Regime shifts and panarchies in regional scale social-ecological water systems
Lance Gunderson, Barbara Cosens, Brian C. Chaffin, Craig Anthony Arnold, Alexander K. Fremier, Ahjond S. Garmestani, Robin Kundis Craig, Hannah Gosnell, Hannah E. Birge, Craig R. Allen, Melinda H. Benson, Ryan R. Morrison, Mark Stone, Joseph A. Hamm, Kristine T. Nemec, Edella Schlager, Dagmar Llewellyn
2017, Ecology and Society (22) 1-12
In this article we summarize histories of nonlinear, complex interactions among societal, legal, and ecosystem dynamics in six North American water basins, as they respond to changing climate. These case studies were chosen to explore the conditions for emergence of adaptive governance in heavily regulated and developed social-ecological systems...
Are exposure predictions, used for the prioritization of pharmaceuticals in the environment, fit for purpose?
Emily E. Burns, Jane Thomas-Oates, Dana W. Kolpin, Edward T. Furlong, Alistair B.A. Boxall
2017, Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (36) 2823-2832
Prioritization methodologies are often used for identifying those pharmaceuticals that pose the greatest risk to the natural environment and to focus laboratory testing or environmental monitoring toward pharmaceuticals of greatest concern. Risk-based prioritization approaches, employing models to derive exposure concentrations, are commonly used, but the reliability of these models is...
Modeling watershed-scale impacts of stormwater management with traditional versus low impact development design
Stephanie A. Sparkman, Dianna M. Hogan, Kristina G. Hopkins, J. V. Loperfido
2017, Journal of the American Water Resources Association (53) 1081-1094
Stormwater runoff and associated pollutants from urban areas in the greater Chesapeake Bay Watershed (CBW) impair local streams and downstream ecosystems, despite urbanized land comprising only 7% of the CBW area. More recently, stormwater best management practices (BMPs) have been implemented in a low impact development (LID) manner to treat...
Presentation and analysis of a worldwide database of earthquake-induced landslide inventories
Hakan Tanyas, Cees J. van Westen, Kate E. Allstadt, M. Anna Nowicki Jessee, Tolga Gorum, Randall W. Jibson, Jonathan W. Godt, Hiroshi P. Sato, Robert G. Schmitt, Odin Marc, Niels Hovius
2017, Journal of Geophysical Research F: Earth Surface (122) 1991-2015
Earthquake-induced landslide (EQIL) inventories are essential tools to extend our knowledge of the relationship between earthquakes and the landslides they can trigger. Regrettably, such inventories are difficult to generate and therefore scarce, and the available ones differ in terms of their quality and level of completeness. Moreover, access to existing...
Relative abundance of deformed wing virus, Varroa destructor virus 1, and their recombinants in honey bees (Apis mellifera) assessed by kmer analysis of public RNA-Seq data
Robert S. Cornman
2017, Journal of Invertebrate Pathology (149) 44-50
Deformed wing virus (DWV) is a major pathogen of concern to apiculture, and recent reports have indicated the local predominance and potential virulence of recombinants between DWV and a related virus, Varroa destructor virus 1 (VDV). However, little is known about the frequency and titer of VDV and recombinants relative...
Harvesting wildlife affected by climate change: a modelling and management approach for polar bears
Eric V. Regehr, Ryan H. Wilson, Karyn D. Rode, Michael C. Runge, Harry Stern
2017, Journal of Applied Ecology (54) 1534-1543
The conservation of many wildlife species requires understanding the demographic effects of climate change, including interactions between climate change and harvest, which can provide cultural, nutritional or economic value to humans.We present a demographic model that is based on the polar bear Ursus maritimus life cycle and includes density-dependent...
Using pharyngeal teeth and chewing pads to estimate juvenile Silver Carp total length in the La Grange Reach, Illinois River
Eli G. Lampo, Brent C. Knights, Jonathan M. Vallazza, Cory A. Anderson, Will T. Rechkemmer, Levi E. Solomon, Andrew F. Casper, Richard M. Pendleton, James T. Lamer
2017, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (37) 1145-1150
The Silver Carp Hypophthalmichthys molitrix is an invasive species in the Mississippi River basin; an understanding of their vulnerability to predation as juveniles may inform control by native predators and predator enhancement (e.g., stocking). Digestion of Silver Carp prey recovered from diets makes it difficult to determine the size‐classes that are most...
Environmental conditions and prey-switching by a seabird predator impact juvenile salmon survival
Brian K. Wells, Jarrod A. Santora, Mark J. Henderson, Peter Warzybok, Jaime Jahncke, Russell W. Bradley, David D. Huff, Isaac D. Schroeder, Peter Nelson, John C. Field, David G. Ainley
2017, Journal of Marine Systems (174) 54-63
Due to spatio-temporal variability of lower trophic-level productivity along the California Current Ecosystem (CCE), predators must be capable of switching prey or foraging areas in response to changes in environmental conditions and available forage. The Gulf of the Farallones in central California represents a biodiversity hotspot and contains the largest...
Evaluating spatial and temporal relationships between an earthquake cluster near Entiat, central Washington, and the large December 1872 Entiat earthquake
Thomas M. Brocher, Richard J. Blakely, Brian L. Sherrod
2017, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (107) 2380-2393
We investigate spatial and temporal relations between an ongoing and prolific seismicity cluster in central Washington, near Entiat, and the 14 December 1872 Entiat earthquake, the largest historic crustal earthquake in Washington. A fault scarp produced by the 1872 earthquake lies within the Entiat cluster; the locations and areas of...
The lethality of hot water and ozone to aquatic invasive species
Riley Buley
2017, Thesis
The spread of Aquatic Invasive Species (AIS) between the Great Lakes and Mississippi River Basin by way of the Chicago Area Waterway System (CAWS) is a pressing concern to resource managers in the Midwest region. Augmenting this spread are watercrafts traveling through the CAWS locks and dams. AIS are able...
Geothermal implications of a refined composition-age geologic map for the volcanic terrains of southeast Oregon, northeast California, and southwest Idaho, USA
Erick R. Burns, Marshall W. Gannett, David R. Sherrod, Mackenzie K. Keith, Jennifer A. Curtis, James R. Bartolino, John A. Engott, Benjamin P. Scandella, Michelle A. Stern, Alan L. Flint
2017, Conference Paper, Geothermal Resources Transactions
Sufficient temperatures to generate steam likely exist under most of the dominantly volcanic terrains of southeast Oregon, northeast California, and southeast Idaho, USA, but finding sufficient permeability to allow efficient advective heat exchange is an outstanding challenge. A new thematic interpretation of existing state-level geologic maps provides an updated and...
Optimal control of an invasive species using a reaction-diffusion model and linear programming
Mathieu Bonneau, Fred A. Johnson, Brian J. Smith, Christina M. Romagosa, Julien Martin, Frank J. Mazzotti
2017, Ecosphere (8) 1-17
Managing an invasive species is particularly challenging as little is generally known about the species’ biological characteristics in its new habitat. In practice, removal of individuals often starts before the species is studied to provide the information that will later improve control. Therefore, the locations and the amount of control...
Forecasting the (un)productivity of the 2014 M 6.0 South Napa aftershock sequence
Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
2017, Seismological Research Letters (88) 1241-1251
The 24 August 2014 Mw 6.0 South Napa mainshock produced fewer aftershocks than expected for a California earthquake of its magnitude. In the first 4.5 days, only 59 M≥1.8 aftershocks occurred, the largest of which was an M 3.9 that happened a little over two days after the mainshock. We investigate the aftershock productivity of...
Performance of Irikura recipe rupture model generator in earthquake ground motion simulations with Graves and Pitarka hybrid approach
Arben Pitarka, Robert Graves, Kojiro Irikura, Hiroe Miyake, Arthur Rodgers
2017, Pure and Applied Geophysics (174) 3537-3555
We analyzed the performance of the Irikura and Miyake (Pure and Applied Geophysics 168(2011):85–104, 2011) (IM2011) asperity-based kinematic rupture model generator, as implemented in the hybrid broadband ground motion simulation methodology of Graves and Pitarka (Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 100(5A):2095–2123, 2010), for simulating ground motion from crustal...
Future of Pacific salmon in the face of environmental change: Lessons from one of the world's remaining productive salmon regions
Erik R. Schoen, Mark S. Wipfli, Jamie Trammell, Daniel J. Rinella, Angelica L. Floyd, Jess Grunblatt, Molly D. McCarthy, Benjamin E. Meyer, John M. Morton, James E. Powell, Anupma Prakash, Matthew N. Reimer, Svetlana L. Stuefer, Horacio Toniolo, Brett M. Wells, Frank D. W. Witmer
2017, Fisheries (42) 538-553
Pacific salmon Oncorhynchus spp. face serious challenges from climate and landscape change, particularly in the southern portion of their native range. Conversely, climate warming appears to be allowing salmon to expand northwards into the Arctic. Between these geographic extremes, in the Gulf of Alaska region, salmon are at historically high abundances but...
Network analysis of a regional fishery: Implications for management of natural resources, and recruitment and retention of anglers
Dustin R. Martin, Daizaburo Shizuka, Christopher J. Chizinski, Kevin L. Pope
2017, Fisheries Research (194) 31-41
Angler groups and water-body types interact to create a complex social-ecological system. Network analysis could inform detailed mechanistic models on, and provide managers better information about, basic patterns of fishing activity. Differences in behavior and reservoir selection among angler groups in a regional fishery, the Salt Valley fishery in southeastern...
Biogeography: An interweave of climate, fire, and humans
Michael C. Stambaugh, J. Morgan Varner, Stephen T. Jackson
2017, Book chapter, Ecological restoration and management of longleaf pine Forests
Longleaf pine (Pinus palustris) is an icon of the southeastern United States and has been considered a foundation species in forests, woodlands, and savannas of the region (Schwarz 1907; Platt 1999). Longleaf pine is an avatar for the extensive pine-dominated, fire-dependent ecosystems (Figure 2.1) that provide habitats for thousands of...
Spatial and temporal patterns in golden eagle diets in the western United States, with implications for conservation planning
Geoffrey Bedrosian, James W. Watson, Karen Steenhof, Michael N. Kochert, Charles R. Preston, Brian Woodbridge, Gary E. Williams, Kent R. Keller, Ross H. Crandall
2017, Journal of Raptor Research (51) 347-367
Detailed information on diets and predatory ecology of Golden Eagles (Aquila chrysaetos) is essential to prioritize prey species management and to develop landscape-specific conservation strategies, including mitigation of the effects of energy development across the western United States. We compiled published and unpublished data on Golden Eagle diets to (1)...
Spatially dependent responses of a large-river fish assemblage to bank stabilization and side channels
Ann Marie Reinhold, Robert G. Bramblett, Alexander V. Zale, Geoffrey C. Poole, David W. Roberts
2017, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (146) 967-982
The alteration of rivers by anthropogenic bank stabilization to prevent the erosion of economically valuable lands and structures has become commonplace. However, such alteration has ambiguous consequences for fish assemblages, especially in large rivers. Because most large, temperate rivers have impoundments, it can be difficult to separate the influences of...
Using genetic pedigree reconstruction to estimate effective spawner abundance from redd surveys: an example involving Pacific lamprey (Entosphenus tridentatus)
S.L. Whitlock, L.D. Schultz, Carl B. Schreck, J.E. Hess
2017, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (74) 1646-1653
Redd surveys are a commonly used technique for indexing the abundance of sexually mature fish in streams; however, substantial effort is often required to link redd counts to actual spawner abundance. In this study, we describe how genetic pedigree reconstruction can be used to estimate effective spawner abundance in a...
Evaluating and improving count-based population inference: A case study from 31 years of monitoring Sandhill Cranes
Brian D. Gerber, William L. Kendall
2017, The Condor (119) 191-206
Monitoring animal populations can be difficult. Limited resources often force monitoring programs to rely on unadjusted or smoothed counts as an index of abundance. Smoothing counts is commonly done using a moving-average estimator to dampen sampling variation. These indices are commonly used to inform management decisions, although their reliability is...
Accounting for imperfect detection of groups and individuals when estimating abundance
Matthew J. Clement, Sarah J. Converse, J. Andrew Royle
2017, Ecology and Evolution (7) 7304-7310
If animals are independently detected during surveys, many methods exist for estimating animal abundance despite detection probabilities <1. Common estimators include double-observer models, distance sampling models and combined double-observer and distance sampling models (known as mark-recapture-distance-sampling models; MRDS). When animals reside in groups, however, the assumption of independent detection is...
Continuously amplified warming in the Alaskan Arctic: Implications for estimating global warming hiatus
Kang Wang, Tingjun Zhang, Xiangdong Zhang, Gary D. Clow, Elchin E. Jafarov, Irina Overeem, Vladimir Romanovsky, Xiaoqing Peng, Bin Cao
2017, Geophysical Research Letters (44) 9029-9038
Historically, in situ measurements have been notoriously sparse over the Arctic. As a consequence, the existing gridded data of surface air temperature (SAT) may have large biases in estimating the warming trend in this region. Using data from an expanded monitoring network with 31 stations in the Alaskan Arctic, we...
Diet composition, quality and overlap of sympatric American pronghorn and gemsbok
James W. Cain III, Mindi M. Avery, Colleen A. Caldwell, Laurie B. Abbott, Jerry L. Holechek
2017, Wildlife Biology (2017) 1-10
Species with a long evolutionary history of sympatry often have mechanisms for resource partitioning that reduce competition. However, introduced non-native ungulates often compete with native ungulates and competitive effects can be exacerbated in arid regions due to low primary productivity. Our objectives were to characterize diet composition, quality, and overlap...
Balancing stability and flexibility in adaptive governance: An analysis of tools available in U.S. environmental law
Robin Kundis Craig, Ahjond S. Garmestani, Craig R. Allen, Craig Anthony Arnold, Hannah E. Birge, Daniel A. DeCaro, Alexander K. Fremier, Hannah Gosnell, Edella Schlager
2017, Ecology and Society (22) 1-15
Adaptive governance must work “on the ground,” that is, it must operate through structures and procedures that the people it governs perceive to be legitimate and fair, as well as incorporating processes and substantive goals that are effective in allowing social-ecological systems (SESs) to adapt to climate change and other...