Estimating probabilities of reservoir storage for the upper Delaware River Basin
Open-File Report
81-478
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Abstract
A technique for estimating conditional probabilities of reservoir system storage is described and applied to the upper Delaware River Basin. The results indicate that there is a 73 percent probability that the three major New York City reservoirs (Pepacton, Cannonsville, and Neversink) would be full by June 1, 1981, and only a 9 percent probability that storage would return to the "drought warning" sector of the operations curve sometime in the next year. In contrast, if restrictions are lifted and there is an immediate return to normal operating policies, the probability of the reservoir system being full by June 1 is 37 percent and the probability that storage would return to the "drought warning" sector in the next year is 30 percent.
Study Area
| Publication type | Report |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | USGS Numbered Series |
| Title | Estimating probabilities of reservoir storage for the upper Delaware River Basin |
| Series title | Open-File Report |
| Series number | 81-478 |
| DOI | 10.3133/ofr81478 |
| Year Published | 1981 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | U.S. Geological Survey |
| Description | 18 p. |
| Country | United States |
| State | Delaware, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania |
| Other Geospatial | Delaware River Basin |
| Google Analytic Metrics | Metrics page |