Simulation of unsteady flow and solute transport in a tidal river network
X. Zhan
2003, Engineering Computations (Swansea, Wales) (20) 754-767
A mathematical model and numerical method for water flow and solute transport in a tidal river network is presented. The tidal river network is defined as a system of open channels of rivers with junctions and cross sections. As an example, the Pearl River in China is represented by a...
Intraplate triggered earthquakes: Observations and interpretation
S. E. Hough, L. Seeber, J.G. Armbruster
2003, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (93) 2212-2221
We present evidence that at least two of the three 1811-1812 New Madrid, central United States, mainshocks and the 1886 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake triggered earthquakes at regional distances. In addition to previously published evidence for triggered earthquakes in the northern Kentucky/southern Ohio region in 1812, we present evidence suggesting...
Sequential megafaunal collapse in the North Pacific Ocean: An ongoing legacy of industrial whaling?
A.M. Springer, J. A. Estes, Gus B. Van Vliet, T. M. Williams, D.F. Doak, E.M. Danner, K.A. Forney, B. Pfister
2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (100) 12223-12228
Populations of seals, sea lions, and sea otters have sequentially collapsed over large areas of the northern North Pacific Ocean and southern Bering Sea during the last several decades. A bottom-up nutritional limitation mechanism induced by physical oceanographic change or competition with fisheries was long thought to be largely responsible...
Transient rheology of the uppermost mantle beneath the Mojave Desert, California
F. F. Pollitz
2003, Earth and Planetary Science Letters (215) 89-104
Geodetic data indicate that the M7.1 Hector Mine, California, earthquake was followed by a brief period (a few weeks) of rapid deformation preceding a prolonged phase of slower deformation. We find that the signal contained in continuous and campaign global positioning system data for 2.5 years after the earthquake may...
Relationships between metabolic rate, muscle electromyograms and swim performance of adult chinook salmon
D.R. Geist, R.S. Brown, V.I. Cullinan, M.G. Mesa, S. P. VanderKooi, C.A. McKinstry
2003, Journal of Fish Biology (63) 970-989
Oxygen consumption rates of adult spring chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha increased with swim speed and, depending on temperature and fish mass, ranged from 609 mg O2 h-1 at 30 cm s-1 (c. 0.5 BLs-1) to 3347 mg O2 h-1 at 170 cm s -1 (c. 2.3 BLs-1). Corrected for fish...
Structure and mechanics of the Hayward-Rodgers Creek Fault step-over, San Francisco Bay, California
T. Parsons, R. Sliter, E.L. Geist, R.C. Jachens, B. E. Jaffe, A. Foxgrover, P. E. Hart, J. McCarthy
2003, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (93) 2187-2200
A dilatational step-over between the right-lateral Hayward and Rodgers Creek faults lies beneath San Pablo Bay in the San Francisco Bay area. A key seismic hazard issue is whether an earthquake on one of the faults could rupture through the step-over, enhancing its maximum possible magnitude. If ruptures are terminated at the step-over, then another important issue is how strain transfers through the step. We developed a combined...
The mechanics of unrest at Long Valley caldera, California. 2. Constraining the nature of the source using geodetic and micro-gravity data
Maurizio Battaglia, P. Segall, C. Roberts
2003, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (127) 219-245
We model the source of inflation of Long Valley caldera by combining geodetic and micro-gravity data. Uplift from GPS and leveling, two-color EDM measurements, and residual gravity change determinations are used to estimate the intrusion geometry, assuming a vertical prolate ellipsoidal source. The U.S. Geological Survey occupied the Long Valley...
Analysis of potential debris flow source areas on Mount Shasta, California, by using airborne and satellite remote sensing data
J.K. Crowley, B.E. Hubbard, J.C. Mars
2003, Remote Sensing of Environment (87) 345-358
Remote sensing data from NASA's Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS) and the first spaceborne imaging spectrometer, Hyperion, show hydrothermally altered rocks mainly composed of natroalunite, kaolinite, cristobalite, and gypsum on both the Mount Shasta and Shastina cones. Field observations indicate that much of the visible altered rock consists of talus...
Predicting reservoir-scale faults with area balance: Application to growth stratigraphy
R.H. Groshong Jr., J.C. Pashin, B. Chai, R.D. Schneeflock
2003, Journal of Structural Geology (25) 1645-1658
A reservoir that appears to lack faults at one scale of resolution or at one sampling density may nevertheless contain faults that are below the resolution of the observations. The area-depth relationship from a balanced cross-section is shown to contain the necessary information for predicting the sub-resolution fault heave. Existing...
Ups and downs on spreading flanks of ocean-island volcanoes: evidence from Mauna Loa and Kīlauea
Peter W. Lipman, Barry W. Eakins, Hisayoshi Yokose
2003, Geology (31) 841-844
Submarine-flank deposits of Hawaiian volcanoes are widely recognized to have formed largely by gravitationally driven volcano spreading and associated landsliding. Observations from submersibles show that prominent benches at middepths on flanks of Mauna Loa and Kilauea consist of volcaniclastic debris derived by landsliding from nearby shallow submarine and subaerial flanks...
Water-level changes induced by local and distant earthquakes at Long Valley caldera, California
Evelyn A. Roeloffs, Michelle Sneed, Devin L. Galloway, Michael L. Sorey, Christopher D. Farrar, James F. Howle, J. Hughes
2003, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (p.) 269-303
Distant as well as local earthquakes have induced groundwater-level changes persisting for days to weeks at Long Valley caldera, California. Four wells open to formations as deep as 300 m have responded to 16 earthquakes, and responses to two earthquakes in the 3-km-deep Long Valley Exploratory Well (LVEW) show that...
Mixture models for estimating the size of a closed population when capture rates vary among individuals
R.M. Dorazio, J. Andrew Royle
2003, Biometrics (59) 351-364
We develop a parameterization of the beta-binomial mixture that provides sensible inferences about the size of a closed population when probabilities of capture or detection vary among individuals. Three classes of mixture models (beta-binomial, logistic-normal, and latent-class) are fitted to recaptures of snowshoe hares for estimating abundance and to counts...
Post-seismic relaxation theory on laterally heterogeneous viscoelastic model
F. F. Pollitz
2003, Geophysical Journal International (155) 57-78
Investigation was carried out into the problem of relaxation of a laterally heterogeneous viscoelastic Earth following an impulsive moment release event. The formal solution utilizes a semi-analytic solution for post-seismic deformation on a laterally homogeneous Earth constructed from viscoelastic normal modes, followed by application of mode coupling theory to derive...
New K-Ar ages and the geologic evidence against rejuvenated-stage volcanism at Haleakalā, East Maui, a postshield-stage volcano of the Hawaiian island chain
David R. Sherrod, Yoshitomo Nishimitsu, Takahiro Tagami
2003, Geological Society of America Bulletin (115) 683-694
The postshield and previously inferred rejuvenated-stage history of Haleakalā volcano is reevaluated on the basis of 52 new K-Ar ages, 42 from the postshield Kula Volcanics and 10 from the overlying Hāna Volcanics. Postshield extrusion was robust from 0.93 to 0.76 Ma. A period of low extrusion rate or...
Magma supply dynamics at Westdahl volcano, Alaska, modeled from satellite radar interferometry
Z. Lu, Timothy Masterlark, D. Dzurisin, Russ Rykhus, C. Wicks Jr.
2003, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (108)
A group of satellite radar interferograms that span the time period from 1991 to 2000 shows that Westdahl volcano, Alaska, deflated during its 1991-1992 eruption and is reinflating at a rate that could produce another eruption within the next several years. The rates of inflation and deflation are approximated by...
High resolution seismic imaging of faults beneath Limón Bay, northern Panama Canal, Republic of Panama
Thomas L. Pratt, Mark Holmes, Eugene S. Schweig, Joan S. Gomberg, Hugh A. Cowan
2003, Tectonophysics (368) 211-227
High-resolution seismic reflection profiles from Limo??n Bay, Republic of Panama, were acquired as part of a seismic hazard investigation of the northern Panama Canal region. The seismic profiles image gently west and northwest dipping strata of upper Miocene Gatu??n Formation, unconformably overlain by a thin (<20 m) sequence of Holocene...
Taking the pulse of mountains: Ecosystem responses to climatic variability
Daniel B. Fagre, David L. Peterson, Amy E. Hessl
2003, Climatic Change (59) 263-282
An integrated program of ecosystem modeling and field studies in the mountains of the Pacific Northwest (U.S.A.) has quantified many of the ecological processes affected by climatic variability. Paleoecological and contemporary ecological data in forest ecosystems provided model parameterization and validation at broad spatial and temporal scales for tree growth,...
Characterization of the time-dependent strain field at seismogenic depths using first-motion focal mechanisms: Observations of large-scale decadal variations in stress along the San Andrea fault system
S.A. Sipkin, P.G. Silver
2003, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (108)
We present a method for summing moment tensors derived from first-motion focal mechanisms to study temporal dependence in features of the subsurface regional strain field. Time-dependent processes are inferred by comparing mechanisms summed over differing time periods. We apply this methodology to seismogenic zones in central and southern California using...
Staghorn tempestites in the Florida Keys
E.A. Shinn, C. D. Reich, T.D. Hickey, B. H. Lidz
2003, Coral Reefs (22) 91-97
Thirty-one samples of transported Holocene Acropora cervicornis "sticks" sampled from carbonate sand tempestite accumulations at 19 sites along a 180-km-long stretch of the Florida reef tract were dated using the radiocarbon (14C) method. The "modern fossils" collected from just a few centimeters below the surface ranged in age from 0.5...
When and where the aftershock activity was depressed: Contrasting decay patterns of the proximate large earthquakes in southern California
Y. Ogata, L.M. Jones, S. Toda
2003, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (108)
Seismic quiescence has attracted attention as a possible precursor to a large earthquake. However, sensitive detection of quiescence requires accurate modeling of normal aftershock activity. We apply the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model that is a natural extension of the modified Omori formula for aftershock decay, allowing further clusters (secondary...
Statistical power for detecting trends with applications to seabird monitoring
Scott A. Hatch
2003, Biological Conservation (111) 317-329
Power analysis is helpful in defining goals for ecological monitoring and evaluating the performance of ongoing efforts. I examined detection standards proposed for population monitoring of seabirds using two programs (MONITOR and TRENDS) specially designed for power analysis of trend data. Neither program models within- and among-years components of variance...
Imaging the complexity of an active normal fault system: The 1997 Colfiorito (central Italy) case study
L. Chiaraluce, W.L. Ellsworth, C. Chiarabba, M. Cocco
2003, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (108)
Six moderate magnitude earthquakes (5 < Mw < 6) ruptured normal fault segments of the southern sector of the North Apennine belt (central Italy) in the 1997 Colfiorito earthquake sequence. We study the progressive activation of adjacent and nearby parallel faults of this complex normal fault system using ???1650 earthquake...
Uptake of elements from seawater by ferromanganese crusts: Solid-phase associations and seawater speciation
A. Koschinsky, J.R. Hein
2003, Marine Geology (198) 331-351
Marine Fe-Mn oxyhydroxide crusts form by precipitation of dissolved components from seawater. Three hydrogenetic crust samples (one phosphatized) and two hydrothermal Mn-oxide samples were subjected to a sequential-leaching procedure in order to determine the host phases of 40 elements. Those host-phase associations are discussed with respect to element speciation in...
Numerical simulation of tsunami generation by pryoclastic flow at Aniakchak Volcano, Alaska
C. F. Waythomas, P. Watts
2003, Geophysical Research Letters (30)
Pyroclastic flows entering the sea are plausible mechanisms for tsunami generation at volcanic island arcs worldwide. We evaluate tsunami generation by pyroclastic flow using an example from Aniakchak volcano in Alaska where evidence for tsunami inundation coincident with a major, caldera-forming eruption of the volcano ca. 3.5 ka has been...
Natural background concentrations of nutrients in streams and rivers of the conterminous United States
R. A. Smith, R. B. Alexander, G. E. Schwarz
2003, Environmental Science & Technology (37) 3039-3047
Determining natural background concentrations of nutrients in watersheds in the developed world has been hampered by a lack of pristine sampling sites covering a range of climatic conditions and basin sizes. Using data from 63 minimally impacted U.S. Geological Survey reference basins, we developed empirical models of the background yield...