Evaluation of habitat suitability index models by global sensitivity and uncertainty analyses: a case study for submerged aquatic vegetation
Zuzanna Zajac, Bradley Stith, Andrea C. Bowling, Catherine A. Langtimm, Eric D. Swain
2015, Ecology and Evolution (5) 2503-2517
Habitat suitability index (HSI) models are commonly used to predict habitat quality and species distributions and are used to develop biological surveys, assess reserve and management priorities, and anticipate possible change under different management or climate change scenarios. Important management decisions may be based on model results, often without a...
Water-quality conditions and suspended-sediment transport in the Wilson and Trask Rivers, northwestern Oregon, water years 2012–14
Steven Sobieszczyk, Heather M. Bragg, Mark A. Uhrich
2015, Scientific Investigations Report 2015-5109
In October 2011, the U.S. Geological Survey began investigating and monitoring water-quality conditions and suspended-sediment transport in the Wilson and Trask Rivers, northwestern Oregon. Water temperature, specific conductance, turbidity, and dissolved oxygen were measured every 15–30 minutes in both streams using real-time instream water-quality monitors. In conjunction with the...
Application of a putative alarm cue hastens the arrival of invasive sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus) at a trapping location
John B. Hume, Trevor D. Meckley, Nicholas S. Johnson, Thomas M Luhring, Michael J Siefkes, C. Michael Wagner
2015, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (72) 1799-1806
The sea lamprey Petromyzon marinus is an invasive pest in the Laurentian Great Lakes basin, threatening the persistence of important commercial and recreational fisheries. There is substantial interest in developing effective trapping practices via the application of behavior-modifying semiochemicals (odors). Here we report on the effectiveness of utilizing repellent and attractant odors...
Approaches to modeling landscape-scale drought-induced forest mortality
Eric J. Gustafson, Douglas J. Shinneman
2015, Book chapter, Simulation modeling of forest landscape disturbances
Drought stress is an important cause of tree mortality in forests, and drought-induced disturbance events are projected to become more common in the future due to climate change. Landscape Disturbance and Succession Models (LDSM) are becoming widely used to project climate change impacts on forests, including potential interactions with...
Simulating forest landscape disturbances as coupled human and natural systems
Michael Wimberly, Terry L. Sohl, Zhihua Liu, Aashis Lamsal
2015, Book chapter
Anthropogenic disturbances resulting from human land use affect forest landscapes over a range of spatial and temporal scales, with diverse influences on vegetation patterns and dynamics. These processes fall within the scope of the coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) concept, which has emerged as an important framework for understanding...
Lithostratigraphic, borehole-geophysical, hydrogeologic, and hydrochemical data from the East Bay Plain, Alameda County, California
Michelle Sneed, Patricia Orlando, James W. Borchers, Rhett R. Everett, Michael Solt, Mary McGann, Heather Lowers, Shannon Mahan
2015, Data Series 890
The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the East Bay Municipal Utility District, carried out an investigation of aquifer-system deformation associated with groundwater-level changes at the Bayside Groundwater Project near the modern San Francisco Bay shore in San Lorenzo, California. As a part of the Bayside Groundwater Project, East...
Geologic framework of the Alaska Peninsula, southwest Alaska, and the Alaska Peninsula terrane
Frederic H. Wilson, Robert L. Detterman, Gregory D. DuBois
2015, Bulletin 1969-B
The Alaska Peninsula is composed of the late Paleozoic to Quaternary sedimentary, igneous, and minor metamorphic rocks that record the history of a number of magmatic arcs. These magmatic arcs include an unnamed Late Triassic(?) and Early Jurassic island arc, the early Cenozoic Meshik arc, and the late Cenozoic Aleutian...
Updated numerical model with uncertainty assessment of 1950-56 drought conditions on brackish-water movement within the Edwards aquifer, San Antonio, Texas
Linzy K. Brakefield, Jeremy T. White, Natalie A. Houston, Jonathan V. Thomas
2015, Scientific Investigations Report 2015-5081
In 2010, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the San Antonio Water System, began a study to assess the brackish-water movement within the Edwards aquifer (more specifically the potential for brackish-water encroachment into wells near the interface between the freshwater and brackish-water transition zones, referred to in this report...
Delineation of marsh types from Corpus Christi Bay, Texas, to Perdido Bay, Alabama, in 2010
Nicholas M. Enwright, Stephen B. Hartley, Brady R. Couvillion, Michael G. Brasher, Jenneke M. Visser, Michael K. Mitchell, Bart M. Ballard, Mark W. Parr, Barry C. Wilson
2015, Scientific Investigations Map 3336
Coastal zone managers and researchers often require detailed information regarding emergent marsh vegetation types (that is, fresh, intermediate, brackish, and saline) for modeling habitat capacities and needs of marsh dependent taxa (such as waterfowl and alligator). Detailed information on the extent and distribution of emergent marsh vegetation types throughout the...
In situ densimetric measurements as a surrogate for suspended-sediment concentrations in the Rio Puerco, New Mexico
Jeb E. Brown, John R. Gray, Nancy J. Hornewer
2015, Conference Paper
Surrogate measurements of suspended-sediment concentration (SSC) are increasingly used to provide continuous, high-resolution, and demonstrably accurate data at a reasonable cost. Densimetric data, calculated from the difference between two in situ pressure measurements, exploit variations in real-time streamflow densities to infer SSCs. Unlike other suspendedsediment surrogate technologies based on bulk...
Influence of hydrologic modifications on Fraxinus pennsylvanica in the Mississippi River Alluvial Valley, USA
Hugo K.W. Gee, Sammy L. King, Richard F. Keim
2015, Canadian Journal of Forest Research (45) 1397-1406
We used tree-ring analysis to examine radial growth response of a common, moderately flood-tolerant species (<i>Fraxinus pennsylvanica</i> Marshall) to hydrologic and climatic variability for > 40 years before and after hydrologic modifications affecting two forest stands in the Mississippi River Alluvial Valley (USA): a stand without levees below dams and...
Constraining the heat flux between Enceladus’ tiger stripes: numerical modeling of funiscular plains formation
Michael T. Bland, William B. McKinnon, Paul M. Schenk
2015, Icarus (260) 232-245
The Cassini spacecraft’s Composite Infrared Spectrometer (CIRS) has observed at least 5 GW of thermal emission at Enceladus’ south pole. The vast majority of this emission is localized on the four long, parallel, evenly-spaced fractures dubbed tiger stripes. However, the thermal emission from regions between the tiger stripes has not been...
Designing a monitoring program to estimate estuarine survival of anadromous salmon smolts: simulating the effect of sample design on inference
Jeremy D. Romer, Alix I. Gitelman, Shaun Clements, Carl B. Schreck
2015, PLoS ONE
A number of researchers have attempted to estimate salmonid smolt survival during outmigration through an estuary. However, it is currently unclear how the design of such studies influences the accuracy and precision of survival estimates. In this simulation study we consider four patterns of smolt survival probability in the estuary,...
Flood-Inundation maps for the Hohokus Brook in Waldwick Borough, Ho-Ho-Kus Borough, and the Village of Ridgewood, New Jersey, 2014
Kara M. Watson, Michal J. Niemoczynski
2015, Scientific Investigations Report 2015-5064
Digital flood-inundation maps for a 6-mile reach of the Hohokus Brook in New Jersey from White's Lake Dam in Waldwick Borough, through Ho-Ho-Kus Borough to Grove Street in the Village of Ridgewood were created by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in cooperation with the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection....
Archive of Sidescan Sonar and Swath Bathymetry Data Collected During USGS Cruise 13CCT04 Offshore of Petit Bois Island, Gulf Islands National Seashore, Mississippi, August 2013
Nancy T. DeWitt, James G. Flocks, Jack L. Kindinger, Julie Bernier, Kyle W. Kelso, Dana S. Wiese, David P. Finlayson, William R. Pfeiffer
2015, Data Series 917
In August of 2013, the U.S. Geological Survey conducted a geophysical survey offshore of Petit Bois Island, Mississippi. This effort was part of the U.S. Geological Survey Gulf of Mexico Science Coordination partnership with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to assist the Mississippi Coastal Improvements Program and the Northern...
Topography and climate are more important drivers of long-term, post-fire vegetation assembly than time-since-fire in the Sonoran Desert, US
Daniel F. Shryock, Todd C. Esque, Felicia C. Chen
2015, Journal of Vegetation Science (26) 1134-1147
Questions Do abiotic environmental filters or time-since-fire (TSF) explain more variability in post-fire vegetation assembly? Do these influences vary between vegetation structure and composition, and across spatial scales? Location Sonoran Desert of southwestern Arizona, US. Methods We measured perennial vegetation in a chronosequence of 13 fires (8-33 yr TSF) spanning a broad regional gradient. The...
Pore-pressure sensitivities to dynamic strains: observations in active tectonic regions
Andrew J. Barbour
2015, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (120) 5863-5883
Triggered seismicity arising from dynamic stresses is often explained by the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion, where elevated pore pressures reduce the effective strength of faults in fluid-saturated rock. The seismic response of a fluid-rock system naturally depends on its hydro-mechanical properties, but accurately assessing how pore-fluid pressure responds to applied stress...
Simulation of groundwater flow and chloride transport in the “1,200-foot” sand with scenarios to mitigate saltwater migration in the “2,000-foot” sand in the Baton Rouge area, Louisiana
Charles E. Heywood, John K. Lovelace, Jason M. Griffith
2015, Scientific Investigations Report 2015-5083
Groundwater withdrawals have caused saltwater to encroach into freshwater-bearing aquifers beneath Baton Rouge, Louisiana. The 10 aquifers beneath the Baton Rouge area, which includes East and West Baton Rouge Parishes, Pointe Coupee Parish, and East and West Feliciana Parishes, provided about 184.3 million gallons per day (Mgal/d) for public supply...
The emergence of volcanic oceanic islands on a slow-moving plate: The example of Madeira Island, NE Atlantic
Ricardo Ramalho, Antonio Brum da Silveira, Paulo Fonseca, Jose Madeira, Michael A. Cosca, Mario Cachao, Maria M. Fonseca, Susana Prada
2015, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems (16) 522-537
The transition from seamount to oceanic island typically involves surtseyan volcanism. However, the geological record at many islands in the NE Atlantic—all located within the slow-moving Nubian plate—does not exhibit evidence for an emergent surtseyan phase but rather an erosive unconformity between the submarine basement and the overlying subaerial shield...
Morphodynamic data assimilation used to understand changing coasts
Nathaniel G. Plant, Joseph W. Long
2015, Conference Paper
Morphodynamic data assimilation blends observations with model predictions and comes in many forms, including linear regression, Kalman filter, brute-force parameter estimation, variational assimilation, and Bayesian analysis. Importantly, data assimilation can be used to identify sources of prediction errors that lead to improved fundamental understanding. Overall, models incorporating data assimilation yield...
Controls on valley spacing in landscapes subject to rapid base-level fall
Luke McGuire, John D. Pelletier
2015, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms (41) 460-472
What controls the architecture of drainage networks is a fundamental question in geomorphology. Recent work has elucidated the mechanisms of drainage network development in steadily uplifting landscapes, but the controls on drainage-network morphology in transient landscapes are relatively unknown. In this paper we exploit natural experiments in drainage network development...
A long-term earthquake rate model for the central and eastern United States from smoothed seismicity
Morgan P. Moschetti
2015, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (6) 2928-2941
I present a long-term earthquake rate model for the central and eastern United States from adaptive smoothed seismicity. By employing pseudoprospective likelihood testing (L-test), I examined the effects of fixed and adaptive smoothing methods and the effects of catalog duration and composition on the ability of the models to forecast...
Coevolution of bed surface patchiness and channel morphology: 1. Mechanisms of forced patch formation
Peter A. Nelson, Richard R. McDonald, Jonathan M. Nelson, William E. Dietrich
2015, Journal of Geophysical Research F: Earth Surface (120) 1687-1707
Riverbeds frequently display a spatial structure where the sediment mixture composing the channel bed has been sorted into discrete patches of similar grain size. Even though patches are a fundamental feature in gravel bed rivers, we have little understanding of how patches form, evolve, and interact. Here we present a...
Aftershock collapse vulnerability assessment of reinforced concrete frame structures
Meera Raghunandan, Abbie B. Liel, Nico Luco
2015, Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics (44) 419-439
In a seismically active region, structures may be subjected to multiple earthquakes, due to mainshock–aftershock phenomena or other sequences, leaving no time for repair or retrofit between the events. This study quantifies the aftershock vulnerability of four modern ductile reinforced concrete (RC) framed buildings in California by conducting incremental dynamic...
Himalayan gneiss dome formation in the middle crust and exhumation by normal faulting: New geochronology of Gianbul dome, northwestern India
Forrest Horton, Jeffrey Lee, Bradley Hacker, Meilani Bowman-Kamaha’o, Michael A. Cosca
2015, Geological Society of America Bulletin (127) 162-180
A general lack of consensus about the origin of Himalayan gneiss domes hinders accurate thermomechanical modeling of the orogen. To test whether doming resulted from tectonic contraction (e.g., thrust duplex formation, antiformal bending above a thrust ramp, etc.), channel flow, or via the buoyant rise of anatectic melts, this study...