Do empirical observations support commonly-held climate change range shift hypotheses? A systematic review protocol
Madeleine A. Rubenstein, Sarah R. Weiskopf, Shawn Carter, Mitchell J. Eaton, Ciara Johnson, Abigail Lynch, Brian W. Miller, Toni Lyn Morelli, Mari Angel Rodriguez, Adam Terando, Laura Thompson
2020, Environmental Evidence (9)
Background Among the most widely anticipated climate-related impacts to biodiversity are geographic range shifts, whereby species shift their spatial distribution in response to changing climate conditions. In particular, a series of commonly articulated hypotheses have emerged: species are expected to shift their distributions to higher latitudes, greater elevations, and...
Food web controls on mercury fluxes and fate in the Colorado River, Grand Canyon
David Walters, Wyatt F. Cross, Theodore Kennedy, Colden V. Baxter, R. O. Hall Jr., Emma J. Rosi
2020, Science Advances (6)
Mercury (Hg) biomagnification in aquatic food webs is a global concern; yet, the ways species traits and interactions mediate these fluxes remain poorly understood. Few pathways dominated Hg flux in the Colorado River despite large spatial differences in food web complexity, and fluxes were mediated by one functional trait, predation...
Time-series model, statistical methods, and software documentation for R–QWTREND—An R package for analyzing trends in stream-water quality
Aldo V. Vecchia, Rochelle A. Nustad
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1014
As part of a U.S. Geological Survey water-quality study started in 2018, in cooperation with the International Joint Commission, North Dakota Department of Environmental Quality, and Minnesota Pollution Control Agency, a publicly available software package called R–QWTREND was developed for analyzing trends in stream-water quality. The R–QWTREND package is a...
Assessment of rangeland ecosystem conditions in Grand Canyon-Parashant National Monument, Arizona
Michael C. Duniway, Emily C. Palmquist
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1040
Sustainability of dryland ecosystems depends on the functionality of soil-vegetation feedbacks that affect ecosystem processes, such as nutrient cycling, water capture and retention, soil erosion and deposition, and plant establishment and reproduction. Useful, common indicators can provide information on soil and site stability, hydrologic function, and biotic integrity. Evaluation of...
Ground failure triggered by shaking during the November 30, 2018, magnitude 7.1 Anchorage, Alaska, earthquake
Alex R. Grant, Randall W. Jibson, Robert C. Witter, Kate E. Allstadt, Eric M. Thompson, Adrian M. Bender
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1043
We developed an initial inventory of ground failure features from the November 30, 2018, magnitude 7.1 Anchorage earthquake. This inventory of 153 features is from ground-based observations soon after the earthquake (December 5–10) that include the presence or absence of liquefaction, landslides, and individual crack traces of lateral spreads...
Further information on the avifauna of St. Matthew and Hall Islands, Bering Sea, Alaska
Bryce W. Robinson, Jack J. Withrow, Rachel M. Richardson, Steven M. Matsuoka, Robert E. Gill Jr., Andrew S. Johnson, Irby J. Lovette, James A. Johnson, Anthony R. DeGange, Marc D. Romano
2020, Western Birds (51) 78-91
In June and July 2018 and July 2019 we surveyed birds on St. Matthew and Hall islands, isolated in the central Bering Sea. Our surveys were focused on the McKay’s Bunting (Plectrophenax hyperboreus), Rock Sandpiper (Calidris ptilocnemis ptilocnemis), and Pelagic Cormorant (Phalacrocorax pelagicus) but encompassed all birds and yielded 13 species and four subspecies...
Sources and dynamics of international funding for waterfowl conservation in the Prairie Pothole Region of North America
Brady J. Mattsson, Jim Devries, James A. Dubovsky, Darius J. Semmens, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Jonathan J. Derbridge, Laura Lopez-Hoffman
2020, Wildlife Research (47) 279-295
Context: Funding for habitat-management programs to maintain population viability is critical for conservation of migratory species; however, such financial resources are limited and can vary greatly over time. The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of North America is an excellent system for examining spatiotemporal patterns of funding for waterfowl conservation, because this...
Forecasting the combined effects of anticipated climate change and agricultural conservation practices on fish recruitment dynamics in Lake Erie
David A Dippold, Noel Aloysis, S. Conor Keitzer, Haw Yen, Jeffrey G. Arnold, Prasad Daggupati, Michael E. Fraker, Jay F. Martin, Dale M. Robertson, Scott P. Sowa, Mari-Vaughn V. Johnson, Mike J. White, Stuart A. Ludsin
2020, Freshwater Biology (65) 1487-1508
Many aquatic ecosystems are experiencing multiple anthropogenic stressors that threaten their ability to support ecologically and economically important fish species. Two of the most ubiquitous stressors are climate change and non‐point source nutrient pollution.Agricultural conservation practices (ACPs, i.e. farming practices that reduce runoff, prevent erosion, and curb excessive nutrient...
Sparse subsurface radar reflectors in Hellas Planitia, Mars
Claire W Cook, Ali M Bramson, Shane Byrne, John W Holt, Michael S Christoffersen, Donna Viola, Colin M. Dundas, Timothy A Goudge
2020, Icarus (348)
Geomorphological features potentially related to subsurface ice, such as scalloped depressions, expanded craters, pedestal craters, and banded terrain, are present in and around Hellas Planitia, Mars. We present a radar survey of the region using the Shallow Radar (SHARAD) instrument on board the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) to identify candidate...
Decision implementation and the double-loop process in adaptive management of horseshoe crab harvest in Delaware Bay
Conor P. McGowan, David Smith, James E. Lyons
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
No abstract available....
Effects of climate change on plague exposure pathways and resulting disease dynamics
Tonie E. Rocke, Robin E. Russell, Michael D. Samuel, Rachel C. Abbott, Julia Poje
2020, Final Report 16 RC01-012
Introduction and Objectives: Sylvatic plague, a zoonotic flea-borne disease, caused by the bacterium Yersinia pestis, is relevant to the Department of Defense (DOD), because prairie dogs and other susceptible rodents are present on military installations in several western states. Arthropod-borne diseases, like plague, are thought to be particularly sensitive to...
Altitude of the potentiometric surface in the Mississippi River Valley alluvial aquifer, spring 2018
Virginia L. McGuire, Ronald C. Seanor, William H. Asquith, Anna M. Nottmeier, David C. Smith, Roland W. Tollett, Wade H. Kress, Kellan R. Strauch
2020, Scientific Investigations Map 3453
A potentiometric-surface map for spring 2018 was created for the Mississippi River Valley alluvial (MRVA) aquifer using available groundwater-altitude data from 1,126 wells completed in the MRVA aquifer and from the altitude of the top of the water surface in area rivers from 66 streamgages. Personnel from Arkansas Natural Resources...
Good practices for species distribution modeling of deep-sea corals and sponges for resource management: Data collection, analysis, validation, and communication
Arliss J Winship, James T. Thorson, M. Elizabeth Clarke, Heather M. Coleman, Bryan M. Costa, Samuel Georgian, David Gillett, Arnaud Gruss, Mark J. Henderson, Thomas F. Hourigan, David D. Huff, Nissa Kreidler, Jodi L. Pirtle, John V. Olson, Matthew Poti, Christopher N. Rooper, Michael F. Sigler, T. Shay Viehman, Curt E. Whitmire
Santiago Herrera, editor(s)
2020, Frontiers in Marine Science (7) 1-7
Resource managers in the United States and worldwide are tasked with identifying and mitigating trade-offs between human activities in the deep sea (e.g., fishing, energy development, and mining) and their impacts on habitat-forming invertebrates, including deep-sea corals and sponges (DSCS). Related management decisions require information about where DSCS occur and...
Introduction to multi-criteria decision analysis
Sarah J. Converse
Michael C. Runge, Sarah J. Converse, John J. Lyons, David R. Smith, editor(s)
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
No abstract available....
Addressing disease risk to develop a health program for bighorn sheep in Montana
Sarah N. Sells, Michael S. Mitchell, Justin A. Gude
Michael C. Runge, Sarah J. Converse, James E. Lyons, David R. Smith, editor(s)
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
No abstract available....
Water-table elevation maps for 2008 and 2016 and water-table elevation changes in the aquifer system underlying eastern Albuquerque, New Mexico
Allison K. Flickinger, Aurelia C. Mitchell
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1036
The addition of surface water from the San Juan-Chama Drinking Water Project to the Albuquerque water supply and the reduction in per capita water use has led to decreased groundwater withdrawals. This decrease in withdrawals has resulted in rising groundwater levels since 2008 in portions of the aquifer underlying Albuquerque....
Using multiple environmental proxies and hydrodynamic modeling to investigate Late Holocene climate and coastal change within a large Gulf of Mexico estuarine system (Mobile Bay, Alabama, USA)
Christopher G. Smith, Miriam C. Jones, Lisa Osterman, Davina Passeri
2020, Marine Geology (427)
A high degree of uncertainty exists for understanding and predicting coastal estuarine response to changing climate, land-use, and sea-level conditions, leaving geologic records as a best-proxy for constraining potential outcomes. With the majority of the world's population focused in coastal regions, understanding how local systems respond to global, regional, and...
An adaptive approach to vegetation management in native prairies of the northern Great Plains
Clinton T. Moore, Jill J. Gannon, Terry L. Shaffer, Cami Dixon
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
No abstract available....
Introduction to structuring decisions
David R. Smith
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
Decision structuring, also known as decision framing, provides the foundation and roadmap for analyzing a decision. For decisions that warrant a systematic approach, structuring begins with identifying the problem for analysis, which sounds simple but can be deceptively difficult because decision problems are often ill-formed at the start....
Geometric and material variability influences stress states relevant to coastal permafrost bluff failure
Matthew A. Thomas, Alejandro Mota, Benjamin M. Jones, R. Charles Choens, Jennifer M. Frederick, Diana L. Bull
2020, Frontiers in Earth Science (143) 1-13
Scientific knowledge and engineering tools for predicting coastal erosion are largely confined to temperate climate zones that are dominated by non-cohesive sediments. The pattern of erosion exhibited by the ice-bonded permafrost bluffs in Arctic Alaska, however, is not well explained by these tools. Investigation of the oceanographic, thermal, and mechanical...
Introduction to prediction and the value of information
David R. Smith
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
Predicting the consequences of alternative actions in terms of the objectives is central to decision making. Modeling in the broadest sense, from simple to complex and based on data or expert judgment, comprises the essential toolkit for making decision-relevant predictions. Gaps in knowledge and the resulting uncertainty can...
Introduction to risk analysis
Michael C. Runge, Sarah J. Converse
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
Many decisions are made in the face of uncertainty that either cannot or will not be reduced, and the challenge to the decision maker is how to manage the risk imposed by that uncertainty. This chapter will introduce the field of risk analysis, focusing on both the scientific tasks (estimating...
Allocating funds under the National Fish Habitat Action Plan
Michael C. Runge
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
Each year, the Director of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), with advice from a Fisheries Management Team, allocates funding to support the National Fish Habitat Action Plan. The Service distributes the funds to Fish Habitat Partnerships (FHPs), who, in turn, undertake projects that “protect, restore, or enhance fish...
Introduction to resource allocation
James E. Lyons
2020, Book chapter, Structured decision making: Case studies in natural resource management
With ongoing habitat loss and degradation, ever-increasing threats to biodiversity, and limited funding for conservation and management, nearly every natural resource manager routinely faces difficult resource allocation problems. Funding and capacity for natural resource management rarely meet the need, and informed resource allocations are increasingly important. These decision problems include...
Aseismic transient slip on the Gofar transform fault, East Pacific Rise
Yajing Liu, Jeffrey J. McGuire, Mark Behn
2020, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (117) 10188-10194
Oceanic transform faults display a unique combination of seismic and aseismic slip behavior, including a large globally averaged seismic deficit, and the local occurrence of repeating magnitude (M) ∼6">∼6∼6 earthquakes with abundant foreshocks and seismic...
