Linking environmental variability to long-term demographic change of an endangered species using integrated population models
Marisa Takada Martinez, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach
2025, Journal of Applied Ecology (62) 1137-1151
Understanding how species populations change with environmental conditions is important for implementing effective habitat management and conservation strategies. Challenges to evaluating population-level responses to environmental conditions arise when data are sparse or not spatiotemporally aligned, especially for at-risk species with small, declining numbers.We synthesized 30 years (1992–2021) of three partially...
Drought in the Delta: Socio-ecological impacts, responses, and tools
Rosemary Hartman, Noah Knowles, Amanda Fencl, Julia Ekstrom
2025, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science (23)
Droughts are frequent events in the western United States, and can disrupt water supply and degrade water quality, challenging water management in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (Delta). This chapter for the State of Bay–Delta Science report describes what drought means for the Delta, how drought is managed in the Delta,...
Science needs for determining the effects of climate change on harmful algal blooms in the southeastern United States
Tom D. Byl, Devin M. Moore, Champagne Cunningham, De’Etra Young
2025, Open-File Report 2025-1004
The Southeastern United States has many lakes, streams, and reservoirs that serve as important drinking water sources with recreational, agricultural, and ecological uses. However, harmful algal blooms (HABs) are becoming more common in these waters, causing health issues for humans and animals. HABs have been listed as a contaminant of...
Hydrogeologic investigation, framework, and conceptual flow model of the Antlers aquifer, southeastern Oklahoma, 1980–2022
Evin J. Fetkovich, Amy S. Morris, Isaac A. Dale, Chloe Codner, Ethan A. Kirby, Colin A. Baciocco, Ian M.J. Rogers, Derrick L. Wagner, Zachary D. Tomlinson, Eric G. Fiorentino
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5013
The 1973 Oklahoma Groundwater Law (Oklahoma Statute §82–1020.5) requires that the Oklahoma Water Resources Board conduct hydrologic investigations of the State’s groundwater basins to support a determination of the maximum annual yield for each groundwater basin. Every 20 years, the Oklahoma Water Resources Board is required to update the hydrologic...
Hydrological whiplash: Highlighting the need for better understanding and quantification of sub-seasonal hydrological extreme transitions
John C. Hammond, Bailey Anderson, Caelan Simeone, Manuela Brunner, Eduardo Munoz-Castro, Stacey A. Archfield, Eugene Magee, Rachael Armitage
2025, Hydrological Processes (39)
In this commentary, we aim to (1) describe ways that hydrological intensification and hydrological whiplash (sub-seasonal transitions between hydrological extremes) may impact water management decision-making, (2) introduce the complexities of identifying and quantifying hydrological extreme transitions, (3) discuss the processes controlling hydrological transitions and trends in hydrological extremes through time,...
A comprehensive freshwater mussel database for the Duck River Drainage, Tennessee
Kristen Irwin Womble, Amanda E. Rosenberger
2025, Cooperator Science Series CSS-166-2025
We have developed a comprehensive database for freshwater mussels for the Duck River drainage in Tennessee, including its largest tributary, the Buffalo River. This database is intended to serve as an expandable template that could be applied statewide. The Duck River is one of the most biologically diverse rivers in...
Specific conductance and water type as a proxy model for salinity and total dissolved solids measurements in the Upper Colorado River Basin
R. Blaine McCleskey, Charles A. Cravotta III, Matthew P. Miller, Tanner William Chapin, Fred D. Tillman, Gabrielle L. Keith
2025, Applied Geochemistry (184)
Salinity levels in streams and tributaries of the Colorado River Basin have been a major concern for the United States and Mexico for over 50 years as the water is used by millions of people for domestic and industrial purposes. Recently, the United States Geological Survey expanded stream monitoring networks...
Latitudinal gradients of snow contamination in the Rocky Mountains associated with anthropogenic sources
Monica Arienzo, Kelly Gleason, Graham A. Sexstone, Mae Sexauer Gustin, Melissa Schwan, Nicole Choma, Sarrah Dunham-Cheatham, Joseph R. McConnell, Peter Weisberg, Adam Csank
2025, Environmental Pollution (373)
Seasonal snow is an important source of drinking water and recreation, and for agriculture in the Rocky Mountain region. Monitoring snow-water quality can inform on the effects to the albedo and energy balance of the snowpack, and the sources of natural and anthropogenic aerosol and gases. This study analyzed metals...
Decadal stability in stream fish communities and contemporary ecological drivers of species occupancy in two Appalachian U.S. National Parks
Morgan B. Stum, Caleb J. Tzilkowski, Matthew R. Marshall, Frances E. Buderman, Tyler Wagner
2025, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (154) 17-34
Objective Although conserving fish biodiversity in lotic systems is challenging, protected areas can provide refuge from certain environmental stressors. In the Appalachian region, USA, the National Park Service manages Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area (DEWA) and New River Gorge National Park & Preserve (NERI), which contain abundant and diverse...
A model uncertainty quantification protocol for evaluating the value of observation data
Michael N. Fienen, Laura A. Schachter, Randall J. Hunt
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5007
The history-matching approach to parameter estimation with models enables a powerful offshoot analysis of data worth—using the uncertainty of a model forecast as a metric for the worth of data. Adding observation data will either have no impact on forecast uncertainty or will reduce it. Removing existing data will either...
Predicting pup-rearing habitat for Mexican wolves
Sarah B. Bassing, John K. Oakleaf, James W. Cain III, Allison R. Greenleaf, Colby M. Gardner, David Edward Ausband
2025, Journal of Wildlife Management (89)
Population monitoring is essential to document recovery efforts for threatened and endangered species. Mexican wolves (Canis lupus baileyi) are an endangered subspecies of gray wolves that historically occupied large portions of the American Southwest and Mexico. Recently, the Mexican wolf population in the United States has been growing rapidly and...
Evaluating the potential to quantify salmon habitat via UAS-based particle image velocimetry
Lee R. Harrison, Carl J. Legleiter, Brandon Overstreet, James White
2025, Water Resources Research (3)
Continuous, high-resolution data for characterizing freshwater habitat conditions can support successful management of endangered salmonids. Uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS) make acquiring such fine-scale data along river channels more feasible, but workflows for quantifying reach-scale salmon habitats are lacking. We evaluated the potential for UAS-based mapping of hydraulic habitats using spectrally...
Dynamic baseflow storage estimates and the role of topography, geology and evapotranspiration on streamflow recession characteristics in the Neversink Reservoir Watershed, New York
Joshua R. Benton, Daniel H. Doctor
2025, Hydrological Processes (39)
Estimates of dynamic groundwater volumes supplying baseflow to streams are important for water availability projections during extended periods of drought. The primary goals of this study were to provide dynamic storage volume estimates, inferred from streamflow recession analysis, for baseflow regimes within seven gaged catchments within the Neversink Reservoir Watershed...
Comparison of hydrologic data and water budgets between 2003–08 and 2018–23 for the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, south-central Oklahoma
Shana L. Mashburn, Evin J. Fetkovich, Hayden A. Lockmiller, Chloe Codner, Ethan Allen Kirby, Isaac A. Dale, Colin A. Baciocco
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5011
The Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer is divided spatially into three parts (eastern, central, and western). The largest groundwater withdrawals are from the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, which provides water to approximately 39,000 people in Ada and Sulphur, Oklahoma, and surrounding areas. The Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, including the eastern part, is designated...
Methods for peak-flow frequency analysis for streamgages in or near Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming
Seth A. Siefken, Tara Williams-Sether, Nancy A. Barth, Katherine J. Chase, Mark A. Cedar Face
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5019
The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation, North Dakota Department of Water Resources, South Dakota Department of Transportation, and the Wyoming Water Development Office, has developed standard methods of peak-flow frequency analysis for studies in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming....
Analysis of aquifer framework and properties, Alvahs Lane well field, Cutchogue, New York
Paul E. Misut
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5128
The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Suffolk County Water Authority, evaluated the aquifer transmissivity and storage properties at the Alvahs Lane well field north of the village of Cutchogue, New York. This analysis of aquifer properties provides the Suffolk County Water Authority with hydrogeologic information needed to develop...
Base-flow sampling to enhance understanding of the groundwater flow component of nitrogen loading in small watersheds draining into Long Island Sound
Kaitlin L. Laabs, Janet R. Barclay, John R. Mullaney
2025, Data Report 1206
Excessive nitrogen discharge is a major concern for the Long Island Sound. Programs have been implemented to reduce point sources of nitrogen to the sound, but little is known about the nonpoint sources. This study aims to better understand the current groundwater contributions of nitrogen from nonpoint sources in the...
Hydrologic mechanisms for 2022 Yellowstone River flood and comparisons to recent historic floods
Jeremy Giovando, Wyatt Reis, Wei Zhang, Nancy A. Barth
2025, Hydrological Processes (39)
In June 2022, a historic flood event occurred in the headwaters of the Yellowstone River Basin. The flood resulted in millions of dollars in damages and substantial interruptions to Yellowstone National Park. The 2022 flood event was substantially higher in magnitude than other high-peak flow events over the last 30 years....
Overwinter survival of an estuarine resident fish (Fundulus heteroclitus) in North Carolina salt marsh creeks
P. J. Rudershausen, Matthew J. O'Donnell
2025, Journal of Fish of Biology (107) 188-200
The mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus is a trophically important fish inhabiting Atlantic coastal salt marshes, with few in situ estimates of overwinter survival throughout the species range. We estimated overwinter apparent survival rates of F. heteroclitus at the approximate mid-latitudinal species range [coastal North Carolina (USA)] in four tidal creeks that experience variable winter water...
Temporal and spatial equivalence in demographic responses of emperor penguins (Aptenodytes forsteri) to environmental change
Bilgecan Şen, Christian Joseph Che-Castaldo, Michelle A. LaRue, Kristen M. Krumhardt, Laura Landrum, Marika M. Holland, Heather J. Lynch, Karine Delord, Christophe Barbraud, Stéphanie Jenouvrier
2025, Journal of Animal Ecology (94) 932-942
1. Population ecology and biogeography applications often necessitate the transfer of models across spatial and/or temporal dimensions to make predictions outside the bounds of the data used for model fitting. However, ecological data are often spatiotemporally unbalanced such that the spatial or the temporal dimension tends to contain more data...
Evaluating drought risk of the Red River of the North Basin using historical and stochastic streamflow upstream from Emerson, Manitoba
Fleford Santos Redoloza, Robin L. Glas, Rochelle A. Nustad, Karen R. Ryberg
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5002
Drought and its effect on streamflow are important to understand because of the potential to adversely affect water supply, agricultural production, and ecological conditions. The Red River of the North Basin in north-central United States and central Canada is susceptible to dry conditions. During an extended drought, streamflow conditions in...
Dynamic rating method for computing discharge and stage from time-series data
Marian M. Domanski, Robert R. Holmes, Jr., Elizabeth Heal, Travis M. Knight
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5129
Ratings are used for several reasons in water-resources investigations. The simplest rating relates discharge to the stage of a river (the stage-discharge relation). From a pure hydrodynamics perspective, all rivers and streams have some form of hysteresis in the relation between stage and discharge because flow becomes unsteady as a...
Characterization of stream water quality and groundwater levels in the Central Pine Barrens region, Suffolk County, New York, 2017–23
Amanda Nicole May, Irene Fisher, Amy E. Simonson, Banu Bayraktar
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5010
The area locally known as the “Central Pine Barrens” region, located in Suffolk County, New York, contains most of Long Island’s preserved and undeveloped land. This region overlays an aquifer system that provides potable groundwater for residents of Suffolk County. Between 2017 and 2023, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation...
Determining low-flow conditions at select streams to Barnegat Bay-Little Egg Harbor as the first step towards the development of ecological-flow targets
Christine M. Wieben, Jonathan G. Kennen, Thomas P. Suro
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5096
Maintaining streamflow to support human water needs and ecosystem services requires a fundamental understanding of the relations between changes in streamflow processes and ecosystem responses. Changes in the natural patterns in flow, geology, and topography alter the habitats that aquatic organisms rely on for food, shelter, and reproduction. The U.S....
Updating and recalibrating the integrated Santa Rosa Plain Hydrologic Model to assess stream depletion and to simulate future climate and management scenarios in Santa Rosa, Sonoma County, California
Ayman H. Alzraiee, Andrew Rich, Linda R. Woolfenden, Derek W. Ryter, Enrique Triana, Richard G. Niswonger
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5121
The Santa Rosa Plain Hydrologic Model (SRPHM) was developed and published in 2014 through a collaboration between the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and Sonoma Water to analyze the hydrologic system in the Santa Rosa Plain watershed, help meet the increasing demand for fresh water, and prepare for future uncertainties in...