Forecasting damaging earthquakes in the central and eastern United States
Science
By: S.P. Nishenko and G. A. Bollinger
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Abstract
Analysis of seismograph network data, earthquake catalogs from 1727 to 1982, and paleoseismic data for the central and eastern United States indicate that the Poisson probability of a damaging earthquake (magnitude ≥ 6.0) occurring during the next 30 years is at a moderate to high level (0.4 to 0.6). When differences in seismic wave attenuation are taken into account, the central and eastern United States has approximately two-thirds the likelihood of California to produce an earthquake with comparable damage area and societal impact within the next 30 years.
Study Area
| Publication type | Article |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
| Title | Forecasting damaging earthquakes in the central and eastern United States |
| Series title | Science |
| DOI | 10.1126/science.249.4975.1412 |
| Volume | 249 |
| Issue | 4975 |
| Year Published | 1990 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | American Association for the Advancement of Science |
| Description | 5 p. |
| First page | 1412 |
| Last page | 1416 |
| Country | United States |
| Other Geospatial | central and eastern United States |