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Groundwater drought in the United States: Spatial and temporal variability
Glenn Hodgkins, Caelan Simeone, Melissa A. Lombard, Todd Caldwell, John C. Hammond, Michael Wieczorek, Robert W. Dudley
2026, Journal of Hydrology (671)
Many communities and ecosystems in the United States that are dependent on groundwater are potentially adversely affected by groundwater drought. We computed yearly groundwater-drought metrics and mean groundwater levels at well locations across the conterminous United States (CONUS), using data from wells and remotely sensed and modeled Gravity Recovery and...
Small-volume tephra deposits of the May 1924 explosions from Halemaʻumaʻu, Kīlauea volcano, and their origin
Drew T. Downs, Johanne Schmith, Julie Chang, Kendra J. Lynn, Don Swanson, Ben Gaddis, Ashton F. Flinders
2026, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (473)
More than 50 explosive eruptions occurred from Halemaʻumaʻu at Kīlauea volcano over 17 days from May 11 to 27, 1924. Ballistics weighing as much as 14,000 kg were ejected and most landed within 2 km of the vent. Fine ash made up a major component of the tephra and was dispersed...
Density dependence and habitat selection affect overwintering abundance of monarch butterflies at regional and site scales in California
Peter Christian Ibsen, Zachary H. Ancona, Emma Pelton, Stephanie Little, James E. Diffendorfer
2026, Conservation Science and Practice
The monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus) is a species of iconic cultural interest. Thanks to annual overwintering monarch counts at hundreds of locations in coastal California, we are able to track fluctuations with high temporal and spatial resolution. Between 1997 and 2024, monarch populations at overwintering sites in the western United...
Accumulation of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and their association with immune parameters in nestling ospreys (Pandion haliaetus) from Chesapeake and Delaware Bays, USA
Natalie Karouna-Renier, David Lee Haskins, Sandra L. Schultz, Michael E. Akresh, Barnett Rattner
2026, Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are a class of widespread, environmentally persistent compounds that pose a potential threat to wildlife and human health. Despite recent efforts to reduce the use of long-chain PFAS in industrial practices and commercial/consumer products, the persistence and solubility of PFAS have led to their detection...
Hydrologic variability drives environmental and geospatial relationships in Smallmouth Bass (Micropterus dolomieu) distribution
Sarah F. Sorensen, J. Tyler Fox, Daniel D. Magoulick
2026, Science of the Total Environment (1025)
Hydrologic variation is a primary driver of stream ecosystems. Changing hydrology can lead to assemblage shifts and alterations in suitable habitat for freshwater species. As climate change is predicted to alter flow patterns in addition to increasing water temperatures, insight into relationships between species occupancy, hydrology, and...
Continuous measurements reveal wind and temperature affect orphan well methane emissions on the Kevin-Sunburst Dome, Montana
Nicholas J. Gianoutsos, Karl B. Haase, Justin E. Birdwell, Michael H. Hofmann, Curtis E. Shuck
2026, Science of the Total Environment (1020)
Fifteen leaking orphan wells on the Kevin-Sunburst Dome in northern Montana had emission rates that were affected by surface winds and diurnal temperature swings based on continuous monitoring data. Some wells showed correlating spikes in emissions when temperatures changed or wind speed increased while others demonstrated independent...
Scenarios and strategies for future-proofing ecosystem management under climatic novelty
Lauren T. Toth, Elizabeth T. Borer, Deron E. Burkepile, Joan Dudney, Nathan P. Lemoine, Julianna J. Renzi, Kathryn E.L. Smith, Travis A. Courtney, Sara A. Goeking, William M. Hammond, David L. Hoover, Sandra MacFayden, Michael J. Osland, Joseph E. Townsend, Robert Young Fidler
2026, Conservation Biology
Climate change is driving unprecedented declines in dominant, habitat-forming foundation species across marine and terrestrial ecosystems globally. As climatic novelty becomes the norm, ecosystem reassembly will become increasingly common. Predicting and understanding these transitions, and their implications for future ecosystem functioning, is essential for designing effective forward-looking...
Water use permits as of July 2024 and reported water use near the North Unit of Theodore Roosevelt National Park, North Dakota, 1980–2023
Todd M. Anderson, Colton J. Medler
2026, Scientific Investigations Map 3545
Starting in the early 2000s, increasing oil and gas development in western North Dakota created a need for additional water resources from surface-water and groundwater sources near the North Unit of Theodore Roosevelt National Park. To summarize the use of water in that area, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation...
Alternative future vegetation pathways reveal potential transformations of western US ecosystems
Tyler J. Hoecker, Kimberley T. Davis, Caitlin E. Littlefield, Jeffrey C Chandler, Sean A. Parks, Andy John Maguire, Kerry Kemp, Svetlana Yegorova, Solomon Dobrowski
2026, Global Change Biology (32)
Managing ecosystems in an era of rapid change is inherently challenging not only because of uncertainty in future climate but also due to diverse responses of ecosystems to climate. Projections of ecological transformation alongside information about plausible vegetation trajectories can help land managers explore divergent scenarios and consider how modeled...
Seasonal and hydrologic variation influences habitat and functional structure of stream fish assemblages
Joshua D. Tevin, Daniel D. Magoulick
2026, Frontiers in Enviornmental Science (14)
Introduction: Hydrologic variability is a key driver of ecological structure in lotic systems, shaping habitat conditions, taxonomic diversity, and the functional traits that mediate species’ persistence and performance (e.g., reproductive success). While many studies examine taxonomic responses to variation in flows, few evaluate how spatiotemporal hydrologic variation influences the functional...
Estimating discharge from undular hydraulic jumps: Feasibility assessment based on flume experiments
Daniel C. White, Elowyn Yager, Carl J. Legleiter, Gordon Grant, Laura A. Hempel, Christina M. Leonard, Katherine Adler, Merritt Elizabeth Harlan, Becky Fasth
2026, Water Resources Research (62)
Rapids are common in steep rivers, often forming where flow transitions from supercritical (Froude number, Fr > 1) to subcritical (Fr < 1) through a hydraulic jump. When upstream Fr is supercritical but close to 1, this transition may occur as an undular hydraulic jump, exhibiting a train of stationary waves downstream of the jump toe. Previous...
Development and assessment of fluorescent-dyed, preserved invasive grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella) eggs as surrogates for live eggs in transport and dispersal control experiments
Henry F. Doyle, Benjamin H. Stahlschmidt, Anne Marie Herndon, Vindhyawasini Prasad, Amy E. George, Jesse Robert Fischer, P. Ryan Jackson, Cory D. Suski, Rafael O. Tinoco
2026, River Research and Applications
Invasive species such as grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella) pose substantial ecological threats to North American freshwater ecosystems. Understanding their early life stage behavior is critical for management efforts. From spawning to hatching, invasive carp eggs must remain suspended in the water column while drifting downstream for the best chance of...
Satellite time series analysis to quantify changing climax ciénegas using a state and transition model approach
Laura M. Norman, Roy E. Petrakis, Natalie R. Wilson, Barry R. Middleton, Miguel L. Villarreal, Michael Pollock, Thomas A. Minckley, Dean Hendrickson
2026, Ecological Indicators (184)
Ciénegas are rare wetlands in arid landscapes of the North American Southwest, historically providing critical ecological and hydrological functions but increasingly threatened by changing climate and land use pressures. This study quantifies changes in ciénega condition and floodplain dynamics using a state-and-transition model (STM) informed by expert...
Evaluation of turbidity corrections for EXO fluorescent dissolved organic matter (fDOM) sensors
Jacob Fleck, Tim James Baxter, Angela Hansen
2026, Open-File Report 2026-1063
Executive Summary The use of field-deployable fluorescence sensors to better understand dissolved organic matter concentrations and composition has grown immensely in recent years. Applications of these sensors to critical monitoring efforts have also grown, encompassing post-fire monitoring, wastewater tracking, and use as a proxy for various contaminants. Despite the growth, it...
Assessing environmental drivers of denitrification in restored riverine floodplains
Danielle Winter Lay, Sara W. McMillan, Jacob D. Hosen, Sayan Dey, Gregory E. Noe
2026, Journal of Ecological Engineering Design (4)
Restoration of impaired floodplains is an increasingly prevalent strategy for alleviating water quality concerns and reducing downstream flooding at watershed scales. Floodplains temporarily store water and slow flow velocity to promote sedimentation during overbank flooding and remove inorganic nitrogen from floodwater and groundwater via denitrification. Evaluating the impacts of different...
Working group on American Eel (WGAMEEL; outputs from 2024 meeting)
Julien April, Kristen A. Anstead, Philippe Brodeur, David K. Cairns, Martin Castonguay, Matthew Cieri, Brian Jessop, Amelie D'Astous, Shelly Denny, Jean-Francois Dumont, Sheila Eyler, Marten A. Koops, Laura Lee, Louis Landry-Massicote, Robby Maxwell, Thomas Pratt, Scott M. Reid, Scott Roloson, Scott L. Schlueter, Shawn Snyder, John A. Young
Kristen A. Anstead, Thomas Pratt, editor(s)
2026, Report
The Working Group on American Eel (WGAMEEL) met virtually three times in 2022-2024 to address the five Terms of Reference (ToRs) of its three-year term. The first two ToRs tasked WGAMEEL with listing and evaluating data on American eel landings, abundance indices, and spatial and habitat data and also...
Critical minerals in zinc ore—An update on Earth Mapping Resources Initiative Research in the Boulder Batholith region, Montana
Sean Patrick Gaynor, Eric D. Anderson, Kyle A. Eastman, Karen Lund, Chris Gammons, Heather A. Lowers, Jay M. Thompson
2026, Fact Sheet 2026-3064
Plain Language SummaryU.S. Geological Survey research is providing key critical mineral information that may have potential for critical mineral production of several mining districts in the Boulder Batholith region, to better understand the abundance and distribution of natural resources within this region. Continued research can be used to show the...
A framework for integrating spatiotemporal deep learning methods with landsat for annual land cover and impervious surface mapping
Rylie Fleckenstein, Danika Fay Wellington, Suming Jin, Heather J. Tollerud, Jesslyn F. Brown, Jon Dewitz, Neal J. Pastick, Christopher P. Barber, Austin O'Brien, Mark Spanier
2026, Remote Sensing of Environment (338)
Land cover information is essential for understanding Earth’s surface dynamics and how vegetation, water, soil, climate, and terrain interact. The National Land Cover Database (NLCD) has been the authoritative source for consistent U.S. land cover mapping. To extend NLCD’s temporal resolution and reduce production latency, we developed the...
Landsat 8–9 geometric and radiometric calibration and characterization
Cody Anderson, Michael J. Choate, Esad Micijevic, Jerad L. Shaw
2026, Fact Sheet 2026-3001
The U.S. Geological Survey Earth Resources Observation and Science Cal/Val (Calibration and Validation) Center of Excellence is a global leader in improving the accuracy, precision, and quality of remote-sensing data. Calibration is the process of quantitatively defining a system’s response to known and controlled signal inputs. Validation is the process...
Monitoring nesting waterbirds for the South Bay Salt Pond Restoration Project—2024 breeding season
Joshua T. Ackerman, C. Alex Hartman, Mark P. Herzog
2026, Open-File Report 2026-1064
The San Francisco Bay supports thousands of breeding waterbirds annually and hosts large populations of American avocets (Recurvirostra americana), black-necked stilts (Himantopus mexicanus), and Forster’s terns (Sterna forsteri). These three species have relied largely on former commercial salt ponds in south San Francisco Bay, which provide wetland foraging habitat and...
Floods of June 2024 in northwestern Iowa
Mackenzie K. Marti, Padraic S. O’Shea
2026, Open-File Report 2026-1066
Following a heavy, multiday rainfall event that took place between June 20 and June 22, 2024, widespread flooding occurred in parts of northwestern Iowa. Ten U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) streamgages with periods of record ranging from 56 to 99 years in length experienced new peaks of record, three of which...
Stochastic within-host dynamics and climate-sensitive traits generate predictable patterns of variation in disease outcomes
Andrew Carlino, Malina Mariko Loeher, David James Páez, Paul Hershberger, Nathan Wolf, Joseph R. Mihaljevic
2026, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series B (381)
Understanding how climatic variables impact host-pathogen relationships in temperature-sensitive ectothermic host organisms is crucial under global change. Few studies have explored how temperature gradients generate inter-individual variation in epidemiological traits like host susceptibility or pathogen replication. Here, we develop a mathematical model to explore a novel hypothesis: stochastic within-host dynamics...
Fragmentation as a population rate-changer: A field experiment
James D. Nichols, James E. Hines, Robert L. Hinz, Janet Hinz
2026, Ecology (107)
Experimental and observational studies of effects of fragmentation on biodiversity and population dynamics have produced mixed results, with some reviews concluding strong evidence of negative effects and others concluding small positive effects. In addition, many factors (e.g., interspecific interactions, edge effects, nutrient cycling) have been identified as potential explanations underlying...
Measuring storm waves and water levels from a fixed structure with a rapidly deployable oceanographic radar
Jenna A. Brown, Bryce J McClenney, Patrick J. Dickhudt
2026, Conference Paper
A new oceanographic radar instrument package was developed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to measure storm waves and water levels in the nearshore, capable of being deployed rapidly and transmitting data in near real-time. To test the performance and accuracy of the sensor, multiple years of data were collected...
Who needs closure? Estimating abundance with a Markovian availability model for geographically open removal sampling
Russell W. Perry, Adam C. Pope, A. Noble Hendrix, Joseph E. Kirsch, Bryan G. Matthias, Michael J. Dodrill
2026, Ecology (107)
Removal sampling is an important method for estimating abundance, but nearly all removal models assume closure during sampling. Yet, closure may be difficult to assume, evaluate, or enforce in many settings. To address situations where populations are geographically open between each removal sample, we incorporated a Markovian...