Climate change and future fire regimes: Examples from California
Jon E. Keeley, Alexandra D. Syphard
2016, Geoscience Canada (6)
Climate and weather have long been noted as playing key roles in wildfire activity, and global warming is expected to exacerbate fire impacts on natural and urban ecosystems. Predicting future fire regimes requires an understanding of how temperature and precipitation interact to control fire activity. Inevitably this requires historical analyses...
Documenting the use of the Long Term Resource Monitoring element’s fish monitoring methodologies throughout the Midwest
Levi E. Solomon, Andrew F. Casper
2016, Long Term Resource Monitoring Technical Report 2016-T001
The Upper Mississippi River Restoration (UMRR) Program’s Long Term Resource Monitoring (LTRM) element is designed to monitor and assess long term trends in the Upper Mississippi River System (UMRS). To accomplish this, standardized methods are used that allow for comparisons across pools and rivers. In recent years, other projects and...
Environmental change makes robust ecological networks fragile
Giovanni Strona, Kevin D. Lafferty
2016, Nature Communications (7)
Complex ecological networks appear robust to primary extinctions, possibly due to consumers’ tendency to specialize on dependable (available and persistent) resources. However, modifications to the conditions under which the network has evolved might alter resource dependability. Here, we ask whether adaptation to historical conditions can increase community robustness, and whether...
Development of targeted delivery techniques for Zequanox®
Todd J. Severson, James A. Luoma
2016, Report
The effects of water temperature and concentration on the physical characteristics of Zequanox®, a dead-cell spray-dried powder formulation of Pseudomonas fluorescens (strain CL145A) used for controlling invasive dreissenid mussels (zebra mussel, Dreissena polymorpha, and quagga mussel, Dreissena bugensis), were investigated to determine optimal temperature-specific concentrations and delivery techniques for use...
The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging
A. Wootten, J.H. Bowden, R. Boyles, Adam J. Terando
2016, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (55) 2263-2281
The sensitivity of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) simulated precipitation over Puerto Rico is evaluated using multiple combinations of cumulus parameterization (CP) schemes and interior grid nudging. NCEP-DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2) is downscaled to 2- km horizontal grid spacing with both convective permitting simulations (CP active only in the 49...
Network global navigation satellite system survey to harmonize water-surface elevation data for the Rainy River Basin
Jeffrey R. Ziegeweid, R. Jason Silliker, Brenda K. Densmore, Justin Krahulik
2016, Scientific Investigations Report 2016-5109
Continuously recording water-level streamgages in Rainy Lake and Namakan Reservoir are used to regulate water levels according to rule curves established in 2000 by the International Joint Commission; however, water levels at streamgages were referenced to a variety of vertical datums, confounding efforts to model the flow of water through...
Geomorphological control on variably saturated hillslope hydrology and slope instability
Formetta Giuseppe, Silvia Simoni, Jonathan W. Godt, Ning Lu, Riccardo Rigon
2016, Water Resources Research (52) 4590-4607
In steep topography, the processes governing variably saturated subsurface hydrologic response and the interparticle stresses leading to shallow landslide initiation are physically linked. However, these processes are usually analyzed separately. Here, we take a combined approach, simultaneously analyzing the influence of topography on both hillslope hydrology and the effective stress...
Divergent projections of future land use in the United States arising from different models and scenarios
Terry L. Sohl, Michael Wimberly, Volker C. Radeloff, David M. Theobald, Benjamin M. Sleeter
2016, Ecological Modelling (337) 281-297
A variety of land-use and land-cover (LULC) models operating at scales from local to global have been developed in recent years, including a number of models that provide spatially explicit, multi-class LULC projections for the conterminous United States. This diversity of modeling approaches raises the question: how consistent are their...
Applying the collective impact approach to address non-native species: A case study of the Great Lakes Phragmites Collaborative
H. B. Braun, Kurt P. Kowalski, K. Hollins
2016, Biological Invasions (18) 2729-2738
To address the invasion of non-native Phragmites in the Great Lakes, researchers at the U.S. Geological Survey—Great Lakes Science Center partnered with the Great Lakes Commission in 2012 to establish the Great Lakes Phragmites Collaborative (GLPC). The GLPC is a regional-scale partnership established to improve collaboration among stakeholders and increase...
Evaluation of the functional roles of fungal endophytes of Phragmites australis from high saline and low saline habitats
Marcos Antonio Soares, Hai-Yan Li, Kurt P. Kowalski, Marshall Bergen, Monica S. Torres, James F. White
2016, Biological Invasions (18) 2689-2702
Non-native Phragmites australis decreases biodiversity and produces dense stands in North America. We surveyed the endophyte communities in the stems, leaves and roots of collections of P. australis obtained from two sites with a low and high salt concentration to determine differences in endophyte composition and...
A long-term evaluation of biopsy darts and DNA to estimate cougar density
Richard A. Beausoleil, Joseph D. Clark, Benjamin T. Maletzke
2016, Wildlife Society Bulletin (40) 583-592
Accurately estimating cougar (Puma concolor) density is usually based on long-term research consisting of intensive capture and Global Positioning System collaring efforts and may cost hundreds of thousands of dollars annually. Because wildlife agency budgets rarely accommodate this approach, most infer cougar density from published literature, rely on short-term studies,...
Potential postwildfire debris-flow hazards—A prewildfire evaluation for the Jemez Mountains, north-central New Mexico
Anne C. Tillery, Jessica R. Haas
2016, Scientific Investigations Report 2016-5101
Wildfire can substantially increase the probability of debris flows, a potentially hazardous and destructive form of mass wasting, in landscapes that have otherwise been stable throughout recent history. Although the exact location, extent, and severity of wildfire or subsequent rainfall intensity and duration cannot be known, probabilities of fire and...
Assessing climate-sensitive ecosystems in the southeastern United States
Jennifer Costanza, Scott Beck, Milo Pyne, Adam Terando, Matthew J. Rubino, Rickie White, Jaime Collazo
2016, Open-File Report 2016-1073
Climate change impacts ecosystems in many ways, from effects on species to phenology to wildfire dynamics. Assessing the potential vulnerability of ecosystems to future changes in climate is an important first step in prioritizing and planning for conservation. Although assessments of climate change vulnerability commonly are done for species, fewer...
Relations between continuous real-time physical properties and discrete water-quality constituents in the Little Arkansas River, south-central Kansas, 1998-2014
Patrick P. Rasmussen, Patrick J. Eslick, Andrew C. Ziegler
2016, Open-File Report 2016-1057
Water from the Little Arkansas River is used as source water for artificial recharge of the Equus Beds aquifer, one of the primary water-supply sources for the city of Wichita, Kansas. The U.S. Geological Survey has operated two continuous real-time water-quality monitoring stations since 1995 on the Little Arkansas River...
2014 annual summary of the lower Gunnison River Basin Selenium Management Program water-quality monitoring, Colorado
Mark F. Henneberg
2016, Open-File Report 2016-1129
Dissolved-selenium loading analyses of data collected at 18 water-quality sites in the lower Gunnison River Basin in Colorado were completed through water year (WY) 2014. A WY is defined as October 1–September 30. Selenium is a trace element that bioaccumulates in aquatic food chains and can cause reproductive failure, deformities,...
Climate, streamflow, and legacy effects on growth of riparian Populus angustifolia in the arid San Luis Valley, Colorado
Douglas Andersen
2016, Journal of Arid Environments (134) 104-121
Knowledge of the factors affecting the vigor of desert riparian trees is important for their conservation and management. I used multiple regression to assess effects of streamflow and climate (12–14 years of data) or climate alone (up to 60 years of data) on radial growth of clonal narrowleaf cottonwood (Populus...
Three-dimensional electrical resistivity model of the hydrothermal system in Long Valley Caldera, California, from magnetotellurics
Jared R. Peacock, Margaret T. Mangan, Darcy McPhee, Phil E. Wannamaker
2016, Geophysical Research Letters (43) 7953-7962
Though shallow flow of hydrothermal fluids in Long Valley Caldera, California, has been well studied, neither the hydrothermal source reservoir nor heat source has been well characterized. Here a grid of magnetotelluric data were collected around the Long Valley volcanic system and modeled in 3-D. The preferred electrical resistivity model...
Evaluation of effects of groundwater withdrawals at the proposed Allen combined-cycle combustion turbine plant, Shelby County, Tennessee
Connor J. Haugh
2016, Scientific Investigations Report 2016-5072
The Mississippi Embayment Regional Aquifer Study groundwater-flow model was used to simulate the potential effects of future groundwater withdrawals at the proposed Allen combined-cycle combustion turbine plant in Shelby County, Tennessee. The scenario used in the simulation consisted of a 30-year average withdrawal period followed by a 30-day maximum withdrawal...
Dam failure analysis for the Lago El Guineo Dam, Orocovis, Puerto Rico
Julieta Gómez-Fragoso, Heriberto Torres-Sierra
2016, Scientific Investigations Report 2016-5070
The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, completed hydrologic and hydraulic analyses to assess the potential hazard to human life and property associated with the hypothetical failure of the Lago El Guineo Dam. The Lago El Guineo Dam is within the headwaters of the...
Nonlinear relationships can lead to bias in biomass calculations and drift-foraging models when using summaries of invertebrate drift data
Michael J. Dodrill, Charles B. Yackulic
2016, Environmental Biology of Fishes (99) 659-670
Drift-foraging models offer a mechanistic description of how fish feed in flowing water and the application of drift-foraging bioenergetics models to answer both applied and theoretical questions in aquatic ecology is growing. These models typically include nonlinear descriptions of ecological processes and as a result may be sensitive to how...
Pruning high-value Douglas-fir can reduce dwarf mistletoe severity and increase longevity in central Oregon
Helen M Maffei, Gregory M Filip, Nancy E Gruelke, Brent W Oblinger, Ellis Q. Margolis, Kristen L Chadwick
2016, Forest Ecology and Management (379) 11-19
Mid- to very large-sized Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menzieseii var. menziesii) that were lightly- to moderately-infected by dwarf mistletoe (Arceuthobium douglasii) were analyzed over a 14-year period to evaluate whether mechanical pruning could eradicate mistletoe (or at least delay the onset of severe infection) without significantly affecting tree vitality and by inference,...
Historical dominance of low-severity fire in dry and wet mixed-conifer forest habitats of the endangered terrestrial Jemez Mountains salamander (Plethodon neomexicanus)
Ellis Q. Margolis, Steven B. Malevich
2016, Forest Ecology and Management (375) 12-26
Anthropogenic alteration of ecosystem processes confounds forest management and conservation of rare, declining species. Restoration of forest structure and fire hazard reduction are central goals of forest management policy in the western United States, but restoration priorities and treatments have become increasingly contentious. Numerous studies have documented changes in fire...
Model simulations of flood and debris flow timing in steep catchments after wildfire
Francis K. Rengers, Luke McGuire, Jason W. Kean, Dennis M. Staley, D.E.J Hobley
2016, Water Resources Research (52) 6041-6061
Debris flows are a typical hazard on steep slopes after wildfire, but unlike debris flows that mobilize from landslides, most post-wildfire debris flows are generated from water runoff. The majority of existing debris-flow modeling has focused on landslide-triggered debris flows. In this study we explore the potential for using process-based...
Highstand shelf fans: The role of buoyancy reversal in the deposition of a new type of shelf sand body
Elisabeth Steel, Alexander R. Simms, Jonathan A. Warrick, Yusuke Yokoyama
2016, Geological Society of America Bulletin (128) 1717-1724
Although sea-level highstands are typically associated with sediment-starved continental shelves, high sea level does not hinder major river floods. Turbidity currents generated by plunging of sediment-laden rivers at the fluvial-marine interface, known as hyperpycnal flows, allow for cross-shelf transport of suspended sand beyond the coastline. Hyperpycnal flows in southern California...
A satellite model of Southwestern Willow Flycatcher (Empidonax traillii extimus) breeding habitat and a simulation of potential effects of tamarisk leaf beetles (Diorhabda spp.), southwestern United States
James R. Hatten
2016, Open-File Report 2016-1120
Executive Summary The study described in this report represents the first time that a satellite model has been used to identify potential Southwestern Willow Flycatcher (Empidonax traillii extimus) (hereinafter referred to as “flycatcher”) breeding habitat rangewide for 2013–15. Fifty-seven Landsat scenes were required to map the entire range of the flycatcher,...