than doubled the probability of large shocks beneath Tokyo
Shinji Toda, Ross S. Stein
2013, Geophysical Research Letters (40) 2562-2566
1] The Kanto seismic corridor surrounding Tokyo has hosted four to five M ≥ 7 earthquakes in the past 400 years. Immediately after the Tohoku earthquake, the seismicity rate in the corridor jumped 10-fold, while the rate of normal focal mechanisms dropped in half. The seismicity rate decayed for 6–12 months, after which it...
Thermal tolerance of meltwater stonefly Lednia tumana nymphs from an alpine stream in Waterton–Glacier International Peace Park, Montana, USA
Hilary G. Billman, J. Joseph Giersch, K.M. Kappenman, Clint C. Muhlfeld, Molly A. H. Webb
2013, Freshwater Science (32) 597-605
Global climate change threatens to affect negatively the structure, function, and diversity of aquatic ecosystems worldwide. In alpine systems, the thermal tolerances of stream invertebrates can be assessed to understand better the potential effects of rising ambient temperatures and continued loss of glaciers and snowpack on alpine stream ecosystems. We...
Land surface phenology
Jonathan M. Hanes, Li Li, Jeffrey T. Morisette
2013, Book chapter, Biophysical Applications of Satellite Remote Sensing
Certain vegetation types (e.g., deciduous shrubs, deciduous trees, grasslands) have distinct life cycles marked by the growth and senescence of leaves and periods of enhanced photosynthetic activity. Where these types exist, recurring changes in foliage alter the reflectance of electromagnetic radiation from the land surface, which can be measured using...
Re‐estimated effects of deep episodic slip on the occurrence and probability of great earthquakes in Cascadia
Nicholas M. Beeler, Evelyn A. Roeloffs, Wendy McCausland
2013, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (104) 128-144
Mazzotti and Adams (2004) estimated that rapid deep slip during typically two week long episodes beneath northern Washington and southern British Columbia increases the probability of a great Cascadia earthquake by 30–100 times relative to the probability during the ∼58 weeks between slip events. Because the...
Use of fragile geologic structures as indicators of unexceeded ground motions and direct constraints on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
J. W. Baker, John W. Whitney, Thomas C. Hanks, Norman A. Abramson, Mark P. Board
2013, BSSA (103) 1898-1911
We present a quantitative procedure for constraining probabilistic seismic hazard analysis results at a given site, based on the existence of fragile geologic structures at that site. We illustrate this procedure by analyzing precarious rocks and undamaged lithophysae at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. The key metric is the probability that the...
Rapid chemical evolution of tropospheric volcanic emissions from Redoubt Volcano, Alaska, based on observations of ozone and halogen-containing gases
Cynthia A. Werner, Peter J. Kelly, Christoph Kern, T.J. Roberts, A. Aluppe
2013, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (259) 317-333
We report results from an observational and modeling study of reactive chemistry in the tropospheric plume emitted by Redoubt Volcano, Alaska. Our measurements include the first observations of Br and I degassing from an Alaskan volcano, the first study of O3 evolution in a volcanic plume, as well as the first...
Localized extinction of an arboreal desert lizard caused by habitat fragmentation
Adrian Munguia-Vega, Ricardo Rodriguez-Estrella, William W. Shaw, Melanie Culver
2013, Biological Conservation (157) 11-20
We adopted a species’ perspective for predicting extinction risk in a small, endemic, and strictly scansorial lizard (Urosaurus nigricaudus), in an old (∼60 year) and highly fragmented (8% habitat remaining) agricultural landscape from the Sonoran Desert, Mexico. We genotyped 10 microsatellite loci in 280 individuals from 11 populations in fragmented and continuous...
Incorporating probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts into river management using a risk-based framework
Richard S. Sojda, Erin Towler, Mike Roberts, Balaji Rajagopalan
2013, Water Resources Research (49) 4997-5008
[1] Despite the influence of hydroclimate on river ecosystems, most efforts to date have focused on using climate information to predict streamflow for water supply. However, as water demands intensify and river systems are increasingly stressed, research is needed to explicitly integrate climate into streamflow forecasts that are relevant to...
Vascular flora of saline lakes in the southern high plains of Texas and eastern New Mexico
David J. Rosen, Warren C. Conway, David A. Haukos, Amber D. Caskey
2013, Journal of the Botanical Research Institute of Texas (7) 595-602
Saline lakes and freshwater playas form the principal surface hydrological feature of the High Plains of the Southern Great Plains. Saline lakes number less than 50 and historically functioned as discharge wetlands with relatively consistent water availability due to the presence of one or more springs. Currently, less than ten...
4D petroleum system model of the Mississippian System in the Anadarko Basin Province, Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas, and Colorado, U.S.A.
Debra K. Higley
2013, Mountain Geologist (50) 81-98
The Upper Devonian and Lower Mississippian Woodford Shale is an important petroleum source rock for Mississippian reservoirs in the Anadarko Basin Province of Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas, and Colorado, based on results from a 4D petroleum system model of the basin. The Woodford Shale underlies Mississippian strata over most of the...
Extremely arsenic-rich, pH-neutral waters from the Giant Mine, Canada
D. Kirk Nordstrom
2013, Conference Paper
Roasting arsenopyrite-bearing gold ore for more than fifty years has resulted in nearly 300,000 tons of arsenic trioxide waste at the Giant mine near Yellowknife, NWT, Canada. Most of this has been stored in underground chambers sealed with concrete bulkheads. Seepages from underground drillholes and fractures contain up to 4,000...
New microsatellite loci isolated via next-generation sequencing for two endangered pronghorn from the Sonoran Desert
Adrian Munguia-Vega, Anastasia Klimova, Melanie Culver
2013, Conservation Genetics Resources (5) 125-127
We isolated 16 novel microsatellite loci in two subspecies of endangered desert pronghorns (Antilocapra americana sonoriensis and Antilocapra americana peninsularis) using a shotgun pyrosequencing approach. All and 87.5 % of the loci were polymorphic within each subspecies, respectively. The mean number of alleles per locus was 4.86 (range 2–8) and...
Magmatism, ash-flow tuffs, and calderas of the ignimbrite flareup in the western Nevada volcanic field, Great Basin, USA
Christopher D. Henry, David A. John
2013, Geosphere (9) 951-1008
The western Nevada volcanic field is the western third of a belt of calderas through Nevada and western Utah. Twenty-three calderas and their caldera-forming tuffs are reasonably well identified in the western Nevada volcanic field, and the presence of at least another 14 areally extensive, apparently voluminous ash-flow tuffs...
The 1960 tsunami on beach-ridge plains near Maullín, Chile: Landward descent, renewed breaches, aggraded fans, multiple predecessors
Brian F. Atwater, Marco Cisternas, E. Yulianto, A. Prendergast, K. Jankaew, A. Eipert, Warnakulasuriya Fernando, Iwan Tejakusuma, Ignacio Schiappacasse, Yuki Sawai
2013, Andean Geology (40) 393-418
The Chilean tsunami of 22 May 1960 reamed out a breach and built up a fan as it flowed across a sparsely inhabited beach-ridge plain near Maullín, midway along the length of the tsunami source. Eyewitnesses to the flooding, interviewed mainly in 1988 and 1989, identified levels that the tsunami...
Black bear density in Glacier National Park, Montana
Jeff B. Stetz, Katherine C. Kendall, Amy C. Macleod
2013, Wildlife Society Bulletin (38) 60-70
We report the first abundance and density estimates for American black bears (Ursus americanus) in Glacier National Park (NP),Montana, USA.We used data from 2 independent and concurrent noninvasive genetic sampling methods—hair traps and bear rubs—collected during 2004 to generate individual black bear encounter histories for use in closed population mark–recapture...
The changing southwest
David M. Theobald, William Travis, Mark A. Drummond, Eric Gordon, Michelle Betsill
2013, Book chapter, Assessment of climate change in the southwest United States
This chapter describes important geographical and socio-economic characteristics and trends in the Southwest—such as population and economic growth and changes in land ownership, land use, and land cover—that provide the context for how climate change will likely affect the Southwest. The chapter also describes key laws and institutions relevant to...
Moose habitat in Massachusetts: Assessing use at the southern edge of the range
David W. Wattles, Stephen DeStefano
2013, Alces (49) 133-147
Moose (Alces alces) have recently re-occupied a portion of their range in the temperate deciduous forest of the northeastern United States after a more than 200 year absence. In southern New England, moose are exposed to a variety of forest types, increasing development, and higher ambient temperatures as compared to...
Distance, dams and drift: What structures populations of an endangered, benthic stream fish?
James H. Roberts, Paul L. Angermeier, Eric M. Hallerman
2013, Freshwater Biology (58) 2050-2064
Spatial population structure plays an important role in species persistence, evolution and conservation. Benthic stream fishes are diverse and frequently imperilled, yet the determinants and spatial scaling of their population structure are understudied. We investigated the range-wide population genetic structure of Roanoke logperch (Percina rex), an endangered, benthic stream fish...
Stainless-steel wires exclude gulls from a wastewater treatment plant
Daniel E. Clark, Kiana K. G. Koenen, Kenneth G. MacKenzie, Jillian W. Pereira, Stephen DeStefano
2013, Journal - American Water Works Association (105) E609-E618
There is growing concern about the prevalence of pathogens and antibiotic-resistant bacteria in the environment and the role wildlife plays in their transmission and dissemination. Gulls feeding at wastewater treatment plants may provide a route for transmission of pathogens and bacteria to public water supplies or other critical...
Space use and movements of moose in Massachusetts: implications for conservation of large mammals in a fragmented environment
David W. Wattles, Stephen DeStefano
2013, Alces (49) 65-81
Moose (Alces alces) have recently re-occupied a portion of their range in the temperate deciduous forest of the northeastern United States after a >200 year absence. In southern New England, moose encounter different forest types, more human development, and higher temperatures than in other parts of their geographic range in...
Cross-scale modeling of surface temperature and tree seedling establishment inmountain landscapes
John Dingman, Lynn C. Sweet, Ian M. McCullough, Frank W. Davis, Alan L. Flint, Janet Franklin, Lorraine E. Flint
2013, Ecological Processes (2)
Abstract: Introduction: Estimating surface temperature from above-ground field measurements is important for understanding the complex landscape patterns of plant seedling survival and establishment, processes which occur at heights of only several centimeters. Currently, future climate models predict temperature at 2 m above ground, leaving ground-surface microclimate not well characterized. Methods:...
Trace metals in Saharan dust: The use of in vitro bioaccessibility extractions to assess potential health risks in a dustier world
Suzette A. Morman, Virginia H. Garrison, Geoffrey S. Plumlee
2013, Book chapter, Occurrence, fate and impact of atmospheric pollutants on environmental and human health
Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM) is acknowledged as a risk factor for human morbidity and mortality. Epidemiology and toxicology studies have focused on anthropogenic sources of PM and few consider contributions produced by natural processes (geogenic), or PM produced from natural sources as a result of human activities (geoanthropogenic...