Analysis of the Potential Effects of Uzbekistan’s Mineral Endowment on the Critical Mineral Supply of Tungsten

Open-File Report 2025-1032
By: , and 

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Abstract

Tungsten appears on the 2018 and 2022 U.S. Geological Survey critical mineral lists in part because of a very high global production concentration in China, which produces almost 83 percent of the world’s mined tungsten. Using known parameters and values from other tungsten mining operations, we created hypothetical scenarios in which three tungsten deposits in Uzbekistan are considered for development. Our results show that all three deposits are likely to be economically viable to develop under 2024 market conditions. If the three studied tungsten deposits were put into production, Uzbekistan could become the third-leading tungsten-producing country in the world and increase world output of tungsten by 2.7 percent. Putting these tungsten deposits in Uzbekistan into production could slightly reduce the tungsten global market concentration, therefore reducing the supply disruption potential for tungsten.

Plain Language Summary

Tungsten is a critical mineral used in many everyday products, from light bulbs to electronics and medical equipment. In 2024, China was the leading tungsten mining country, producing about 83 percent of all tungsten in the world. Uzbekistan has known tungsten deposits, so we investigated potential effects on the world supply of tungsten if three of those tungsten deposits were developed and produced tungsten and other minerals. Using market conditions from 2024 in our models, we determined that these tungsten deposits could be mined profitably. Our results suggest that if these deposits are developed, Uzbekistan could become the third-leading tungsten producer in the world, increasing global tungsten supply by 2.7 percent. Development of these tungsten deposits could help prevent possible shortages of tungsten.

Suggested Citation

Safirova, E., Golovko, Y., and Dulabova, N., 2025, Analysis of the potential effects of Uzbekistan’s mineral endowment on the critical mineral supply of tungsten: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 1032, 14 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20251032.

ISSN: 2331-1258 (online)

Study Area

Table of Contents

  • Abstract
  • Plain Language Summary
  • Introduction
  • Tungsten Feasibility Studies
  • Methodology
  • Analysis of Production Potential of Selected Tungsten Mineral Deposits in Uzbekistan
  • Tungsten Production Implications
  • Potential Implications of Tungsten Deposit Development in Uzbekistan for Critical Mineral Supply
  • Discussion
  • References Cited
Publication type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Title Analysis of the potential effects of Uzbekistan’s mineral endowment on the critical mineral supply of tungsten
Series title Open-File Report
Series number 2025-1032
DOI 10.3133/ofr20251032
Publication Date June 30, 2025
Year Published 2025
Language English
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Publisher location Reston, VA
Contributing office(s) National Minerals Information Center
Description v, 14 p.
Country Uzbekistan
Online Only (Y/N) Y
Additional Online Files (Y/N) N
Additional publication details