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Peak-, Mean-, and Low-Streamflow Regional-Regression Equations for Natural Streamflow in Central and Western Colorado, 2019

Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5047
Prepared in cooperation with the Colorado Department of Transportation
By: , , and 
https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20255047

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Abstract

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Colorado Department of Transportation, developed peak-, mean-, and low-streamflow regional-regression equations for estimating various statistics for natural streamflow in hydrologic regions of central and western Colorado. The peak-streamflow regression equations were developed using data from 418 streamgages, consisting of 15,202 years of record and a mean of approximately 36 years of record per streamgage. The mean- and low-streamflow regional-regression equations were developed using data from 323 streamgages where daily streamflow data were collected year-round. The annual exceedance-probability discharges for each streamgage were computed using the USGS software program PeakFQ. Mean monthly and 7-day minimum and maximum streamflows were computed using the USGS software program SWToolbox. Streamflow-duration values were computed using an R script. The regional-regression equations were determined using data for the period of record for a given streamgage through water year 2019. Geographic information systems datasets were used to develop 55 basin and 42 climatic characteristics, which were evaluated as candidate explanatory variables in the regression analysis.

For the peak-streamflow regional-regression equations, the study area was divided into four hydrologic regions based on mean basin elevation, including the Plateau (less than 8,014 feet), Mid-Elevation (8,015 feet to 9,492 feet), Sub-Alpine (9,493 feet to 10,490 feet), and Alpine (greater than 10,490 feet) regions. For the peak-streamflow equations, the selection of basin and climatic characteristics was based on the 1-percent annual exceedance-probability discharge for each hydrologic region.

For the mean streamflow, streamflow-duration values, and 7-day minimum and maximum streamflows, the study area was divided into four hydrologic regions based on river basin, including the (1) Colorado-East Slope Headwaters, (2) Green River, (3) Rio Grande, and (4) San Juan-Dolores. For mean streamflows, basin and climatic characteristics were evaluated separately for the annual period and each month for each hydrologic region. Regional regression equations published in this report are available for use in the USGS web-based program StreamStats.

Suggested Citation

Kohn, M.S., Mast, M.A., and Gross, T.A., 2026, Peak-, mean-, and low-streamflow regional-regression equations for natural streamflow in central and western Colorado, 2019: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2025–5047, 38 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/sir20255047.

ISSN: 2328-0328 (online)

Table of Contents

  • Acknowledgments
  • Abstract
  • Introduction
  • Methods for Data Development for Streamgages
  • StreamStats
  • Summary
  • References Cited
  • Appendix 1. Streamgage, Basin, and Climatic Characteristics Summary
Publication type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Title Peak-, mean-, and low-streamflow regional-regression equations for natural streamflow in central and western Colorado, 2019
Series title Scientific Investigations Report
Series number 2025-5047
DOI 10.3133/sir20255047
Publication Date April 24, 2026
Year Published 2026
Language English
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Publisher location Reston VA
Contributing office(s) Colorado Water Science Center
Online Only (Y/N) Y
Additional publication details