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Estimating abiotic thresholds for sagebrush condition class in the western United States
Stephen P. Boyte, Bruce K. Wylie, Yingxin Gu, Donald J. Major
2020, Rangeland Ecology & Management (73) 297-308
Sagebrush ecosystems of the western United States can transition from extended periods of relatively stable conditions to rapid ecological change if acute disturbances occur. Areas dominated by native sagebrush can transition from species-rich native systems to altered states where non-native annual grasses dominate, if resistance to annual grasses is low....
Assessing the potential to mitigate climate-related expansion of largemouth bass populations using angler harvest
Christopher J. Sullivan, Daniel A. Isermann, Kaitlin E. Whitlock, Jonathan F. Hansen
2020, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (77) 520-533
Climate-related changes in fish communities can present new challenges for fishery managers who must address declines in cool- and cold-water sportfish while dealing with increased abundance of warm-water sportfish. We used largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides) in Wisconsin lakes as model populations to determine whether angler harvest provides a realistic method...
A primer of fishery studies in Grand Canyon: The nonnative fish removal story
Michael D. Yard
2020, Newsletter
Globally, rivers have become the most altered of ecosystems, chiefly due to pollution, water withdrawals, and dams that have modified their former function, and led to large and unforeseen impacts, particularly for fish populations. Extensive research is directed at studying impacts of dams because they sever migration routes and change...
Testing prediction accuracy in short-term ecological studies
Connor M. Wood, Zachary G. Loman, Shawn T. McKinney, Cynthia S. Loftin
2020, Basic and Applied Ecology (43) 77-85
Applied ecology is based on an assumption that a management action will result in a predicted outcome. Testing the prediction accuracy of ecological models is the most powerful way of evaluating the knowledge implicit in this cause-effect relationship, however, the prevalence of predictive modeling...
Transitioning from change detection to monitoring with remote sensing: A paradigm shift
Curtis E. Woodcock, Thomas Loveland, Martin Herold, Marvin E. Bauer
2020, Remote Sensing of Environment (238)
The use of time series analysis with moderate resolution satellite imagery is increasingly common, particularly since the advent of freely available Landsat data. Dense time series analysis is providing new information on the timing of landscape changes, as well as improving the quality and accuracy of information being derived from...
Planetary sensor models interoperability using the community sensor model specification
Jason Laura, Jesse Mapel, Trent M. Hare
2020, Earth and Space Science (7)
This paper presents the photogrammetric foundations upon which the Community Sensor Model specification depends, describes common coordinate system and reference frame transformations that support conversion between image sensor (charge‐coupled device) coordinates to some arbitrary body coordinate, and describes the U.S. Geological Survey Astrogeology Community Sensor Model implementation (<a class="linkBehavior" href="https://github.com/USGS-Astrogeology/usgscsm"...
Predicting suitable habitat for dreissenid mussel invasion in Texas based on climatic and lake physical characteristics
M. A. Barnes, Reynaldo Patino
2020, Management of Biological Invasions (11) 63-79
Eurasian zebra and quagga mussels were likely introduced to the Laurentian Great Lakes via ballast water release in the 1980s, and their range has since expanded across the US, including some of their southernmost occurrences in Texas. Their spread into the state has resulted in a need to revise previous...
The right trait in the right place at the right time: Matching traits to environment improves restoration outcomes
Kathleen R. Balazs, Andrea T. Kramer, Seth M. Munson, Nora Talkington, Shannon Still, Bradley J. Butterfield
2020, Ecological Applications (30)
(Munson) The challenges of restoration in dryland ecosystems are growing due to a rise in anthropogenic disturbance and increasing aridity. Plant functional traits are often used to predict plant performance and can offer a window into the potential outcomes of restoration efforts across environmental gradients. We tracked 15 years of...
Lessons learned implementing an operational continuous United States national land change monitoring capability: The Land Change Monitoring, Assessment, and Projection (LCMAP) approach
Jesslyn F. Brown, Heather J. Tollerud, Christopher P. Barber, Qiang Zhou, John L. Dwyer, James Vogelmann, Thomas Loveland, Curtis Woodcock, Stephen V. Stehman, Zhe Zhu, Bruce Pengra, Kelcy Smith, Josephine Horton, George Z. Xian, Roger F. Auch, Terry L. Sohl, Kristi L. Sayler, Alisa L. Gallant, Daniel Zelenak, Ryan R. Reker, Jennifer R. Rover
2020, Remote Sensing of Environment (238)
Growing demands for temporally specific information on land surface change are fueling a new generation of maps and statistics that can contribute to understanding geographic and temporal patterns of change across large regions, provide input into a wide range of environmental modeling studies, clarify the drivers of change, and provide...
Preliminary report on applications of machine learning techniques to the Nevada geothermal play fairway analysis
James Faulds, Stephen C. Brown, Mark F. Coolbaugh, John H. Queen, Sven Treitel, Michael Fehler, Eli Mlawsky, Jonathan M.G. Glen, Cary Lindsey, Erick R. Burns, Connor M. Smith, Chen Gu, Bridget F. Ayling
2020, Conference Paper, Proceedings: 45th workshop on geothermal reservoir engineering
We are applying machine learning (ML) techniques, including training set augmentation and artificial neural networks, to mitigate key challenges in the Nevada play fairway project. The study area includes ~85 active geothermal systems as potential training sites and >12 geologic, geophysical, and geochemical features. The main goal is to develop...
Play fairway analysis in geothermal exploration: The Snake River plain volcanic province
John W. Shervais, Jonathan M.G. Glen, Drew L. Siler, Lee Liberty, Dennis Nielson, Sabodh Garg, Patrick Dobson, Erika Gasperikova, Eric Sonnenthal, Dennis Newell, James E. Evans, Jacob DeAngelo, Jared R. Peacock, Tait E. Earney, William D. Schermerhorn, Ghanashyam Neupane
2020, Conference Paper, Proceedings: 45th workshop on geothermal reservoir engineering
The Snake River volcanic province (SRP) has long been considered a target for geothermal development. It overlies a thermal anomaly that extends deep into the mantle and represents one of the highest heat flow provinces in North America, but systematic exploration been hindered by lack of a conceptual model. Play...
A need for speed in Bayesian population models: A practical guide to marginalizing and recovering discrete latent states
Charles B. Yackulic, Michael J. Dodrill, Maria C. Dzul, Jamie S. Sanderlin, Janice A. Reid
2020, Ecological Applications (30)
Bayesian population models can be exceedingly slow due, in part, to the choice to simulate discrete latent states. Here, we discuss an alternative approach to discrete latent states, marginalization, that forms the basis of maximum likelihood population models and is much faster. Our manuscript has two goals: 1) to introduce...
Development of a process-based littoral sediment transport model for Dauphin Island, Alabama
Robert L. Jenkins III, Joseph W. Long, P. Soupy Dalyander, David M. Thompson, Rangley C. Mickey
2020, Open-File Report 2020-1011
Dauphin Island, Alabama, located in the Northern Gulf of Mexico just outside of Mobile Bay, is Alabama’s only barrier island and provides an array of historical, natural, and economic resources. The dynamic island shoreline of Dauphin Island evolved across time scales while constantly acted upon by waves and currents during...
Application of airborne LiDAR and GIS in modeling trail erosion along the Appalachian Trail, New Hampshire, USA
Holly Eagleston, Jeffrey L. Marion
2020, Landscape and Urban Planning (198)
Recreational activities can negatively affect protected area landscapes and resources and soil erosion is frequently cited as the most significant long-term impact to recreational trails. Comprehensive modeling of soil loss on trails can identify influential factors that managers can manipulate to design and manage more sustainable trails. Field measurements...
Towards reproducible environmental modeling for decision support: A worked example
Jeremy T. White, Linzy K. Foster, Michael N. Fienen, Matthew J. Knowling, Brioch Hemmings, James R. Winterle
2020, Frontiers in Earth Science, Hydrosphere (28)
A fully worked example of decision-support-scale uncertainty quantification (UQ) and parameter estimation (PE) is presented. The analyses are implemented for an existing groundwater flow model of the Edwards aquifer, Texas, USA, and are completed in a script-based workflow that strives to be transparent and reproducible. High-dimensional PE is used to...
Causal factors for pesticide trends in streams of the United States: Atrazine and deethylatrazine
Karen R. Ryberg, Wesley W. Stone, Nancy T. Baker
2020, Journal of Environmental Quality (49) 152-162
Pesticides are important for agriculture in the United States, and atrazine is one of the most widely used and widely detected pesticides in surface water. A better understanding of the mechanisms by which atrazine and its degradation product, deethylatrazine, increase and decrease in surface waters can help inform future decisions...
Co-producing knowledge: The Integrated Ecosystem Model for resource management in Arctic Alaska
Eugenie S. Euskirchen, Kristin Timm, Amy L. Breen, Stephen T. Gray, T. Scott Rupp, Philip Martin, Joel H. Reynolds, Amanda Sesser, Karen Murphy, Jeremy S. Littell, Alec Bennett, W. Robert Bolton, Tobey Carman, Helene Genet, Brad Griffith, Tom Kurkowski, Mark J. Lara, Sergei Marchenko, Dmitry Nicolsky, Panda Santosh, Vladimir Romanovsky, Ruth Rutter, Colin Tucker, A. David McGuire
2020, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment (18) 447-455
Assessments of climate-change effects on ecosystem processes and services in high-latitude regions are hindered by a lack of decision-support tools capable of forecasting possible future landscapes. We describe a collaborative effort to develop and apply the Integrated Ecosystem Model (IEM) for Alaska and northwestern Canada to explore how climate change...
Evaluation of soil zone processes and a novel radiocarbon correction approach for groundwater with mixed sources
John E. Solder, Bryant Jurgens
2020, Journal of Hydrology (588)
Estimates of groundwater age based on 14C is often limited by the uncertainty in geochemical processes that alter the 14C concentration measured in water and the composition (δ13C and 14C) of carbon sources needed to appropriately parametrize 14C adjustment models. Estimated ages for samples that contain a mixture of young...
Geology of the Trout Rock caves (Hamilton Cave, Trout Cave, New Trout Cave) in Pendleton County, West Virginia (USA), and implications regarding the origin of maze caves
Christopher S. Swezey, Emily L Brent
2020, Book chapter, Geological Society of America Field Guide
The Trout Rock caves (Hamilton Cave, Trout Cave, New Trout Cave) are located in a hill named Cave Knob that overlooks the South Branch of the Potomac River in Pendleton County, West Virginia (U.S.A). The geologic structure of this hill is a northeasttrending anticline, and the caves are located at...
Foreward: Geology Field Trips in and around the U.S. Capital
Christopher S. Swezey, Mark W. Carter
2020, Book chapter, Geological Society of America Field Guide
The first annual meeting of the Geological Society of America (GSA) was held in 1888 in Ithaca, New York (Fairchild, 1932), but official Sections of GSA formed much later. During the spring of 1949, a symposium in Knoxville, Tennessee, on mineral resources of the southeastern United States became the...
The role of Northeast Pacific meltwater events in deglacial climate change
Summer K. Praetorius, Alan Condron, Alan Mix, Maureen Walczak, Jennifer McKay, Jianghui Du
2020, Science Advances (6)
Columbia River megafloods occurred repeatedly during the last deglaciation, but the impacts of this fresh water on Pacific hydrography are largely unknown. To reconstruct changes in ocean circulation during this period, we used a numerical model to simulate the flow trajectory of Columbia River megafloods and compiled records of sea...
Near-field ground motions from the July, 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence
Susan E. Hough, Eric M. Thompson, Grace A. Parker, Robert Graves, Kenneth W. Hudnut, Jason Patton, Timothy E. Dawson, Tyler C. Ladinsky, Michael Oskin, Krittanon Sirorattanakul, Kelly Blake, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Elizabeth S. Cochran
2020, Seismological Research Letters (91) 1542-1555
The 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence, including an Mw 6.4 event on 4 July and an Mw 7.1 approximately 34 hr later, was recorded by 15 instruments within 55 km nearest‐fault distance. To characterize and explore near‐field ground motions from the Mw 6.4 foreshock and Mw 7.1 mainshock, we augment these records...
Multi‐species occupancy models: Review, roadmap, and recommendations
Kadambari Devarajan, Simone Tenan, Toni Lyn Morelli
2020, Ecography (43) 1612-1624
Recent technological and methodological advances have revolutionized wildlife monitoring. Although most biodiversity monitoring initiatives are geared towards focal species of conservation concern, researchers are increasingly studying entire communities, specifically the spatiotemporal drivers of community size and structure and interactions among species. This has resulted in the emergence of multi‐species occupancy...
Machine learning identifies a strong association between warming and reduced primary productivity in an oligotrophic ocean gyre
Domenico D’Alelio, Salvatore Rampone, Luigi Maria Cusano, Valerio Morfino, Luca Russo, Nadia Sanseverino, James E. Cloern, Michael W. Lomas
2020, Scientific Reports (10)
Phytoplankton play key roles in the oceans by regulating global biogeochemical cycles and production in marine food webs. Global warming is thought to affect phytoplankton production both directly, by impacting their photosynthetic metabolism, and indirectly by modifying the physical environment in which they grow. In this respect, the Bermuda Atlantic...
A non-intrusive approach for efficient stochastic emulation and optimization of model-based nitrate-loading management decision support
Jeremy T. White, Matthew Knowling, Michael N. Fienen, Daniel T. Feinstein, Garry W. McDonald, Catherine R. Moore
2020, Environmental Modelling and Software (126)
Use of physically-motivated numerical models like groundwater flow-and-transport models for probabilistic impact assessments and optimization under uncertainty (OUU) typically incurs such a computational burdensome that these tools cannot be used during decision making. The computational challenges associated with these models can...