Assessment of undiscovered continuous oil and gas resources in Upper Cretaceous marine shales of the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico, 2022

Fact Sheet 2023-3049
National and Global Petroleum Assessment
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Abstract

Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated means of 1.04 billion barrels of oil, 3.9 trillion cubic feet of gas, and 11 million barrels of natural gas liquids in Upper Cretaceous marine shales in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province in Colorado and New Mexico.

Introduction

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) quantitatively assessed the potential for undiscovered, technically recoverable, continuous (unconventional) oil and gas resources in the Upper Cretaceous Niobrara Formation and Pierre Shale in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province in Colorado and New Mexico (fig. 1). In the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, the marine Niobrara Formation consists of two members: (1) the lower Fort Hays Limestone Member, composed of limestone and calcareous shale, and (2) the upper Smoky Hill Shale Member, composed of calcareous shale, sandy shale, and limestone (Scott, 1986; Scott and others, 1986; Broadhead, 2008). The Pierre Shale is predominantly medium-dark gray non-calcareous marine shale, with minor beds of limestone, siltstone, and fine-grained sandstone (Scott, 1986; Scott and Cobban, 1986; Broadhead, 2008). The strata were deposited in the Western Interior Seaway, which during much of the Cretaceous occupied an elongate north-south foreland basin that developed to the east of the North American Cordilleran orogenic belt (DeCelles, 2004). At its maximum extent, the Western Interior Seaway extended north-south for more than 3,000 miles and connected the Arctic Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico (Kauffman, 1977). The latest Cretaceous through early Eocene Laramide orogeny fragmented the central part of the foreland basin into numerous smaller basins. These smaller basins, such as the Raton Basin, were depocenters for the accumulation of thick synorogenic sediments during the Laramide orogeny (Lindsey, 1998).

Map of the continuous oil and gas assessment units in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande
                     Uplift Province.
Figure 1.

Maps showing the continuous oil and gas assessment units (AUs) in A, the Pierre Shale and B, the Niobrara Formation in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico.

Total Petroleum System and Assessment Unit

Schenk and others (2023) defined the Upper Paleozoic–Cenozoic Composite Total Petroleum System (TPS) in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province to include strata from the base of the Pennsylvanian to the Paleocene Poison Canyon Formation. The Niobrara Formation and Pierre Shale are elements of the Upper Paleozoic–Cenozoic Composite TPS and include both source and reservoir rocks. According to Finn (2023), source rocks in the Niobrara Formation occur in the Smoky Hill Shale Member and have total organic carbon (TOC) contents as much as 6 weight percent and contain Type II and mixed Type II/III kerogen, with hydrogen index (HI) values as much as 586 milligrams of hydrocarbon per gram of TOC (mg HC/g TOC). Source rocks in the Pierre Shale are found in the Sharon Springs Member and have total TOC contents as much as 4 weight percent and contain Type II and mixed Type II/III kerogen, with HI values as much as 387 mg HC/g TOC (Gautier and others, 1984). Potential reservoirs are likely the carbonate-rich zones within the Niobrara Formation and the more brittle sandy and silty zones within the clay-rich Pierre Shale (Woodward, 1984, 1997). Natural fractures are expected to enhance reservoir productivity (Woodward, 1984, 1997; O’Farrell and others, 2010; Lorenz and Cooper, 2021). Thermal maturity mapping, based on vitrinite reflectance (Ro) of overlying coal-bearing strata, indicate that the Niobrara Formation and Pierre Shale are thermally mature for oil generation (0.6–1.35 percent Ro) along the shallow margins of the basin and mature for gas generation (greater than 1.35 percent Ro) in the deeper central parts of the basin (Tyler and others, 1995; Nuccio and others, 2002). The Laramide orogeny and post-Laramide burial is considered to have thermally matured these organic-rich shales (Woodward, 1997; Higley, 2004).

The geologic model for the Niobrara Formation and Pierre Shale continuous accumulations is for oil and gas to have been generated from oil-prone source rocks and partially retained following generation and migration into adjacent reservoirs. Four continuous assessment units (AUs) were defined: (1) the Raton Niobrara Shale Oil AU, (2) the Raton Niobrara Shale Gas AU, (3) the Raton Pierre Shale Oil AU, and (4) the Raton Pierre Shale Gas AU (fig. 1). The oil AUs encompass the area within the oil generation window (0.60–1.35 percent Ro), and the gas AUs include the area where oil has been cracked to gas (greater than 1.35 percent Ro).

Assessment input data are summarized in table 1 and in Finn (2024). Input data for estimated ultimate recoveries (EURs) of wells are based on the geologic analog in the Sand Wash Basin part of the Southwestern Wyoming Province.

Table 1.    

Key input data for four continuous oil and gas assessment units in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province.

[The average estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) input is the minimum, median, maximum, and calculated mean. Gray shading indicates not applicable. AU, assessment unit; %, percent; MMBO, million barrels of oil; BCFG, billion cubic feet of gas]

               Assessment input data– Continuous AUs                  Raton Pierre Shale Oil AU            Raton Pierre Shale Gas AU
  Minimum       Mode    Maximum     Calculated
    mean
  Minimum       Mode Maximum    Calculated
   mean
Potential production area (acres) 1,000 685,500 1,373,000 686,833 1,000 494,000 988,000 494,333
Average drainage area (acres) 40 80 120 80 80 120 160 120
Success ratio (%) 10 50 90 50 50 70 90 70
Untested area (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Average EUR (MMBO, oil; BCFG, gas) 0.06 0.13 0.20 0.132 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.508
AU probability 1.0 1.0
            Assessment input data– Continuous AUs     Raton Niobrara Shale Oil AU              Raton Niobrara Shale Gas AU
Minimum    Mode Maximum     Calculated mean Minimum    Mode Maximum     Calculated mean
Potential production area (acres) 1,000 528,500 1,057,000 528,833 1,000 583,000 1,166,000 583,333
Average drainage area (acres) 40 80 120 80 80 120 160 120
Success ratio (%) 10 50 90 50 50 70 90 70
Untested area (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Average EUR (MMBO, oil; BCFG, gas) 0.06 0.13 0.2 0.132 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.508
AU probability 1.0 1.0
Table 1.    Key input data for four continuous oil and gas assessment units in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province.

Undiscovered Resources Summary

The USGS quantitatively assessed continuous oil and gas resources in four assessment units (table 2). For total undiscovered, technically recoverable continuous oil and gas resources in four AUs, the estimated means are 1,035 million barrels of oil (MMBO), with an F95–F5 fractile range from 249 to 2,173 MMBO; 3,943 billion cubic feet of gas (BCFG), with an F95–F5 fractile range from 1,135 to 7,391 BCFG; and 11 million barrels of natural gas liquids (MMBNGL), with an F95–F5 fractile range from 2 to 22 MMBNGL.

Table 2.    

Results for four continuous oil and gas assessment units in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province.

[Results shown are fully risked estimates. F95 represents a 95-percent chance of at least the amount tabulated; other fractiles are defined similarly. Gray shading indicates not applicable. MMBO, million barrels of oil; BCFG, billion cubic feet of gas; NGL, natural gas liquids; MMBNGL, million barrels of natural gas liquids]

          Total petroleum system and assessment units (AUs)    AU
  prob- ability
  Accum- ulation type                                                  Total undiscovered resources
              Oil (MMBO)                 Gas (BCFG)             NGL (MMBNGL)
F95    F50     F5 Mean    F95    F50 F5 Mean   F95 F50     F5 Mean
                                                                         Upper Paleozoic–Cenozoic Total Petroleum System
Raton Pierre Shale Oil AU 1.0 Oil 141 529 1,225 585 98 370 857 410 0 2 4 2
Raton Pierre Shale Gas AU 1.0 Gas 441 1,416 2,682 1,471 1 4 7 4
Raton Niobrara Shale Oil AU 1.0 Oil 108 406 948 450 75 284 666 315 0 1 3 1
Raton Niobrara Shale Gas AU 1.0 Gas 521 1,684 3,186 1,747 1 4 8 4
Total continuous resources 249 935 2,173 1,035 1,135 3,754 7,391 3,943 2 11 22 11
Table 2.    Results for four continuous oil and gas assessment units in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province.

For More Information

Assessment results are available at the USGS Energy Resources Program website, http://energy.usgs.gov/oilgas/.

Raton Basin Assessment Team

Thomas M. Finn, Christopher J. Schenk, Tracey J. Mercier, Cheryl A. Woodall, Heidi M. Leathers–Miller, Phuong A. Le, Andrea D. Cicero, Geoffrey S. Ellis, Michael H. Gardner, Sarah E. Gelman, Jane S. Hearon, Benjamin G. Johnson, Scott A. Kinney, Jenny H. Lagesse, Kira K. Timm, Scott S. Young

References Cited

Broadhead, R.F., 2008, The natural gas potential of north-central New Mexico—Colfax, Mora and Taos Counties: New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources Open File Report 510, 145 p.

DeCelles, P.G., 2004, Late Jurassic to Eocene evolution of the Cordilleran thrust belt and foreland basin system, western U.S.A: American Journal of Science, v. 304, no. 2, p. 105–168. [Also available at https://doi.org/10.2475/ajs.304.2.105.] https://doi.org/10.2475/ajs.304.2.105

Finn, T.M., 2023, Compilation of total organic carbon and pyrolysis analysis data for Cretaceous marine shales in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9U9I10S.

Finn, T.M., 2024, USGS National and Global Oil and Gas Assessment Project—Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Raton Continuous Resources, assessment unit boundaries, assessment input data, and fact sheet data tables: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9CZ8DIC.

Gautier, D.L., Clayton, J.L., Leventhal, J.S., and Reddin, N.J., 1984, Origin and source-rock potential of the Sharon Springs Member of the Pierre Shale, Colorado and Kansas, in Woodward, J., Meissner, F.F., and Clayton, J.L., eds., Hydrocarbon source rocks of the greater Rocky Mountain region: Rocky Mountain Association of Geologists Guidebook, p. 369–385, accessed February 2, 2023, at https://archives-datapages-com.usgslibrary.idm.oclc.org/data/rmag/SourceRocks84/gautier.pdf.

Higley, D.K., 2004, Petroleum Systems and assessment of undiscovered oil and gas in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico, chap. 2 of Higley, D.K., compiler, Petroleum systems and assessment of undiscovered oil and gas in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico—USGS Province 41: U.S. Geological Survey Digital Data Series DDS–69–N, 38 p.

Kauffman, E.G., 1977, Geological and biological overview —Western Interior Cretaceous basin, in Kauffman, E.G., ed., Cretaceous facies, faunas, and paleoenvironments across the Western Interior Basin: The Mountain Geologist, v. 14, nos. 3–4, p. 75–99.

Lindsey, D.A., 1998, Laramide structure of the central Sangre de Cristo Mountains and adjacent Raton Basin, southern Colorado: The Mountain Geologist, v. 35, no. 2, p. 55–70.

Lorenz, J.C., and Cooper, S.P., 2021, Natural fractures and their relationships to structure, stress, and permeability in the Raton Basin: The Mountain Geologist, v. 58, no. 4, p. 375–410, accessed April 1, 2022, at https://doi.org/10.31582/rmag.mg.58.4.375.

Nuccio, V.F., Johnson, R.C., and Finn, T.M., 2002, Preliminary surface vitrinite reflectance map of the Raton Basin, Colorado and New Mexico, in Schwochow, S.D., and Nuccio, V.F., eds., Coalbed methane of North America, II: Rocky Mountain Association of Geologists, p. 49–52, accessed February 9, 2023, at https://archives-datapages-com.usgslibrary.idm.oclc.org/data/rmag/CBM2/nuccio2.pdf.

O’Farrell, C., Hawkins, S., Drake, W., Soetrisno, H., and Peters, T., 2010, Spatial variability of fracture-enhanced shale-gas production—Insights from the Raton Basin, CO [abs.] in 2010 AAPG Rocky Mountain Section Meeting, Durango, Colo., June 13–16 [Proceedings]: AAPG Search and Discovery, article 90106, 1 p., accessed February 2, 2023, at https://www.searchanddiscovery.com/pdfz/abstracts/pdf/2010/rms/abstracts/ndx_ofarrell.pdf.html.

Schenk, C.J., Finn, T.M., Mercier, T.J., Woodall, C.A., Le, P.A, Cicero, A.D., Drake II, R.M., Ellis, G.S., Gardner, M.H., Gelman, S.E., Hearon, J.S., Johnson, B.G., Lagesse, J.H., Leathers-Miller, H.M., Marra, K.R., Timm, K.K., and Young, S.S., 2023, Assessment of coalbed gas resources in the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico, 2022: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2023-3020, 4 p., accessed July 6, 2023, at https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20233020.

Scott, G.R., 1986, Geologic and structure contour map of the Springer 30’x60’ quadrangle, Colfax, Harding, Mora, and Union counties, New Mexico: U.S. Geological Survey Miscellaneous Investigations Series Map I–1705, 2 sheets, scale 1:100,000.

Scott, G.R., and Cobban, W.A., 1986, Geologic and biostratigraphic map of the Pierre Shale in the Colorado Springs–Pueblo area, Colorado: U.S. Geological Survey Miscellaneous Investigations Series Map I–1627, 1 sheet, scale 1:100,000.

Scott, G.R., Cobban, W.A., and Merewether, E.A., 1986, Stratigraphy of the Upper Cretaceous Niobrara Formation in the Raton basin, New Mexico: New Mexico Bureau of Mines and Mineral Resources Bulletin 115, 34 p.

Tyler, R., Kaiser, W.R., Scott, A.R., Hamilton, D.S., and Ambrose, W.A., 1995, Geologic and hydrologic assessment of natural gas from coal—Greater Green River, Piceance, Powder River, and Raton Basins, Western United States: The University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Economic Geology, Report of Investigations, no. 228, 219 p.

Woodward, L.A., 1984, Potential for significant oil and gas fracture reservoirs in Cretaceous rocks of Raton Basin, New Mexico: American Association of Petroleum Geologists Bulletin, v. 68, no. 5, p. 628–636.

Woodward, L.A., 1997, Role of regional tectonic analysis in exploration for fracture reservoirs in Cretaceous source rocks of the Raton Basin, New Mexico: The Mountain Geologist, v. 34, no. 2, p. 73–80, https://archives-datapages-com.usgslibrary.idm.oclc.org/data/rmag/mg/1997/woodward.pdf.

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Suggested Citation

Finn, T.M., Schenk, C.J., Mercier, T.J., Woodall, C.A., Leathers–Miller, H.M., Le, P.A., Cicero, A.D., Ellis, G.S., Gardner, M.H., Gelman, S.E., Hearon, J.S., Johnson, B.G., Kinney, S.A., Lagesse, J.H., Timm, K.K., Young, S.S., 2024, Assessment of undiscovered continuous oil and gas resources in Upper Cretaceous marine shales of the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico, 2022: U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2023–3049, 4 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20233049.

ISSN: 2327-6932 (online)

Study Area

Publication type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Title Assessment of undiscovered continuous oil and gas resources in Upper Cretaceous marine shales of the Raton Basin-Sierra Grande Uplift Province, Colorado and New Mexico, 2022
Series title Fact Sheet
Series number 2023-3049
DOI 10.3133/fs20233049
Year Published 2024
Language English
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Publisher location Reston VA
Contributing office(s) Central Energy Resources Science Center
Description Report: 4 p.; 2 Data Releases
Country United States
State Colorado, New Mexico
Online Only (Y/N) Y
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