Resilience by Design: Bringing Science to Policy Makers
Lucile M. Jones
2015, Seismological Research Letters (86) 294-301
No one questions that Los Angeles has an earthquake problem. The “Big Bend” of the San Andreas fault in southern California complicates the plate boundary between the North American and Pacific plates, creating a convergent component to the primarily transform boundary. The Southern California Earthquake Center Community Fault Model has...
Numerical computation of hurricane effects on historic coastal hydrology in Southern Florida
Eric D. Swain, M. Dennis Krohn, Catherine A. Langtimm
2015, Ecological Processes (4) 1-20
Introduction Numerical models are critical for assessing the effects of sea level rise (SLR), hurricanes, and storm surge on vegetation change in the Everglades National Park. The model must be capable of representing short-timescale hydrodynamics, salinity transport, and groundwater interaction. However, there is also a strong need to adapt these numerical...
Investigating endocrine and physiological parameters of captive American kestrels exposed by diet to selected organophosphate flame retardants
KJ Fernie, V. Palace, L. Peters, Niladri Basu, R. J. Letcher, Natalie K. Karouna-Renier, Sandra L. Schultz, Rebecca S. Lazarus, Barnett A. Rattner
2015, Environmental Science & Technology (49) 7448-7455
Organophosphate triesters are high production volume additive flame retardants (OPFRs) and plasticizers. Shown to accumulate in abiotic and biotic environmental compartments, little is known about the risks they pose. Captive adult male American kestrels (Falco sparverius) were fed the same dose (22 ng OPFR/g kestrel/d) daily (21 d) of tris(2-...
Wintering movements and habitat use of Surf Scoter (Melanitta perspicillata) in the mid-Atlantic U.S.
Dustin Meattey, Lucas Savoy, Andrew Gilbert, Jeffrey Tash, Carrie E. Gray, Alicia Berlin, Christine Lepage, Scott Gilliland, Timothy D. Bowman, Jason Osenkowsi, Caleb Spiegel
2015, Report
Wintering habitat use and migratory pathways are key issues facing sea ducks in the mid-Atlantic U.S. and elsewhere due to the potential for offshore wind energy development. A comprehensive understanding of important winter habitats and environmental characteristics determining sea duck abundance and distribution is paramount in advising marine spatial planning...
Evaluation of airborne lidar elevation surfaces for propagation of coastal inundation: the importance of hydrologic connectivity
Sandra K. Poppenga, Bruce B. Worstell
2015, Remote Sensing (7) 11695-11711
Detailed information about coastal inundation is vital to understanding dynamic and populated areas that are impacted by storm surge and flooding. To understand these natural hazard risks, lidar elevation surfaces are frequently used to model inundation in coastal areas. A single-value surface method is sometimes used to inundate areas in...
Continuous-time discrete-space models for animal movement
Ephraim M. Hanks, Mevin Hooten, Mat W. Alldredge
2015, Annals of Applied Statistics (9) 145-165
The processes influencing animal movement and resource selection are complex and varied. Past efforts to model behavioral changes over time used Bayesian statistical models with variable parameter space, such as reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches, which are computationally demanding and inaccessible to many practitioners. We present a continuous-time discrete-space...
Effects of regulated river flows on habitat suitability for the robust redhorse
J. M. Fisk III, Thomas J. Kwak, R. J. Heise
2015, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (144) 792-806
The Robust Redhorse Moxostoma robustum is a rare and imperiled fish, with wild populations occurring in three drainages from North Carolina to Georgia. Hydroelectric dams have altered the species’ habitat and restricted its range. An augmented minimum-flow regime that will affect Robust Redhorse habitat was recently prescribed for Blewett Falls...
Response of the Miliolid Archaias angulatus to simulated ocean acidification
Paul O. Knorr, Lisa L. Robbins, Peter J. Harries, Pamela Hallock, Jonathan Wynn
2015, Journal of Foraminiferal Research (45) 109-127
A common, but not universal, effect of ocean acidification on benthic foraminifera is a reduction in the growth rate. The miliolid Archaias angulatus is a high-Mg (>4 mole% MgCO3), symbiont-bearing, soritid benthic foraminifer that contributes to Caribbean reef carbonate sediments. A laboratory culture study assessed the effects of reduced pH...
A case study of assigning conservation value to dispersed habitat units for conservation planning
Jason J. Rohweder, Sara C. Vacek, Shawn M. Crimmins, Wayne E. Thogmartin
2015, Journal of Conservation Planning (11) 13-27
Resource managers are increasingly tasked with developing habitat conservation plans in the face of numerous, sometimes competing, objectives. These plans must often be implemented across dispersed habitat conservation units that may contribute unequally to overall conservation objectives. Using U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service waterfowl production areas (WPA) in western Minnesota...
Energy flow and the “grassification” of desert shrublands
Julio L. Betancourt
2015, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (112) 9504-9505
In our directionally and continuously changing world, history still matters, and it does so in increasingly novel and important ways. Human adaptation to global change will rely heavily on robust baselines of historic environmental variability and detailed understanding of how both past and modern ecosystems have responded to both individual...
A global satellite assisted precipitation climatology
Christopher C. Funk, Andrew P. Verdin, Joel C. Michaelsen, Diego Pedreros, Gregory J. Husak, P. Peterson
2015, Earth System Science Data (8) 401-425
Accurate representations of mean climate conditions, especially in areas of complex terrain, are an important part of environmental monitoring systems. As high-resolution satellite monitoring information accumulates with the passage of time, it can be increasingly useful in efforts to better characterize the earth's mean climatology. Current state-of-the-science products rely on...
Simulations of potential future conditions in the cache critical groundwater area, Arkansas
Haveen M. Rashid, Brian R. Clark, Hanan H. Mahdi, Hanadi S. Rifai, Haydar J. Al-Shukri
2015, Environmental & Engineering Geoscience (21) 1-19
A three-dimensional finite-difference model for part of the Mississippi River Valley alluvial aquifer in the Cache Critical Groundwater Area of eastern Arkansas was constructed to simulate potential future conditions of groundwater flow. The objectives of this study were to test different pilot point distributions to find reasonable estimates of aquifer...
Ceres: predictions for near-surface water ice stability and implications for plume generating processes
Timothy N. Titus
2015, Geophysical Research Letters (42) 2130-2136
This paper will constrain the possible sources and processes for the formation of recently observed H2O vapor plumes above the surface of the dwarf planet Ceres. Two hypotheses have been proposed: (1) cryovolcanism where the water source is the mantle and the heating source is still unknown or (2) comet-like...
Drought-caused delay in nesting of Sonoran Desert birds and its facilitation of parasite- and predator-mediated variation in reproductive success
Chris McCreedy, Charles van Riper III
2015, The Auk (132) 235-247
As our understanding of climate change has increased, so has our awareness of the impacts of these changes on biotic systems. Climate models are nearly unanimous in their predictions for increased drought frequency in southwestern North America, and delays in nest initiation due to drought may influence nesting success and...
Projected carbon stocks in the conterminous USA with land use and variable fire regimes
Dominique Bachelet, Ken Ferschweiler, Timothy J. Sheehan, Benjamin M. Sleeter, Zhiliang Zhu
2015, Global Change Biology (21) 4548-4560
The dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM) MC2 was run over the conterminous USA at 30 arc sec (~800 m) to simulate the impacts of nine climate futures generated by 3GCMs (CSIRO, MIROC and CGCM3) using 3 emission scenarios (A2, A1B and B1) in the context of the LandCarbon national carbon sequestration...
Multiscale hydrogeomorphic influences on bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus) spawning habitat
Jared R Bean, Andrew C. Wilcox, William W. Woessner, Clint C. Muhlfeld
2015, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (72) 514-526
We investigated multiscale hydrogeomorphic influences on the distribution and abundance of bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus) spawning in snowmelt-dominated streams of the upper Flathead River basin, northwestern Montana. Within our study reaches, bull trout tended to spawn in the finest available gravel substrates. Analysis of the mobility of these substrates, based...
Thermal onset of cellular and endocrine stress responses correspond to ecological limits in brook trout, an iconic cold-water fish
Joseph G Chadwick, Kieth H Nislow, Stephen D. McCormick
2015, Conservation Physiology (3) 1-12
Climate change is predicted to change the distribution and abundance of species, yet underlying physiological mechanisms are complex and methods for detecting populations at risk from rising temperature are poorly developed. There is increasing interest in using physiological mediators of the stress response as indicators of individual and population-level response...
Fluid inclusion chemistry of adularia-sericite epithermal Au-Ag deposits of the southern Hauraki Goldfield, New Zealand
Mark P. Simpson, Sabina Strmic Palinkas, Jeffrey L. Mauk, Robert J. Bodnar
2015, Economic Geology (110) 763-786
Microthermometry, laser ablation-inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS), and Raman spectroscopy have been used to determine the temperature, apparent salinity, and composition of individual fluid inclusions in adularia-sericite Au-Ag epithermal veins from the Karangahake, Martha, Favona, and Waitekauri deposits, southern Hauraki goldfield, New Zealand. Quartz veins contain colloform to crustiform bands...
Faunal responses to fire in chaparral and sage scrub in California, USA
Elizabeth van Mantgem, Jon E. Keeley, Marti Witter
2015, Fire Ecology (11) 128-148
Impact of fire on California shrublands has been well studied but nearly all of this work has focused on plant communities. Impact on and recovery of the chaparral fauna has received only scattered attention; this paper synthesizes what is known in this regard for the diversity of animal taxa associated...
Testing taxon tenacity of tortoises: evidence for a geographical selection gradient at a secondary contact zone
Taylor Edwards, Kristin H. Berry, Richard D. Inman, Todd C. Esque, Kenneth E. Nussear, Cristina A. Jones, Melanie Culver
2015, Ecology and Evolution (5) 2095-2114
We examined a secondary contact zone between two species of desert tortoise, Gopherus agassizii and G. morafkai. The taxa were isolated from a common ancestor during the formation of the Colorado River (4-8 mya) and are a classic example of allopatric speciation. However, an anomalous population of G. agassizii comes...
Time‐dependent renewal‐model probabilities when date of last earthquake is unknown
Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan
2015, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (105) 459-463
We derive time-dependent, renewal-model earthquake probabilities for the case in which the date of the last event is completely unknown, and compare these with the time-independent Poisson probabilities that are customarily used as an approximation in this situation. For typical parameter values, the renewal-model probabilities exceed Poisson results by more...
Computing elastic‐rebound‐motivated rarthquake probabilities in unsegmented fault models: a new methodology supported by physics‐based simulators
Edward H. Field
2015, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (105) 544-559
A methodology is presented for computing elastic‐rebound‐based probabilities in an unsegmented fault or fault system, which involves computing along‐fault averages of renewal‐model parameters. The approach is less biased and more self‐consistent than a logical extension of that applied most recently for multisegment ruptures in California. It also enables the application...
Genomic single-nucleotide polymorphisms confirm that Gunnison and Greater sage-grouse are genetically well differentiated and that the Bi-State population is distinct
Sara J. Oyler-McCance, Robert S. Cornman, Kenneth L. Jones, Jennifer A. Fike
2015, The Condor (117) 217-227
Sage-grouse are iconic, declining inhabitants of sagebrush habitats in western North America, and their management depends on an understanding of genetic variation across the landscape. Two distinct species of sage-grouse have been recognized, Greater (Centrocercus urophasianus) and Gunnison sage-grouse (C. minimus), based on morphology, behavior, and variation at neutral genetic...
Entrainment of bed material by Earth-surface mass flows: review and reformulation of depth-integrated theory
Richard M. Iverson, Chaojun Ouyang
2015, Reviews of Geophysics (53) 1-32
Earth-surface mass flows such as debris flows, rock avalanches, and dam-break floods can grow greatly in size and destructive potential by entraining bed material they encounter. Increasing use of depth-integrated mass- and momentum-conservation equations to model these erosive flows motivates a review of the underlying theory. Our review indicates that...
Limnogeology, news in brief
Michael R. Rosen, Elizabeth Gierlowski-Kordesch
2015, Environmental Earth Sciences (73) 913-917
We've invited Michael R. Rosen, water quality specialist within the USGS Water Science Field Team in Carson City and Elizabeth Gierlowski-Kordesch, professor of geology at Ohio University, to take a look at the intriguing new developments that are emerging in limnogeologic studies. These studies are increasing our understanding of how...