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Birth and evolution of the Virgin River fluvial system: ∼1 km of post–5 Ma uplift of the western Colorado Plateau
Cory Walk, Karl Karlstrom, Ryan S. Crow, Matt Heizler
2019, Geosphere (15) 759-782
The uplift history of the Colorado Plateau has been debated for over a century with still no unified hypotheses for the cause, timing, and rate of uplift. 40Ar/39Ar and K/Ar dating of recurrent basaltic volcanism over the past ∼6 Ma within the Virgin River drainage system, southwest Utah, northwest Arizona, and...
Submarine permafrost map in the arctic modelled using 1D transient heat flux (SuPerMAP)
P.P. Overduin, T. Schneider, F. Miesner, M.N. Grigoriev, Carolyn D. Ruppel, A. Vasiliev, H. Lantuit, B. Juhls, S. Westermann
2019, Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans (124) 3490-3507
Offshore permafrost plays a role in the global climate system, but observations of permafrost thickness, state, and composition are limited to specific regions. The current global permafrost map shows potential offshore permafrost distribution based on bathymetry and global sea level rise. As a first‐order estimate, we employ a heat transfer...
Precipitation and temperature drive continental scale patterns in stream invertebrate production
Christopher J. Patrick, D. McGarvey, James H. Larson, W. Cross, D. Allen, A. Benke, T. Brey, A. Huryn, J. Douglas Jones, C. Murphy, C. Ruffing, P. Saffarinia, M. Whiles, B. P. Wallace, G. Woodward
2019, Nature (5)
Secondary production, the growth of new heterotrophic biomass, is a key process in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems that has been carefully measured in many flowing water ecosystems. We combine structural equation modeling with the first worldwide dataset on annual secondary production of stream invertebrate communities to reveal core pathways linking...
Ground-motion attenuation in the Sacramento-San Joaquin delta, California, from 14 Bay Area earthquakes, including the 2014 M 6.0 South Napa earthquake
Jemile Erdem, Jack Boatwright, Jon Peter B. Fletcher
2019, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (109) 1025-1033
Peak ground motions (acceleration and velocity) radiated by earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay area and recorded within the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta generally attenuate faster with distance than the Next Generation Attenuation-West2 ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs). We evaluate the attenuation for a wide set of paths into the Delta by...
Quantifying risk of whale–vessel collisions across space, time, and management policies
Nathan J. Crum, Timothy A. Gowan, Andrea Krzystan, Julien Martin
2019, Ecosphere (10)
Transportation industries can negatively impact wildlife populations, including through increased risk of mortality. To mitigate this risk successfully, managers and conservationists must estimate risk across space, time, and alternative management policies. Evaluating this risk at fine spatial and temporal scales can be challenging, especially in systems where wildlife–vehicle collisions are...
Mechanisms of a coniferous refugium persistence under drought and heat
Nate G. McDowell, Charlotte Grossiord, Henry D. Adams, Sara Pinzon-Navarro, D. Scott MacKay, Dave Breshears, Craig D. Allen, Isaac Borrego, L. Turin Dickman, Adam D. Collins
2019, Environmental Research Letters (14)
Predictions of warmer droughts causing increasing forest mortality are becoming abundant, yet few studies have investigated the mechanisms of forest persistence. To examine the resistance of forests to warmer droughts, we used a five-year precipitation reduction (~45% removal), heat (+4 °C above ambient) and combined drought and...
Examination of Bathymodiolus childressi nutritional sources, isotopic niches, and food-web linkages at two seeps in the US Atlantic margin using stable isotope analysis and mixing models
Amanda Demopoulos, Jennifer McClain Counts, Jill R. Bourque, Nancy G. Prouty, Brian Smith, Sandra Brooke, Steve W. Ross, Carolyn Ruppel
2019, Deep Sea Research Part A, Oceanographic Research Papers (148) 53-66
Chemosynthetic environments support distinct benthic communities capable of utilizing reduced chemical compounds for nutrition. Hundreds of methane seeps have been documented along the U.S. Atlantic margin (USAM), and detailed investigations at a few seeps have revealed distinct environments containing mussels, microbial mats, authigenic carbonates, and soft sediments. The dominant mussel, Bathymodiolus childressi, contains methanotrophic endosymbionts but is also capable of filter...
North-facing slopes and elevation shape asymmetric genetic structure in the range-restricted salamander Plethodon shenandoah
KP Mulder, Nandadevi Cortes-Rodriguez, Adrianne B. Brand, Evan H. Campbell Grant, Robert C. Fleischer
2019, Ecology and Evolution (9) 5094-5105
Species with narrow environmental preferences are often distributed across fragmented patches of suitable habitat, and dispersal among subpopulations can be difficult to directly observe. Genetic data collected at population centers can help quantify gene flow, which is especially important for vulnerable species with a disjunct range. Plethodon shenandoah is a...
Monitoring the Riverine Pulse: Applying high-frequency nitrate data to advance integrative understanding of biogeochemical and hydrological processes
Douglas A. Burns, Brian A. Pellerin, Matthew P. Miller, Paul Capel, Anthony J. Tesoriero, Jonathan M. Duncan
2019, WIREs Water
Widespread deployment of sensors that measure river nitrate (NO3-) concentrations has led to many recent publications in water resources journals including review papers focused on data quality assurance, improved load calculations, and better nutrient management. The principal objective of this paper is to review and synthesize studies of high-frequency NO3-...
Peak ground displacement saturates exactly when expected: Implications for earthquake early warning
Daniel T. Trugman, Morgan T. Page, Sarah E. Minson, Elizabeth S. Cochran
2019, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (124) 4642-4653
The scaling of rupture properties with magnitude is of critical importance to earthquake early warning (EEW) systems that rely on source characterization using limited snapshots of waveform data. ShakeAlert, a prototype EEW system that is being developed for the western United States, provides real-time estimates of earthquake magnitude based on...
Modelling development of riparian ranchlands using ecosystem services at the Aravaipa Watershed, SE Arizona
Laura Norman, Miguel L. Villarreal, Rewati Niraula, Mark Haberstich, Natalie R. Wilson
2019, Land (8)
This paper describes how subdivision and development of rangelands within a remote and celebrated semiarid watershed near the US-Mexico border might affect multiple ecohydrological services provided, such as recharge of the aquifer, water and sediment yield, water quality, flow rates and downstream cultural and natural resources. Specifically, we apply an...
Detecting signals of large‐scale climate phenomena in discharge and nutrient loads in the Mississippi‐Atchafalaya River Basin
Adrianne P Smits, Claire M Ruffing, Todd V Royer, Alison P. Appling, Natalie A. Griffiths, Rebecca Bellmore, Mark D Scheuerell, Tamara K Harms, Jack B. Jones
2019, Geophysical Research Letters (46) 3791-3801
Agricultural runoff from the Mississippi‐Atchafalaya River Basin delivers nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) to the Gulf of Mexico, causing hypoxia, and climate drives interannual variation in nutrient loads. Climate phenomena such as El Niño–Southern Oscillation may influence nutrient export through effects on river flow, nutrient uptake, or...
Three-dimensional partitioning of resources by congeneric forest predators with recent sympatry
Julianna M Jenkins, Damon B. Lesmeister, David Wiens, Jonathan T Kane, Van R. Kane, Jake V Verschuyl
2019, Scientific Reports (9) 1-10
Coexistence of ecologically similar species can be maintained by partitioning along one or more niche axes. Three-dimensional structural complexity is central to facilitating resource partitioning between many forest species, but is underrepresented in field-based studies. We examined resource selection by sympatric northern spotted owls (Strix occidentalis caurina), a threatened species...
Integrating fish assemblage data, modeled stream temperatures, and thermal tolerance metrics to develop thermal guilds for water temperature regulation: Wyoming case study
Caitlin P. Mandeville, Frank J. Rahel, Lindsay S. Patterson, Annika W. Walters
2019, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (148) 739-754
Many streams are experiencing increased average temperatures due to anthropogenic activity and climate change. As a result, surface water temperature regulation is critical for preserving a diverse stream fish species assemblage. The development of temperature regulations has generally been based on laboratory measurements of individual species' thermal tolerances rather than...
A framework for characterising and evaluating the effectiveness of environmental modelling
Serena H Hamilton, Baihua Fu, Joseph H. A. Guillaume, Jennifer Badham, Sondoss Elsawah, Patricia Gober, Randall J. Hunt, Takuya Iwanaga, Anthony J. Jakeman, Daniel P. Ames, Allan Curtis, Mary C Hill, Suzanne A Pierce, Fateme Zare
2019, Environmental Modelling and Software (118) 83-98
Environmental modelling is transitioning from the traditional paradigm that focuses on the model and its quantitative performance to a more holistic paradigm that recognises successful model-based outcomes are closely tied to undertaking modelling as a social process, not just as a...
The rise of an apex predator following deglaciation
Mevin Hooten, George G. Esslinger
2019, Diversity and Distributions (25) 895-908
AimSea otters (Enhydra lutris) are an apex predator of the nearshore marine community and nearly went extinct at the turn of the 20th century. Reintroductions and legal protection allowed sea otters to re‐colonize much of their former range. Our objective was to chronicle the colonization of...
Three-dimensional basin and fault structure from a detailed seismic velocity model of Coachella Valley, Southern California
Rasheed Ajala, Patricia Persaud, Joann M. Stock, Gary S. Fuis, John A. Hole, Mark Goldman, Daniel S. Scheirer
2019, Journal of Geophysical Research (124) 4728-4750
The Coachella Valley in the northern Salton Trough is known to produce destructive earthquakes, making it a high seismic hazard area. Knowledge of the seismic velocity structure and geometry of the sedimentary basins and fault zones is required to improve earthquake hazard estimates in this region. We simultaneously inverted first...
Environmental DNA sampling reveals high occupancy rates of invasive Burmese pythons at wading bird breeding aggregations in the central Everglades
Sophia C. M. Orzechowski, Peter C. Frederick, Robert M. Dorazio, Margaret Hunter
2019, PLoS ONE (14)
The Burmese python (Python bivittatus) is now established as a breeding population throughout south Florida, USA. However, the extent of the invasion, and the ecological impacts of this novel apex predator on animal communities are incompletely known, in large part because Burmese pythons (hereafter “pythons”) are extremely cryptic...
Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Best Management Practice Implementation in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed, 1985–2014
Andrew J. Sekellick, Olivia H. Devereux, Jennifer L. D. Keisman, Jeffrey S. Sweeney, Joel D. Blomquist
2019, Scientific Investigations Report 2018-5171
Efforts to restore water quality in Chesapeake Bay and its tributaries often include extensive Best Management Practice (BMP) implementation on agricultural and developed lands. These BMPs include a variety of methods to reduce nutrient and sediment loads, such as cover crops, conservation tillage, urban filtering systems, and other practices.Estimates of...
A landscape model of variable social-ecological fire regimes
Robert M Scheller, Alec Kretchun, Todd Hawbaker, Paul D. Henne
2019, Ecological Modelling (401) 85-93
Fire regimes are now recognized as the product of social processes whereby fire on any landscape is the product of human-generated drivers: climate change, historical patterns of vegetation manipulation, invasive species, active fire suppression, ongoing fuel management efforts, prescribed burning, and accidental ignitions. We developed a new fire...
Optimizing historical preservation under climate change—An overview of the optimal preservation model and pilot testing at Cape Lookout National Seashore
Erin Seekamp, Max Post van der Burg, Sandra Fatoric, Mitchell J. Eaton, Xiao Xiao, Allie McCreary
2019, Open-File Report 2018-1180
Adapting cultural resources to climate-change effects challenges traditional cultural resource decision making because some adaptation strategies can negatively affect the integrity of cultural resources. Yet, the inevitability of climate-change effects—even given the uncertain timing of those effects—necessitates that managers begin prioritizing resources for climate-change adaptation. Prioritization imposes an additional management...
Louisiana Waterthrush (Parkesia motacilla) survival and site fidelity in an area undergoing shale gas development
Mack W. Frantz, Petra B. Wood, James Sheehan, Gregory George
2019, Wilson Journal of Ornithology (13) 84-95
We quantified Louisiana Waterthrush (Parkesia motacilla) site fidelity and apparent survival across a 6 year period in an area undergoing shale gas development.Waterthrush initially exhibited high site fidelity that declined over time. At the same time, the number of unpaired males defending territories increased as did natal fidelity. We identified...
Sampling designs for landscape-level eDNA monitoring programs using three-level occurrence models
Richard A. Erickson, Christopher M. Merkes, Erica L. Mize
2019, Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management (15) 760-771
Resource managers conduct landscape-level monitoring using environmental DNA (eDNA). These managers must contend with imperfect detection in samples and sub-samples (i.e., molecular analyses). This imperfect detection impacts their ability to both detect species and estimate occurrence. Although occurrence (synonymously occupancy) models can estimate these probabilities, most models and guidance for...
Multidecadal geomorphic evolution of a profoundly disturbed gravel-bed river system—a complex, nonlinear response and its impact on sediment delivery
Jon J. Major, Shan Zheng, Adam R. Mosbrucker, Kurt R. Spicer, Tami Christianson, Colin R. Thorne
2019, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface (124) 1281-1309
A 2.5-km3 debris avalanche during the 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens reset the fluvial landscape of upper North Fork Toutle River valley. Since then, a new drainage network has formed and evolved. Cross-section surveys repeated over nearly 40 years at 16 locations along a 20-km reach of river valley...
Implications of climate scenarios for Badlands National Park resource management
Brian W. Miller, Amy Symstad, Gregor Schuurman
2019, Report
Badlands National Park (BADL) hosts a myriad of natural and cultural resources, including bison and black-footed ferrets, the mixed grass prairie they live in, 37-75 million-year-old fossils, and historic buildings, trails, and roads. All are sensitive to climate, but anticipating precisely how each will be affected by climate change is...