Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress
Michael Osland, John B. Bradford, Lauren Toth, Matthew J. Germino, James Grace, Judith Z. Drexler, Camille L. Stagg, Eric E. Grossman, Karen M. Thorne, Stephanie Romanach, Davina Passeri, Gregory E. Noe, Jessica R. Lacy, Ken Krauss, Kurt P. Kowalski, Glenn R. Guntenspergen, Neil K. Ganju, Nicholas Enwright, Joel A. Carr, Kristin B. Byrd, Kevin Buffington
2025, Ecosphere (16)
An ecological threshold is the point at which a comparatively small environmental change triggers an abrupt and disproportionately large ecological response. In the face of accelerating climate change, there is concern that abrupt ecosystem transformations will become more widespread as critical ecological thresholds are crossed. There has been ongoing debate,...
River floods under wetter antecedent conditions deliver coarser sediment to the coast
Amy E. East, Alexander G. Snyder, Andrew W. Stevens, Jonathan A. Warrick, David J. Topping, Matthew A. Thomas, Andrew C. Ritchie
2025, Geophysical Research Letters (52)
Increasing hydrologic volatility—more extreme rain, and larger variations between wet and dry years—has become apparent in some regions, but few data exist to determine how intensifying hydrologic extremes affect sedimentary systems. Using uniquely high-resolution records of fluvial suspended sediment and coastal morphology, we quantify sedimentary responses from a steep, 357-km2 watershed...
Transcriptomics as an early warning of domoic acid exposure in Pacific razor clams (Siliqua patula)
Lizabeth Bowen, Shannon C. Waters-Dynes, Brenda Ballachey, Heather Coletti, Zachary Forster, Ji Li, Bradley Jenner
2025, Toxins (17)
As oceans warm, harmful algal blooms (HABs) are expected to increase, including blooms of Pseudo-nitzschia, a diatom that produces domoic acid (DA), which is a potent neurotoxin. Regulatory limits for human consumption (0.075–0.1 mg/kg/day; acute exposure) exist for the Pacific razor clam; however, fisheries currently do not have regulatory limits...
Multi-Scale Graph Learning for anti-sparse downscaling
Yingda Fan, Runlong Yu, Janet R. Barclay, Alison P. Appling, Yiming Sun, Yiqun Xie, Xiaowei Jia
2025, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the AAAI conference on artificial intelligence
Water temperature can vary substantially even across short distances within the same sub-watershed. Accurate prediction of stream water temperature at fine spatial resolutions (i.e., fine scales, ≤ 1 km) enables precise interventions to maintain water quality and protect aquatic habitats. Although spatiotemporal models have made substantial progress in spatially coarse...
Detection of Giardia and Cryptosporidium in surface water of a subarctic city
Christina Ahlstrom, Michael P. Carey, Damian M. Menning, Jonathan A. O’Donnell, Andrew M. Ramey
2025, Food and Waterborne Parasitology (39)
Giardia and Cryptosporidium spp. are globally distributed protozoan parasites that can cause gastrointestinal disease in humans and animals. These zoonotic parasites and their ecological relationships have been understudied in Alaska and elsewhere, despite being identified as priority zoonotic pathogens. We aimed to detect and characterize Giardia and Cryptosporidium spp. in...
Development of a genotyping-in-thousands by sequencing (GT-seq) panel for identifying individuals and estimating relatedness among Alaska black bears (Ursus americanus)
Eleni Leto Petrou, Colette D. Brandt, Timothy J. Spivey, Kristen M. Gruenthal, Cherie Marie Mckeeman, Sean D. Farley, David Battle, Cory Stantorf, Andrew M. Ramey
2025, Ecology and Evolution (15)
The management and conservation of large mammals, such as black bears (Ursus americanus), have long been informed by genetic estimates of population size and individual dispersal. Amplicon sequencing methods, also known as ‘genotyping-in-thousands-by sequencing’ (GT-seq), now enable the efficient and cost-effective genotyping of hundreds of loci and individuals in the...
Managing for tomorrow—A climate adaptation decision framework
Kristen L. Bouska, Joshua Booker, Susan C. Clark, John Delaney, Josh D. Eash, Max Post van der Burg, Heidi Roop
2025, Open-File Report 2025-1005
Climate change presents new and compounding challenges to natural resource management. With changing climate patterns, managers are confronted with difficult decisions on how to minimize climate effects on habitats, infrastructure, and wildlife populations. To support climate adaptation decision making, we first conceptualized an approach that integrates the principles of the...
Benthic habitat map of Olowalu Reef, Maui, Hawaii—Geomorphological structure, biological cover, and geologic zonation determined with spectral, lidar, and acoustic data
Liana N. Heberer, Kristen C. Alkins, Curt D. Storlazzi, Susan A. Cochran, Ann E. Gibbs, Russell Sparks, Kristy Stone, Itana Silva, Tatiana Martinez, Cole Peralto, Arielle S. Levine, Douglas A. Stow, Jillian Maloney
2025, Open-File Report 2025-1010
The fringing coral reef off Olowalu, Maui, Hawaii, has been identified as a local conservation priority site. In 2007, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) produced a benthic habitat map of the Hawaiian Islands that was used as a foundation for this study. To support place-based management of the...
Ten quick tips to get you started with Bayesian statistics
Olivier Gimenez, Andy Royle, Marc Kéry, Chloé Nater
2025, PLOS Computational Biology (21)
No abstract available....
Behavioral responses of Silver Carp to underwater acoustic deterrent sounds
Jacob Faulkner, James J. Wamboldt, Katelyn M. Lawson, John Plumb, Christa M. Woodley, Jessica C. Stanton, Matthew Sholtis, Nicholas M Swyers, Mark Roth, Aaron C. Urbanczyk, Robin D. Calfee, Marybeth K. Brey
2025, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (154) 150-161
ObjectiveInvasive carps continue to spread across the Mississippi River basin, posing significant ecological risk. Identifying technologies to slow their dispersal is critical. The use of sound has been proposed as a method to modify the behavior of Silver Carp Hypophthalmichthys molitrix, offering a nonstructural deterrent strategy.<div class="...
Insect pollinator crossing of international border barriers along the U.S.-Mexico border
Beth Middleton
2025, Ecological Indicators (174)
Infrastructure along the U.S.-Mexico Border may not be equally permeable to all types of insect pollinators with potential implications for pollen and gene flow between plant populations. Pollinators were observed on their approach to two types of border barriers (slatted and cemented) along the U.S.-Mexico Border from March 2023 to...
Identifying preferential flow from soil moisture time series: Review of methodologies
John R. Nimmo, Inge Wiekenkamp, Ryoko Araki, Jannis Groh, Nitin Singh, Octavia Crompton, Briana Wyatt, Hoori Ajami, Daniel Gimenez, Daniel Hirmas, Pamela Sullivan, Matthias Sprenger
2025, Vadose Zone Journal (24)
Identifying and quantifying preferential flow (PF) through soil—the rapid movement of water through spatially-distinct pathways in the subsurface—is vital to understanding how the hydrologic cycle responds to climate, land cover, and anthropogenic changes. In recent decades, methods have been developed that use measured soil moisture time series to identify PF....
Seasonal stratification drives bioaccumulation of pelagic mercury sources in eutrophic lakes
Grace Jane Armstrong, Sarah Elizabeth Janssen, Ryan F. Lepak, Tylor Rosera, Benjamin D. Peterson, Samia T. Cushing, Michael Tate, James W. Hurley
2025, Environmental Science and Technology Water (5) 2444-2454
Increased lake eutrophication, influenced by changing climate and land use, alters aquatic cycling and bioaccumulation of mercury (Hg). Additionally, seasonally dynamic lake circulation and plankton community composition can confound our ability to predict changes in biological Hg concentrations and sources. To assess temporal variation, we examined seasonal total Hg (THg)...
Costs of land treatments on public lands in the western United States
James Meldrum, Christopher Huber, Adrian P. Monroe, Bryan C. Tarbox, Michelle I. Jeffries, David Pilliod, Cameron L. Aldridge
2025, Rangeland Ecology & Management (100) 99-110
Public land managers often conduct rehabilitation and restoration actions to achieve desired conditions or specific natural resource objectives. These “land treatments” include a variety of techniques, such as biomass removal or manipulation, seeding, and herbicide application. Limited information exists on the costs of conducting many common types of land treatments,...
Source and longevity of streambed sediment and phosphorus retention in a lake-plain tributary of the Maumee River
Tanja N. Williamson, Faith Fitzpatrick, Diana L. Karwan, Rebecca Kreiling, James D. Blount, Dayle Jordan Hoefling
2025, Journal of Great Lakes Research (51)
We described abundance and source of soft, fine-grained, streambed sediment and associated phosphorus (sed-P) during summer low flow in Little Flatrock Creek (LFR), a channelized tributary of the Maumee River and western Lake Erie. Reach-level assessments compared streambed-sediment storage to streambank erosion. Streambed sediment was fingerprinted and analyzed for sed-P...
Geochemistry and radiogenic isotopes constrain the mantle source region of the Mountain Pass Intrusive Suite, California
Erin Kay Benson, Kathryn E. Watts, Ian William Hillenbrand
2025, LITHOS (508-509)
The Mountain Pass carbonatite stock is the largest rare earth element (REE) deposit and only active REE mine in the United States. The carbonatite intrusion and spatially associated alkaline silicate intrusions constitute the Mountain Pass Intrusive Suite, which is located within the Mojave Province in California. Both the carbonatite and...
Assessment of undiscovered oil and gas resources of the Los Angeles Basin Province, 2023
Christopher J. Schenk, Marilyn E. Tennyson, Tracey J. Mercier, Phuong A. Le, Andrea D. Cicero, Ronald M. Drake II, Sarah E. Gelman, Jane S. Hearon, Benjamin G. Johnson, Jenny H. Lagesse, Heidi M. Leathers-Miller, Kira K. Timm
2025, Fact Sheet 2024-3051
Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean resources of 61 million barrels of oil and 240 billion cubic feet of gas in the Los Angeles Basin Province....
The mountains are calling, but will visitors go? Modeling the effect of weather and air quality on visitation to Pacific Northwest parks and protected areas using mobile device data
Kira Minehart, Ashley D'Antonio, Emily J. Wilkins
2025, PLOS Climate (4)
We investigated how visitors to federal, state, and local parks and protected areas (PPAs) respond to weather and air quality conditions in the Pacific Northwest (PNW), United States. Specifically, we modeled the relationship between weekly visitation and mean weekly minimum and maximum temperature, precipitation, Air Quality Index (AQI), and particulate...
Time of travel of releases from Lake Wallenpaupack to the U.S. Geological Survey’s streamgage monitoring location on the Delaware River at Montague, New Jersey
Jaclynne Polcino, John J. Trainor, Jerilyn V. Collenburg
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5026
In 2016, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) carried out a hydraulic study within the upper Delaware River Basin for the purpose of determining the time of travel for water releases from the Brookfield Renewable U.S. hydroelectric plant at Lake Wallenpaupack, Pennsylvania, to reach the USGS streamgage located on the Delaware...
Spatial and seasonal water-quality patterns and temporal water-quality trends in Lake Conroe on the West Fork San Jacinto River near Conroe, Texas, 1974–2021
Alexandra C. Adams
2025, Scientific Investigations Report 2025-5015
The impoundment of Lake Conroe in 1973 created an important water resource for greater Houston, Texas. The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the San Jacinto River Authority, analyzed water-quality data collected from 1974 to 2021 at upreservoir, mid-reservoir, and downreservoir sites in Lake Conroe. Water-column and seasonal variability of...
Geochemical and tectonic evolution of the Ordovician Bronson Hill arc and Silurian and Devonian Connecticut Valley–Gaspé trough: Eastern Vermont and western New Hampshire, USA
Peter M. Valley, Gregory J. Walsh, Arthur J. Merschat, Ryan J. McAleer
2025, Geosphere (21) 418-445
We present major and trace element whole-rock geochemistry of 94 samples from the Bronson Hill arc (BHA) and Connecticut Valley–Gaspé trough (CVGT). These data, when combined with recent zircon U-Pb geochronology and a reexamination of existing whole-rock geochemistry, enable a new analysis of the tectonic history of the ancient Laurentian-Ganderian...
Healing ogaa (walleye Sander vitreus) waters: Lessons and future directions for inland fisheries rehabilitation
Holly Susan Embke, Zachary S. Feiner, Gretchen Hansen, Joseph T. Mrnak, Christopher I. Rounds, Greg G. Sass, Stephanie L. Shaw, Aaron D. Shultz
2025, Reviews in Fisheries Science and Aquaculture (33) 579-597
ulturally, economically, and nutritionally valuable inland fisheries face many new challenges on top of chronic disturbances. In the upper midwestern United States, declines in cool- and coldwater fisheries have been observed, including ogaa/walleye Sander vitreus. In response to population declines, agencies have implemented rehabilitation efforts, and the frequency and intensity of...
Central Valley Hydrologic Model version 2 (CVHM2): Decision support tool for groundwater and land subsidence management
Kirk Nelson, Nigel Quinn, Jonathan A. Traum
2025, Water (17)
The San Joaquin Valley (SJV) of California is one of the world’s most productive agricultural regions. Reliance on groundwater has led to some of the greatest rates of human-induced land subsidence in the world in the 20th century, as well as more recently. The United States Geological Survey (USGS) has...
Variable phenology but consistent loss of ice cover of 1213 Minnesota lakes
Jake R Walsh, Christopher I. Rounds, Kelsey Vitense, Holly K. Masui, Kenneth A. Blumenfeld, Peter J. Boulay, Shyam M. Thomas, Andrew Edgar Honsey, Naomi S. Blinick, Claire L. Rude, Jonah A. Bacon, Ashley A. LaRoque, Tarciso C.C. Leao, Gretchen J.A. Hansen
2025, Limnology and Oceanography Letters (10) 506-515
Lake ice cover is declining globally with important implications for lake ecosystems. Ice loss studies often rely on small numbers of lakes with long-term data. We analyzed variation and trends in ice cover phenology from 1,213 lakes over 74 years (1949-2022) in Minnesota (USA), during which ice cover duration declined...
Integrating the bright and dark sides of aquatic resource subsidies – A synthesis
C. Twining, A. Blanco, C. Dutton, M. Kaintz, E. J. Harvey, Carmen Kowarik, Johanna M. Kraus, D. Martin-Creuzburg, T. Parmar, N.R. Razavi, N. Richoux, G. Saboret, C. Sarran, Travis S. Schmidt, J.R. Shipley, A.L. Subalusky
2025, Ecology Letters (28)
Aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems are linked through the reciprocal exchange of materials and organisms. Aquatic-to-terrestrial subsidies are relatively small in most terrestrial ecosystems, but they can provide high contents of limiting resources that increase consumer fitness and ecosystem production. However, they also may carry significant contaminant loads, particularly in anthropogenically...