Regionalization of surface-water statistics using multiple linear regression
William H. Farmer, Julie E. Kiang, Toby D. Feaster, Ken Eng
2019, Techniques and Methods 4-A12
This report serves as a reference document in support of the regionalization of surface-water statistics using multiple linear regression. Streamflow statistics are quantitative characterizations of hydrology and are often derived from observed streamflow records. In the absence of observed streamflow records, as at unmonitored or ungaged locations, other techniques are...
Try, try again: Lessons learned from success and failure in participatory modeling
Eleanor J. Sterling, Moira Zellner, Karen Elizabeth Jenni, Kirsten Leong, Pierre D. Glynn, Todd K. BenDor, Pierre Bommel, Klaus Hubacek, Antonie J. Jetter, Rebecca Jordan, Laura Schmitt Olabisi, Michael Paolisso, Steven Gray
2019, Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene (7)
Participatory Modeling (PM) is becoming increasingly common in environmental planning and conservation, due in part to advances in cyberinfrastructure as well as to greater recognition of the importance of engaging a diverse array of stakeholders in decision making. We provide lessons learned, based on over 200 years of...
Assessment of the potential for in-plume sulphur dioxide gas-ash interactions to influence the respiratory toxicity of volcanic ash
Ines Tomasek, David Damby, Claire J. Horwell, Paul M Ayris, Pierre Delmelle, Christopher J Ottley, Pablo Cubillas, Ana S Casas, Christoph Bisig, Alke Petri-Fink, Donald B. Dingwell, Martin J D Clift, Barbara Drasler, Barbara Rothen-Rutishauser
2019, Environmental Research (179)
BackgroundVolcanic plumes are complex environments composed of gases and ash particles, where chemical and physical processes occur at different temperature and compositional regimes. Commonly, soluble sulphate- and chloride-bearing salts are formed on ash as gases interact with ash surfaces. Exposure to respirable volcanic ash...
Evaluating environmental change and behavioral decision-making for sustainability policy using an agent-based model: A case study for the Smoky Hill River Watershed, Kansas
Gabriel Granco, Jessica L. Heier Stamm, Jason S. Bergtold, Melinda D. Daniels, Matthew R. Sanderson, Aleksey Y. Sheshukov, Martha E. Mather, Marcellus M. Caldas, Steven M. Ramsey, Richard Lehrter, David A. Haukos, Jungang Gao, Sarmistha Chatterjee, James C. Nifong, Joseph Aistrup
2019, Science of the Total Environment (695)
Sustainability has been at the forefront of the environmental research agenda of the integrated anthroposphere, hydrosphere, and biosphere since the last century and will continue to be critically important for future environmental science. However, linking humans and the environment through effective policy remains a...
Daily estimates reveal fine-scale temporal and spatial variation in fish survival across a stream network
Evan S. Childress, Keith Nislow, Andrew R. Whiteley, Matthew O’Donnell, Benjamin Letcher
2019, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (76) 1446-1458
Environmental drivers of population vital rates, such as temperature and precipitation, often vary at short time scales, and these fluctuations can have important impacts on population dynamics. However, relationships between survival and environmental conditions are typically modeled at coarse temporal scales, ignoring the role of daily environmental variation in survival....
Geographic-specific capture-recapture models reveal contrasting migration and survival rates of adult horseshoe crabs (Limulus polyphemus)
Justin J. Bopp, Matthew Sclafani, David R. Smith, Kim McKown, Rachel Sysak, Robert Cerrato
2019, Estuaries and Coasts (42) 1570-1585
American horseshoe crabs (Limulus polyphemus) have varied migration patterns and harvesting pressure throughout their range, potentially leading to regional differences in population dynamics. Here, a multi-state mark–recapture model was used to estimate annual survival and exchange rates of adult horseshoe crabs across three geographic regions in Long Island, NY (South...
Groundwater flow model for Western Chippewa County–Including analysis of water resources related to industrial sand mining and irrigated agriculture
Michael Parsen, Paul F. Juckem, Madeline Gotkowitz, Michael N. Fienen
2019, Wisconsin Geological and NaturalHistory Survey Bulletin B112
A groundwater flow model for western Chippewa County, Wisconsin, was developed by the Wisconsin Geological and Natural History Survey (WGNHS) and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) using the computer program MODFLOW. The model is the result of a five-year groundwater study commissioned by Chippewa County in 2012 to evaluate the...
Geohydrology and water quality of the unconsolidated aquifers in the Enfield Creek Valley, town of Enfield, Tompkins County, New York
Benjamin N. Fisher, Paul M. Heisig, William M. Kappel
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5136
From 2013 to 2018, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Town of Enfield and the Tompkins County Planning Department, studied the unconsolidated aquifer in the Enfield Creek Valley in the town of Enfield, Tompkins County, New York. The valley will likely undergo future development as the population of...
Left out in the rain: Comparing productivity of two associated species exposes a leak in the umbrella species concept
Gunnar R. Kramer, Sean M. Peterson, Kyle O. Daly, Henry M. Streby, David E. Andersen
2019, Biological Conservation (233) 288
Multi-species approaches to wildlife management have become commonplace and purport to benefit entire biological communities. These strategies aim to manage different, often taxonomically distant species under a single regime based on shared habitat associations and/or co-occurrence in the landscape. We tested...
Detection probabilities of bird carcasses along sandy beaches and marsh edges in the northern Gulf of Mexico
Guthrie S. Zimmerman, Veronica Varela, Julie L. Yee
2019, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment (191)
We estimated detection probabilities of bird carcasses along sandy beaches and in marsh edge habitats in the northern Gulf of Mexico to help inform models of bird mortality associated with the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. We also explored factors that may influence detection probability, such as carcass size, amount of scavenging, location...
Spatially referenced models of streamflow and nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended-sediment loads in streams of the northeastern United States
Scott W. Ator
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5118
SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) models were developed to quantify and improve the understanding of the sources, fate, and transport of nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended sediment in the northeastern United States. Excessive nutrients and suspended sediment from upland watersheds and tributary streams have contributed to ecological and economic...
Spatially referenced models of streamflow and nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended-sediment loads in the southeastern United States
Anne B. Hoos, Victor L. Roland II
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5135
Spatially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) models were applied to describe and estimate mean-annual streamflow and transport of total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), and suspended sediment (SS) in streams and delivered to coastal waters of the southeastern United States on the basis of inputs and management practices centered...
Spatially referenced models of streamflow and nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended-sediment loads in streams of the midwestern United States
Dale M. Robertson, David A. Saad
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5114
In this report, SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) models developed to describe long-term (2000–14) mean-annual streamflow, total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), and suspended-sediment (SS) transport in streams of the Midwestern part of the United States (the Mississippi River, Great Lakes, and Red River of the North Basins)...
Spatially referenced models of streamflow and nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended-sediment transport in streams of the southwestern United States
Daniel R. Wise, David W. Anning, Olivia L. Miller
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5106
Given the predicted imbalance between water supply and demand in the Southwest region of the United States, and the widespread problems with excessive nutrients and suspended sediment, there is a growing need to quantify current streamflow and water quality conditions throughout the region. Furthermore, current monitoring stations exist at a...
Spatially referenced models of streamflow and nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended-sediment loads in streams of the Pacific region of the United States
Daniel R. Wise
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5112
Although spatial information describing the supply and quality of surface water is critical for managing water resources for human uses and for ecological health, monitoring is expensive and cannot typically be done over large scales or in all streams or waterbodies. To address the need for such data, the U.S....
Methods for estimating regional skewness of annual peak flows in parts of the Great Lakes and Ohio River Basins, based on data through water year 2013
Andrea G. Veilleux, Daniel M. Wagner
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5105
Bulletin 17C (B17C) recommends fitting the log-Pearson Type III (LP−III) distribution to a series of annual peak flows at a streamgage by using the method of moments. The third moment, the skewness coefficient (or skew), is important because the magnitudes of annual exceedance probability (AEP) flows estimated by using the...
Temperature model in support of the U.S. Geological Survey National Crustal Model for seismic hazard Ssudies
Oliver S. Boyd
2019, Open-File Report 2019-1121
The U.S. Geological Survey National Crustal Model (NCM) is being developed to assist with earthquake hazard and risk assessment by supporting estimates of ground shaking in response to an earthquake. The period-dependent intensity and duration of shaking depend upon the three-dimensional seismic velocity, seismic attenuation, and density distribution of a...
Groundwater recharge estimates for Maine using a Soil-Water-Balance model—25-year average, range, and uncertainty, 1991 to 2015
Martha G. Nielsen, Stephen M. Westenbroek
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5125
To address the lack of information on the spatial and temporal variability of recharge to groundwater systems in Maine, a study was initiated in cooperation with the Maine Geological Survey to use the U.S. Geological Survey Soil-Water-Balance model to evaluate annual average potential recharge across the State over a 25-year...
Population and habitat analyses for greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus) in the bi-state distinct population segment—2018 update
Peter S. Coates, Mark A. Ricca, Brian G. Prochazka, Shawn T. O’Neil, John P. Severson, Steven R. Mathews, Shawn Espinosa, Scott Gardner, Sherri Lisius, David J. Delehanty
2019, Open-File Report 2019-1149
Executive SummaryThe Bi-State Distinct Population Segment (Bi-State DPS) of greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus, hereinafter “sage-grouse”) represents a genetically distinct and geographically isolated population that straddles the border between Nevada and California. The primary threat to these sage-grouse populations is the expansion of single-leaf pinyon (Pinus monophylla) and Utah juniper (Juniperus...
Analysis of aquifer framework and hydraulic properties of Lovelock Valley, Lovelock, Nevada
Cara A. Nadler
2019, Open-File Report 2019-1133
Multiple aquifer tests were conducted in Lovelock, Nevada, to determine hydraulic conductivity and storage properties to be used with the numerical groundwater flow model of the lower Humboldt River Basin while accounting for the influence of surface features with a modeling component. The numerical model will ultimately provide the Nevada...
Louisiana Coastal Zone sediment characterization; comparison of sediment grain sizes for samples collected in 2008 and 2015–2016 from the western Chenier plain to the Chandeleur Islands, Louisiana—Louisiana Barrier Island Comprehensive Monitoring (BICM) Program
Stephen T. Bosse, James G. Flocks, Julie Bernier, Ioannis Y. Georgiou, Mark A. Kulp, Michael Brown
2019, Open-File Report 2019-1132
Repeated sampling and grain-size analysis of surficial sediments along the sandy shorelines of Louisiana is necessary to characterize coastal-zone sediment properties and evaluate sediment transport patterns within the nearshore environments. In 2008, and again in 2015 and 2016, sediment grab samples were collected along the shorelines of the western Chenier...
Assessment of existing groundwater quality data in the Green-Duwamish watershed, Washington
Craig A. Senter, Kathleen E. Conn, Robert W. Black, Wendy B. Welch, Elisabeth T. Fasser
2019, Open-File Report 2019-1131
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) provided technical support to the Washington Department of Ecology (Ecology) in their assessment of the role groundwater plays in contributing pollutant loading to the Green-Duwamish River near Seattle, Washington. Ecology is developing watershed hydrology models of the Green-Duwamish watershed, and need to assign...
Monitoring boreal avian populations: How can we estimate trends and trajectories from noisy data?
Christian Roy, Nicole L Michel, Colleen M. Handel, Steven Van Wilgenburg, Curtis Burkhalter, Kirsty A B Gurney, David Messmer, Karine Prince, Clark S Rushing, James E Saracco, Richard Schuster, Adam C. Smith, Paul A Smith, Peter Solymos, Lisa A Venier, Benjamin Zuckerberg
2019, Avian Conservation and Ecology (14)
Substantial effort has been dedicated to developing reliable monitoring schemes for North American bird populations, but our ability to monitor bird populations in the boreal forest remains limited because of the sparsity of long-term data sets, particularly in northerly regions. Given the importance of the boreal forest for many migratory...
Element cycling in the Middle-Late Triassic Shublik Formation: Mineralization vs. recycling of biolimiting nutrients in an unconventional resource play
Katherine J. Whidden, Julie A. Dumoulin, James Macquaker, Justin E. Birdwell, Adam Boehlke, Katherine L. French
2019, Conference Paper, New directions in geosciences for unconventional resources
The Triassic Shublik Formation in northern Alaska is one of the major source rocks in North America, having generated much of the petroleum in Prudhoe Bay and associated fields. The middle Shublik Formation, the focus of this study, is a highly phosphatic, organic-rich carbonate mudstone interval. Apatite cements can occur...
Applying circuit theory and landscape linkage maps to reintroduction planning for California condors
Jesse D’Elia, Joe Brandt, LJ Burnett, Susan M. Haig, Jeffrey P Hollenbeck, S Kirkland, B G Marcot, A Punzalan, C J West, T Williams-Claussen, Rachel Wolstenholme, Richard Young
2019, PLoS ONE (14)
Conservation practitioners are increasingly looking to species translocations as a tool to recover imperiled taxa. Quantitative predictions of where animals are likely to move when released into new areas would allow managers to better address the social, institutional, and ecological dimensions of conservation translocations. Using >5 million California condor (Gymnogyps...