Evaluating the impact of uncertainty in ground motion forecasts for post-earthquake impact modeling applications
Davis T. Engler, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Mahadevan Ganesh
2024, Earthquake Spectra Journal (41) 524-546
The US Geological Survey’s (USGS) ShakeMap system provides a rapid characterization of strong ground shaking in areas directly affected by an earthquake. This study focuses on studying the aggregate effects of macroseismic shaking estimates from ShakeMap, expressed in terms of modified Mercalli intensity (MMI), when accounting for the uncertainty in...
The projected exposure and response of a natural barrier island system to climate-driven coastal hazards
Jennifer Anne Thomas, Patrick L. Barnard, Sean Vitousek, Li H. Erikson, Kai Alexander Parker, Kees Nederhoff, Kevin M. Befus, Manoochehr Shirzaei
2024, Scientific Reports (14)
Accelerating sea level rise (SLR) and changing storm patterns will increasingly expose barrier islands to coastal hazards, including flooding, erosion, and rising groundwater tables. We assess the exposure of Cape Lookout National Seashore, a barrier island system in North Carolina (USA), to projected SLR and storm hazards over the twenty-first...
Multi-decadal trophic shifts in Lake Erie yellow perch Perca flavescens
Joseph Schmitt, Ann Marie Gorman, Carey Knight, Mark Richard Dufour, James Roberts, Travis Hartman
2024, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (81) 1560-1580
In Lake Erie, yellow perch Perca flavescens support vast commercial and recreational fisheries, yet populations have recently declined. Using N = 5889 yellow perch stomachs collected from 1997 to 2021, we explored trends in the feeding ecology and trophic level of yellow perch with generalized additive models. Models revealed a significant decrease in yellow perch...
Predator-specific mortality of sage-grouse nests based on predator DNA on eggshells
Nolan A. Helmstetter, Courtney J. Conway, Shane Roberts, Jennifer R. Adams, Paul D. Makela, Lisette P. Waits
2024, Ecology and Evolution (14)
Greater sage-grouse (hereafter sage-grouse; Centrocercus urophasianus) populations have declined across their range. Increased nest predation as a result of anthropogenic land use is one mechanism proposed to explain these declines. However, sage-grouse contend with a diverse suite of nest predators that vary in functional traits (e.g., search tactics or hunting mode)...
Tissue distribution and temporal and spatial assessment of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) in smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) in the mid-Atlantic United States
Vicki S. Blazer, Heather L. Walsh, Cheyenne R. Smith, Stephanie E. Gordon, Brandon J. Keplinger, Timothy Wertz
2024, Environmental Science and Pollution Research (p.) 59302-59319
Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) have become an environmental issue worldwide. A first step to assessing potential adverse effects on fish populations is to determine if concentrations of concern are present in a region and if so, in which watersheds. Hence, plasma from adult smallmouth bass Micropterus dolomieu collected at 10 sites...
Cooperative conservation actions improve sage-grouse population performance within the Bi-State Distinct Population Segment
Peter S. Coates, Brian G. Prochazka, Sarah C. Webster, Cali L. Weise, Cameron L. Aldridge, Michael S. O’Donnell, Lief A. Wiechman, Kevin E. Doherty, John C. Tull
2024, Rangeland Ecology & Management (97) 135-145
Developing a robust monitoring framework that integrates efficacy assessments of cooperative conservation and restoration actions in relation to population viability is critical for successful long-term recovery of target ecosystems and species. However, often it is difficult to quantify conservation action efficacy because of the complex, dynamic nature of ecosystem processes...
Self-potential tomography preconditioned by particle swarm optimization— Application to monitoring hyporheic exchange in a bedrock river
Scott Ikard, Kenneth C. Carroll, Scott C. Brooks, Dale F. Rucker, Gladisol Smith-Vega, Aubrey Elwes
2024, Water Resources Research (60)
A self-potential (SP) data-inversion algorithm was developed and tested on an analytical model of electrical-potential profile data attributed to single and multiple polarized electrical sources. The developed algorithm was then validated by an application to SP-monitoring field data measured on the floodplain of East Fork Poplar Creek, Oak Ridge, Tennessee,...
Handling effects on dispersal of PIT-tagged Flannelmouth Sucker
Sophia Marie Bonjour, Keith B. Gido, Mark C. McKinstry
2024, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (44) 1111-1120
ObjectiveHandling and tagging migrating fish might alter their behavior, limiting inference from mark–recapture studies. Posthandling flight of tributary spawning Flannelmouth Sucker Catostomus latipinnis was previously identified in Coal Creek in the upper Colorado River basin. Our objective was to determine if similar issues were present at McElmo Creek in...
The geometry of fault reactivation and uplift along the central part of the Maacama fault zone, northern California Coast Ranges (USA)
Benjamin L. Melosh, Robert J. McLaughlin, Henry Ohlin
2024, Geosphere (20) 1511-1532
Fault reactivation of bedrock structures in active fault zones influences stress state and earthquake rupture phenomena through the introduction of weak slip surfaces that impact fault zone geometry and width. Yet, geometric relationships between modern faults and older reactivated faults are difficult to quantify in rocks that have experienced multiple...
Use of a numerical groundwater-flow model and projected climate scenarios to simulate the effects of future climate conditions on base flow for reach 1 of the Washita River alluvial aquifer and Foss Reservoir storage, western Oklahoma
Laura G. Labriola, John H. Ellis, Subhrendu Gangopadhyay, Pierre-Emmanuel Kirstetter, Yang Hong
2024, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5082
To better understand the relation between climate variability and future groundwater resources in reach 1 of the Washita River alluvial aquifer and Foss Reservoir in western Oklahoma, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Bureau of Reclamation, used a previously published numerical groundwater-flow model and climate-model data to investigate...
Influence of stream temperature and human disturbance on prespawn mortality of Chinook Salmon in the Willamette River basin
Katherine C. Carey, Michael L. Kent, Carl B. Schreck , Claire E. Couch, Luke Whitman, James T. Peterson
2024, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (44) 1147-1164
ObjectivePremature mortality of adult female Chinook Salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha is a major barrier to population recovery. The Willamette River basin, Oregon, typifies the problems that are faced by fishery managers in the Pacific Northwest (USA). Adult salmon are trapped and transported upstream of dams to access historical spawning...
A genetic assessment of natural barriers for isolating a habitat network proposed for Greenback Cutthroat Trout reintroduction
Taylor Stack, Matthew P. Fairchild, Rachel Geiger, Sara J. Oyler-McCance, Jennifer A. Fike, Christopher M. Kennedy, Dana L. Winkelman, Yoichiro Kanno
2024, Journal of Fisheries Management (44) 1062-1072
Objective: Native inland trout conservation efforts rely on physical barriers to exclude nonnative salmonids from target habitats. We used genetic techniques to evaluate a series of natural waterfalls for their potential to serve as barriers to prevent nonnative salmonids from entering a proposed reintroduction area for federally threatened Greenback Cutthroat...
Afterslip and creep in the rate-dependent framework: Joint inversion of borehole strain and GNSS displacements for the Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake
Catherine Hannagan, Richard Bennett, Andrew J. Barbour, Amanda N. Hughes
2024, Journal of Geophysics Research (129)
The elusive transition toward afterslip following an earthquake is challenging to capture with typical data resolution limits. A dense geodetic network recorded the Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake, including 16 Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations and 3 borehole strainmeters (BSM). The sub-nanostrain precision and sub-second sampling rate...
Analysis of factors affecting plume remediation in a sole-source aquifer system, southeastern Nassau County, New York
Michael N. Fienen, Nicholas Corson-Dosch, Frederick Stumm, Paul E. Misut, Kalle Jahn, Jillian Troyer, Christopher E. Schubert, Donald A. Walter, Jason S. Finkelstein, Jack Monti Jr., Daniel J. St. Germain, John Williams, Joshua Woda
2024, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5086
Several plumes of dissolved, chlorinated solvents, including trichloroethylene, have been identified in a sole-source aquifer near the former Northrop Grumman Bethpage Facility and Naval Weapons Industrial Reserve Plant sites in southeastern Nassau County, New York. Past investigations have documented that the groundwater contamination originated from this industrial area and now...
Rapid simulation of wave runup on morphologically diverse, reef-lined coasts with the BEWARE-2 (Broad-range Estimator of Wave Attack in Reef Environments) meta-process model
Robert T. McCall, Curt D. Storlazzi, Floortje Roelvink, Stuart Pearson, Roel de Goede, Jose A.A. Antolinez
2024, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (24) 3597-3625
Low-lying, tropical, coral-reef-lined coastlines are becoming increasingly vulnerable to wave-driven flooding due to population growth, coral reef degradation, and sea-level rise. Early-warning systems (EWSs) are needed to enable coastal authorities to issue timely alerts and coordinate preparedness and evacuation measures for their coastal communities. At longer timescales, risk management and adaptation...
Predictions of groundwater PFAS occurrence at drinking water supply depths in the United States
Andrea K. Tokranov, Katherine Marie Ransom, Laura M. Bexfield, Bruce D. Lindsey, Elise Watson, Danielle Dupuy, Paul E. Stackelberg, Miranda S. Fram, Stefan Voss, James A. Kingsbury, Bryant C. Jurgens, Kelly Smalling, Paul M. Bradley
2024, Science (386) 748-755
Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), known colloquially as “forever chemicals”, have been associated with adverse human health effects and have contaminated drinking water supplies across the United States owing to their long-term and widespread use. People in the United States may unknowingly be drinking water that contains PFAS because of...
Planktonic to sessile: Drivers of spatial and temporal variability across barnacle life stages and indirect effects of the Pacific Marine Heatwave
Sarah Beth Traiger, James L. Bodkin, Rob Campbell, Heather Coletti, Daniel Esler, Kris Holderied, Katrin Iken, Brenda Konar, Caitlin McKinstry, Daniel Monson, Jessica Pretty, Martin Renner, Brian H. Robinson, Robert M. Suryan, Benjamin P Weitzman
2024, Journal of Plankton Research
Barnacles are a foundation species in intertidal habitats. During the Pacific Marine Heatwave (PMH), intertidal barnacle cover increased in the northern Gulf of Alaska (GoA); however, the role of pelagic larval supply in this increase was unknown. Using long-term monitoring data on intertidal benthic (percent cover) and pelagic larval...
A habitat suitability model for testing and refining the range of Zuni fleabane, a threatened plant species
Catherine S. Jarnevich, Sarah K. Carter, Andrea N. Chavez, Paige E. Handley, Brandon Hayes, Charles L. Hayes, Cameron Joseph Reimer, Samantha L. Reiss, Erika R. Rowe, Katie L. Sandbom, Sarah E. Whipple
2024, Preprint
Land managers and conservation practitioners need practical tools to protect rare species in light of rapidly changing climate and land use patterns. Habitat suitability models are tools that can inform multiple-use land management decisions and target conservation actions. The narrow endemic Zuni fleabane, Erigeron rhizomatus, occurs on lands managed for...
Lidar estimation of storage capacity for managed water resources used by Desert Bighorn Sheep (Ovis canadensis mexicana) at Cabeza Prieta National Wildlife Refuge, Arizona
Joel B. Sankey, Joshua Caster, Nathaniel Bransky, Stephanie Fuest, Steven Sesnie, Ashton Bedford
2024, Open-File Report 2024-1046
In cooperation with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, the U.S. Geological Survey Southwest Biological Science Center employed ground-based light detection and ranging (lidar) during February 2022 to help meet two resource management objectives at the Cabeza Prieta National Wildlife Refuge (CPNWR), Arizona. The two objectives are (1) characterize the...
Thinking beyond the closure assumption: Designing surveys for estimating biological truth with occupancy models
Jonathon Joseph Valente, Vitek Jirinec, Matthias Leu
2024, Methods in Ecology and Evolution (15) 2289-2300
Occupancy models estimate distributions of imperfectly detected species, but violations of the closure assumption can bias results. However, researchers working with mobile animals may find it impossible to eliminate such violations. Here, we tested the hypothesis that occupancy models fit to realistic sampling data can generate unbiased occupancy estimates...
Amphibian monitoring in hardwood forests: Optimizing methods for contaminant‐based compensatory restorations
Bethany K. Kunz, Hardin Waddle, Nicholas S. Green
2024, Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management (20) 1939-1953
Amphibians such as frogs, toads, and salamanders provide important services in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems and have been proposed as useful indicators of progress and success for ecological restoration projects. Limited guidance is available, however, on the costs and benefits of different amphibian monitoring techniques that might be applied to...
Climatic drought and trophic disruption in an endemic subalpine Hawaiian forest bird
Kyle S. Van Houtan, Tyler O. Gagné, Paul C. Banko, Molly E. Hagemann, Robert W. Peck, Christopher T. Yarnes
2024, Biological Conservation (299)
Overexploitation, habitat conversion, and introduced species have caused unprecedented extinctions and heavily degraded native bird populations in island ecosystems. In the Hawaiian Islands, stemming these losses has proven difficult as the highly specialized avifauna are often impacted – among other...
Predicted occurrence of Eastern Newts (Notophthalmus viridescens viridescens) across the northeastern United States
Lindsey Pekurny, Evan H. Campbell Grant, Brittany A. Mosher
2024, Herpetologica (80) 307-313
Effective conservation is becoming more difficult as threats to wildlife increase. Natural resource managers are pressured to make difficult decisions with limited resources, and in many instances, large uncertainty. Scientists and managers tasked with the conservation of a species need tools to help guide efficient decision-making. Often, information for management...
Rappahannock tributary summary: A summary of trends in tidal water quality and associated factors, 1985-2022
Breck Maura Sullivan, Kaylyn Gootman, Alex Gunnerson, Sarah Betts, Cindy Johnson, Christopher A. Mason, Elgin Perry, Gopal Bhatt, Jennifer L. Keisman, James S. Webber, Jon Harcum, Michael F. Lane, Olivia Devereux, Qian Zhang, Rebecca Murphy, Renee Karrh, Thomas Butler, Vanessa Van Note, Angie Wei
2024, Report
The Rappahannock Tributary Summary outlines change over time for a suite of monitored tidal water quality parameters and associated potential drivers of those trends for the period of 1985 to 2022, and provides a brief description of the current state of knowledge explaining these observed changes. Water quality parameters described...
Managing water for birds— A tool for the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge
Cassandra Smith
2024, Preprint
The “Water for Birds Tool” is an Excel-based model designed for resource managers to assess the spatial extent and types of bird habitats in the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge. The model quantifies the area of open water, partial water, and water depths on a monthly timescale during the irrigation season...