How machine learning can improve predictions and provide insight into fluvial sediment transport in Minnesota
J. William Lund, Joel T. Groten, Diana L. Karwan, Chad Babcock
2023, Conference Paper, SEDHYD 2023
Understanding fluvial sediment transport is critical to addressing many environmental concerns such as exacerbated flooding, degradation of aquatic habitat, excess nutrients, and the economic challenges of restoring aquatic systems. However, fluvial sediment transport is difficult to understand because of the multitude of factors controlling the potential sources, delivery, mechanics, and...
Modeling total water level and coastal change at Pea Island, North Carolina, USA
Michael Itzkin, Margaret L. Palmsten, Mark L. Buckley, Christopher R. Sherwood, Jenna A. Brown, Jin-Si R. Over, Peter A. Traykovski
2023, Conference Paper, The proceedings of the coastal sediments 2023
The DUring Nearshore Event eXperiment (DUNEX) was carried out on Pea Island, North Carolina, USA between September-October 2021. We use a coupled numerical model (Windsurf) to hindcast the evolution of the DUNEX transect and produce a time series of hourly water levels at the shoreline from the model output. In...
Wave asymmetry impacts on sediment processes at the nearshore of Fire Island, New York
M. S. Parlak, B. U. Ayhan, John C. Warner, Tarandeep Kalra, Ilgar Safak
2023, Conference Paper, The proceedings of the coastal sediments 2023
Effects of wave asymmetry on sediment processes and coastal evolution were investigated using a field data set and a numerical model. Field observations at the nearshore of Fire Island, New York revealed sediment fluxes during various wave energy levels. The preliminary results indicate a strong correlation between the wave asymmetry...
Comparing empirical sediment transport modeling approaches in Michigan rivers
Joel T. Groten, Sara B. Levin, Erin N. Coenen, J. William Lund, Bethany Matousek
2023, Conference Paper, SEDHYD 2023
Excess or limited fluvial sediment transport can contribute to and exacerbate many environmental issues including nutrient loading, aquatic habitat degradation, flooding, channel navigation dredging, dam operation, and stream degradation or aggradation. However, fluvial sediment transport is difficult and expensive to comprehensively characterize because it can vary substantially both temporally and...
Regional streamflow drought forecasting in the Colorado River Basin using Deep Neural Network models
Scott Douglas Hamshaw, Phillip J. Goodling, Konrad Hafen, John C. Hammond, Ryan R. McShane, Roy Sando, Apoorva Ramesh Shastry, Caelan E. Simeone, David Watkins, Elaheh White, Michael Wieczorek
2023, Conference Paper, Proceedings of SEDHYD 2023
Process-based, large-scale (e.g., conterminous United States [CONUS]) hydrologic models have struggled to achieve reliable streamflow drought performance in arid regions and for low-flow periods. Deep learning has recently seen broad implementation in streamflow prediction and forecasting research projects throughout the world with performance often equaling or exceeding that of process-based...
Processes controlling coastal erosion along Cape Cod Bay, MA
John C. Warner, Laura L. Brothers, Emily A. Himmelstoss, Christopher R. Sherwood, Alfredo Aretxabaleta, David S. Foster, Amy S. Farris
2023, Conference Paper, The proceedings of the coastal sediments 2023
Cape Cod Bay, MA, is a semi-enclosed embayment in the northeastern United States, open on the north to the Gulf of Maine. The coastline experiences impacts typically from strong Nor’easter storms that occur in the late fall or winter months, with some sections of this coastline being affected more severely...
Sediment sources and connectivity linked to hydrologic pathways and geomorphic processes: A conceptual model to specify sediment sources and pathways through space and time
Jong Cho, Diana Karwan, Katherine Skalak, James Pizzuto, Max Huffman
2023, Conference Paper, SEDHYD 2023
Sediment connectivity is a framework for transfer and storage of sediment among different geomorphic compartments across upland and channel network of the catchment sediment cascade. Sediment connectivity and dysconnectivity (i.e., source delivery and storage processes) are linked to the water cycle and hydrologic systems with the associated multiscale interactions with...
Hindcast of Hurricane Sally impacts on barrier islands in the Gulf of Mexico
Donya P. Frank-Gilchrist, Davina L. Passeri, Matthew V. Bilskie
2023, Conference Paper, The proceedings of the coastal sediments 2023
We performed XBeach and ADIRC+SWAN model simulations of Hurricane Sally over Dauphin and Petit Bois Islands off the Alabama-Mississippi coast to evaluate the morphologic response. Simulated water levels compared well with NOAA tide gauge observations to the east of Dauphin Island with a high model skill of 0.9. In addition,...
Coordinating science during an eruption: Lessons from the 2020–2021 Kīlauea volcanic eruption
Kari M. Cooper, Kyle R. Anderson, Kathy Cashman, Michelle L. Coombs, Hannah R. Dietterich, Tobias Fischer, Bruce F. Houghton, Ingrid A. Johanson, Kendra J. Lynn, Michael Manga, Christelle Wauthier
2023, Bulletin of Volcanology (85)
Data collected during well-observed eruptions can lead to dramatic increases in our understanding of volcanic processes. However, the necessary prioritization of public safety and hazard mitigation during a crisis means that scientific opportunities may be sacrificed. Thus, maximizing the scientific gains from eruptions requires improved planning...
Secondary forest within a timber plantation concession in Borneo contributes to a diverse mammal assemblage
Wilvia Olivia William, Frank T. van Manen, Stuart P. Sharp, Shyamala Ratnayeke
2023, Global Ecology and Conservation (43)
Commercial tree plantations of fast-growing species have become increasingly important in Southeast Asia to meet global demand for wood and wood fiber products. There is a growing need to understand more about their value for wildlife and how they can be managed for...
Determining three-dimensional hydrologic processes in the eastern Snake River Plain aquifer using geochemical mass-balance modeling, Idaho National Laboratory, eastern Idaho, with contributions by Treinen, K.C.
Gordon W. Rattray
2023, Professional Paper 1837-C
Waste constituents discharged to the eastern Snake River Plain aquifer at the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Idaho National Laboratory (INL) pose risks to the water quality of the aquifer. To understand these risks, the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the DOE, used geochemical mass-balance modeling to identify three-dimensional...
Predicting baseflow recession characteristics at ungauged stream locations using a physical and machine learning approach
Ken Eng, David M. Wolock, Michael Wieczorek
2023, Advances in Water Resources (175)
Prediction of short- (i.e., aquifer is near or at saturated conditions) and long-time (i.e., aquifer is not near or at saturated conditions) baseflow recession characteristics at ungauged stream locations is a current challenge that has been primarily addressed by empirical...
Assessment of riparian vegetation patterns and change downstream from Glen Canyon Dam from 2014 to 2019
Emily C. Palmquist, Bradley J. Butterfield, Barbara E. Ralston
2023, Open-File Report 2023-1026
Changes in riparian vegetation cover and composition occur in relation to flow regime, geomorphic template, and climate, and can have cascading effects on aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. Tracking such changes over time is therefore an important part of monitoring the condition and trajectory of riparian ecosystems. Maintaining diverse, self-sustaining riparian...
Data integration reveals dynamic and systematic patterns of breeding habitat use by a threatened shorebird
Kristen S. Ellis, Michael J. Anteau, Garrett J. MacDonald, Rose J. Swift, Megan M. Ring, Dustin L. Toy, Mark H. Sherfy, Max Post van der Burg
2023, Scientific Reports (13)
Incorporating species distributions into conservation planning has traditionally involved long-term representations of habitat use where temporal variation is averaged to reveal habitats that are most suitable across time. Advances in remote sensing and analytical tools have allowed for the integration of dynamic processes into species distribution...
Strontium isotope chronostratigraphic age of a sirenian fossil site on Santa Rosa Island, Channel Islands National Park, California
James B. Paces, Scott A. Minor, Kevin M. Schmidt, Jonathan Hoffman
2023, Scientific Investigations Report 2023-5026
Fossils in the order Sirenia (family Dugongidae) from Santa Rosa Island, part of Channel Islands National Park in southern California, provide rare temporal and spatial links between earlier and later evolutionary forms of dugongids, and add information about their dispersal into the northeastern Pacific region. Marine sedimentary rocks containing these...
Sediment and nutrient deposition over a reconnected floodplain during large-scale river diversions, the Bonnet Carré spillway in 2011, 2016, and 2019
Daniel Kroes, Gregory E. Noe, David Ramirez, Brian Vosburg
2023, Conference Paper, Proceedings of SEDHYD2023
In hopes of reversing or slowing the decline of the river delta, water diversions have been built and planned, and natural diversions have formed and been allowed to develop along the lower Mississippi River. In addition to the possibility of building land, these diversions allow for the storage of nutrients...
Coupling large-spatial scale larval dispersal modelling with barcoding to refine the amphi-Atlantic connectivity hypothesis in deep-sea seep mussels
Elodie Portanier, A. Nicolle, W. Rath, L. Monnet, G. Le Goff, A.-S. Le Port, C. Daguin-Thiebaut, Cheryl L. Morrison, M.R. Cunha, M. Betters, Craig M. Young, Cindy L. Van Dover, A. Biastoch, E. Thiebaut, Didier Jollivet
2023, Frontiers in Marine Science (10)
In highly fragmented and relatively stable cold-seep ecosystems, species are expected to exhibit high migration rates and long-distance dispersal of long-lived pelagic larvae to maintain genetic integrity over their range. Accordingly, several species inhabiting cold seeps are widely distributed across the whole Atlantic Ocean, with low genetic divergence between...
Estimates of predator densities using mobile DIDSON surveys: Implications for survival of Central Valley Chinook Salmon
Mark J. Henderson, Chris Loomis, Cyril Michel, Joe Smith, Ilysa Iglesias, Brendan Lehman, David Huff
2023, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (43) 628-645
The Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (hereafter, “the Delta”) is one of the estuaries with the most invasive species in the world, and nonnative predators may be a major factor in the observed decline of Central Valley Chinook Salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha over recent decades. In order for managers to take actions that might reduce...
Using neutral landscape models to evaluate the umbrella species concept in an ecotone
Courtney J. Duchardt, Adrian P. Monroe, David R. Edmunds, Matthew James Holloran, Alison G. Holloran, Cameron L. Aldridge
2023, Landscape Ecology (38) 1447-1462
ContextSteep declines in North American rangeland biodiversity have prompted researchers and managers to use umbrella species as a tool to manage diverse suites of co-occurring wildlife, but efficacy of this method has been variable. Evaluation of prairie and shrubland grouse as umbrellas is typically restricted to observed overlap...
A conceptual framework for estimation of initial emergency food and water resource requirements in disasters
Joseph Charles Toland, Anne Wein, An-Min Wu, Lauryn Spearing
2023, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (90)
Many households lack the necessary food and water supplies to sustain themselves for more than three days during a disaster. Community vulnerability assessments can be used to identify households with more pressing needs for emergency food and water resources. It...
Inferring pathogen presence when sample misclassification and partial observation occur
Evan H. Campbell Grant, Riley O. Mummah, Brittany A. Mosher, Jonah Evans, Graziella Vittoria DiRenzo
2023, Methods in Ecology and Evolution (14) 1299-1311
Surveillance programmes are essential for detecting emerging pathogens and often rely on molecular methods to make inference about the presence of a target disease agent. However, molecular methods rarely detect target DNA perfectly. For example, molecular pathogen detection methods can result in misclassification (i.e. false positives and false negatives)...
Model-based assessment and mapping of total phosphorus enrichment in rivers with sparse reference data
Peter C. Esselman, R Jan Stevenson
2023, Science of the Total Environment (884)
Water nutrient management efforts are frequently coordinated across thousands of water bodies, leading to a need for spatially extensive information to facilitate decision making. Here we explore potential applications of a machine learning model of river low-flow total phosphorus (TP) concentrations to support landscape...
Climate change and the global redistribution of biodiversity: Substantial variation in empirical support for expected range shifts
Madeleine A. Rubenstein, Sarah R. Weiskopf, Romain Bertrand, Shawn Carter, Lise Comte, Mitchell J. Eaton, Ciara G. Johnson, Jonathan Lenoir, Abigail Lynch, Brian W. Miller, Toni Lyn Morelli, Mari Angel Rodriguez, Adam Terando, Laura Thompson
2023, Journal of Environmental Evidence (12)
BackgroundAmong the most widely predicted climate change-related impacts to biodiversity are geographic range shifts, whereby species shift their spatial distribution to track their climate niches. A series of commonly articulated hypotheses have emerged in the scientific literature suggesting species are expected to shift their distributions to higher latitudes,...
Shorebird monitoring using spatially explicit occupancy and abundance
Eve Bohnett, Jessica Schulz, Robert C. Dobbs, Thomas Hoctor, Dave Hulse, Bilal Ahmad, Wajid Rashid, J. Hardin Waddle
2023, Land (12)
Loss of habitat and human disturbance are major factors in the worldwide decline of shorebird populations, including that of the threatened migratory piping plover (Charadrius melodus). From 2013 to 2018, we conducted land-based surveys of the shorebird community every other week during the peak piping plover season (September...
Evaluating regional length limits in freshwater fisheries
Andrew C. Shamaskin, Michael E. Colvin, Leandro E. Miranda
2023, Canadian Journal Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (80)
Length limits are often used in recreational fisheries management to prevent overharvest and manipulate fish size distributions. These regulations are ideally customized to meet water-specific stock dynamics and fishery objectives. However, in districts with numerous discrete waters, fisheries are commonly managed with a universal regional regulation. Evaluating...