Peak Streamflow Trends in Michigan and Their Relation to Changes in Climate, Water Years 1921–2020
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- Document: Report (19.6 MB pdf) , HTML , XML
- Larger Work: This publication is Chapter D of Peak streamflow trends and their relation to changes in climate in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin
- Data Release: USGS data release - Peak streamflow data, climate data, and results from investigating hydroclimatic trends and climate change effects on peak streamflow in the Central United States, 1920–2020
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Abstract
This study characterizes hydroclimatic variability and change in peak streamflow and daily streamflow in Michigan from water years 1921 through 2020. Four analysis periods were examined: the 100-year period from water year 1921 through 2020, the 75-year period from water year 1946 through 2020, the 50-year period from water year 1971 through 2020, and the 30-year period from water year 1991 through 2020. Peak streamflow and climate data were available at 4, 29, 50, and 30 streamgages in the 100-, 75-, 50-, and 30-year periods, respectively. Daily streamflow was available for 4, 29, 74, and 79 streamgages in the 100-, 75-, 50-, and 30-year periods, respectively.
Peak streamflow for each streamgage and analysis period was assessed for monotonic trends and change points. Trends in peak streamflow were predominantly upward, with some isolated downward trends throughout the southern half of Michigan for all four analysis periods. Trends in the Upper Peninsula were downward in 75- and 50-year analysis periods and upward or neutral in the 30-year period. Upward trends in peak flows were largely driven by increases in precipitation, which occurred at nearly every streamgage in all analysis periods, with the greatest magnitude trends in winter and spring in the 50- and 30-year periods.
Suggested Citation
Levin, S.B., 2024, Peak streamflow trends in Michigan and their relation to changes in climate, water years 1921–2020, chap D of Ryberg, K.R. comp., Peak streamflow trends and their relation to changes in climate in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2023–5064, 49 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20235064D.
ISSN: 2328-0328 (online)
Study Area
Table of Contents
- Acknowledgments
- Abstract
- Introduction
- Purpose and Scope
- Description of Study Area
- Brief History of U.S. Geological Survey Peak-Flow Data Collection in Michigan
- Brief History of Statistical Analysis of Peak Streamflow and Nonstationarity
- Review of Research Relating to Climatic Variability and Change
- Data and Methods
- Results of Streamflow and Climate Analyses
- Discussion and Implications for Flood-Frequency Analysis
- Summary
- References Cited
| Publication type | Report |
|---|---|
| Publication Subtype | USGS Numbered Series |
| Title | Peak streamflow trends in Michigan and their relation to changes in climate, water years 1921–2020 |
| Series title | Scientific Investigations Report |
| Series number | 2023-5064 |
| Chapter | D |
| DOI | 10.3133/sir20235064D |
| Year Published | 2024 |
| Language | English |
| Publisher | U.S. Geological Survey |
| Publisher location | U.S. Geological Survey |
| Contributing office(s) | Upper Midwest Water Science Center |
| Description | Report: viii, 49 p., Data Release |
| Larger Work Type | Report |
| Larger Work Subtype | USGS Numbered Series |
| Larger Work Title | Peak Streamflow Trends and Their Relation to Changes in Climate in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wisconsin |
| Country | United States |
| State | Michigan |
| Online Only (Y/N) | Y |
| Google Analytic Metrics | Metrics page |