Regime shifts and panarchies in regional scale social-ecological water systems
Lance Gunderson, Barbara Cosens, Brian C. Chaffin, Craig Anthony Arnold, Alexander K. Fremier, Ahjond S. Garmestani, Robin Kundis Craig, Hannah Gosnell, Hannah E. Birge, Craig R. Allen, Melinda H. Benson, Ryan R. Morrison, Mark Stone, Joseph A. Hamm, Kristine T. Nemec, Edella Schlager, Dagmar Llewellyn
2017, Ecology and Society (22) 1-12
In this article we summarize histories of nonlinear, complex interactions among societal, legal, and ecosystem dynamics in six North American water basins, as they respond to changing climate. These case studies were chosen to explore the conditions for emergence of adaptive governance in heavily regulated and developed social-ecological systems...
Balancing stability and flexibility in adaptive governance: An analysis of tools available in U.S. environmental law
Robin Kundis Craig, Ahjond S. Garmestani, Craig R. Allen, Craig Anthony Arnold, Hannah E. Birge, Daniel A. DeCaro, Alexander K. Fremier, Hannah Gosnell, Edella Schlager
2017, Ecology and Society (22) 1-15
Adaptive governance must work “on the ground,” that is, it must operate through structures and procedures that the people it governs perceive to be legitimate and fair, as well as incorporating processes and substantive goals that are effective in allowing social-ecological systems (SESs) to adapt to climate change and other...
Seasonality of change: Summer warming rates do not fully represent effects of climate change on lake temperatures
Luke Winslow, Jordan S. Read, Gretchen J. A. Hansen, Kevin C. Rose, Dale M. Robertson
2017, Limnology and Oceanography (62) 2168-2178
Responses in lake temperatures to climate warming have primarily been characterized using seasonal metrics of surface-water temperatures such as summertime or stratified period average temperatures. However, climate warming may not affect water temperatures equally across seasons or depths. We analyzed a long-term dataset (1981–2015) of biweekly water temperature data in...
Is the impact of eutrophication on phytoplankton diversity dependent on lake volume/ecosystem size?
Didier L. Baho, Stina Drakare, Richard K. Johnson, Craig R. Allen, David G. Angeler
2017, Journal of Limnology (76) 199-210
Research focusing on biodiversity responses to the interactions of ecosystem size and anthropogenic stressors are based mainly on correlative gradient studies, and may therefore confound size-stress relationships due to spatial context and differences in local habitat features across ecosystems. We investigated how local factors related to anthropogenic stressors (e.g.,eutrophication) interact...
Large-scale modeled contemporary and future water temperature estimates for 10774 Midwestern U.S. Lakes
Luke A. Winslow, Gretchen J. A. Hansen, Jordan S. Read, Michael Notaro
2017, Scientific Data (4) 1-11
Climate change has already influenced lake temperatures globally, but understanding future change is challenging. The response of lakes to changing climate drivers is complex due to the nature of lake-atmosphere coupling, ice cover, and stratification. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers insight...
Challenges and solutions for applying the travel cost demand model to geographically remote visitor destinations: A case study of bear viewing at Katmai National Park and Preserve
Leslie Richardson, Christopher Huber, John B. Loomis
2017, Human Dimensions of Wildlife (22) 550-563
Remote and unique destinations present difficulties when attempting to construct traditional travel cost models to value recreation demand. The biggest limitation comes from the lack of variation in the dependent variable, defined as the number of trips taken over a set time frame. There are various approaches that can be...
Continuously amplified warming in the Alaskan Arctic: Implications for estimating global warming hiatus
Kang Wang, Tingjun Zhang, Xiangdong Zhang, Gary D. Clow, Elchin E. Jafarov, Irina Overeem, Vladimir Romanovsky, Xiaoqing Peng, Bin Cao
2017, Geophysical Research Letters (44) 9029-9038
Historically, in situ measurements have been notoriously sparse over the Arctic. As a consequence, the existing gridded data of surface air temperature (SAT) may have large biases in estimating the warming trend in this region. Using data from an expanded monitoring network with 31 stations in the Alaskan Arctic, we...
Shifts in an invasive rodent community favoring black rats (Rattus rattus) following restoration of native forest
Aaron B. Shiels, Arthur C. Medeiros, Erica I. von Allmen
2017, Restoration Ecology (25) 759-767
One potential, unintended ecological consequence accompanying forest restoration is a shift in invasive animal populations, potentially impacting conservation targets. Eighteen years after initial restoration (ungulate exclusion, invasive plant control, and out planting native species) at a 4 ha site on Maui, Hawai'i, we compared invasive rodent communities in a restored native...
Durable terrestrial bedrock predicts submarine canyon formation
Elliot Smith, Noah J. Finnegan, Erich R. Mueller, Rebecca J. Best
2017, Geophysical Research Letters (44) 10332-10340
Though submarine canyons are first-order topographic features of Earth, the processes responsible for their occurrence remain poorly understood. Potentially analogous studies of terrestrial rivers show that the flux and caliber of transported bedload are significant controls on bedrock incision. Here we hypothesize that coarse sediment load could exert a similar...
Using long-term data to predict fish abundance: the case of Prochilodus lineatus (Characiformes, Prochilodontidae) in the intensely regulated upper Paraná River
Pitagoras A. Piana, Barbara F. Cardoso, Joilson Dias, Luiz C. Gomes, Angelo A. Agostinho, Leandro E. Miranda
2017, Neotropical Ichthyology (15) 1-12
Populations show spatial-temporal fluctuations in abundance, partly due to random processes and partly due to self-regulatory processes. We evaluated the effects of various external factors on the population numerical abundance of curimba Prochilodus lineatus in the upper Paraná River floodplain, Brazil, over a 19-year period. Panel data analysis was applied to examine...
Restricted gene flow between resident Oncorhynchus mykiss and an admixed population of anadromous steelhead
Andrew P. Matala, Brady Allen, Shawn R. Narum, Elaine Harvey
2017, Ecology and Evolution (7) 8349-8362
The species Oncorhynchus mykiss is characterized by a complex life history that presents a significant challenge for population monitoring and conservation management. Many factors contribute to genetic variation in O. mykiss populations, including sympatry among migratory phenotypes, habitat heterogeneity, hatchery introgression, and immigration (stray) rates. The relative influences of these and other factors are contingent...
Relative abundance of deformed wing virus, Varroa destructor virus 1, and their recombinants in honey bees (Apis mellifera) assessed by kmer analysis of public RNA-Seq data
Robert S. Cornman
2017, Journal of Invertebrate Pathology (149) 44-50
Deformed wing virus (DWV) is a major pathogen of concern to apiculture, and recent reports have indicated the local predominance and potential virulence of recombinants between DWV and a related virus, Varroa destructor virus 1 (VDV). However, little is known about the frequency and titer of VDV and recombinants relative...
Harvesting wildlife affected by climate change: a modelling and management approach for polar bears
Eric V. Regehr, Ryan H. Wilson, Karyn D. Rode, Michael C. Runge, Harry Stern
2017, Journal of Applied Ecology (54) 1534-1543
The conservation of many wildlife species requires understanding the demographic effects of climate change, including interactions between climate change and harvest, which can provide cultural, nutritional or economic value to humans.We present a demographic model that is based on the polar bear Ursus maritimus life cycle and includes density-dependent...
Influence of precipitation and crop germination on resource selection by mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) in southwest Colorado
Emily M. Carrollo, Heather E. Johnson, Justin W. Fischer, Matthew Hammond, Patricia D. Dorsey, Charles Anderson, Kurt C. Vercauteren, W. David Walter
2017, Scientific Reports (7) 1-9
Mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) populations in the western United States provide many benefits to local economies but can also cause considerable damage to agriculture, particularly damage to lucrative crops. Limited information exists to understand resource selection of mule deer in response to annual variation in crop rotation and climatic conditions....
Taxonomic and compositional differences of ground-dwelling arthropods in riparian habitats in Glen Canyon, Arizona, USA
Barbara Ralston, Neil S. Cobb, Sandra L. Brantley, Jacob Higgins, Charles B. Yackulic
2017, Western North American Naturalist (77) 369-384
The disturbance history, plant species composition, productivity, and structural complexity of a site can exert bottom-up controls on arthropod diversity, abundance, and trophic structure. Regulation alters the hydrology and disturbance regimes of rivers and affects riparian habitats by changing plant quality parameters. Fifty years of regulation along the Colorado River...
Resilience in ecotoxicology: Toward a multiple equilibrium concept
Mirco Bundschuh, Ralf Schulz, Craig R. Allen, David G. Angeler
2017, Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (36) 2574-2580
The term resilience describes stress–response patterns across scientific disciplines. In ecology, advances have been made to clearly define resilience based on underlying mechanistic assumptions. Engineering resilience (rebound) is used to describe the ability of organisms to recover from adverse conditions (disturbances), which is termed the rate of recovery. By contrast,...
Unraveling the channel–lobe transition zone with high-resolution AUV bathymetry: Navy Fan, offshore Baja California, Mexico
Cristian Carvajal, Charles K. Paull, David W. Caress, Andrea Fildani, Eve M. Lundsten, Krystle Anderson, Katherine L. Maier, Mary McGann, Roberto Gwiazda, Juan Carlos Herguera
2017, Journal of Sedimentary Research (87) 1049-1059
Ultra-high-resolution (1 m * 1 m * 0.25 m) bathymetry was acquired with an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) over a sector of the Navy Fan offshore Baja California. The survey specifically targeted an area where the former interpretation of the fan showed a channel–lobe transition; however, the lobe and the...
Effects of sulfide concentration and dissolved organic matter characteristics on the structure of nanocolloidal metacinnabar
Brett Poulin, Chase A. Gerbig, Christopher S. Kim, John P. Stegemeier, Joseph N. Ryan, George R. Aiken
2017, Environmental Science & Technology (51) 13133-13142
Understanding the speciation of divalent mercury (Hg(II)) in aquatic systems containing dissolved organic matter (DOM) and sulfide is necessary to predict the conversion of Hg(II) to bioavailable methylmercury. We used X-ray absorption spectroscopy to characterize the structural order of mercury in Hg(II)–DOM–sulfide systems for a range of sulfide concentration (1–100...
Role of a naturally varying flow regime in Everglades restoration
Judson Harvey, Paul R. Wetzel, Thomas E. Lodge, Victor C. Engel, Michael S. Ross
2017, Restoration Ecology (25) S27-S38
The Everglades is a low-gradient floodplain predominantly on organic soil that undergoes seasonally pulsing sheetflow through a network of deepwater sloughs separated by slightly higher elevation ridges. The seasonally pulsing flow permitted the coexistence of ridge and slough vegetation, including the persistence of productive, well-connected sloughs that seasonally concentrated prey...
Transmission routes maintaining a viral pathogen of steelhead trout within a complex multi-host assemblage
Rachel Breyta, Ilana L. Brito, Paige Ferguson, Gael Kurath, Kerry A. Naish, Maureen K. Purcell, Andrew R. Wargo, Shannon L. LaDeau
2017, Ecology and Evolution (7) 8187-8200
This is the first comprehensive region wide, spatially explicit epidemiologic analysis of surveillance data of the aquatic viral pathogen infectious hematopoietic necrosis virus (IHNV) infecting native salmonid fish. The pathogen has been documented in the freshwater ecosystem of the Pacific Northwest of North America since the 1950s, and the current...
Optimal control of an invasive species using a reaction-diffusion model and linear programming
Mathieu Bonneau, Fred A. Johnson, Brian J. Smith, Christina M. Romagosa, Julien Martin, Frank J. Mazzotti
2017, Ecosphere (8) 1-17
Managing an invasive species is particularly challenging as little is generally known about the species’ biological characteristics in its new habitat. In practice, removal of individuals often starts before the species is studied to provide the information that will later improve control. Therefore, the locations and the amount of control...
The interior structure of Ceres as revealed by surface topography
Roger R. Fu, Anton Ermakov, Simone Marchi, Julie C. Castillo-Rogez, Carol A. Raymond, Bradford Hager, Maria Zuber, Scott D. King, Michael T. Bland, Maria Cristina De Sanctis, Frank Preusker, Ryan S. Park, Christopher T. Russell
2017, Earth and Planetary Science Letters (476) 153-164
Ceres, the largest body in the asteroid belt (940 km diameter), provides a unique opportunity to study the interior structure of a volatile-rich dwarf planet. Variations in a planetary body's subsurface rheology and density affect the rate of topographic relaxation. Preferential attenuation of long...
3-D simulations of M9 earthquakes on the Cascadia Megathrust: Key parameters and uncertainty
Erin Wirth, Arthur D. Frankel, John Vidale, Nasser A. Marafi, William J. Stephenson
2017, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 11th National Conference in Earthquake Engineering
Geologic and historical records indicate that the Cascadia subduction zone is capable of generating large, megathrust earthquakes up to magnitude 9. The last great Cascadia earthquake occurred in 1700, and thus there is no direct measure on the intensity of ground shaking or specific rupture parameters from seismic recordings. We...
Evaluating spatial and temporal relationships between an earthquake cluster near Entiat, central Washington, and the large December 1872 Entiat earthquake
Thomas M. Brocher, Richard J. Blakely, Brian L. Sherrod
2017, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (107) 2380-2393
We investigate spatial and temporal relations between an ongoing and prolific seismicity cluster in central Washington, near Entiat, and the 14 December 1872 Entiat earthquake, the largest historic crustal earthquake in Washington. A fault scarp produced by the 1872 earthquake lies within the Entiat cluster; the locations and areas of...
Evaluating a kinematic method for generating broadband ground motions for great subduction zone earthquakes: Application to the 2003 Mw 8.3 Tokachi‐Oki earthquake
Erin A. Wirth, Arthur D. Frankel, John E. Vidale
2017, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (107) 1737-1753
We compare broadband synthetic seismograms with recordings of the 2003 Mw">MwMw 8.3 Tokachi‐Oki earthquake to evaluate a compound rupture model, in which slip on the fault consists of multiple high‐stress‐drop asperities superimposed on...