Using information from global climate models to inform policymaking—The role of the U.S. Geological Survey
Adam Terando, David Reidmiller, Steven W. Hostetler, Jeremy S. Littell, Beard Jr., Sarah R. Weiskopf, Jayne Belnap, Geoffrey S. Plumlee
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1058
This report provides an overview of model-based climate science in a risk management context. In addition, it summarizes how the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) will continue to follow best scientific practices and when and how the results of this research will be delivered to the U.S. Department of the Interior...
Granular measures of agricultural land use influence lake nitrogen and phosphorus differently at macroscales
Jemma Stachelek, W. Weng, C. C. Carey, A. R. Kemanian, K. M. Cobourn, Tyler Wagner, K. C. Weathers, P. A. Soranno
2020, Ecological Applications (30)
Agricultural land use is typically associated with high stream nutrient concentrations and increased nutrient loading to lakes. For lakes, evidence for these associations mostly comes from studies on individual lakes or watersheds that relate concentrations of nitrogen (N) or phosphorus (P) to aggregate measures of agricultural land use, such as...
Assessing the risks posed by SARS-CoV-2 in and via North American bats — Decision framing and rapid risk assessment
Michael C. Runge, Evan H. Campbell Grant, Jeremy T. H. Coleman, Jonathan D. Reichard, Samantha E.J. Gibbs, Paul M. Cryan, Kevin J. Olival, Daniel P. Walsh, David S. Blehert, M. Camille Hopkins, Jonathan M. Sleeman
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1060
The novel β-coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, may pose a threat to North American bat populations if bats are exposed to the virus through interaction with humans, if the virus can subsequently infect bats and be transmitted among them, and if the virus causes morbidity or mortality in bats. Further, if SARS-CoV-2 became...
Validating climate‐change refugia: Empirical bottom‐up approaches to support management actions
Cameron W. Barrows, Aaron R. Ramirez, Lynn C. Sweet, Toni Lyn Morelli, Constance I. Millar, Neil Frakes, Jane Rodgers, Mary Frances Mahalovich
2020, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (18) 298-306
Efforts to conserve biodiversity increasingly focus on identifying climate‐change refugia – areas relatively buffered from contemporary climate change over time that enable species persistence. Identification of refugia typically includes modeling the distribution of a species’ current habitat and then extrapolating that distribution given projected changes in temperature and precipitation, or...
Modeling geologic sequestration of carbon dioxide in a deep saline carbonate reservoir with TOUGH2–ChemPlugin, a new tool for reactive transport modeling
Tina L. Roberts-Ashby, Peter M. Berger, Jeffrey A. Cunningham, Ram Kumar, Madalyn S. Blondes
2020, Environmental Geosciences (27) 103-116
This paper outlines the development and demonstration of a new tool, TOUGH2–ChemPlugin (T2CPI) for predicting rock–water–CO2 interaction following injection of supercritical CO2 into a heterogeneous carbonate system. Specifically, modeling capabilities of TOUGH2, which examines multiphase flow and supercritical CO2 behavior, were combined with the geochemical modeling capabilities of The Geochemist’s Workbench® (GWB), using ChemPluginTM....
An empirical comparison of population genetic analyses using microsatellite and SNP data for a species of conservation concern
Shawna J Zimmerman, Cameron L. Aldridge, Sara J. Oyler-McCance
2020, BMC Genomics (21)
BackgroundUse of genomic tools to characterize wildlife populations has increased in recent years. In the past, genetic characterization has been accomplished with more traditional genetic tools (e.g., microsatellites). The explosion of genomic methods and the subsequent creation of large SNP datasets has led to the promise of increased...
Application of the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) to simulate near-native streamflow in the Upper Rio Grande Basin
Shaleene B. Chavarria, C. David Moeser, Kyle R. Douglas-Mankin
2020, Scientific Investigations Report 2020-5026
The U.S. Geological Survey’s Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) is widely used to simulate the effects of climate, topography, land cover, and soils on landscape-level hydrologic response and streamflow. This study developed, calibrated, and assessed a PRMS model that simulates near-native or naturalized streamflow conditions in the Upper Rio Grande Basin....
Expert-informed habitat suitability analysis for at-risk species assessment and conservation planning
Brian A. Crawford, John C. Maerz, Clinton T. Moore
2020, Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management (11) 130-150
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) is responsible for reviewing the biological status of hundreds of species to determine federal status designations under the Endangered Species Act. The longleaf pine Pinus palustris ecological system supports many priority at-risk species designated for review, including five species of herpetofauna: gopher tortoise Gopherus polyphemus, southern...
Data release of reprocessed select National Uranium Resources Evaluation program samples in Wyoming
David W. Lucke, Steven M. Smith, Jaime S. Azain, Andrew David Ingraham
2020, Open-File Report 2020-7
The U.S. Atomic Energy Commission established the National Uranium Resources Evaluation (NURE) program in 1973 to identify uranium resources throughout the United States. Part of this program focused on the collection of stream-sediment samples and subsequent geochemical analyses of these samples for uranium, in addition to 47 other elements. As...
Gear comparison study for sampling nekton in Barataria Basin marshes
Caleb Taylor, Megan K. La Peyre, Shaye Sable, Erin P. Kiskaddon, Melissa M. Baustian
2020, Report
This project was funded by the Louisiana Trustee Implementation Group (LA TIG) to support decisions related to investments in long-term monitoring. The LA TIG seeks to ensure long-term monitoring informs coastal restoration activities with the goal of sustaining and improving fisheries impacted by the Deepwater Horizon (DWH) Oil Spill. The...
Real-time performance of the PLUM earthquake early warning method during the 2019 M6.4 and M7.1 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquakes
Sarah E. Minson, Jessie Kate Saunders, Julian Bunn, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Deborah L. Kilb, Mitsuyuki Hoshiba, Yuki Kodera
2020, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (110) 1887-1903
We evaluate the timeliness and accuracy of ground‐motion‐based earthquake early warning (EEW) during the July 2019 M6.4 and 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquakes. In 2018, we began retrospective and internal real‐time testing of the propagation of local undamped motion (PLUM) method for earthquake warning in California, Oregon, and Washington, with the potential...
Detrital record of the late Oligocene – Early Miocene mafic volcanic arc in the southern Patagonian Andes (~51 °S) from single-clast geochronology and trace element geochemistry
Rebecca A. VanderLeest, Julie C Fosdick, Joel S Leonard, Leah E. Morgan
2020, Journal of Geodynamics (138)
Retroarc foreland basins are important archives of continental arc magmatism and upper plate deformational processes that control the evolution of continental lithosphere. However, resolving source areas in foreland basin infill dominated from mixed mafic and recycled sediment using conventional methods such as detrital zircon geochronology poses a challenge to thorough...
Examining the mechanisms of species responses to climate change: Are there biological thresholds?
William DeLuca, Thomas W. Bonnot, Alexej P. K. Siren, Radley M. Horton, Curtice R. Griffin, Toni Lyn Morelli
2020, Report
Climate-change-driven shifts in distribution and abundance have been documented in many species. However, in order to better predict species responses, managers are seeking to understand the mechanisms that are driving these changes, including any thresholds that might soon be crossed. Leveraging the research that has already been supported by...
Trends in oyster populations in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico: An assessment of river discharge and fishing effects over time and space
J. F Moore, W. E Pine, P. C Frederick, Sarah Becker, Marcos Moreno, Michael J. Dodrill, Matthew Boone, L Sturmer, Simeon Yurek
2020, Marine and Coastal Fisheries: Dynamics, Management, and Ecosystem Science (12) 191-204
Within the Big Bend region of the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, one of the least developed coastlines in the continental USA, intertidal and subtidal populations of eastern oyster Crassostrea virginica (hereafter referred to as “oyster”) are a critical ecosystem and important economic constituent. We assessed trends in intertidal oyster populations,...
Progress toward a preliminary karst depression density map for the conterminous United States
Daniel H. Doctor, Jeanne M. Jones, Nathan J. Wood, Jeff T. Falgout, Natalya Igorevna Rapstine
2020, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 16th Sinkhole Conference
Most methods for the assessment of sinkhole hazard susceptibility are predicated upon knowledge of pre-existing closed depressions in karst areas. In the United States (U.S.), inventories of existing karst depressions are piecemeal, and are often obtained through inconsistent methodologies applied at the state or county level and at...
Sediment transport in a restored, river-influenced Pacific Northwest estuary
Daniel J. Nowacki, Eric E. Grossman
2020, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science (242)
Predicting the success of future investments in coastal and estuarine ecosystem restorations is limited by scarce data quantifying sediment budgets and transport processes of prior restorations. This study provides detailed analyses of the hydrodynamics and sediment fluxes of a recently restored U.S. Pacific Northwest estuary, a 61 ha former agricultural...
Landslides across the United States: Occurrence, susceptibility, and data limitations
Benjamin B. Mirus, Eric S. Jones, Rex L. Baum, Jonathan W. Godt, Stephen L. Slaughter, Matthew Crawford, Jeremy T. Lancaster, Thomas Stanley, Dalia Kirschbaum, William J. Burns, Robert G. Schmitt, Kassandra O Lindsey, Kevin McCoy
2020, Landslides (17) 2271-2285
Detailed information about landslide occurrence is the foundation for advancing process understanding, susceptibility mapping, and risk reduction. Despite the recent revolution in digital elevation data and remote sensing technologies, landslide mapping remains resource intensive. Consequently, a modern, comprehensive map of landslide occurrence across the United States (USA) has not been...
Pervasive shifts in forest dynamics in a changing world
Nate G. McDowell, Craig D. Allen, Kristina J. Anderson-Teixeira, Brian H. Aukema, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Louise Chini, James S. Clark, Michael Dietze, Charlotte Grossiord, Adam Hanbury-Brown, George C. Hurtt, Robert B. Jackson, Daniel J. Johnson, Lara Kueppers, Jeremy W. Lichstein, Kiona Ogle, Benjamin Poulter, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Rupert Seidl, Monica G. Turner, Maria Uriarte, Anthony P. Walker, Chonggang Xu
2020, Science (368)
Forest dynamics arise from the interplay of environmental drivers and disturbances with the demographic processes of recruitment, growth, and mortality, subsequently driving biomass and species composition. However, forest disturbances and subsequent recovery are shifting with global changes in climate and land use, altering these dynamics. Changes...
Nontuberculous mycobacterial disease and molybdenum in Colorado watersheds
Ettie M Lipner, Joshua French, Carleton R. Bern, Katherine Walton-Day, David Knox, Michael Strong, D. Rebecca Prevots, James L Crooks
2020, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (17)
Nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) are environmental bacteria that may cause chronic lung disease. Environmental factors that favor NTM growth likely increase the risk of NTM exposure within specific environments. We aimed to identify water-quality constituents (Al, As, Cd, Ca, Cu, Fe, Pb, Mg, Mn, Mo, Ni, K, Se,...
Methods of collection and quality assessment of arsenic data in well-water supplies in Maine, 2001–2 and 2006–7
Charles W. Culbertson, James M. Caldwell, Luther Schalk, Deana Manassaram, Lorraine C. Backer, Andrew E. Smith
2020, Data Series 1125
The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Maine Center for Disease Control and Prevention, assessed the chemical characteristics and the occurrence, distribution, and oxidation state of inorganic arsenic in drinking water from selected domestic well-water supplies in Maine in 2001–2...
Between the supercontinents: Mesoproterozoic Deer Trail Group, an intermediate age unit between the Mesoproterozoic Belt–Purcell Supergroup and the Neoproterozoic Windermere Supergroup in northeastern Washington, USA
Stephen E. Box, Chad J. Pritchard, Travis S. Stephens, Paul B. O’Sullivan
2020, Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences (57) 1411-1427
Mesoproterozoic and Neoproterozoic basins in western North America record the evolving position of the Laurentian craton within two supercontinents during their growth and dismemberment: Columbia (Nuna) and Rodinia. The western-most exposures of the Columbia rift-related Belt–Purcell Supergroup are preserved in northeastern Washington, structurally overlain by the Deer Trail Group and...
Deglacierization of a marginal basin and implications for outburst floods, Mendenhall Glacier, Alaska
Christian Kienholz, Jamie Pierce, Eran Hood, Jason M. Amundson, Gabriel Wolken, Aaron Jacobs, Skye Hart, Katreen Wikstrom-Jones, Dina Abdel-Fattah, Crane Johnson, Jeffrey S. Conaway
2020, Frontiers in Earth Science (8)
Suicide Basin is a partly glacierized marginal basin of Mendenhall Glacier, Alaska, that has released glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) annually since 2011. The floods cause inundation and erosion in the Mendenhall Valley, impacting homes and other infrastructure. Here, we utilize in-situ and remote sensing data to assess the recent evolution and...
Capturing, preserving and digitizing legacy seismic data from the Montserrat Volcano Observatory analog seismic network, July 1995 – December 2004
Glenn Thompson, John Power, Jochen Braunmiller, Andrew Lockhart, Lloyd Lynch, Wendy McCausland, Charlotte Rowe, Thomas Shea, Randall A. White, Charles Breithaupt
2020, Seismological Research Letters (91) 2127-2140
An eruption of the Soufrière Hills Volcano (SHV) on the eastern Caribbean island of Montserrat began on 18 July 1995 and continued until February 2010. Within nine days of the eruption onset, an existing four‐station analog seismic network (ASN) was expanded to 10 sites. Telemetered data from this network were...
Challenges in quantifying air-water carbon dioxide flux using estuarine water quality data: Case study for Chesapeake Bay
Maria Herrmann, Raymond G. Najjar, Fei Da, Jaclyn R. Friedman, Marjorie A. M. Friedrichs, Sreece Goldberger, Alana Menendez, Elizabeth H. Shadwick, Edward G. Stets, Pierre St-Laurent
2020, JGR Oceans (125)
Estuaries play an uncertain but potentially important role in the global carbon cycle via CO2 outgassing. The uncertainty mainly stems from the paucity of studies that document the full spatial and temporal variability of estuarine surface water partial pressure of carbon dioxide ( pCO2). Here, we explore the potential of utilizing the...
Rapid geodetic observations of spatiotemporally varying postseismic deformation following the Ridgecrest earthquake sequence: The U.S. Geological Survey response
Benjamin A. Brooks, Jessica R. Murray, Jerry L. Svarc, Ellen L. Phillips, Ryan Clayton Turner, Mark Hunter Murray, Todd Ericksen, Kang Wang, Sarah E. Minson, Roland Burgmann, Frederick Pollitz, Kenneth W. Hudnut, Johanna Nevitt, Evelyn Roeloffs, Janis Hernandez, Brian Olson
2020, Seismological Research Letters (9) 2108-2123
The U.S. Geological Survey’s geodetic response to the 4–5 July 2019 (Pacific time) Ridgecrest earthquake sequence comprised primarily the installation and/or reoccupation of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) monumentation. Our response focused primarily on the United States’ Navy’s China Lake Naval Air Weapons Station base (NAWSCL). This focus was because...