Addressing detection uncertainty in Bombus affinis (Hymenoptera: Apidae) surveys can improve inferences made from monitoring
Clint Otto, Alma Schrage, Larissa L. Bailey, John Michael Mola, Tamara A. Smith, Ian S. Pearse, Stacy C. Simanonok, Ralph Grundel
2023, Environmental Entomology (52) 108-118
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service developed national guidelines to track species recovery of the endangered rusty patched bumble bee [Bombus affinis Cresson (Hymenoptera: Apidae)] and to investigate changes in species occupancy across space and time. As with other native bee monitoring efforts, managers have specifically acknowledged the need to address...
Density surface and excursion sets modeling as an approach to estimating population densities
Richard J. Camp, Chauncey K. Asing, Paul C. Banko, Lainie Berry, Kevin W. Brinck, Chris Farmer, Ayesha Genz
2023, Journal of Wildlife Management (87)
Effective species management and conservation require knowledge of species distribution and status. We used point-transect distance sampling surveys of the endangered palila (Loxioides bailleui), a honeycreeper currently found only on the Island of Hawai'i, USA, to generate robust estimates of total abundance and simultaneously model the distribution, abundance, and spatial...
Geophysical data provide three dimensional insights into porphyry copper systems in the Silverton caldera, Colorado, USA
Eric D. Anderson, Douglas Yager, Maria Deszcz-Pan, Bennett Eugene Hoogenboom, Brian D. Rodriguez, Bruce Smith
2023, Ore Geology Reviews (152)
The Silverton caldera in southwest Colorado, USA hosts polymetallic veins and pervasively altered rocks indicative of porphyry copper systems. Nearly a kilometer of erosion has exposed multiple levels of the hydrothermal systems from shallow lithocaps down to quartz-sericite-pyrite veins. New airborne electromagnetic and magnetic survey data are integrated with previous...
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: A multi-model study
Rebecca K. Borchering, Luke C Mullany, Emily Howerton, Matteo Chinazzi, Claire P. Smith, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G. Reich, Lucie Contamin, John Levander, J. Kerr, J. Espino, Harry Hochheiser, Kaitlin Lovett, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Joseph Lemaitre, Juan Dent Hulse, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C. Lee, Alison Hill, Jessica Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean-Claude Thill, Marta Galanti, Teresa Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey L. Shaman, Guido Espana, Sean Cavany, Sean Moore, Alex Perkins, Jessica Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Katriona Shea, Shaun Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Cecile Viboud, Justin Lessler
2023, The Lancet Regional Health - Americas (17)
BackgroundThe COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub convened nine modeling teams to project the impact of expanding SARS-CoV-2 vaccination to children aged 5–11 years on COVID-19 burden and resilience against variant strains.MethodsTeams contributed state- and national-level weekly projections of cases,...
Accounting for spatial heterogeneity in visual obstruction in line-transect distance sampling of gopher tortoises
Heather E. Gaya, Lora L. Smith, Clinton T. Moore
2023, Journal of Wildlife Management (87)
Line-transect distance sampling (LTDS) surveys are commonly used to estimate abundance of animals or objects. In terrestrial LTDS surveys of gopher tortoise (Gopherus polyphemus) burrows, the presence of ground-level vegetation substantially decreases detection of burrows of all sizes, but no field or analytical methods exist to control for spatially heterogeneous...
High‐precision characterization of seismicity from the 2022 Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Ha'apai volcanic eruption
Jonas A. Kintner, William L. Yeck, Paul S. Earle, Stephanie G. Prejean, Jeremy Pesicek
2023, Seismological Research Letters (94) 589-602
The earthquake swarm accompanying the January 2022 Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Ha'apai (HTHH) volcanic eruption includes a large number of posteruptive moderate‐magnitude seismic events and presents a unique opportunity to use remote monitoring methods to characterize and compare seismic activity with other historical caldera‐forming eruptions. We compute improved epicentroid locations, magnitudes, and...
Evaluations of Lagrangian egg drift models: From a laboratory flume to large channelized rivers
Geng Li, Caroline M. Elliott, Bruce Call, Duane Chapman, Robert B. Jacobson, Bin Wang
2023, Ecological Modelling (475)
To help better interpret computational models in predicting drift of carp eggs in rivers, we present a series of model assessments for the longitudinal egg dispersion. Two three-dimensional Lagrangian particle tracking models, SDrift and FluEgg, are evaluated in a series of channels with increasing complexity. The model evaluation demonstrates that...
A practical guide to understanding and validating complex models using data simulations
Graziella Vittoria DiRenzo, Ephraim Hanks, David A. W. Miller
2023, Methods in Ecology and Evolution (14) 203-217
Biologists routinely fit novel and complex statistical models to push the limits of our understanding. Examples include, but are not limited to, flexible Bayesian approaches (e.g. BUGS, stan), frequentist and likelihood-based approaches (e.g. packages lme4) and machine learning methods.These software and programs afford the user greater control and flexibility...
A review of supervised learning methods for classifying animal behavioural states from environmental features
Silas Bergen, Manuela Huso, Adam E. Duerr, Missy A Braham, Sara Schmuecker, Tricia A. Miller, Todd E. Katzner
2023, Methods in Ecology and Evolution (14) 189-202
Accurately predicting behavioural modes of animals in response to environmental features is important for ecology and conservation. Supervised learning (SL) methods are increasingly common in animal movement ecology for classifying behavioural modes. However, few examples exist of applying SL to classify polytomous animal behaviour from environmental...
Rupture scenarios for the 3 June 1770 Haiti earthquake
Susan E. Hough, Stacey S. Martin, Steeve Symithe, Richard W. Briggs
2023, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (113) 157-185
The 2010 M 7.0 Haiti earthquake provided the impetus to reconsider historical earthquakes in Hispaniola (Bakun et al., 2012). That earthquake also shed new light on complex fault systems along Haiti’s southern peninsula (Douilly et al., 2013; Saint Fleur et al., 2015). Recently, the 2021 M 7.2 Nippes earthquake...
Life-cycle model reveals sensitive life stages and evaluates recovery options for a dwindling Pacific salmon population
Neala W. Kendall, Julia R. Unrein, Carol Volk, David Beauchamp, Kurt L. Fresh, Thomas P. Quinn
2023, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (43) 203-230
Population models, using empirical survival rates estimates for different life stages, can help managers explore whether various management options could stabilize a declining population or restore it to former levels of abundance. Here we used two decades of...
An interactive viewer to improve operational aftershock forecasts
Gabrielle Madison Paris, Andrew J. Michael
2023, Seismological Research Letters (94) 473-484
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) issues forecasts for aftershocks about 20 minutes after most earthquakes above M 5 in the United States and its territories, and updates these forecasts 75 times during the first year. Most of the forecasts are issued automatically, but some forecasts require manual intervention to maintain accuracy. It...
Habitat associations of riverine fishes among rocky shoals
Anna Y. Baynes, Mary Freeman, S. Kyle McKay, Seth J. Wenger
2023, Ecology of Freshwater Fish (32) 336-347
Understanding species' associations with physical habitat conditions is a fundamental goal of ecology. For organisms that occupy lotic ecosystems, relationships to streamflow are of particular importance, but these associations are unstudied for most species. We tested the predictability of fish–microhabitat relationships in river shoals (shallow, rocky...
Estrogenic activity response to best management practice implementation in agricultural watersheds in the Chesapeake Bay watershed
Stephanie E. Gordon, Tyler Wagner, Kelly L. Smalling, Olivia H. Devereux
2023, Journal of Environmental Management (326)
Best management practices (BMPs) have been predominantly used throughout the Chesapeake Bay watershed (CBW) to reduce nutrients and sediments entering streams, rivers, and the bay. These practices have been successful in reducing loads entering the estuary and have shown the potential to reduce other...
Attitudes of the Wildlife Society members toward uses of wildlife
Rachel Menale, Shawn J. Riley, John F. Organ
2023, Article
Large-scale sociological, geographic, and demographic changes affect the way people interact with and value wildlife. Beliefs and attitudes of stakeholders towards wildlife and uses of wildlife are also shifting along with these geographical and demographic changes. Changes in societal or professional attitudes toward uses of wildlife has potential to create...
The effect of scent lures on detection is not equitable among sympatric species
Marlin M. Dart, Lora B. Perkins, Jonathan A. Jenks, Gary Hatfield, Robert Charles Lonsinger
2023, Wildlife Research (50) 190-200
Context: Camera trapping is an effective tool for cost-efficient monitoring of species over large temporal and spatial scales and it is becoming an increasingly popular method for investigating wildlife communities and trophic interactions. However, camera trapping targeting rare and elusive species can be hampered by low detection rates, which can decrease...
Geochemistry of the Cretaceous Mowry Shale in the Wind River Basin, Wyoming
Katherine L. French, Justin E. Birdwell, Paul G. Lillis
2023, GSA Bulletin (135) 1899-1922
The siliceous nature of the Mowry Shale distinguishes it from many of the well-studied organic-rich mudstones of the Cretaceous Western Interior Seaway. Available models of organic enrichment in mudstones rarely incorporate detailed biomarker, bulk organic, inorganic, and mineralogy data. Here, we used these data to evaluate how variations in organic...
Ecologically relevant moisture and temperature metrics for assessing dryland ecosystem dynamics
D. A. Chenoweth, Daniel Rodolphe Schlaepfer, J. C. Chambers, J. L. Brown, A. K. Urza, Brice Hanberry, D. Board, M. Crist, John B. Bradford
2023, Ecohydrology (16)
In drylands, water-limited regions that cover ~40% of the global land surface, ecosystems are primarily controlled by access to soil moisture and exposure to simultaneously hot and dry conditions. Quantifying ecologically relevant environmental metrics is difficult in drylands because the response of vegetation to moisture and...
Deep learning for pockmark detection: Implications for quantitative seafloor characterization
Mark Lundine, Laura L. Brothers, Arthur Trembanis
2023, Geomorphology (421)
Occurring globally, pockmarks are seafloor depressions associated with seabed fluid escape. Pockmark ubiquity and morphologic heterogeneity result in an irregular seafloor that can be difficult to quantitatively describe. To address this challenge, we test the hypothesis that deep-learning based object detection and segmentation can...
Dispersal limitations increase vulnerability under climate change for reptiles and amphibians in the southwestern United States
Richard D. Inman, Todd Esque, Kenneth E. Nussear
2023, Journal of Wildlife Management (87)
Species conservation plans frequently rely on information that spans political and administrative boundaries, especially when predictions are needed of future habitat under climate change; however, most species conservation plans and their requisite predictions of future habitat are often limited in geographical scope. Moreover, dispersal constraints for...
Drought related changes in water quality surpass effects of experimental flows on trout growth downstream of Lake Powell reservoir
Josh Korman, Bridget R. Deemer, Charles B. Yackulic, Theodore Kennedy, Mariah Aurelia Giardina
2023, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (80) 424-438
Flows released from reservoirs are often modified to mitigate the negative ecosystem effects of dams. We estimated the effects of two experimental flows, fall-timed floods and elimination of sub-daily variation in flows on weekends, on growth rates of rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) in the Colorado River downstream...
Dynamic estimates of geologic CO2 storage resources in the Illinois Basin constrained by reinjectivity of brine extracted for pressure management
Michelle R. Plampin, Steven T. Anderson, Steven M. Cahan, Stefan Finsterle
2023, Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology (13) 31-47
Geologic carbon storage (GCS) is likely to be an important part of global efforts to decarbonize the energy industry. Widespread deployment of GCS relies on strategies to maximize CO2 injection rates while minimizing reservoir pressurization that could induce seismicity and/or fluid leakage into groundwater resources. Brine extraction...
Growth portfolios buffer climate-linked environmental change in marine systems
Steven Campana, Szymon Smolinski, Bryan Black, John Morrongiello, Sella Alexandroff, Carin Andersson, Bjarte Bogstad, Paul Butler, Come Denechaud, David C Frank, Audrey Geffen, Jane Aanestad, Peter Gronkjaer, Einar Hjorleifsson, Ingibjorg G. Jonsdottir, Mark Meekan, Madelyn Jean Mette, Susanne E. Tanner, Peter van der Sleen, Gotje von Leesen
2023, Ecology (104)
Large-scale, climate-induced synchrony in the productivity of fish populations is becoming more pronounced in the world's oceans. As synchrony increases, a population's “portfolio” of responses can be diminished, in turn reducing its resilience to strong perturbation. Here we argue that the costs and benefits of trait...
A size-based stock assessment model for invasive blue catfish in a Chesapeake Bay sub-estuary during 2001–2016
Corbin David Hilling, Yan Jiao, Mary C. Fabrizio, Paul L. Angermeier, Aaron J. Bunch, Donald J. Orth
2023, Fisheries Management and Ecology (30) 70-88
Stock assessment modeling provides a means to estimate the population dynamics of invasive fishes and may do so despite data limitations. Blue catfish (Ictalurus furcatus) were introduced to the Chesapeake Bay watershed to support recreational fisheries but also consume species of conservation need and economic importance....
Effects of mass capture on survival of greater white-fronted geese in Alaska
Josh Dooley, Joel Schmutz, Julian B. Fischer, Dennis Marks
2023, Journal of Wildlife Management (87)
Mass capture of flightless geese during the summer is a common trapping technique to obtain large numbers of individuals for research and marking, but few studies have assessed the impacts of this method on the survival of after-hatch-year geese. We evaluated the effects of holding time...
