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Gap Analysis Project (GAP) Terrestrial Vertebrate Species Richness Maps for the Conterminous U.S.
Kevin J. Gergely, Kenneth G. Boykin, Alexa McKerrow, Matthew J. Rubino, Nathan M. Tarr, Steven G. Williams
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2019-5034
The mission of the Gap Analysis Project (GAP) is to support national and regional assessments of the conservation status of vertebrate species and plant communities. This report explains conterminous United States species richness maps created by the U.S. Geological Survey for four major classes in the phylum Chordata: mammals, birds,...
Integrating structure from motion, numerical modelling and field measurements to understand carbonate sediment transport in coral reef canopies
Andrew Pomeroy, Curt D. Storlazzi, Kurt J. Rosenberger, Gerry Hatcher, Jonathan A. Warrick
2019, Conference Paper, Coastal Sediments 2019 Proceedings
Reef canopies are complex and extremely variable across a range of spatial scales. This variability affects the velocity above as well as within the canopy, and directly impacts the transport of sediment along the bed as well as suspended in the water column. How a canopy affects the transport of...
Geological and geophysical data for a three-dimensional view—Inside the San Juan and Silverton Calderas, Southern Rocky Mountains Volcanic Field, Silverton, Colorado
Douglas B. Yager, Eric D. Anderson, Maria Deszcz-Pan, Brian D. Rodriguez, Bruce D. Smith
2019, Fact Sheet 2019-3026
IntroductionThe San Juan-Silverton caldera complex located near Silverton, Colorado, in the Southern Rocky Mountains volcanic field is an ideal natural laboratory for furthering the understanding of shallow-to-deep volcanic-related mineral systems. Recent advances in geophysical data processing and three-dimensional (3D) model construction will help to characterize shallow properties important for understanding...
Bringing Bayesian models to life
Mevin Hooten, Trevor J. Hefley
2019, Book
Bringing Bayesian Models to Life empowers the reader to extend, enhance, and implement statistical models for ecological and environmental data analysis. We open the black box and show the reader how to connect modern statistical models to computer algorithms. These algorithms allow the user to fit models that answer their scientific...
Contemporary human impacts on alpine ecosystems: the direct and indirect effects of human-induced climate change and land use
Daniel E. Winkler
2019, Book chapter, Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences
Alpine ecosystems account for ca. 3 % of terrestrial habitats yet, along with adjacent mountain systems, provide water resources to nearly half of the world’s human population. Approximately 20 % of humans live in or near mountain areas, making it inherently important to understand current impacts on these systems. Here,...
A physical model of the high-frequency seismic signal generated by debris flows
Maxime Farin, Victor C. Tsai, Michael P. Lamb, Kate E. Allstadt
2019, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms (44) 2529-2543
We propose a physical model for the high‐frequency (>1 Hz) spectral distribution of seismic power generated by debris flows. The modeled debris flow is assumed to have four regions where the impact rate and impulses are controlled by different mechanisms: the flow body, a coarser‐grained snout, a snout lip where...
Local niche differences predict genotype associations in sister taxa of desert tortoise
Richard D. Inman, A. Stewart Fotheringham, Janet Franklin, Todd Esque, Taylor Edwards, Kenneth Nussear
2019, Diversity and Distributions (25) 1194-1209
Aims To investigate spatial congruence between ecological niches and genotype in two allopatric species of desert tortoise that are species of conservation concern. Location Mojave and Sonoran Desert ecoregions; California, Nevada, Arizona, Utah, USA. Methods We compare ecological niches of Gopherus agassizii and Gopherus morafkai using species distribution modelling (SDM)...
Long-term trajectories of fractional component change in the Northern Great Basin, USA
Matthew B. Rigge, Hua Shi, Collin Homer, Patrick Danielson, Brian J. Granneman
2019, Ecosphere (10)
The need to monitor change in sagebrush steppe is urgent due to the increasing impacts of climate change, shifting fire regimes, and management practices on ecosystem health. Remote sensing provides a cost effective and reliable method for monitoring change through time and attributing changes to drivers. We report an automated...
An ANCOVA model for porosity and its uncertainty for oil reservoirs based on TORIS dataset
C. Ozgen Karacan
2019, Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering
Porosity is one of the most important parameters to assess in-place oil or gas in reservoirs, and to evaluate recovery from enhanced production operations. Since it is relatively well-established to determine porosity using different laboratory and field methods, its value is usually determined at many locations across a reservoir...
Ecological effects of fear: How spatiotemporal heterogeneity in predation risk influences mule deer access to forage in a sky‐island system
Chris Lowrey, Kathleen Longshore, David M. Choate, Jyoteshwar R Nagol, Joseph O. Sexton, Daniel B. Thompson
2019, Ecology and Evolution (9) 7213-7226
Forage availability and predation risk interact to affect habitat use of ungulates across many biomes. Within sky‐island habitats of the Mojave Desert, increased availability of diverse forage and cover may provide ungulates with unique opportunities to extend nutrient uptake and/or to mitigate predation risk. We addressed whether habitat use and...
Migration triggers in a large herbivore: Galapagos giant tortoises navigating resources gradients on volcanoes
Guillaume Bastille-Rousseau, Charles B. Yackulic, James P. Gibbs, Jacqueline L. Friar, Freddy Cabrera, Stephen Blake
2019, Ecology (100)
To understand how migratory behavior evolved and to predict the future of migratory species in the face of global environmental change it is important to quantify intra- and inter-individual variation in migratory behavior. Intra-individual variation includes behavioral response to changing environmental conditions and hence behavioral plasticity in the context of...
Application of sediment end-member analysis for understanding sediment fluxes, northern Chandeleur Islands, Louisiana
Julie Bernier, Jennifer L. Miselis, Noreen A. Buster, James G. Flocks
2019, Conference Paper, Coastal Sediments 2019—Proceedings of the 9th International Conference
We analyzed grain-size distributions (GSDs) from a time-series of sediment samples to evaluate sediment transport following anthropogenic sand-berm emplacement at the northern Chandeleur Islands, Louisiana. End-member analysis (EMA) was applied to compare the end-member (EM) GSD of a known sediment source to GSDs from surrounding environments and characterize the physical...
Ground-motion residuals, path effects, and crustal properties: A pilot study in southern California
Valerie J. Sahakian, Annemarie S. Baltay, Thomas C. Hanks, Janine Bueler, Frank Vernon, Deborah L. Kilb, Norm A. Abrahamson
2019, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (124) 5738-5753
To improve models of ground motion estimation and probabilistic seismic hazard analyses, the engineering seismology field is moving toward developing fully nonergodic ground motion models, models specific for individual source‐to‐site paths. Previous work on this topic has examined systematic variations in ground‐motion along particular paths (from either recorded or simulated...
Estimating connectivity of hard clam (Mercenaria mercenaria) and eastern oyster (Crassostrea virginica) larvae in Barnegat Bay
J.D. Goodwin, D.M. Munroe, Zafer Defne, Neil K. Ganju, James Vasslides
2019, Estuaries and Coasts (7)
Many marine organisms have a well-known adult sessile stage. Unfortunately, our lack of knowledge regarding their larval transient stage hinders our understanding of their basic ecology and connectivity. Larvae can have swimming behavior that influences their transport within the marine environment. Understanding the larval stage provides insight...
Assessment of site-specific agricultural Best Management Practices in the Upper East River watershed, Wisconsin, using a field-scale SWAT model
Katherine R. Merriman, Prasad Daggupati, Raghavan Srinivasan, Brett A. Hayhurst
2019, Journal of Great Lakes Research (3) 619-641
The Great Lakes “Priority Watershed” effort targeted the Upper East River watershed, a 116.5 km2 tributary watershed to Green Bay in Wisconsin, to reduce sediment and nutrients entering Green Bay. A Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was created to determine the effectiveness of Best Management Practices (BMPs) derived...
Spatio-temporal population change of Arctic-breeding waterbirds on the Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska
Courtney L. Amundson, Paul L. Flint, Robert A Stehn, Robert Platte, Heather M. Wilson, William W. Larned, Julian B. Fischer
2019, Avian Conservation and Ecology (14)
Rapid physical changes that are occurring in the Arctic are primary drivers of landscape change and thus may drive population dynamics of Arctic-breeding birds. Despite the importance of this region to breeding and molting waterbirds, lack of a comprehensive analysis of historic data has hindered quantifying avian population change. We...
Constraining parameter uncertainty in modeling debris-flow initiation during the September 2013 Colorado Front Range storm
Rex L. Baum, C.R. Scheevel, Eric S. Jones
2019, Conference Paper, Debris-flow hazards mitigation: Mechanics, monitoring, modeling, and assessment; proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation, Golden, Colorado, USA, June 10-13, 2019
The occurrence of debris flows during the September 2013 northern Colorado floods took the emergency management community by surprise. The September 2013 debris flows in the Colorado Front Range initiated from shallow landslides in colluvium. Most occurred on south- and east-facing slopes on the walls of steep canyons in crystalline...
Bayesian analysis of the impact of rainfall data product on simulated slope failure for North Carolina locations
Soni Yatheendradas, Dalia Kirschbaum, Grey Nearing, Jasper A. Vrugt, Rex L. Baum, Rick Wooten, Ning Lu, Jonathan W. Godt
2019, Computational Geosciences (23) 495-522
In the past decades, many different approaches have been developed in the literature to quantify the load-carrying capacity and geotechnical stability (or the Factor of Safety, F_s) of variably saturated hillslopes. Much of this work has focused on a deterministic characterization of hillslope stability. Yet, simulated F_s values are subject...
Earthquake-induced chains of geologic hazards: Patterns, mechanisms, and impacts
Xuanmei Fan, Gianvito Scaringi, Oliver Korup, A. Joshua West, Cees J. van Westen, Hakan Tanyas, Niels Hovius, Tristram C Hales, Randall W. Jibson, Kate E. Allstadt, Limin Zhang, Stephen G. Evans, Chong Xu, Li, Xiangjun Pei, Qiang Xu, Runqiu Huang
2019, Reviews of Geophysics (57) 421-503
Large earthquakes initiate chains of surface processes that last much longer than the brief moments of strong shaking. Most moderate- and large-magnitude earthquakes trigger landslides, ranging from small failures in the soil cover to massive, devastating rock avalanches. Some landslides dam rivers and impound lakes, which can collapse days to...
Report on the workshop 'Global modelling of biodiversity and ecosystem services'
Sana Okayasu, Machteld Schoolenberg, Eefje den Belder, Ghassen Halouani, HyeJin Kim, Brian W. Miller
2019, Report
A three-day workshop on ‘Global Modelling of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services’, was held in the Hague, Netherlands, from 24th to 26th June 2019. The workshop, attended by 35 modelling and scenario-building experts, was organised on behalf of the former IPBES1 expert group on scenarios and models of the first IPBES...
Modeling ash dispersal from future eruptions of Taupo supervolcano
Simon J Barker, Alexa R. Van Eaton, Larry G. Mastin, Colin JN Wilson, Mary Anne Thompson, Tom M Wilson, Cory Davis, James A Renwick
2019, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems (20) 3375-3401
Hazard analysis at caldera volcanoes is challenging due to the wide range of eruptive and environmental conditions that can plausibly occur during renewed activity. Taupo volcano, New Zealand, is a frequently active and productive rhyolitic caldera volcano that has hosted the world's youngest known supereruption and...
Wild canid distribution and co-existence in a natural–urban matrix of the Pioneer Valley of Western Massachusetts
Eric G. LeFlore, Todd K. Fuller, John T. Finn, John F. Organ, Stephen DeStefano
2019, Northeastern Naturalist (26) 325-342
Although development and urbanization are typically believed to have negative impacts on carnivoran species, some species can successfully navigate an urban matrix. Sympatric carnivorans compete for limited resources in urban areas, likely with system-specific impacts to their distributions and activity patterns. We used automatically triggered wildlife cameras to assess the...
Surrogate model development for coastal dune erosion under storm conditions
Victor Malagon-Santos, Thomas Wahl, Joseph W Long, Davina L. Passeri, Nathaniel G. Plant
2019, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 9th Coastal Sediments Conference
Early coastal dune erosion predictions are essential to avoid potential flood consequences but most dune erosion numerical models are computationally expensive, hence their application in Early Warning Systems is limited. Here, based on a combination of optimally sampled synthetic sea storms with a calibrated and validated XBeach model, we develop...
Handbook to the partners in flight population estimates database, version 3.0
Tom Will, Jessica C. Stanton, Kenneth V. Rosenberg, Arvind O. Panjabi, Alaine Camfield, Allison Shaw, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Peter J. Blancher
2019, Partners in Flight Technical Publication 7
This document describes the content of Version 3.0 of the Partners in Flight (PIF) Population Estimates Database, which provides population estimates for breeding USA/Canada landbirds at several geographic scales following the Partners in Flight approach described initially in Rich et al. (2004) and by Rosenberg and Blancher (2005) and most...