Ensemble species distribution model identifies survey opportunities for at-risk bearded beaksedge (Rhynchospora crinipes) in the southeastern United States
C. Ramirez-Reyes, G. Street, Francisco Vilella, T. Jones-Farrand, M. S. Wiggers, K. O. Evans
2021, Natural Areas Journal (41) 55-63
Locating additional occurrences of at-risk species can inform assessments of their status and conservation needs (including potential legal protections). The perennial bearded beaksedge (Rhynchospora crinipes) ranges from Mississippi to North Carolina, but known occurrences are limited. Because of the species' apparent rarity, a model to identify areas with suitable habitat...
Multiple feedbacks due to biotic interactions across trophic levels can lead to persisten novel conditions that hinder restoration
Stephanie G. Yelenik, Carla M. D’Antonio, Evan M Rehm, Iain Caldwell
2021, Book chapter, Plant Invasions: The role of biotic interactions
Unlike traditional successional theory, Alternate Stable Equilibrium (ASE) theory posits that more than one community state is possible in a single environment, depending on the order that species arrive. ASE theory is often invoked in management situations where initial stressors have been removed, but native-dominated communities are not returning to...
Tectonic and magmatic controls on the metallogenesis of porphyry deposits in Alaska
Douglas C. Kreiner, James V. Jones III, Karen D. Kelley, Garth E. Graham
2021, Book chapter, Porphyry deposits of the northwestern Cordillera of North America: A 25-year update
Porphyry Cu and Mo deposits and occurrences are found throughout Alaska; they formed episodically during repeated subduction and arc-continent collisions spanning the Silurian to Quaternary. Porphyry systems occur in continental-margin and island arcs, which are broadly grouped into pre-accretionary or post-accretionary arcs. Pre-Mesozoic occurrences formed in continental or island arcs...
Non-native Asian swamp eel, Monopterus albus/javanensis (Zuiew, 1973/Lacepede, 1800), responses to low temperatures
Ryan K. Saylor, Pam Schofield, Wayne A Bennett
2021, Fish Physiology and Biochemistry (47) 465-476
Asian swamp eel, Monopterus albus/javanensis [Zuiew, 1973/Lacepede 1800], has been established in the southeastern USA since at least 1994, yet little is known about its ability to survive low winter temperatures. We use standard thermal methodologies to quantify low temperature responses and provide a detailed description of swamp...
Reconstructing population dynamics of a threatened marine mammal using multiple data sets
J. Hostetler, Julien Martin, M. Kosempa, H. Edwards, K. Rood, S. Barton, Michael C. Runge
2021, Scientific Reports (11)
Models of marine mammal population dynamics have been used extensively to predict abundance. A less common application of these models is to reconstruct historical population dynamics, filling in gaps in observation data by integrating information from multiple sources. We developed an integrated population model for the...
Knowledge inventory of foundational data products in planetary science
Jason Laura, Ross A. Beyer
2021, The Planetary Science Journal (2)
Some of the key components of any Planetary Spatial Data Infrastructure (PDSI) are the data products that end-users wish to discover, access, and interrogate. One precursor to the implementation of a PSDI is a knowledge inventory that catalogs what products are available, from which data producers, and...
Integrated hierarchical models to inform management of transitional habitat and the recovery of a habitat specialist
Mitchell J. Eaton, David Breininger, James D. Nichols, F. Paul, Samantha McGee, Michelle Smurl, David DeMeyer, Jonny Baker, Maria B. Zondervan
2021, Ecosphere (12)
Quantifying the contribution of habitat dynamics relative to intrinsic population processes in regulating species persistence remains an ongoing challenge in ecological and applied conservation. Understanding these drivers and their relationship is essential for managing habitat‐dependent species, especially those that specialize in transitional habitats. Limitations in the ability of natural disturbance...
Joint species distribution models of Everglades wading birds to inform restoration planning
Laura D’Acunto, Leonard G. Pearlstine, Stephanie Romanach
2021, PLoS ONE (16)
Restoration of the Florida Everglades, a substantial wetland ecosystem within the United States, is one of the largest ongoing restoration projects in the world. Decision-makers and managers within the Everglades ecosystem rely on ecological models forecasting indicator wildlife response to changes in the management of water flows within the system....
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Where, why, and how much probabilistic ground motion maps changed
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Charles S Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Arthur D. Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Daniel McNamara, Nico Luco, Oliver S. Boyd, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Eric M. Thompson, Susan M. Hoover, Brandon S. Clayton, Edward H. Field, Yuehua Zeng
2021, Earthquake Spectra (37) 959-987
The 2018 US Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) incorporates new data and updated science to improve the underlying earthquake and ground motion forecasts for the conterminous United States. The NSHM considers many new data and component input models: (1) new earthquakes between 2013 and 2017 and updated earthquake...
Future regulated flows of the Colorado River in Grand Canyon foretell decreased areal extent of sediment and increases in riparian vegetation
Alan Kasprak, Joel B. Sankey, Bradley J. Butterfield
2021, Environmental Research Letters (16)
Sediment transfer, or connectivity, by aeolian processes between channel-proximal and upland deposits in river valleys is important for the maintenance of river corridor biophysical characteristics. In regulated river systems, dams control the magnitude and duration of discharge. Alterations to the flow regime driven by dams that increase...
The optical river bathymetry toolkit
Carl J. Legleiter
2021, River Research and Applications (4) 555-568
Spatially distributed information on water depth is essential for many applications in river research and management and, under certain circumstances, can be inferred from remotely sensed data. Although fluvial remote sensing has emerged as a rapidly developing subdiscipline of the riverine sciences, more widespread adoption of these techniques has been...
Improving Landsat predictions of rangeland fractional cover with multitask learning and uncertainty
Brady W. Allred, Brandon T. Bestelmeyer, Chad S. Boyd, Christopher Brown, Kirk W. Davies, Michael C. Duniway, Lisa M. Ellsworth, Tyler A. Erickson, Samuel D. Fuhlendorf, Timothy V. Griffiths, Vincent Jansen, Matthew O. Jones, Jason W. Karl, Anna C. Knight, Jeremy D. Maestas, Jonathan J. Maynard, Sarah E. McCord, David E. Naugle, Heath D. Starns, Dirac Twidwell, Daniel R. Uden
2021, Methods in Ecology and Evolution (12) 841-849
Operational satellite remote sensing products are transforming rangeland management and science. Advancements in computation, data storage and processing have removed barriers that previously blocked or hindered the development and use of remote sensing products. When combined with local data and knowledge, remote sensing products can inform decision‐making at multiple...
Groundwater flow conceptualization of the Pahute Mesa–Oasis Valley Groundwater Basin, Nevada—A synthesis of geologic, hydrologic, hydraulic-property, and tritium data
Tracie R. Jackson, Joseph M. Fenelon, Randall L. Paylor
2021, Scientific Investigations Report 2020-5134
This report provides a groundwater-flow conceptualization that integrates geologic, hydrologic, hydraulic-property, and radionuclide data in the Pahute Mesa–Oasis Valley (PMOV) groundwater basin, southern Nevada. Groundwater flow in the PMOV basin is of interest because 82 underground nuclear tests were detonated, most near or below the water table. A potentiometric...
Estimating detection and occupancy coefficients for the Pacific Islands coral reef fish species
Bobbie Suarez, Timothy B. Grabowski
2021, Hawaii Cooperative Studies Unit Technical Report HCFRU-001
The data-limited stock assessment models used to monitor the status of coral reef fish species in the Western Pacific region are dependent upon accurate estimates of standing stock biomass generated from underwater visual surveys of reefs. However, the imperfect detection of and variable occupancy of habitat by reef fishes are...
Forecasting community reassembly using climate-linked spatio-temporal ecosystem models
James Thorson, Mayumi L. Arimitsu, Lewis Barnett, Wei Cheng, Lisa Eisner, Alan Haynie, Albert Hermann, Kirsten Holsman, David Kimmel, Michael Lomas, Jon Richar, Elizabeth Siddon
2021, Ecography (44) 612-625
Ecosystems are increasingly impacted by human activities, altering linkages among physical and biological components. Spatial community reassembly occurs when these human impacts modify the spatial overlap between system components, and there is need for practical tools to forecast spatial community reassembly at landscape scales using monitoring data. To illustrate a...
Assessment of flood forecast products for a coupled tributary-Coastal model
Robert Cifelli, Lynn E. Johnson, Jungho Kim, Tim Coleman, Greg Pratt, Liv M. Herdman, Rosanne C. Martyr-Koller, Juliette Finzi-Hart, Li H. Erikson, Patrick L. Barnard, Michael Anderson
2021, Water (3)
Compound flooding, resulting from a combination of riverine and coastal processes, is a complex but important hazard to resolve along urbanized shorelines in the vicinity of river mouths. However, inland flooding models rarely consider oceanographic conditions, and vice versa for coastal flood models. Here, we describe the...
Exploring the exceptional performance of a deep learning stream temperature model and the value of streamflow data
Farshid Rahmani, Kathryn Lawson, Wenyu Ouyang, Alison P. Appling, Samantha K. Oliver, Chaopeng Shen
2021, Environmental Research Letters (16)
Stream water temperature (Ts) is a variable of critical importance for aquatic ecosystem health. Ts is strongly affected by groundwater-surface water interactions which can be learned from streamflow records, but previously such information was challenging to effectively absorb with process-based models due to parameter equifinality. Based on the long...
Simulating hydrologic effects of wildfire on a small sub-alpine watershed in New Mexico, U.S.
C. David Moeser, Kyle R. Douglas-Mankin
2021, Transactions of the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers (64) 137-150
Streamflow records available before and after wildfire in a small, mixed conifer, sub-alpine monsoonal dominated watershed in New Mexico provided a unique opportunity to calibrate a watershed model (PRMS) for pre- and postfire conditions. The calibrated model was then used to simulate the hydrologic effects of fire. Simulated postfire surface...
Changing climate drives future streamflow declines and challenges in meeting water demand across the southwestern United States
Olivia L. Miller, Annie L. Putman, Jay R. Alder, Matthew P. Miller, Daniel K. Jones, Daniel R. Wise
2021, Journal of Hydrology X (11)
Society and the environment in the arid southwestern United States depend on reliable water availability, yet current water use outpaces supply. Water demand is projected to grow in the future and climate change is expected to reduce supply. To adapt, water...
Field evaluation of a compact, polarizing topo‐bathymetric lidar across a range of river conditions
Paul J. Kinzel, Carl J. Legleiter, Paul E. Grams
2021, River Research and Applications (37) 531-534
This paper summarizes field trials to evaluate the performance of a prototype compact topo‐bathymetric lidar sensor for surveying rivers. The sensor uses a novel polarization technique to distinguish between laser returns from the water surface and streambed and its size and weight...
Modeling Least Bell’s Vireo habitat suitability in current and historic ranges in California
Kristine L. Preston, Barbara E. Kus, Emily Perkins
2021, Open-File Report 2020-1151
We developed a habitat suitability model for the federally endangered Least Bell’s Vireo (Vireo bellii pusillus) across its current and historic range in California. The vireo disappeared from most of its range by the 1980s, remaining only in southern California and northern Baja California, Mexico. This decline was due to...
Native American fire management at an ancient wildland–urban interface in the Southwest United States
Christopher Roos, Thomas W. Swetnam, T. J. Ferguson, Matthew J. Liebmann, Rachel A. Loehman, John Welch, Ellis Q. Margolis, Christopher H. Guiterman, William Hockaday, Michael Aiuvalasit, Jenna Battillo, Joshua Farella, Christopher Kiahtipes
2021, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (4)
The intersection of expanding human development and wildland landscapes—the “wildland–urban interface” or WUI—is one of the most vexing contexts for fire management because it involves complex interacting systems of people and nature. Here, we document the dynamism and stability of an ancient WUI that was apparently sustainable for more than...
Vegetation monitoring optimization with normalized difference vegetation index and evapotranspiration using remote sensing measurements and land surface models over East Africa
Shahriar Pervez, Amy McNally, Kristi Arsenault, Michael Budde, James Rowland
2021, Frontiers in Climate (3)
The majority of people in East Africa rely on the agro-pastoral system for their livelihood, which is highly vulnerable to droughts and flooding. Agro-pastoral droughts are endemic to the region and are considered the main natural hazard that contributes to food insecurity. Drought begins with rainfall deficit, gradually leading...
Paleoseismic trenching reveals late quaternary kinematics of the Leech River Fault: Implications for forearc strain accumulation in Northern Cascadia
Nicolas Harrichhausen, Kristin D. Morell, Christine Regalla, Scott E.K. Bennett, Lucinda J. Leonard, Emerson M. Lynch, Edwin Nissen
2021, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (111) 1110-1138
New paleoseismic trenching indicates late Quaternary oblique right‐lateral slip on the Leech River fault, southern Vancouver Island, Canada, and constrains permanent forearc deformation in northern Cascadia. A south‐to‐north reduction in northward Global Navigation Satellite System velocities and seismicity across the Olympic Mountains, Strait of Juan de Fuca (JDF), and the...
Extending the capture map concept to estimate discrete and risk-based streamflow depletion potential
Jeremy T. White, Linzy K. Foster, Michael N. Fienen
2021, Groundwater (59) 571-580
A popular and contemporary use of numerical groundwater models is to estimate the discrete relation between groundwater extraction and surface-water/groundwater exchange. Previously, the concept of a “capture map” has been put forward as a means to effectively summarize this relation for decision-making consumption. While capture maps have enjoyed success in...