Drivers and uncertainties of forecasted range shifts for warm-water fishes under climate and land cover change
Kristen L. Bouska, Gregory W. Whitledge, Christopher Lant, Justin Schoof
2019, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (76) 415-425
Land cover is an important determinant of aquatic habitat and is projected to shift with climate changes, yet climate-driven land cover changes are rarely factored into climate assessments. To quantify impacts and uncertainty of coupled climate and land cover change on warm-water fish species’ distributions, we used an ensemble model...
Gas and ash emissions associated with the 2010–present activity of Sinabung Volcano, Indonesia
Sofyan Primulyana, Christoph Kern, Allan Lerner, Ugan Saing, Syegi Kunrat, Hilma Alfianti, Mitha Marlia
2019, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (382) 184-196
Sinabung Volcano (Sumatra, Indonesia) awoke from over 1200 years of dormancy with multiple phreatic explosions in 2010. After a period of quiescence, Sinabung activity resumed in 2013, producing frequent explosions, lava dome extrusion, and pyroclastic flows from dome collapses, becoming one of the world's most active volcanoes and displacing over...
Downhole physical property-based description of a gas hydrate petroleum system in NGHP-02 Area C: A channel, levee, fan complex in the Krishna-Godavari Basin offshore eastern India
William F. Waite, Junbong Jang, Timothy S. Collett, Ronish Kumar
2019, Marine and Petroleum Geology (108) 272-295
India’s second National Gas Hydrate Program expedition, NGHP-02, collected logging while drilling and sediment core data in Area C offshore eastern India, to investigate controls on the distribution and peak saturations of methane gas hydrate occurrences in buried channel, levee and fan deposits. Physical property results are presented here...
Slope failure and mass transport processes along the Queen Charlotte Fault Zone, western British Columbia
H. G. Greene, J. Vaughn Barrie, Daniel S. Brothers, James E. Conrad, Kim Conway, Amy E. East, Randolph J. Enkin, Katherine L. Maier, Maureen A. L. Walton, K .M. M. Rohr
2019, Geological Society, London, Special Publications (477) 85-106
Multibeam echosounder (MBES) images, 3.5 kHz seismic-reflection profiles and piston cores obtained along the southern Queen Charlotte Fault Zone are used to map and date mass-wasting events at this transform margin – a seismically active boundary that separates the Pacific Plate from the North American Plate. Whereas the upper continental...
The epidemiology of avian pox and interaction with avian malaria in Hawaiian forest birds
Michael Samuel, Bethany L. Woodworth, Carter T. Atkinson, Patrick J. Hart, Dennis Lapointe
2019, Ecological Monographs (88) 621-637
Despite the purported role of avian pox (Avipoxvirus spp.) in the decline of endemic Hawaiian birds, few studies have been conducted on the dynamics of this disease, its impact on free‐living avian populations, or its interactions with avian malaria (Plasmodium relictum). We conducted four longitudinal studies of...
Modeling the relationship between water level, wild rice abundance, and waterfowl abundance at a central North American wetland
Kevin Aagaard, Josh D. Eash, Walt Ford, Patricia J. Heglund, Michelle McDowell, Wayne E. Thogmartin
2019, Wetlands (39) 149-160
Recent evidence suggests wild rice (Zizania palustris), an important resource for migrating waterfowl, is declining in parts of central North America, providing motivation to rigorously quantify the relationship between waterfowl and wild rice. A hierarchical mixed-effects model was applied to data on waterfowl abundance for 16 species, wild...
Synchrony — An emergent property of recreational fisheries
Kevin L. Pope
2019, Journal of Applied Ecology (55) 2986-2996
Recreational fisheries are traditionally managed at local scales, but more effective management could be achieved using a cross‐scale approach. To do this, we must first understand how local processes scale up to influence landscape patterns between anglers and resources. We highlight how population‐based synchrony methods, used in conjunction with a...
Slope failure and mass transport processes along the Queen Charlotte Fault, southeastern Alaska
Daniel Brothers, Brian D. Andrews, Maureen A. L. Walton, H. Gary Greene, J. Vaughn Barrie, Nathaniel C. Miller, Uri S. ten Brink, Amy E. East, Peter J. Haeussler, Jared W. Kluesner, James E. Conrad
2019, Geological Society Special Publication
The Queen Charlotte Fault defines the Pacific–North America transform plate boundary in western Canada and southeastern Alaska for c. 900 km. The entire length of the fault is submerged along a continental margin dominated by Quaternary glacial processes, yet the geomorphology along the margin has never been systematically examined due...
Influences of spawning timing, water temperature, and climatic warming on early life history phenology in western Alaska sockeye salmon
Morgan M. Sparks, Jeffrey A. Falke, Thomas P. Quinn, Milo D. Adkison, Daniel E. Schindler, Krista K. Bartz, Daniel B. Young, Peter A. H. Westley
2019, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (76) 123-135
We applied an empirical model to predict hatching and emergence timing for 25 western Alaska sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) populations in four lake-nursery systems to explore current patterns and potential responses of early life history phenology to warming water temperatures. Given experienced temperature regimes during development, we predicted hatching to...
Using spatially‐explicit capture–recapture models to explain variation in seasonal density patterns of sympatric ursids
Jeffrey B. Stetz, Michael S. Mitchell, Katherine C. Kendall
2019, Ecography (42) 237-248
Understanding how environmental factors interact to determine the abundance and distribution of animals is a primary goal of ecology, and fundamental to the conservation of wildlife populations. Studies of these relationships, however, often assume static environmental conditions, and rarely consider effects of competition with ecologically similar species. In many parts...
Ecological and management implications of climate change induced shifts in phenology of coastal fish and wildlife species in the Northeast CASC region
Michelle D. Staudinger, Adrian Jordaan
2019, Conference Paper
Climate change is causing species to shift their phenology, or the timing of recurring life events such as migration and reproduction, in variable and complex ways. This can potentially result in mismatches or asynchronies in food and habitat resources that negatively impact individual fitness, population dynamics, and ecosystem...
Exxon Valdez oil spill long-term herring research and monitoring program final report
Paul Hershberger
2019, Report
This study includes annual field surveys of Ichthyophonus, viral hemorrhagic septicemia virus, and erythrocytic necrosis virus in adult and juvenile Pacific herring (Clupea pallasii) in Prince William Sound, Alaska and several reference populations in Alaska, British Columbia, and Washington. Results from controlled experimental studies with Ichthyophonus indicated that: • Pacific herring could become infected after...
On the relationship between conditional (CAR) and simultaneous (SAR) autoregressive models
Jay M. Ver Hoef, Ephraim M. Hanksb, Mevin Hooten
2019, Spatial Statistics (25) 68-85
We clarify relationships between conditional (CAR) and simultaneous (SAR) autoregressive models. We review the literature on this topic and find that it is mostly incomplete. Our main result is that a SAR model can be written as a unique CAR model, and while a CAR model can be written as...
Status of the threatened Chiricahua Leopard Frog and conservation challenges in Sonora, Mexico, with notes on other ranid frogs and non-native predators
James C. Rorabaugh, Blake R. Hossack, Erin L. Muths, Brent H. Sigafus, Julio A. Lemos-Espinal
2019, Herpetological Conservation and Biology (13) 17-32
In North America, ranid frogs (Ranidae) have experienced larger declines than any other amphibian family, particularly species native to the southwestern USA and adjacent Mexico; however, our knowledge of their conservation status and threats is limited in Mexico. We assessed the status of the federally listed as threatened (USA) Chiricahua...
Ethanol and sodium acetate as a preservation method to delay degradation of environmental DNA
Bridget A. Ladell, Liza R. Walleser, S. Grace McCalla, Richard A. Erickson, Jon Amberg
2019, Conservation Genetics Resources (11) 83-88
Environmental DNA (eDNA) samples that are collected from remote locations depend on rapid stabilization of the DNA. The degradation of eDNA in water samples is minimized when samples are stored at ≤ 4 °C. Developing a preservation technique to maintain eDNA integrity at room temperature would allow a wider range of locations...
Lethal and sublethal responses of native mussels (Unionidae: Lampsilis siliquoidea and Lampsilis higginsii) to elevated carbon dioxide
Diane L. Waller, Michelle R. Bartsch, Lynn A. Bartsch, Craig Jackson
2019, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (76) 238-248
Levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) that have been proposed for aquatic invasive species control (24 000 – 96 000 μatm partial pressure of CO2 (PCO2); 1 atm = 101.325 kPa) were tested on two juvenile mussels, the fatmucket (Lampsilis siliquoidea) and the US federally endangered Higgins’ eye (Lampsilis higginsii). A suite of responses...
Joint 3-D tomographic imaging of Vp, Vs and Vp/Vs and hypocenter relocation at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia from November to December 2013
Andri Dian Nugraha, Novianti Indrastuti, Ridwan Kusnandar, Hendra Gunawan, Wendy A. McCausland, Atin Nur Aulia, Ulvienin Harlianti
2019, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (382) 210-223
We conducted travel time tomography using P- and S-wave arrival times of volcanic-tectonic (VT) events that occurred between November and December 2013 to determine the three-dimensional (3D) seismic velocity structure (Vp, Vs, and Vp/Vs) beneath Sinabung volcano, Indonesia in order to delineate geological subsurface structure and to enhance our understanding...
Spatial, road geometric, and biotic factors associated with Barn Owl mortality along an interstate highway
Erin M. Arnold, Steve E. Hanser, Tempe Regan, Jeremy Thompson, Melinda Lowe, Angela Kociolek, James R. Belthoff
2019, Ibis (161) 147-161
Highway programs typically focus on reducing vehicle collisions with large mammals because of economic or safety reasons while overlooking the millions of birds that die annually from traffic. We studied wildlife‐vehicle collisions along an interstate highway in southern Idaho, USA, with among the highest reported rates of American Barn Owl Tyto...
Nitrogen cycling in large temperate floodplain rivers of contrasting nutrient regimes and management
William B. Richardson, Lynn A. Bartsch, Michelle Bartsch, Richard L. Kiesling, Brenda Mroska-LaFrancois
2019, River Research and Applications (35) 529-539
Hydraulic connection between channels and floodplains (“connectivity”) is a fundamental determinant of ecosystem function in large floodplain rivers. Factors controlling material processing in these rivers depend not only on the degree of connectivity but also on the sediment conditions, nutrient loads, and source. Nutrient cycling in the nutrient‐rich upper Mississippi...
Quantifying 87Sr/86Sr temporal stability and spatial heterogeneity for use in tracking fish movement
Lindsy R. Ciepiela, Annika W. Walters
2019, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (76) 928-936
The specificity and accuracy of inferred fish origin and movement relies on describing spatial heterogeneity and temporal stability of environmental signatures. But the cost and logistics of sample collection often precludes the complete quantification of environmental signature temporal stability and spatial heterogeneity. We used repeated sampling and a novel approach...
Application of an updated atmospheric model to explore volcano infrasound propagation and detection in Alaska
Alexandra M. Iezzi, Hans Schwaiger, David Fee, Matthew M. Haney
2019, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (371) 192-205
Winds and temperature gradients greatly affect the long-range propagation of infrasound. The spatio-temporal variability of these parameters must therefore be accurately characterized to correctly interpret recorded infrasound at long distances, specifically to differentiate between source and propagation effects. Here we present the first results of an open source reanalysis model, termed...
Desert wetlands record hydrologic variability within the Younger Dryas chronozone, Mojave Desert, USA
Jeffrey S. Pigati, Kathleen B. Springer, Jeffrey S. Honke
2019, Quaternary Research (91) 51-62
One of the enduring questions in the field of paleohydrology is how quickly desert wetland ecosystems responded to past episodes of abrupt climate change. Recent investigations in the Las Vegas Valley of southern Nevada have revealed that wetlands expanded and contracted on millennial and sub-millennial timescales in response to changes...
A new indicator framework for quantifying the intensity of the terrestrialwater cycle
Thomas G. Huntington, Peter Weiskel, David M. Wolock, Gregory J. McCabe
2019, Journal of Hydrology (559) 361-372
A quantitative framework for characterizing the intensity of the water cycle over land is presented, and illustrated using a spatially distributed water-balance model of the conterminous United States (CONUS). We approach water cycle intensity (WCI) from a landscape perspective; WCI is defined as the sum of precipitation (P) and actual...
Gene flow connects coastal populations of a habitat specialist, the Clapper Rail Rallus crepitans
Stephanie S. Coster, Amy B. Welsh, Gary R. Costanzo, Sergio R. Harding, James T. Anderson, Todd E. Katzner
2019, Ibis (161) 66-78
Examining population genetic structure can reveal patterns of reproductive isolation or population mixing and inform conservation management. Some avian species are predicted to exhibit minimal genetic differentiation among populations as a result of the species high mobility, with habitat specialists tending to show greater fine‐scale genetic structure. To explore the...
Appalachian Basin stratigraphy, tectonics, and eustasy from the Blue Ridge to the Allegheny Front, Virginia and West Virginia
John T. Haynes, Alan D. Pitts, Daniel H. Doctor, Richard J. Diecchio, Mitchell B. Blake
2019, Field Trip Guide FTG-10
This guide is from a two-day field trip in western Virginia and eastern West Virginia held before the 2015 Geological Society of America annual meeting in Baltimore, Maryland. The field trip examines exposures of Paleozoic sedimentary strata in the Appalachian Basin starting in the Blue Ridge physiographic province, going through...