Generalized site occupancy models allowing for false positive and false negative errors
J. Andrew Royle, W.A. Link
2006, Ecology (87) 835-841
Site occupancy models have been developed that allow for imperfect species detection or ?false negative? observations. Such models have become widely adopted in surveys of many taxa. The most fundamental assumption underlying these models is that ?false positive? errors are not possible. That is, one cannot detect a...
Multiscale patterns of movement in fragmented landscapes and consequences on demography of the snail kite in Florida
J. Martin, J.D. Nichols, W.M. Kitchens, J.E. Hines
2006, Journal of Animal Ecology (75) 527-539
1. Habitat loss and fragmentation are major factors affecting vertebrate populations. A major effect of these habitat alterations is that they reduce movement of organisms. Despite the accepted importance of movement in driving the dynamics of many natural populations, movement of vertebrates in fragmented landscapes have seldom...
Comparative dynamics of avian communities across edges and interiors of North American ecoregions
K.K. Karanth, J.D. Nichols, J.R. Sauer, J.E. Hines
2006, Journal of Biogeography (33) 674-682
Aim Based on a priori hypotheses, we developed predictions about how avian communities might differ at the edges vs. interiors of ecoregions. Specifically, we predicted lower species richness and greater local turnover and extinction probabilities for regional edges. We tested these predictions using North American Breeding Bird...
A spatially explicit decision support model for restoration of forest bird habitat
D.J. Twedt, W.B. Uihlein III, A.B. Elliott
2006, Conservation Biology (20) 100-110
The historical area of bottomland hardwood forest in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley has been reduced by >75%. Agricultural production was the primary motivator for deforestation; hence, clearing deliberately targeted higher and drier sites. Remaining forests are highly fragmented and hydrologically altered, with larger forest fragments subject to greater...
The genetic basis of hair whorl, handedness, and other phenotypes
Jeff S. Hatfield
2006, Medical Hypotheses (66) 708-714
Evidence is presented that RHD, RHCE, and other RH genes, may be interesting candidates to consider when searching for the genetic basis of hair whorl rotation (i.e., clockwise or counterclockwise), handedness (i.e., right handed, left handed or ambidextrous), speech laterality (i.e., right brained or left brained), speech dyslexia (e.g., stuttering), sexual orientation (i.e., heterosexual, homosexual, bisexual, or transsexual), schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and autism...
A hierarchical model for regional analysis of population change using Christmas Bird Count data, with application to the American Black Duck
W.A. Link, J.R. Sauer, D.K. Niven
2006, Condor (108) 13-24
Analysis of Christmas Bird Count (CBC) data is complicated by the need to account for variation in effort on counts and to provide summaries over large geographic regions. We describe a hierarchical model for analysis of population change using CBC data that addresses these needs. The effect of...
Estimating site occupancy and detection probability parameters for meso- and large mammals in a coastal eosystem
Allan F. O’Connell, Neil W. Talancy, Larissa L. Bailey, John R. Sauer, Robert Cook, Andrew T. Gilbert
2006, Journal of Wildlife Management (70) 1625-1633
Large-scale, multispecies monitoring programs are widely used to assess changes in wildlife populations but they often assume constant detectability when documenting species occurrence. This assumption is rarely met in practice because animal populations vary across time and space. As a result, detectability of a species can be influenced by a...
Multistate survival models and their extensions in Program MARK
Gary C. White, W. L. Kendall, R. J. Barker
2006, Journal of Wildlife Management (70) 1521-1529
Program MARK provides .100 models for the estimation of population parameters from mark?encounter data. The multistate model of Brownie et al. (1993) and Hestbeck et al. (1991) allows animals to move between states with a probability of transition. The simplest multistate model is an extension of the Cormack?Jolly?Seber (CJS)...
Lead poisoning in captive Andean condors (Vultur gryphus)
O. H. Pattee, J. W. Carpenter, S. H. Fritts, Barnett A. Rattner, Stanley N. Wiemeyer, J. Andrew Royle, M. R. Smith
2006, Journal of Wildlife Diseases (42) 772-779
Elevated lead in the tissues of raptors, especially those that scavenge, is a common occurrence, and lead poisoning appears to be a significant problem in the ongoing recovery effort for California condors (Gymnogyps californianus). Elevated blood lead levels have been found in released birds, and a number of birds...
Population trajectory of burrowing owls (Athene cunicularia) in eastern Washington
C.J. Conway, K.L. Pardieck
2006, Northwest Science (80) 292-297
Anecdotal evidence suggests that burrowing owls have declined in Washington. The Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife is currently conducting a status review for burrowing owls which will help determine whether they should be listed as threatened or endangered in the state. To provide insights into the current...
Planning for robust reserve networks using uncertainty analysis
A. Moilanen, M.C. Runge, Jane Elith, A. Tyre, Y. Carmel, E. Fegraus, B.A. Wintle, M. Burgman, Y. Ben-Haim
2006, Ecological Modelling (199) 115-124
Planning land-use for biodiversity conservation frequently involves computer-assisted reserve selection algorithms. Typically such algorithms operate on matrices of species presence?absence in sites, or on species-specific distributions of model predicted probabilities of occurrence in grid cells. There are practically always errors in input data?erroneous species presence?absence data, structural and...
Model weights and the foundations of multimodel inference
W.A. Link, R. J. Barker
2006, Ecology (87) 2626-2635
Statistical thinking in wildlife biology and ecology has been profoundly influenced by the introduction of AIC (Akaike?s information criterion) as a tool for model selection and as a basis for model averaging. In this paper, we advocate the Bayesian paradigm as a broader framework for multimodel inference, one in...
Evaluation of osprey habitat suitability and interaction with contaminant exposure
P. C. Toschik, M. C. Christman, Barnett A. Rattner, M. A. Ottinger
2006, Journal of Wildlife Management (70) 977-988
Ospreys (Pandion haliaetus) have been the focus of conservation efforts since their dramatic population decline attributed to dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane and related chemicals in the 1960s. Several recent studies of ospreys nesting in the United States have indicated improved reproduction. However, the density of breeding ospreys varies greatly among locations,...
The distribution and conservation status of the Gull-billed Tern (Gelochelidon nilotica) in North America
K.C. Molina, R.M. Erwin
2006, Waterbirds (29) 271-295
The Gull-billed Tern (Gelochelidon nilotica) has until recently received little conservation and management attention within North America despite a relatively low overall population size and significant declines in parts of the breeding range. This lack of attention may stem in part from the wide distribution of the species, encompassing...
Field evaluation of an avian risk assessment model
N.B. Vyas, J. W. Spann, C.S. Hulse, S.L. Borges, R.S. Bennett, M. Torrez, B.I. Williams, R. Leffel
2006, Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (25) 1762-1771
We conducted two laboratory subacute dietary toxicity tests and one outdoor subacute dietary toxicity test to determine the effectiveness of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's deterministic risk assessment model for evaluating the potential of adverse effects to birds in the field. We tested technical-grade diazinon and its D Z...
The role of local populations within a landscape context: Defining and classifying sources and sinks
J.P. Runge, M.C. Runge, J.D. Nichols
2006, American Naturalist (167) 925-938
The interaction of local populations has been the focus of an increasing number of studies in the past 30 years. The study of source-sink dynamics has especially generated much interest. Many of the criteria used to distinguish sources and sinks incorporate the process of apparent survival (i.e., the combined...
Nest fate and productivity of American Oystercatchers, Cumberland Island National Seashore, Georgia
J. B. Sabine, Sara H. Schweitzer, J.M. Meyers
2006, Waterbirds (29) 308-314
The American Oystercatcher (Haematopus palliatus) is listed as a species of high priority by the U.S. Shorebird Conservation Plan and is state-listed as rare in Georgia; however, biologists have not focused on identifying the causes of egg and hatchling losses. In 2003 and 2004, continuous video monitoring was used...
Herpetofaunal diversity of Alligator River National Wildlife Refuge, North Carolina
J.M. Meyers, D.A. Pike
2006, Southeastern Naturalist (5) 235-252
In the past century, habitat alteration and fragmentation have increased dramatically, which increases the need for improving our understanding of how species and biological communities react to these modifications. A national strategy on biological diversity has focused attention on how these habitat modifications affect species, especially herpetofauna (i.e., changes...
Variation in probability of first reproduction of Weddell seals
G.L. Hadley, J.J. Rotella, R.A. Garrott, J.D. Nichols
2006, Journal of Animal Ecology (75) 1058-1070
Summary 1. For many species, when to begin reproduction is an important life-history decision that varies by individual and can have substantial implications for lifetime reproductive success and fitness. 2. We estimated age-specific probabilities of first-time breeding and modelled variation in these rates to determine age...
On identifiability in capture-recapture models - Reply
W.A. Link
2006, Biometrics (62) 936-939
Effects of hardness and alkalinity in culture and test waters on reproduction of Ceriodaphnia dubia
P. J. Lasier, P. V. Winger, I.R. Hardin
2006, Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (25) 2781-2786
Ceriodaphnia dubia were cultured in four reconstituted water formulations with hardness and alkalinity concentrations ranging from soft to the moderately hard water that is required by whole-effluent toxicity (WET) testing methods for culturing test organisms. The effects of these culture formulations alone and in combination with two levels of...
Assessing tiger population dynamics using photographic capture-recapture sampling
K. U. Karanth, J.D. Nichols, S. Kumar, J.E. Hines
2006, Ecology (87) 2925-2937
Although wide-ranging, elusive, large carnivore species, such as the tiger, are of scientific and conservation interest, rigorous inferences about their population dynamics are scarce because of methodological problems of sampling populations at the required spatial and temporal scales. We report the application of a rigorous, noninvasive method for assessing...
Abundance of ringed seals (Pusa hispida) in the fjords of Spitsbergen, Svalbard, during the peak molting period
B.A. Krafft, K.M. Kovacs, M. Andersen, Jon Aars, C. Lydersen, T. Ergon, T. Haug
2006, Marine Mammal Science (22) 394-412
Ringed seal (Pusa hispida) abundance in Spitsbergen, Svalbard, was estimated during the peak molting period via aerial, digital photographic surveys. A total of 9,145 images, covering 41.7%–100% of the total fast-ice cover (1,496 km2) of 18 different fjords and bays, were inspected for the presence of ringed seals. A total...
Estimating the abundance of mouse populations of known size: promises and pitfalls of new methods
P.B. Conn, A.D. Arthur, L.L. Bailey, G.R. Singleton
2006, Ecological Applications (16) 829-837
Knowledge of animal abundance is fundamental to many ecological studies. Frequently, researchers cannot determine true abundance, and so must estimate it using a method such as mark-recapture or distance sampling. Recent advances in abundance estimation allow one to model heterogeneity with individual covariates or mixture distributions and to...
Waste rice for waterfowl in the Mississippi Alluvial Valley
J.D. Stafford, R.M. Kaminski, K. J. Reinecke, S.W. Manley
2006, Journal of Wildlife Management (70) 61-69
Flooded rice fields are important foraging habitats for waterfowl in the lower Mississippi Alluvial Valley (MAV). Waste rice previously was abundant in late autumn (140?492 kg/ha), but early planting and harvest dates in recent years may have increased losses of waste rice during autumn before waterfowl arrive. Research...