Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios
Jianhong E. Mu, Benjamin M. Sleeter, John T. Abatzoglou, John M. Antle
2017, Climatic Change (144) 329-345
We examine the impacts of climate on net returns from crop and livestock production and the resulting impact on land-use change across the contiguous USA. We first estimate an econometric model to project effects of weather fluctuations on crop and livestock net returns and then use a semi-reduced form land-use...
The interior structure of Ceres as revealed by surface topography
Roger R. Fu, Anton Ermakov, Simone Marchi, Julie C. Castillo-Rogez, Carol A. Raymond, Bradford Hager, Maria Zuber, Scott D. King, Michael T. Bland, Maria Cristina De Sanctis, Frank Preusker, Ryan S. Park, Christopher T. Russell
2017, Earth and Planetary Science Letters (476) 153-164
Ceres, the largest body in the asteroid belt (940 km diameter), provides a unique opportunity to study the interior structure of a volatile-rich dwarf planet. Variations in a planetary body's subsurface rheology and density affect the rate of topographic relaxation. Preferential attenuation of long...
Martian cave air-movement via Helmholtz resonance
Kaj E. Williams, Timothy N. Titus, Chris Okubo, Glen E. Cushing
2017, International Journal of Speleology (46) 493-444
Infrasonic resonance has previously been measured in terrestrial caves by other researchers, where Helmholtz resonance has been suggested as the plausible mechanism resulting in periodic wind reversals within cave entrances. We extend this reasoning to possible Martian caves, where we examine the characteristics of four atypical pit craters (APCs) on...
Isotopic characterization of late Neogene travertine deposits at Barrancas Blancas in the eastern Atacama Desert, Chile
J. Quade, E.T. Rasbury, K.W. Huntington, Adam M. Hudson, H. Vonhof, K. Anchukaitis, Julio L. Betancourt, C. Latorre, M. Pepper
2017, Chemical Geology (466) 41-56
Here we explore the potential of spring-related, surface and subsurface carbonates as an archive of paleoenvironmental change at Barrancas Blancas, located in the broadest and driest sector of the Atacama Desert at 24.5°S. From these deposits we present a new stable isotopic record of paleoenvironmental conditions over portions of the...
Shifts in an invasive rodent community favoring black rats (Rattus rattus) following restoration of native forest
Aaron B. Shiels, Arthur C. Medeiros, Erica I. von Allmen
2017, Restoration Ecology (25) 759-767
One potential, unintended ecological consequence accompanying forest restoration is a shift in invasive animal populations, potentially impacting conservation targets. Eighteen years after initial restoration (ungulate exclusion, invasive plant control, and out planting native species) at a 4 ha site on Maui, Hawai'i, we compared invasive rodent communities in a restored native...
Surveillance for highly pathogenic influenza A viruses in California during 2014–2015 provides insights into viral evolutionary pathways and the spatiotemporal extent of viruses in the Pacific Americas Flyway
Andrew M. Ramey, Nichola J. Hill, Troy Cline, Magdalena Plancarte, Susan De La Cruz, Michael L. Casazza, Joshua T. Ackerman, Joseph P. Fleskes, T. Winston Vickers, Andrew B. Reeves, Frances Gulland, Christine Fontaine, Diann J. Prosser, Jonathan Runstadler, Walter M. Boyce
2017, Emerging Microbes & Infections (6) 1-10
We used surveillance data collected in California before, concurrent with, and subsequent to an outbreak of highly pathogenic (HP) clade 2.3.4.4 influenza A viruses (IAVs) in 2014–2015 to (i) evaluate IAV prevalence in waterfowl, (ii) assess the evidence for spill-over infections in marine mammals and (iii) genetically characterize low-pathogenic (LP)...
Geothermal implications of a refined composition-age geologic map for the volcanic terrains of southeast Oregon, northeast California, and southwest Idaho, USA
Erick R. Burns, Marshall W. Gannett, David R. Sherrod, Mackenzie K. Keith, Jennifer A. Curtis, James R. Bartolino, John A. Engott, Benjamin P. Scandella, Michelle A. Stern, Alan L. Flint
2017, Conference Paper, Geothermal Resources Transactions
Sufficient temperatures to generate steam likely exist under most of the dominantly volcanic terrains of southeast Oregon, northeast California, and southeast Idaho, USA, but finding sufficient permeability to allow efficient advective heat exchange is an outstanding challenge. A new thematic interpretation of existing state-level geologic maps provides an updated and...
A fault‐based model for crustal deformation in the western United States based on a combined inversion of GPS and geologic inputs
Yuehua Zeng, Zheng-Kang Shen
2017, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (107) 2597-2612
We develop a crustal deformation model to determine fault‐slip rates for the western United States (WUS) using the Zeng and Shen (2014) method that is based on a combined inversion of Global Positioning System (GPS) velocities and geological slip‐rate constraints. The model consists of six blocks with...
Hypogene caves of the central Appalachian Shenandoah Valley in Virginia
Daniel H. Doctor, Wil Orndorff
2017, Book chapter, Hypogene karst regions and caves of the world
Several caves in the Shenandoah Valley in Virginia show evidence for early hypogenic conduit development with later-enhanced solution under partly confined phreatic conditions guided by geologic structures. Many (but not all) of these caves have been subsequently invaded by surface waters as a result of erosion and exhumation. Those not...
The lethality of hot water and ozone to aquatic invasive species
Riley Buley
2017, Thesis
The spread of Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) between the Great Lakes and Mississippi River Basin by way of the Chicago Area Waterway System (CAWS) is a pressing concern to resource managers in the Midwest region. Augmenting this spread are watercrafts traveling through the CAWS locks and dams. AIS are able...
Breeding behavior of northern saw-whet owls in Oregon
Jenna M. McCullough, Courtney J. Conway
2017, Northwest Science (91) 222-227
We know little about the breeding behavior of most nocturnal raptors. Nest attendance and prey delivery rates can be used as indices of relative habitat quality or extent of parental care. We used video cameras to document and observe prey delivery rates, nest attendance and bout durations at two northern...
Pairing field methods to improve inference in wildlife surveys while accommodating detection covariance
John Clare, Shawn T. McKinney, John E. DePue, Cynthia S. Loftin
2017, Ecological Applications (27) 2031-2047
It is common to use multiple field sampling methods when implementing wildlife surveys to compare method efficacy or cost efficiency, integrate distinct pieces of information provided by separate methods, or evaluate method-specific biases and misclassification error. Existing models that combine information from multiple field methods or sampling devices permit rigorous...
Transmission routes maintaining a viral pathogen of steelhead trout within a complex multi-host assemblage
Rachel Breyta, Ilana L. Brito, Paige Ferguson, Gael Kurath, Kerry A. Naish, Maureen K. Purcell, Andrew R. Wargo, Shannon L. LaDeau
2017, Ecology and Evolution (7) 8187-8200
This is the first comprehensive region wide, spatially explicit epidemiologic analysis of surveillance data of the aquatic viral pathogen infectious hematopoietic necrosis virus (IHNV) infecting native salmonid fish. The pathogen has been documented in the freshwater ecosystem of the Pacific Northwest of North America since the 1950s, and the current...
Harvesting wildlife affected by climate change: a modelling and management approach for polar bears
Eric V. Regehr, Ryan H. Wilson, Karyn D. Rode, Michael C. Runge, Harry Stern
2017, Journal of Applied Ecology (54) 1534-1543
The conservation of many wildlife species requires understanding the demographic effects of climate change, including interactions between climate change and harvest, which can provide cultural, nutritional or economic value to humans.We present a demographic model that is based on the polar bear Ursus maritimus life cycle and includes density-dependent...
Accounting for imperfect detection of groups and individuals when estimating abundance
Matthew J. Clement, Sarah J. Converse, J. Andrew Royle
2017, Ecology and Evolution (7) 7304-7310
If animals are independently detected during surveys, many methods exist for estimating animal abundance despite detection probabilities <1. Common estimators include double-observer models, distance sampling models and combined double-observer and distance sampling models (known as mark-recapture-distance-sampling models; MRDS). When animals reside in groups, however, the assumption of independent detection is...
Groundwater declines are linked to changes in Great Plains stream fish assemblages
Joshuah S. Prekins, Keith B. Gido, Jeffrey A. Falke, Kurt D. Fausch, Harry Crockett, Eric R. Johnson, John Sanderson
2017, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (114) 7373-7378
Groundwater pumping for agriculture is a major driver causing declines of global freshwater ecosystems, yet the ecological consequences for stream fish assemblages are rarely quantified. We combined retrospective (1950–2010) and prospective (2011–2060) modeling approaches within a multiscale framework to predict change in Great Plains stream fish assemblages associated with groundwater...
Extreme precipitation variability, forage quality and large herbivore diet selection in arid environments
James W. Cain III, Jay V. Gedir, Jason P. Marshal, Paul R. Krausman, Jamison D. Allen, Glenn C. Duff, Brian Jansen, John R. Morgart
2017, Oikos (126) 1459-1471
Nutritional ecology forms the interface between environmental variability and large herbivore behaviour, life history characteristics, and population dynamics. Forage conditions in arid and semi-arid regions are driven by unpredictable spatial and temporal patterns in rainfall. Diet selection by herbivores should be directed towards overcoming the most pressing nutritional limitation (i.e....
Diet composition, quality and overlap of sympatric American pronghorn and gemsbok
James W. Cain III, Mindi M. Avery, Colleen A. Caldwell, Laurie B. Abbott, Jerry L. Holechek
2017, Wildlife Biology (2017) 1-10
Species with a long evolutionary history of sympatry often have mechanisms for resource partitioning that reduce competition. However, introduced non-native ungulates often compete with native ungulates and competitive effects can be exacerbated in arid regions due to low primary productivity. Our objectives were to characterize diet composition, quality, and overlap...
New insight into the origin of manganese oxide ore deposits in the Appalachian Valley and Ridge of northeastern Tennessee and northern Virginia, USA
Sarah K. Carmichael, Daniel H. Doctor, Crystal G. Wilson, Joshua Feierstein, Ryan J. McAleer
2017, GSA Bulletin (129) 1158-1180
Manganese oxide deposits have long been observed in association with carbonates within the Appalachian Mountains, but their origin has remained enigmatic for well over a century. Ore deposits of Mn oxides from several productive sites located in eastern Tennessee and northern Virginia display morphologies that include botryoidal and branching forms,...
Enhancing hatch rate and survival in laboratory-reared hybrid Devils Hole Pupfish through application of antibiotics to eggs and larvae
Olin Feuerbacher, Scott A. Bonar, Paul J. Barrett
2017, North American Journal of Aquaculture (79) 106-114
We evaluated the effectiveness of four antibiotics in enhancing the hatch rate, larval survival, and adult survival of hybrid Devils Hole Pupfish Cyprinodon diabolis (hybridized with Ash Meadows Amargosa Pupfish C. nevadensis mionectes). Cephalexin (CEX; concentration = 6.6 mg/L of water), chloramphenicol (CAM; 50 mg/L), erythromycin (ERY; 12.5 mg/L), and trimethoprim sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX;...
Taxonomic and compositional differences of ground-dwelling arthropods in riparian habitats in Glen Canyon, Arizona, USA
Barbara Ralston, Neil S. Cobb, Sandra L. Brantley, Jacob Higgins, Charles B. Yackulic
2017, Western North American Naturalist (77) 369-384
The disturbance history, plant species composition, productivity, and structural complexity of a site can exert bottom-up controls on arthropod diversity, abundance, and trophic structure. Regulation alters the hydrology and disturbance regimes of rivers and affects riparian habitats by changing plant quality parameters. Fifty years of regulation along the Colorado River...
Capturing change: the duality of time-lapse imagery to acquire data and depict ecological dynamics
Emma M. Brinley Buckley, Craig R. Allen, Michael Forsberg, Michael Farrell, Andrew J. Caven
2017, Ecology and Society (22) 1-12
We investigate the scientific and communicative value of time-lapse imagery by exploring applications for data collection and visualization. Time-lapse imagery has a myriad of possible applications to study and depict ecosystems and can operate at unique temporal and spatial scales to bridge the gap between large-scale satellite imagery projects and...
Culturally induced range infilling of eastern redcedar: a problem in ecology, an ecological problem, or both?
Aubrey Streit Krug, Daniel R. Uden, Craig R. Allen, Dirac Twidwell
2017, Ecology and Society (22)
The philosopher John Passmore distinguished between (1) “problems in ecology,” or what we might call problems in scientific understanding of ecological change, and (2) “ecological problems,” or what we might call problems faced by societies due to ecological change. The spread of eastern redcedar (Juniperus virginiana) and conversion of the...
Environmental conditions and prey-switching by a seabird predator impact juvenile salmon survival
Brian K. Wells, Jarrod A. Santora, Mark J. Henderson, Peter Warzybok, Jaime Jahncke, Russell W. Bradley, David D. Huff, Isaac D. Schroeder, Peter Nelson, John C. Field, David G. Ainley
2017, Journal of Marine Systems (174) 54-63
Due to spatio-temporal variability of lower trophic-level productivity along the California Current Ecosystem (CCE), predators must be capable of switching prey or foraging areas in response to changes in environmental conditions and available forage. The Gulf of the Farallones in central California represents a biodiversity hotspot and contains the largest...
Regime shifts and panarchies in regional scale social-ecological water systems
Lance Gunderson, Barbara Cosens, Brian C. Chaffin, Craig Anthony Arnold, Alexander K. Fremier, Ahjond S. Garmestani, Robin Kundis Craig, Hannah Gosnell, Hannah E. Birge, Craig R. Allen, Melinda H. Benson, Ryan R. Morrison, Mark Stone, Joseph A. Hamm, Kristine T. Nemec, Edella Schlager, Dagmar Llewellyn
2017, Ecology and Society (22) 1-12
In this article we summarize histories of nonlinear, complex interactions among societal, legal, and ecosystem dynamics in six North American water basins, as they respond to changing climate. These case studies were chosen to explore the conditions for emergence of adaptive governance in heavily regulated and developed social-ecological systems...