River floods under wetter antecedent conditions deliver coarser sediment to the coast
Amy E. East, Alexander G. Snyder, Andrew W. Stevens, Jonathan A. Warrick, David J. Topping, Matthew A. Thomas, Andrew C. Ritchie
2025, Geophysical Research Letters (52)
Increasing hydrologic volatility—more extreme rain, and larger variations between wet and dry years—has become apparent in some regions, but few data exist to determine how intensifying hydrologic extremes affect sedimentary systems. Using uniquely high-resolution records of fluvial suspended sediment and coastal morphology, we quantify sedimentary responses from a steep, 357-km2 watershed...
Multi-Scale Graph Learning for anti-sparse downscaling
Yingda Fan, Runlong Yu, Janet R. Barclay, Alison P. Appling, Yiming Sun, Yiqun Xie, Xiaowei Jia
2025, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the AAAI conference on artificial intelligence
Water temperature can vary substantially even across short distances within the same sub-watershed. Accurate prediction of stream water temperature at fine spatial resolutions (i.e., fine scales, ≤ 1 km) enables precise interventions to maintain water quality and protect aquatic habitats. Although spatiotemporal models have made substantial progress in spatially coarse...
Identifying preferential flow from soil moisture time series: Review of methodologies
John R. Nimmo, Inge Wiekenkamp, Ryoko Araki, Jannis Groh, Nitin Singh, Octavia Crompton, Briana Wyatt, Hoori Ajami, Daniel Gimenez, Daniel Hirmas, Pamela Sullivan, Matthias Sprenger
2025, Vadose Zone Journal (24)
Identifying and quantifying preferential flow (PF) through soil—the rapid movement of water through spatially-distinct pathways in the subsurface—is vital to understanding how the hydrologic cycle responds to climate, land cover, and anthropogenic changes. In recent decades, methods have been developed that use measured soil moisture time series to identify PF....
Central Valley Hydrologic Model version 2 (CVHM2): Decision support tool for groundwater and land subsidence management
Kirk Nelson, Nigel Quinn, Jonathan A. Traum
2025, Water (17)
The San Joaquin Valley (SJV) of California is one of the world’s most productive agricultural regions. Reliance on groundwater has led to some of the greatest rates of human-induced land subsidence in the world in the 20th century, as well as more recently. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) has...
Application of Hydrologic Simulation Program—FORTRAN (HSPF) as part of an integrated hydrologic model for the Salinas Valley, California
Joseph A. Hevesi, Wesley R. Henson, Randall T. Hanson, Elizabeth Rae Jachens, Sandra Bond, Marisa Melody Earll, Deidre Herbert
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5009
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Monterey County Water Resources Agency, conducted studies to help evaluate the surface-water and groundwater resources of the Salinas Valley study area, consisting of the entire Salinas River watershed and several smaller, adjacent coastal watersheds draining into Monterey Bay. The Salinas Valley...
Influence of local river hydraulics on Kootenai River white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) habitat selection during four spawning years, 2017–2020
Taylor Dudunake, Megan Kearney Kenworthy, Troy Smith, Sarah Stephenson, Ryan S. Hardy
2025, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (82)
Understanding fine-scale habitat selection of endangered Kootenai River white sturgeon (Acipenser transmontanus) is an important component for monitoring and recovery efforts. Fine-scale habitat selection and quantifying temporal changes in suitable habitat contributes to the work of addressing recruitment failure within the Kootenai River population. Habitat suitability indices were developed using...
Uncertainty quantification of geophysical and hydrologic parameters estimated from borehole nuclear magnetic resonance data
Burke J. Minsley, Stephanie N. Phillips, Stephanie R. James
2025, JGR Machine Learning and Computation (2)
Borehole nuclear magnetic resonance (bNMR) data are typically used to infer in situ hydrologic properties. Partial water content as a function of pore size is estimated by fitting the measured NMR response to a multi-exponential T2 distribution, and the sum of estimated T2 amplitudes equals the total volumetric water content. From these estimated parameters,...
Salinas Valley integrated hydrologic and reservoir operations models, Monterey and San Luis Obispo Counties, California
Wesley R. Henson, Randy Hanson, Scott E. Boyce, Joseph A. Hevesi, Elizabeth Rae Jachens
2025, Preprint
The area surrounding the Salinas Valley groundwater basin in Monterey and San Luis Obispo Counties of California is a highly productive agricultural area, contributes significantly to the local economy, and provides a substantial portion of vegetables and other agricultural commodities to the Nation. This region of California provides about half...
Streamflow response to glacier mass loss varies with basin precipitation across Alaska
Janet H. Curran, Brianna Rick, Jeremy Littell, Louis C. Sass
2025, Water Resources Research (61)
Diminishing glaciers affect streamflow, and given the extent of glaciers in Alaska and adjacent Canada, continued glacier mass loss is likely to have profound effects on ecosystems sensitive to runoff. The effects of glacier mass loss on streamflow are likely to vary across the wide ranges of basin size, glacier...
Evaluating the applicability of the generalized power-law rating curve model: With applications to paired discharge-stage data from Iceland, Sweden, and the United States
Rafael Daniel Vias, Birgir Hrafnkelsson, Timothy O. Hodson, Sölvi Rögnvaldsson, Axel Örn Jansson, Sigurdur M. Gardarsson
2025, Journal of Hydrology (651)
Hydrologic research and operations make extensive use of streamflow time series. In most applications, these time series are estimated from rating curves, which relate flow to some easy-to-measure surrogate, typically stage. The conventional stage-discharge rating takes the form of a segmented power law, with one segment for each hydrologic control...
Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) mass flux and mass balance at an aqueous film-forming foam release site in semiarid eastern New Mexico, USA
Erin Louise Gray, Samuel Edwin Potteiger, Trevor Dylan Brannon, Stuart Bryan Norton, Jay Cho, Michael D. Annable
2025, Journal of Contaminant Hydrology (272)
Passive flux meters (PFMs) directly measure groundwater chemistry mass flux and Darcy flux, providing insight into contaminant source-zone architecture and transport properties. This study uses PFMs to characterize PFAS flux in groundwater at a semiarid site with a thick (greater than 90-m) unsaturated zone where groundwater has been contaminated with per-...
Understanding predator-prey-competitor dynamics between Lower Missouri River Macrhybopsis and Scaphirhynchus using a population—bioenergetics model ensemble
Mark L. Wildhaber, Janice L. Albers, Nicholas S. Green
2025, Ecological Modeling (504)
The pallid sturgeon Scaphirhynchus albus is a long-lived, endangered fish in the Missouri River. Individuals become piscivorous as adults, so recruitment from stocking or reproduction could reduce populations of prey, including Macrhybopsis chubs. We constructed an individual- and age-based, multi-species, predator-prey-competitor model (IAMP) to represent the benthic community (sturgeons, chubs, and chironomids) of the...
Estuarine tidal cycles may preserve thermal refugia as global temperatures increase
Melanie J. Davis, Isa Woo, Susan E.W. De La Cruz
2025, Estuaries and Coasts (48)
Climate change is affecting coastal ecosystems worldwide as water temperatures increase, hydrologic regimes change, and sea levels rise. Consequently, estuaries risk declines in ecosystem functioning due to increasing temperatures and other hydrologic factors. Characterizing and predicting estuarine water temperature are challenging because these systems are highly dynamic. Statistical models have...
A low-cost approach to monitoring streamflow dynamics in small, headwater streams using timelapse imagery and a deep learning model
Phillip J. Goodling, Jennifer H. Fair, Amrita Gupta, Jeffrey D. Walker, Todd Dubreuil, Michael J. Hayden, Benjamin Letcher
2025, Preprint
Despite their ubiquity and importance as freshwater habitat, small headwater streams are under monitored by existing stream gage networks. To address this gap, we describe a low-cost, non-contact, and low-effort method that enables organizations to monitor streamflow dynamics in small headwater streams. The method uses a camera to capture repeat...
Fiber-optic distributed temperature sensing of hydrologic processes—Diverse deployments and new applications by the U.S. Geological Survey
Martin A. Briggs, David M. Rey, Chad C. Opatz, Neil Terry, Connor P. Newman, Lance R. Gruhn, Carole D. Johnson
2025, Fact Sheet 2025-3006
Fiber-optic distributed temperature sensing instruments harness the temperature-dependent properties of glass to measure temperature continuously along optical fibers by using precise pulses of laser light. In the mid-2000s, this technology was refined for environmental monitoring purposes such as snowpack-air exchange, groundwater/surface-water exchange, and lake-water stratification. Fiber-optic distributed temperature sensing has...
Ranking river basins for stream temperature research and monitoring in the contiguous United States
Ramon C. Naranjo, Zachary Johnson, Lisa Lucas, Nancy T. Baker, Christopher Green
2025, Journal of Hydrology (658)
There is a need to prioritize research and data collection in river basins by integrating information from environmental, ecological, and socioeconomic datasets to maintain acceptable water quality for human uses and ecosystem health. Multiple anthropogenic and natural stressors are responsible for driving changes in stream temperatures that can alter ecosystems...
Linking environmental variability to long-term demographic change of an endangered species using integrated population models
Marisa Takada Martinez, Laura D’Acunto, Stephanie Romanach
2025, Journal of Applied Ecology (62) 1137-1151
Understanding how species populations change with environmental conditions is important for implementing effective habitat management and conservation strategies. Challenges to evaluating population-level responses to environmental conditions arise when data are sparse or not spatiotemporally aligned, especially for at-risk species with small, declining numbers.We synthesized 30 years (1992–2021) of three partially...
Science needs for determining the effects of climate change on harmful algal blooms in the southeastern United States
Tom D. Byl, Devin M. Moore, Champagne Cunningham, De’Etra Young
2025, Open-File Report 2025-1004
The Southeastern United States has many lakes, streams, and reservoirs that serve as important drinking water sources with recreational, agricultural, and ecological uses. However, harmful algal blooms (HABs) are becoming more common in these waters, causing health issues for humans and animals. HABs have been listed as a contaminant of...
Hydrogeologic investigation, framework, and conceptual flow model of the Antlers aquifer, southeastern Oklahoma, 1980–2022
Evin J. Fetkovich, Amy S. Morris, Isaac A. Dale, Chloe Codner, Ethan A. Kirby, Colin A. Baciocco, Ian M.J. Rogers, Derrick L. Wagner, Zachary D. Tomlinson, Eric G. Fiorentino
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5013
The 1973 Oklahoma Groundwater Law (Oklahoma Statute §82–1020.5) requires that the Oklahoma Water Resources Board conduct hydrologic investigations of the State’s groundwater basins to support a determination of the maximum annual yield for each groundwater basin. Every 20 years, the Oklahoma Water Resources Board is required to update the hydrologic...
Hydrological whiplash: Highlighting the need for better understanding and quantification of sub-seasonal hydrological extreme transitions
John C. Hammond, Bailey Anderson, Caelan Simeone, Manuela Brunner, Eduardo Munoz-Castro, Stacey A. Archfield, Eugene Magee, Rachael Armitage
2025, Hydrological Processes (39)
In this commentary, we aim to (1) describe ways that hydrological intensification and hydrological whiplash (sub-seasonal transitions between hydrological extremes) may impact water management decision-making, (2) introduce the complexities of identifying and quantifying hydrological extreme transitions, (3) discuss the processes controlling hydrological transitions and trends in hydrological extremes through time,...
Dynamic baseflow storage estimates and the role of topography, geology and evapotranspiration on streamflow recession characteristics in the Neversink Reservoir Watershed, New York
Joshua R. Benton, Daniel H. Doctor
2025, Hydrological Processes (39)
Estimates of dynamic groundwater volumes supplying baseflow to streams are important for water availability projections during extended periods of drought. The primary goals of this study were to provide dynamic storage volume estimates, inferred from streamflow recession analysis, for baseflow regimes within seven gaged catchments within the Neversink Reservoir Watershed...
Comparison of hydrologic data and water budgets between 2003–08 and 2018–23 for the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, south-central Oklahoma
Shana L. Mashburn, Evin J. Fetkovich, Hayden A. Lockmiller, Chloe Codner, Ethan Allen Kirby, Isaac A. Dale, Colin A. Baciocco
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5011
The Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer is divided spatially into three parts (eastern, central, and western). The largest groundwater withdrawals are from the eastern part of the Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, which provides water to approximately 39,000 people in Ada and Sulphur, Oklahoma, and surrounding areas. The Arbuckle-Simpson aquifer, including the eastern part, is designated...
Methods for peak-flow frequency analysis for streamgages in or near Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming
Seth A. Siefken, Tara Williams-Sether, Nancy A. Barth, Katherine J. Chase, Mark A. Cedar Face
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5019
The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation, North Dakota Department of Water Resources, South Dakota Department of Transportation, and the Wyoming Water Development Office, has developed standard methods of peak-flow frequency analysis for studies in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming....
Hydrologic mechanisms for 2022 Yellowstone River flood and comparisons to recent historic floods
Jeremy Giovando, Wyatt Reis, Wei Zhang, Nancy A. Barth
2025, Hydrological Processes (39)
In June 2022, a historic flood event occurred in the headwaters of the Yellowstone River Basin. The flood resulted in millions of dollars in damages and substantial interruptions to Yellowstone National Park. The 2022 flood event was substantially higher in magnitude than other high-peak flow events over the last 30 years....
Characterization of stream water quality and groundwater levels in the Central Pine Barrens region, Suffolk County, New York, 2017–23
Amanda Nicole May, Irene Fisher, Amy E. Simonson, Banu Bayraktar
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5010
The area locally known as the “Central Pine Barrens” region, located in Suffolk County, New York, contains most of Long Island’s preserved and undeveloped land. This region overlays an aquifer system that provides potable groundwater for residents of Suffolk County. Between 2017 and 2023, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation...