Compounding effects of climate change reduce population viability of a montane amphibian
Amanda M. Kissel, Wendy J. Palen, Maureen E. Ryan, Michael J. Adams
2019, Ecological Applications (29) 1-12
Anthropogenic climate change presents challenges and opportunities to the growth, reproduction, and survival of individuals throughout their life cycles. Demographic compensation among life‐history stages has the potential to buffer populations from decline, but alternatively, compounding negative effects can lead to accelerated population decline and extinction. In montane ecosystems of the...
Iterative models for early detection of invasive species across spread pathways
Gericke Cook, Catherine S. Jarnevich, Melissa Warden, Marla Downing, John Withrow, I. Leinwand
2019, Forests (10)
Species distribution models can be used to direct early detection of invasive species, if they include proxies for invasion pathways. Due to the dynamic nature of invasion, these models violate assumptions of stationarity across space and time. To compensate for issues of stationarity, we iteratively update regionalized species distribution models...
Size distributions of Arctic waterbodies reveal consistent relations in their statistical moments in space and time
Sina Muster, William J. Riley, Kurt Roth, Moritz Langer, Fabio Cresto Aleina, Charles D. Koven, Stephan Lange, Annett Bartsch, Guido Grosse, C. J. Wilson, Benjamin M. Jones, Julia Boike
2019, Frontiers Earth Science Journal (7)
Arctic lowlands are characterized by large numbers of small waterbodies, which are known to affect surface energy budgets and the global carbon cycle. Statistical analysis of their size distributions has been hindered by the shortage of observations at sufficiently high spatial resolutions. This situation has now changed with the high-resolution...
Social equity shapes zone-selection: Balancing aquatic biodiversity conservation and ecosystem services delivery in the transboundary Danube River Basin
Sami Domisch, Karan Kakouei, Javier Martinez-Lopez, Kenneth J. Bagstad, Ainhoa Magrach, Stefano Balbi, Ferdinando Villa, Andrea Funk, Thomas Hein, Florian Borgwardt, Virgilio Hermoso, Sonja C. Jahnig, Simone D. Langhans
2019, Science of the Total Environment (656) 797-807
Freshwater biodiversity is declining, despite national and international efforts to manage and protect freshwater ecosystems. Ecosystem-based management (EBM) has been proposed as an approach that could more efficiently and adaptively balance ecological and societal needs. However, this raises the question of how social and ecological objectives can be included in an integrated management plan. Here,...
Landscape genetics reveal broad and fine‐scale population structure due to landscape features and climate history in the northern leopard frog (Rana pipiens) in North Dakota
Justin M. Waraniak, Justin D. L. Fisher, Kevin Purcell, David M. Mushet, Craig A. Stockwell
2019, Ecology and Evolution (9) 1041-1060
Prehistoric climate and landscape features play large roles structuring wildlife populations. The amphibians of the northern Great Plains of North America present an opportunity to investigate how these factors affect colonization, migration, and current population genetic structure. This study used 11 microsatellite loci to genotype 1,230 northern leopard frogs (Rana...
Evidence for interactions among environmental stressors in the Laurentian Great Lakes
Sigrid D. P. Smith, David B. Bunnell, G.A. Burton Jr., Jan J. H. Ciborowski, Alisha D. Davidson, Caitlin E. Dickinson, Lauren A. Eaton, Peter C. Esselman, Mary Anne Evans, Donna R. Kashian, Nathan F. Manning, Peter B. McIntyre, Thomas F. Nalepa, Alicia Perez-Fuentetaja, Alan D. Steinman, Donald G. Uzarski, J. David Allan
2019, Ecological Indicators (101) 203-211
Co-occurrence of environmental stressors is ubiquitous in ecosystems, but cumulative effects are difficult to predict for effective indicator development. Individual stressors can amplify (synergies) or lessen (antagonisms) each other's impacts or have fully independent effects (additive). Here we use the Laurentian Great Lakes, where a multitude of stressors have been...
Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum prolonged by fossil carbon oxidation
Shelby L. Lyons, Allison A. Baczynski, Tali L. Babila, Timothy J. Bralower, Elizabeth A. Hajek, Lee R. Kump, Ellen G. Polites, Jean Self-Trail, Sheila M. Trampush, Jamie R. Vornlocher, James C. Zachos, Katherine H. Freeman
2019, Nature Geoscience (12) 54-60
A hallmark of the rapid and massive release of carbon during the Palaeocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum is the global negative carbon isotope excursion. The delayed recovery of the carbon isotope excursion, however, indicates that CO2 inputs continued well after the initial rapid onset, although there is no consensus about the source of...
Beneath the arctic greening: Will soils lose or gain carbon or perhaps a little of both?
Jennifer W. Harden, J.A. O’Donnell, K.A. Heckman, B.N. Sulman, C.D. Koven, C.L. Ping, G.J. Michaelson
2019, SOIL
Ecosystem shifts related to climate change are anticipated for the next decades to centuries based on a number of conceptual and experimentally derived models of plant structure and function. Belowground, the potential responses of soil systems are less well known. We used geochemical steady state models, soil density fractionation, and...
Dynamic wildlife occupancy models using automated acoustic monitoring data
Cathleen Balantic, Therese M. Donovan
2019, Ecological Applications (29)
Automated acoustic monitoring of wildlife has been used to characterize populations of sound-producing species across large spatial scales. However, false negatives and false positives produced by automated detection systems can compromise the utility of these data for researchers and land managers, particularly for research programs endeavoring to describe colonization and...
Does incorporating gear selectivity during macroscale investigations of fish growth reduce size-selective sampling bias in parameter estimates?
Tyler Wagner, Yan Li
2019, Canadian Journal Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (76) 2089-2101
Understanding of fish growth, the spatial variability in individual growth, and the potential drivers of such variability is a fundamental component of many ecological investigations. However, sampling gears are always size-selective, and this selectivity can result in biased parameter estimates that can lead to, for example, biased stock assessments that...
Biological and mineralogical controls over cycling of low molecular weight organic compounds along a soil chronosequence
Jack McFarland, Mark P. Waldrop, Daniel Strawn, Courtney Creamer, Corey R. Lawrence, Monica Haw
2019, Soil Biology and Biochemistry (133) 16-27
Low molecular weight organic compounds (LMWOC) represent a small but critical component of soil organic matter (SOM) for microbial growth and metabolism. The fate of these compounds is largely under microbial control, yet outside the cell, intrinsic soil properties can also significantly influence their turnover and retention. Using a chronosequence...
Development of perennial thaw zones in boreal hillslopes enhances potential mobilization of permafrost carbon
Michelle A. Walvoord, Clifford I. Voss, Brian A. Ebel, Burke J. Minsley
2019, Environmental Research Letters (14) 1-11
Permafrost thaw alters subsurface flow in boreal regions that in turn influences the magnitude, seasonality, and chemical composition of streamflow. Prediction of these changes is challenged by incomplete knowledge of timing, flowpath depth, and amount of groundwater discharge to streams in response to thaw. One important phenomenon that may affect...
Temperature–not flow–predicts native fish reproduction with Implications for climate change
Gregory S. Fraser, Kevin R. Bestgen, Dana L. Winkelman, Kevin G. Thompson
2019, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (148) 509-527
Habitat alterations and introduction of nonnative fishes reduced the distributions of the Flannelmouth Sucker Catostomus latipinnis, Bluehead Sucker C. discobolus, and Roundtail Chub Gila robusta to less than 50% of their historical ranges. Climate change models generally predict decreased streamflows and increased water temperatures that may further affect these species. Understanding the effects of...
Sediment oxygen demand: A review of in situ methods
Erin N. Coenen, Victoria G. Christensen, Lynn Bartsch, Rebecca M. Kreiling, William B. Richardson
2019, Journal of Environmental Quality (48) 403-411
Sediment oxygen demand (SOD) plays a fundamental role in biological and chemical processes within the benthic layer of a water body. Land use, including agricultural land use, can affect SOD. However, a wide variety of approaches have been used for in situ SOD chamber construction and data collection, and modelers...
The 4.2 ka event, ENSO, and coral reef development
Lauren T. Toth, Richard B. Aronson
2019, Climate of the Past (15) 105-119
Variability of sea-surface temperature related to shifts in the mode of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been implicated as a possible forcing mechanism for the global-scale changes in tropical and subtropical precipitation known as the 4.2 ka event. We review records of coral reef development and paleoceanography from the tropical...
Fire legacies in eastern ponderosa pine forests
C. P. Roberts, V. M. Donovan, C. Wonkka, L. Powell, Craig R. Allen, D. G. Angeler, D. Wedin, D. Twidwell
2019, Ecology and Evolution (9) 1869-1879
Disturbance legacies structure communities and ecological memory, but due to increasing changes in disturbance regimes, it is becoming more difficult to characterize disturbance legacies or determine how long they persist. We sought to quantify the characteristics and persistence of material legacies (e.g., biotic residuals of disturbance)...
Pacific sea surface temperature linkages with Tanzania’s multi-season drying trends
Laura Harrison, Chris Funk, Amy McNally, Shraddhanand Shukla, Gregory Husak
2019, International Journal of Climate Change: Impacts and Responses (39) 3057-3075
Droughts in Tanzania pose challenges to agriculture, water resources, and hydropower production, all of which impact livelihoods. Tanzania experienced below average precipitation during 1999-2014 during two important seasons: December to February (DJF) in the south and during March to June (MAMJ) in the northeast. We explore DJF and...
The Laurentian Great Lakes: A case study in ecological disturbance and climate change
James E. McKenna Jr.
2019, Fisheries Management and Ecology 1-14
Climate change effects are already significant, but can also magnify other ecological problems. This can be clearly seen in the Laurentian Great Lakes, which have suffered habitat degradation, fishery overharvest and dramatic alterations by invasive species. Thermal changes are expected to cause extensive loss of suitable...
Simulating runoff quality with the highway-runoff database and the Stochastic Empirical Loading and Dilution Model
Gregory E. Granato, Susan C. Jones
2019, Transportation Research Record (2673) 136-142
Stormwater practitioners need quantitative information about the quality and volume of highway runoff to assess and mitigate potential adverse effects of runoff on the Nation’s receiving waters. The U.S. Geological Survey developed the Highway Runoff Database (HRDB) in cooperation with the FHWA to provide practice-ready information to...
Distribution of modern salt-marsh Foraminifera from the eastern Mississippi Sound, U.S.A.
Christian Haller, Christopher G. Smith, Pamela Hallock, Albert C. Hine, Lisa Osterman, Terrence McCloskey
2019, Journal of Foraminiferal Research (49) 29-47
This study documented surface distributions of live and dead foraminiferal assemblages in the low-gradient tidal marshes of the barrier island and estuarine complex of the eastern Mississippi Sound (Grand Bay, Pascagoula River, Fowl River, Dauphin Island). A total of 71,833 specimens representing 38 species were identified from a gradient of...
Activity center selection by northern spotted owls
Stan G. Sovern, Damon B. Lesmeister, Katie M. Dugger, M. Shane Pruett, Raymond J. Davis, Julianna M. Jenkins
2019, Journal of Wildlife Management (83) 714-727
The federally threatened northern spotted owl (Strix occidentalis caurina) has been intensively studied across its range, and habitat needs for the species have influenced forest management in northwestern North America for decades. Dense forest canopies are often reported in the scientific literature and agency management plans as an important habitat...
How physics‐based earthquake simulators might help improve earthquake forecasts
Edward H. Field
2019, Seismological Research Letters (90) 467-472
Questions have persisted on the usefulness of physics‐based earthquake simulators with respect to forecasting earthquakes, due mostly to the inevitable assumptions, approximations, and uncertainties. Whether any model is reliable or trustworthy depends entirely on what questions we are asking of it, so the point of this article is to outline...
Modeling effects of crop production, energy development and conservation-grassland loss on avian habitat
Jill A. Shaffer, Cali L. Roth, David M. Mushet
2019, PLoS ONE (14) 1-17
Birds are essential components of most ecosystems and provide many services valued by society. However, many populations have undergone striking declines as their habitats have been lost or degraded by human activities. Terrestrial grasslands are vital habitat for birds in the North American Prairie Pothole Region (PPR), but grassland conversion...
To what extent is drought-induced tree mortality a natural phenomenon?
R. Fensham, Boris Laffineur, Craig D. Allen
2019, Global Ecology and Biogeography (287) 365-373
AimCatastrophic forest mortality due to more extreme rainfall deficits and higher temperatures under future climate scenarios has been predicted. The aim of this study is to explore the magnitude of historical drought-induced tree mortality under pre-warming conditions.LocationNorth-eastern Australia.Time period1845–2017.<h3 id="geb12858-sec-0004-title" class="article-section__sub-title...
A seascape-scale habitat model to support management of fishing impacts on benthic ecosystems
T. Scott Smeltz, Bradley Harris, John Olson, Suresh Sethi
2019, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (76) 1836-1844
Minimizing fishing impacts on seafloor ecosystems is a growing focus of ocean management; however, few quantitative tools exist to guide seascape-scale habitat management. To meet these needs, we developed a model to assess benthic ecosystem impacts from fishing gear contact. The habitat impacts model is cast in discrete time and...